~My Early Bets Divisional Playoffs Betting Info~

MR.HARRYtheHAT · Jan 8, 2020

[SUP]

I bet a opening teaser at Westgate>>3 team 7 point teaser >San Francisco +1/2 & Baltimore -2 1/2 & Kansas City - 2/12 [ 1 unit $100]

[/SUP]

Money Line San Francisco-$280 X15 [ $100 units]

Baltimore $-450 X10 [ $100 units ] These two money lines are a hell of value on opener.. Like taking candy from a baby!!!! Bets In !!!!!

2 team 7 point teaser San Francisco Even & Over 37 1/2 points [ 5X $100 units]

2 team 7 point teaser San Francisco Even & Over on Tennessee/ Baltimore 40 points[ 3x $100 units ]

Yes it's a big investment however I am still up 4 x my bankroll and willing to take a big shot on the opening money lines.

*****That's Right Money Line Bets and Teasers Only for the Playoffs [ No Straight Up Bets with these these lines]

Minnesota
San Francisco

Kirk Cousins doesn't have a reputation as a big-game guy but played well, completing 19 of 31 for 242 yards and that touchdown. Cousins had been 2-10 as a starting QB in his career against teams that made the playoffs and 3-11-1 vs. teams that entered the game with a winning record.

The San Francisco 49ers had a rough season last year as they lost QB Jimmy Garoppolo early on and were never able to recover. This year, he has been healthy all year and has led the Niners to the number one seed in the NFC. The Niners come in ranked 4th in total offense and 2nd in scoring putting up 29.9 ppg. They are just 13th in passing but Garoppolo has had a solid season, throwing for 3978 yards with 27 TDs and 13 INTs. He needs to cut down on the mistakes, especially against this defense. The run game has been very strong, ranking 2nd in the league and Tevin Coleman, Matt Brieda, and Raheem Mostert all have rushed for at least 544 yards. This is a very deep RB corps. San Francisco LB Kwon Alexander (pectoral) is reportedly on track to play in this contest. Both teams have the ability to break big plays in the running and passing game. The Vikings have shown that they have the ability to pull off the upset against the spread but not the money line!!!! but the over is the play with a teaser for me with money line. Prediction> San Francisco 49ers wins covers the money line & teaser

Kansas City at home will be too much for Houston. The Chiefs are 4-1 in their last 5 at Arrowhead. The Chiefs are riding a six-game winning streak while going 6-0 ATS over the same span. In addition, the Chiefs strength is through the air with quarterback Kansas City at home wins covers the money line & teaser.

Ravens were the top rushing team in the league and also the top-scoring team, averaging 33 points per game. Baltimore completed the regular with the best record in the NFL at 14-2 and has home field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs. During the regular season, Lamar Jackson led Baltimore with 3,127 yards passing, 36 touchdowns and six interceptions. The leading rusher for the Ravens was Jackson with 1,206 yards and seven touchdowns. Mark Andrews was the leading receiver for Baltimore with 852 yards and 10 touchdowns. Chuck Clark led all Baltimore defenders with 73 tackles. Ravensat home wins covers the money line & teaser.

cheersgifLets Just Win guys !!!!!!!!

**** Handicapping information taken from Internet Sports Media. Bleacher Report, Inc.,USA Today Sports Media Group, Pro Football Weekly's & NFL Weather.com, Football Stats and History, and other sources connected with NFL Sports. Jerry Nyles NFL Capper, Kyle Hunter NFL Capper Sports Analyst Rob Vinciletti, HarryTheHat NFL Capper, Harold Windham NFL Analyst, Kyle Hunter NFL Capper, Trev Rogers NFL Capper, Steve Janus NFL Analyst, Sal Limonti NFL Capper, Harv Rubenstein NFL Capper * *****Stats taken from Power Ratings Danny Sheridan power rating, Dunkel Index power,B&Rs Expert Consensus rating, with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Powering Rating ~[Cleveland OH] With Bobby Lancer Exclusive ratings & There Calculated Point Spreads With Trends & Statistics and Indicators. Intelligent Analysis of the NFL Compliments From ~Hårr¥THëHÄT~

MR.HARRYtheHAT · Jan 8, 2020

~Playoffs Demonstrate Importance Of Ground Game~

Despite every attempt by the NFL to make this a passing league, the best indicator of success this season is how dominant a team is on the ground. Consider this Rx Members & Friends: [1]> Of the top four rushing teams in 2019-20 all four remain alive. [2]> Of the top 4 passing teams, zero are still in contention. [3]> Only 1 of the final 8 was more effective through the air than on the ground. Predictably that team is Kansas City which was No #23 in rushing and No #5 in passing. Defensively it's much to draw a correlation to the playoffs success these teams are having. Five of the finial 8 rankin bottom 3rd in run defense. By far the most well rounded team is Ravens, who are 5th in run defense, 6th against the pass, and 3rd in fewest in points allowed. Consider these stats when you make your bets my friends.

**** Handicapping information taken from Internet Sports Media. Bleacher Report, Inc.,USA Today Sports Media Group, Pro Football Weekly's & NFL Weather.com, Football Stats and History, and other sources connected with NFL Sports. Jerry Nyles NFL Capper, Kyle Hunter NFL Capper Sports Analyst Rob Vinciletti, HarryTheHat NFL Capper, Harold Windham NFL Analyst ,Hal Habib Analyst, Kyle Hunter NFL Capper, Trev Rogers NFL Capper, Steve Janus NFL Analyst, Sal Limonti NFL Capper, Harv Rubenstein NFL Capper * *****Stats taken from Power Ratings Danny Sheridan power rating, Dunkel Index power,B&Rs Expert Consensus rating, with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Powering Rating ~[Cleveland OH] With Bobby Lancer Exclusive ratings & There Calculated Point Spreads With Trends & Statistics and Indicators. Intelligent Analysis of the NFL Compliments From ~Hårr¥THëHÄT~

MR.HARRYtheHAT · Jan 9, 2020

Best indicator of success this season is how dominant a team is on the ground, 2nd rank Niners is strong indicator to win !!!!

The Niners come in ranked 4th in total offense and 2nd in scoring putting up 29.9 ppg. The run game has been very strong, ranking 2nd in the league and Tevin Coleman, Matt Brieda, and Raheem Mostert all have rushed for at least 544 yards. This is a very deep RB corps. San Francisco LB Kwon Alexander (pectoral) is reportedly on track to play in this Contest ....... Despite every attempt by the NFL to make this a passing league, the best indicator of success this season is how dominant a team is on the ground. 2nd rank Niners is strong indicator that the Niners will win over the Vikings and cover the money line with no problem!!! The point spread is a another question?

*****Niners look to be a bit vulnerable on run defense but some of those numbers are skewed. SF has had to face Lamar Jackson, Kyler Murray twice, and Russell Wilson twice. That’s five games against QBs that rank first, second, and seventh in rush yards per game among QBs. In aggregate, the Niners have allowed 4.5 YPC to all runners this season but against just RBs that number falls significantly to 4.2 YPC. The RBs the Niners faced average 4.3 YPC on the season. SF ranks 29th in success rate allowed to QBs and 15th to RBs. The good news for the Niners is that there is no threat of Cousins running the football.
*****Niners have been dominant defending the passing game. They rank in the top 3 in the NFL in yards per attempt allowed to RBs, TEs, and WRs. They rank second in lowest yards per game allowed to RBs, fourth-lowest to WRs and first against TEs.

Loves2kickass · Jan 9, 2020

I like Balty money line but absolutely love Minnestoa this week, just as I did last week. Minnesota easily covers the 7 (I have them defeating San Francisco by 10) and I believe Baltimore wins but just misses covering the line. More important than raw, normal stats that you are referring to in your posts is the team's that are efficient in turning their average game yardage into points and same on the defensive side of the ball. Yardage is useless if you don't score. Good luck.

MR.HARRYtheHAT · Jan 9, 2020

Power rating From ~Dunkel Index Power Rating~ &~ B&Rs Expert Power Rating~

Dunkel Index Power Rating & B&Rs Expert Power Rating

Baltimore Ravens +6 to + 6 1/2 over Tennessee Titans ///// Present Point Spread Ravens -9 1/2

San Francisco 49ers + 3 TO +3 1/2 over Minnesota Vikings///// Present Point Spread 49ers -7

Kansas City Chiefs + 6 1/2 to +7 over Houston Texans///// Present Point Spread Chiefs -9 1/2

Baltimore Ravens +6 to +6 1/2 over Tennessee Titans ///// Present Point Spread Ravens -9 1/2

3pointdog · Jan 9, 2020

MR.HARRYtheHAT said:
Dunkel Index Power Rating & B&Rs Expert Power Rating
Baltimore Ravens +6 to + 6 1/2 over Tennessee Titans ///// Present Point Spread Ravens -9 1/2
San Francisco 49ers + 3 TO +3 1/2 over Minnesota Vikings///// Present Point Spread 49ers -7
Kansas City Chiefs + 6 1/2 to +7 over Houston Texans///// Present Point Spread Chiefs -9 1/2
Baltimore Ravens +6 to +6 1/2 over Tennessee Titans ///// Present Point Spread Ravens -9 1/2

Harry you left off the GB / Seat game and put up the Balty game twice...

XENO · Jan 10, 2020

these will be very popular plays for sure.

BROOKLYNWORM · Jan 10, 2020

HARRY THE HAT: You don't think Minnesota is a good play as dogs , in a 7 point teaser. I took Minnesota (+14) points. I am thinking taking SF -7, and play that into an even teaser, like a money line. BW

MR.HARRYtheHAT · Jan 10, 2020

~Dunkel Index Power Rating & B&Rs Expert Power Rating~

3pointdog said:
Harry you left off the GB / Seat game and put up the Balty game twice...

Dunkel Index Power Rating & B&Rs Expert Power Rating

Baltimore Ravens +6 to + 6 1/2 over Tennessee Titans ///// Present Point Spread Ravens -9 1/2>

San Francisco 49ers + 3 TO +3 1/2 over Minnesota Vikings///// Present Point Spread 49ers -7

Kansas City Chiefs + 6 1/2 to +7 over Houston Texans///// Present Point Spread Chiefs -9 1/2

Green Bay Packers +5 to +5 1/2 over Seattle Seahawks ///// Present Point Spread Packers -4 1/2

****The Reason is that I did not post Power Rating is that I have no bet on this matchup with Packers & Seahawks game. However I will post for you 3pointdog!!!!!

MR.HARRYtheHAT · Jan 10, 2020

BROOKLYNWORM said:
HARRY THE HAT: You don't think Minnesota is a good play as dogs , in a 7 point teaser. I took Minnesota (+14) points. I am thinking taking SF -7, and play that into an even teaser, like a money line. BW

Yes however Brooklynworm I like SF even then getting points +14 because SF just might go over 2 touchdowns[ why take the chance] when I think SF is a shoe in win!!!!!

BROOKLYNWORM · Jan 10, 2020

MR.HARRYtheHAT said:
Yes however Brooklynworm I like SF even then getting points +14 because SF just might go over 2 touchdowns[ why take the chance] when I think SF is a shoe in win!!!!!

The rushing game, of any playoff team , now looms large on getting to the Super Bowl. If you can't stop the run, and you are unable to estabish the run on offense, you will be eliminated. Harry The Hat, this is a great post, explaining that the Passing game isn't the main factor anymore in the post season. Baltimore, and KC have huge value and one will represent the AFC. As for the NFC . Watch Minnesota. They may upset SF. They have the better defense than the Niners of late, and besides relying most of the time on the rushing game, they now have 3 receivers healthy, and ready to go.BW

OccamsRazor · Jan 10, 2020

Regarding passing game not being a main factor in post season... (In case opinion is wrong) Here are QB ratings of QB left in playoffs in order 1) Tannehill 114.7 2) Lamar Jackson 113.3 3) Kirk Cousins 106.7 4) Russell Wilson 106.4 5) Patrick Mahomes 105.3 6) Jimmy Garoppolo 7) Deshaun Watson 99.2 8) Aaron Rogers 95.4

For your Capping considerations.

MR.HARRYtheHAT · Jan 10, 2020

OccamsRazor said:
Regarding passing game not being a main factor in post season... (In case opinion is wrong) Here are QB ratings of QB left in playoffs in order 1) Tannehill 114.7 2) Lamar Jackson 113.3 3) Kirk Cousins 106.7 4) Russell Wilson 106.4 5) Patrick Mahomes 105.3 6) Jimmy Garoppolo 7) Deshaun Watson 99.2 8) Aaron Rogers 95.4

For your Capping considerations.

Thank You OccamsRazor!!!! I am always open for constructive comments.. Best of luck to you in the playoff games.

MR.HARRYtheHAT · Jan 10, 2020

Reply To My Good Friend Brooklynworm [Minnesota have the better defense than the Niners of late?]]

BROOKLYNWORM said:
The rushing game, of any playoff team , now looms large on getting to the Super Bowl. If you can't stop the run, and you are unable to estabish the run on offense, you will be eliminated. Harry The Hat, this is a great post, explaining that the Passing game isn't the main factor anymore in the post season. Baltimore, and KC have huge value and one will represent the AFC. As for the NFC . Watch Minnesota. They may upset SF. They have the better defense than the Niners of late, and besides relying most of the time on the rushing game, they now have 3 receivers healthy, and ready to go.BW

Injuries hampered the San Francisco defense down the stretch but a few key players are expected to return for this contest. Out since Week 9, linebacker Kwon Alexander (pectoral) will help bolster the 49ers run defense that closed the season ranked 17th overall. DE Dee Ford, an edge-rushing specialist who had 6.5 sacks over 10 starts, is also expected back after he missed six games with a hamstring injury.

Brooklynworm Minnesota was 4-4 on the road this season and three of the losses were by seven points or more. A huge key for the 49ers is protecting Garoppolo from Minnesota edge-rushers Danielle Hunter and Everson Griffen. San Francisco has one of the most diverse offensive attacks in the NFL, as 13 players caught TD passes and six players posted a rushing score. Having an extra week of rest, plus time to get healthy, is a decided advantage for San Francisco.Minnesota’s offensive line struggled mightily in a few games, giving Cousins and the passing attack little chance. The quarterback was sacked six times in a 16-6 Week 4 loss in Chicago. The Green Bay Packers clinched the NFC North title in Week 16 when they recorded five sacks and beat the Vikings 23-10. Expect Garoppolo to find George Kittle and Emmanuel Sanders for a handful of big plays against a Minnesota secondary that is the weakness of the Vikings’ defense. Their passing offense on the other hand is notably inconsistent. Quarterback Kirk Cousins aerial attack ranked a meager 23rd in the NFL.

This is my option about the SF defense of what I read Brooklynworm from different media groups about SF defense The 49ers will need to spend a great deal of their game plan focusing on stopping Cook. While the team’s run defense has been suspect in recent weeks, San Francisco’s 2nd ranked overall defense can utilize All-Pro cornerback Richard Sherman to help control opposing receivers Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen, this should allow their front line to stack the box and force the game into Cousins’ hands.Much like their opponent, San Francisco also boasts one of the most dangerous rushing attacks in the sport. While the Saints 4th best run defense would have been a potential nightmare, the Vikings middle-of-the-pack should allow Shanahan’s zone blocking system to thrive.

BROOKLYNWORM · Jan 10, 2020

MR.HARRYtheHAT said:
Injuries hampered the San Francisco defense down the stretch but a few key players are expected to return for this contest. Out since Week 9, linebacker Kwon Alexander (pectoral) will help bolster the 49ers run defense that closed the season ranked 17th overall. DE Dee Ford, an edge-rushing specialist who had 6.5 sacks over 10 starts, is also expected back after he missed six games with a hamstring injury.
Brooklynworm Minnesota was 4-4 on the road this season and three of the losses were by seven points or more. A huge key for the 49ers is protecting Garoppolo from Minnesota edge-rushers Danielle Hunter and Everson Griffen. San Francisco has one of the most diverse offensive attacks in the NFL, as 13 players caught TD passes and six players posted a rushing score. Having an extra week of rest, plus time to get healthy, is a decided advantage for San Francisco.Minnesota’s offensive line struggled mightily in a few games, giving Cousins and the passing attack little chance. The quarterback was sacked six times in a 16-6 Week 4 loss in Chicago. The Green Bay Packers clinched the NFC North title in Week 16 when they recorded five sacks and beat the Vikings 23-10. Expect Garoppolo to find George Kittle and Emmanuel Sanders for a handful of big plays against a Minnesota secondary that is the weakness of the Vikings’ defense. Their passing offense on the other hand is notably inconsistent. Quarterback Kirk Cousins aerial attack ranked a meager 23rd in the NFL.
This is my option about the SF defense of what I read Brooklynworm from different media groups about SF defense The 49ers will need to spend a great deal of their game plan focusing on stopping Cook. While the team’s run defense has been suspect in recent weeks, San Francisco’s 2nd ranked overall defense can utilize All-Pro cornerback Richard Sherman to help control opposing receivers Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen, this should allow their front line to stack the box and force the game into Cousins’ hands.Much like their opponent, San Francisco also boasts one of the most dangerous rushing attacks in the sport. While the Saints 4th best run defense would have been a potential nightmare, the Vikings middle-of-the-pack should allow Shanahan’s zone blocking system to thrive.

Mr. Hat, Now that the Vikings are at full strength both offensively running and passing the football. SF will see a Different look. Instead of running Cook with over 20 carries, they will trust QB Cousins to pass to Diggs, Thielen, and Rudolph. This will force the 49er front seven from stacking the box with 8 defenders.SF has given up a lot of points on defense the last 4 weeks of the regular season.

MR.HARRYtheHAT · Jan 10, 2020

~Joe Osborne's Trends & Stats~Vikings vs 49ers~

~Joe Osborne's Trends & Stats~

Vikings vs 49ers

It’s also important to keep in mind that these short-rest spots between rounds are fairly infrequent lately, with only one taking place over the last five seasons … so, yeah, the Vikings are getting screwed a bit. My second assumption was that maybe both No. 1 seeds typically play on a Saturday like they are this year and maybe it was something related to that, but that’s not the case either as the seeds have been split up quite a bit over the years. In case you’re wondering, No. 1 seeds are 15-5 SU and 8-10-2 ATS in the divisional round over the last 10 years. After going through a few more theories, I ended up settling on the home team trend being more of a coincidence than anything. That’s the case with a lot of trends, so it’s always worth your time to investigate if there’s any logic behind the numbers before you act on them.

Adam Thielen and Dalvin Cook have only played in 10 games together this season. The Vikings averaged 27.9 points in those games and went 7-3 ATS. Their team total is set at 17.5 vs the 49ers, who have allowed at least 20 points in eight of their last nine games.

The total has gone OVER in five of the Vikings' last six games on the road. (Avg combined score: 55.83)

Over their last three games, the 49ers rank last in opponent red-zone TD percentage.

The Vikings are fourth in this span. At home, the 49ers rank a surprising 27th.

The Vikings are 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.

The Vikings are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after consecutive ATS wins.

The 49ers are 5-19-1 ATS in their last 25 games as favorite.

The Vikings are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games on the road vs the 49ers.

*****The Vikings have a horrendous history playing on the road in January, going 3-14 SU and 4-13 ATS since 1988. Specific to games played outdoors in January during this span, they are 2-11 SU and ATS. Both wins came in Green Bay. Kirk Cousins doesn't have a reputation as a big-game guy but played well, completing 19 of 31 for 242 yards and that touchdown. Cousins had been 2-10 as a starting QB in his career against teams that made the playoffs and 3-11-1 vs. teams that entered the game with a winning record.

woodypaige · Jan 10, 2020

Harry, I really like that we are on the same page

xflrejects · Jan 11, 2020

Woody... no pun intended?

juice9 · Jan 11, 2020

Gotta love the respect shown in this thread as it is well deserved. I enjoy the educational talk back in forth.

MR.HARRYtheHAT · Jan 11, 2020

Minnesota and San Francisco might be the most evenly matched teams in the postseason

woody paige said:
Harry, I really like that we are on the same page

This game will be decided with in 7 points or maybe less, Minnesota and San Francisco might be the most evenly matched teams in the postseason, both with dominant run games and defensive line play. And while the Vikings are coming off a 26-20 OT win in the wild-card round, every 49ers game since Week 13 has been decided by a play in the final 10 seconds, including three on the last play. That trend continues Saturday with a nail-biting finish.

Mobile quarterbacks such as R.Wilson, L. Jackson and K Murray have proved difficult for the Niners' bolstered pass rush, but the Vikings' Kirk Cousins doesn't boast that same athleticism, rushing for 63 yards on 31 attempts this season. The well-rested Niners, who hope to have Ford back from quad and hamstring injuries, should have a chance to pressure Cousins for most of the game. Which means the real key will be how their front holds up against Minnesota's Dalvin Cook centric run game, a group that finished sixth in the league in rushing yards during the regular season.

After a rough start, the offense finally got it together in Week 5 and hasn't looked back since. The Vikings discovered they were at their best as a run-first team (second-highest designed run percentage, behind the Ravens) predicated off a zone blocking scheme, which in turn opened up play-action for Cousins. He had an NFL-best 13 passing touchdowns off play-action and averaged 9.6 yards per attempt. By the end of the regular season, the Vikings were able to boast a 3,000-yard passer, 1,000-yard rusher (Cook) and 1,000-yard receiver (Diggs).

Bobby Lancer DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders:49ers 27. Vikings 20

NFL Capper Sports Analyst Rob Vinciletti DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders: 49ers 27. Vikings 21

B&Rs Expert Consensus Rating DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders:SF, 66.1% (by an average of 5.5 points)

Harv Rubenstein NFL Capper DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders: 49ers 28. Vikings 21

Trev Rogers NFL CapperDVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders: 49ers 24. Vikings 20

Jerry Nyles NFL CapperDVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders: 49ers Vikings 20

Kyle Hunter NFL Capper DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders 49ers 28. Vikings 24

Janus NFL Analyst DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders: 49ers 21. Vikings 17

Harold Windham NFL Analyst DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders 49ers 27. Vikings 20

Harry Danerian[TheHat] NFL Capper DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders 49ers 24. Vikings 20

Sal Limonti NFL Capper DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders 49ers 28. Vikings 21

Billy Edwards NFL Analyst DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders 49ers 27. Vikings 21

~Best of luck on the playoffs my good friend Woody Paige~cheersgif

~My Early Bets Divisional Playoffs Betting Info~

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