My electoral projections

[wilheim]

With a no doubt about it 75/25 break of undecideds towards Kerry, I have Kerry winning 311 to 227 in the Electoral College, winning Iowa, Florida, New Mexico, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Wisconsin. On the conservative side I know but 311 is solid enough to preclude any litigation by GOP lawyers. If a state like Virginia (quite possible) turns blue than the landslide is on.


wil.

 

[D2bets]

wil, I have the same except I give Iowa and New Mexico to Bush. Kerry wins 299-239.

 

[wilheim]

D2 - it's coming, everything is in place, just a matter of GOTV. This is going to blow the top off the media world wide. I cannot wait for Dub's concession speech even though it will be lame as usual, I can't wait.





wil.

 

[JinnRikki]

Guys I like Arkansas to come in Blue. I lived there for a while and they aren't completely without common sense. Hell, they elected Clinton.

 

[TomKing]

311...LOL......NO ONE anywhere has the election figured like that. I think Kerry has a very legitimate chance to win as does Bush BUT WIL., 311!!! LOL....stay with your cut and paste moderator duties obviously original thoughts are not your strong suite.

 

[hansenbros.]

:blowup1: ...

 

[RobFunk]

tomking STFU

 

[TomKing]

LOL.......why?. Because I called him out on a stupid projection i need to STFU?....alrighty. RobFunk should I sheep along in this world and agree and shake my head yes because??...Americans can disagree amongst themself...its one or the great things about being American. Wil. is a cut and paste genious and has load of LIB/Socialist BS to sphew....but his projections are unfounded and ungrounded. I dont feel like I want to STFU.

I can disagree and you can call me on it...but NO I won't STFU EVER.

 

[RobFunk]

tomking the first part of your post is fine If you want to disagree in a inteligble manner that's appreciated. but dont insult people just to get a point across, no one wants to see that.

 

[TomKing]

Wil is a big boy you can tell by the YEARS of brainwash he has undergone I am sure he can post back if he feels the need.

 

[wilheim]

FWIW - I could care less what "tomking" has to say. He is entitled to his opinion, his arguemnt is the same the old wil cuts and pastes articles one that I hear all the time. What else is new. Bottom line the election is a done deal I said it a month ago. This president is un-electable he will not see 48% of the vote. Polls open in less than 36 hours. GOTV.



wil.

 

[petre]

could be

 

[TomKing]

FWIW - Wil. obviously has no formal training in general elections projections ... he is a moderator on an internet site has NO IDEA what is going to happen on NOV 2nd. The President is VERY electable and doesn't even need 48% to win.....remember the first time around Mr. Election Expert, the President got 50,456,002 or 47.87% of the vote,
BUT then again that was not the important number was it.

Yeah, you know what your talking about.

BTW, the polls have been open for a couple of weeks....of course our Election Expert is in Latin America somewhere so how the hell would he know about that either.

Wil. I will be here WED come hell or high water and I can guarantee you at that time Kerry will have NOWHERE near 311 ........he either wins by a very small margin or loses. Thats what all the polls are indicating....all of them...not the Wil. socialist poll of internet babysitting poll.

 

[wilheim]

I am not going to argue with you - believe what you want, most likely you will be no where to be found in 48 hours. I hope Bush gets the same 47.87% (unlikely) he got in 2000 and lets see where that leaves him.



Have fun watching the results come in on Tuesday night. wil.

 

[stacilu]

FWIW - Wil. obviously has no formal training in general elections projections ... he is a moderator on an internet site has NO IDEA what is going to happen on NOV 2nd. The President is VERY electable and doesn't even need 48% to win.....remember the first time around Mr. Election Expert, the President got 50,456,002 or 47.87% of the vote,
BUT then again that was not the important number was it.

Yeah, you know what your talking about.

Tom, nobody really knows for sure. It is all projection, can go either way.
Obviously when an event only has two likely choices some "pundits" will feel
great while others will hide. However, aren't you a little ashamed about
Bush only betting 47.87% of the vote and winning the presidency on the
opinion of a R controlled court. I don't think that makes a valid argument
..
Wil seems to base his opinions on material he is reading and observing,
I think that is a ton better than some other loud mouths backing Bush with
nothing but BS.

 

[wilheim]

Just saving this before it gets edited.

Wil. I will be here WED come hell or high water and I can guarantee you at that time Kerry will have NOWHERE near 311 ........he either wins by a very small margin or loses. Thats what all the polls are indicating....all of them...not the Wil. socialist poll of internet babysitting poll.

btw. nice edit above.

 

[TomKing]

aren't you a little ashamed about
Bush only betting 47.87% of the vote and winning the presidency on the

Wil seems to base his opinions on material he is reading and observing,
I think that is a ton better than some other loud mouths backing Bush with
nothing but BS.

NO I am not ashamed I feel as if the true matter was the use electoral college...when counting the votes in FL at NO POINT was Gore ahead. I think if you wanted to recount EVERY vote in that state that would have been fair BUT I truly think Bush was elected legally and within the constitution. Wil. is as good as any other socialist out there. But come on Staci.......311??

 

[GoSooners]

I knew when I first heard this president speak 4 years ago that he will be in all probabily a one termer. One thing I am surprised about with Bush is how good of a campaigner he is. Just ask ex-govenor Ann Richards of Texas. She said she never saw this guy as a real threat until it was too late. I'm giving kudos to Bush's team more than the man himself. Although there are still many people out there who prefer what they call a plain-spoken normal everyday guy to be their fearless leader. Me, I prefer someone who is more intelligent than the average man to lead our country. My guess of the outcome of this election is Kerry wins, but not in a landslide. But not enough to demand a recount either.

 

[TomKing]

Let me ask one question to everyone. What kind of statement do we send the terroist and the rest of the World if we vote the President out who has proclaimed war on them?....If we elect a UN loving, global test touting, peacenik run off to Paris and denounce my governtment liberal like John Kerry.....what kind of statement do we send the dead of 9/11?, what kind of message does this send to ANY enemy of this country KNOWN or OTHERWISE?

If Kerry wins the message is loud and clear. The United States of America is WEAK!!

 

[docmercer--banned]

Tomking:

I disagree totally ...

What it says to the rest of the world if Bush is ELECTED for the first time: The world will see his victory as an affirmation by the American people of his disastrous preemptive war policy, which led the United States to invade Iraq without provocation

Tired of hearing how weak Kerry is on defv .. please remember facts: the stuff Kerry wanted to cut was the EXACT SAME ITEMS Cheney wanted to cut when Mr Halliburton was Sect of Defense .. and Bushs hand picked boy for the CIA - Porter Goss - had pushed Intelligence cuts in the late 1990's way beyond anything Kerry had ever proposed

I am one of many Americans who have tired of the Mafia style run govt that exsists under President Dick Cheney