My 4 point favorite theory is really starting to look like the real deal

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The Truth
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Now the Giants lose to the 4 point favorite curse. Who will be next? Philly if they get to -4? Pitt if they fall to minus 4? Think about it. Now so far this year we have a trend folks. This is the fifth 4 point fave in the last few weeks to lose (including the big CFB bowls). Something about that line. Vegas is telling us something. :wink:
 
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Florida was a 4 point favorite in the biggest bowl and they cruised.
Cruised? :think2:

The score that covered the spread occurred with 3:30 to go in the 4th quarter.
In my book that is far far from cruising.
They were also open to a potential backdoor cover if Oklahoma could have gotten a TD with their last possession, either way not a "cruise" game.


This trend is definitely something to keep an eye on. Good stuff Bavaro.
 

I can handicap circles around your ass!!
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This trend is worthless. It would not hold any merit long term.
 

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Back in the mid 90's in the NFL, dogs getting 3 points were hit a 80% clip, I cant remember the year exactly but I never seen that trend again, it seems sometimes there are trends like that but dont work past the current year.
 

The Great Govenor of California
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look at 9.5 point dogs on the moneyline college and pro. I know people that bet that only. Most recently UTah UTes and AZ. but their is a very long list. It is a 20 yearold angle, not many know about.
 

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look at 9.5 point dogs on the moneyline college and pro. I know people that bet that only. Most recently UTah UTes and AZ. but their is a very long list. It is a 20 yearold angle, not many know about.

Im assuming thats a closing number?
 
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I had Florida -3. If you bet the game early when it comes out if you like it, instead of waiting for it to be bet up before the game, you don't have to worry about the 4 point curse.
 

Maestro
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You're right, no one had 4

I have to disagree, many people around here had -3/-4

-if you bet Florida 2 days before kick off you could of grabbed -3 (-115).
-Day before kick off you could of had -4(-110)

Day of game is where you saw the line go up to -6.5 back down to -4.5
 

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I have to disagree, many people around here had -3/-4

-if you bet Florida 2 days before kick off you could of grabbed -3 (-115).
-Day before kick off you could of had -4(-110)

Day of game is where you saw the line go up to -6.5 back down to -4.5

4 was also available just before game time as well.
 

The Truth
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It very well may not be a true trend to follow, but it is definitely something I have noticed. Also, I remember it holding up with the one game the Browns won this year on the road at Buffalo I think it was Buff-4...I remember someone warning of that line that night. It says to me that the cappers think it will be close but not that close, and could go the other way. Either way, coulda, shoulda, woulda, it is all speculation, and I am certainly not trying to get trendy, but I do pay attention to numbers very well , and for what its worht, that 4 sticks out. INteresting fact someone posted on this thread about the +3's hitting at an 80 pct clip and the +9.5's....
 

Porn Star
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Cruised? :think2:

The score that covered the spread occurred with 3:30 to go in the 4th quarter.
In my book that is far far from cruising.
They were also open to a potential backdoor cover if Oklahoma could have gotten a TD with their last possession, either way not a "cruise" game.


This trend is definitely something to keep an eye on. Good stuff Bavaro.

Scoreboard, bitch. I covered by 7, so I was never sweating it. That's what you get for betting into a tight line, square. Do your homework and pound that fucker at -3 like I did, and then you aren't whining in a chat room a few days after the fact.
 

The Truth
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The ultimate litmus test on the 4 point underdog trend this thread started with is this weekend! Philly is favored by 4 as of right now. I already happened to love arizona, now I may just have to drop an extra dime on them now to put some scratch where my theory is!! BOL this weekend all.
 

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Now the Giants lose to the 4 point favorite curse. Who will be next? Philly if they get to -4? Pitt if they fall to minus 4? Think about it. Now so far this year we have a trend folks. This is the fifth 4 point fave in the last few weeks to lose (including the big CFB bowls). Something about that line. Vegas is telling us something. :wink:

That's the gayist shit I've ever heard. Let me give you some advice. Grit's and Gravy once rolled 77 7's in a row. That mother fucker then goes on to crap out on the 4th roll of the World Series of Dice after going all in! That proves that trends are shit. The only trend that's worth a damn under that senario is that Quill's Dinkins is going to rob the game. Always! And if you want to take Leonard Washingtons money, you are going to have to shoot his ass.
 

The Truth
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That's the gayist shit I've ever heard. Let me give you some advice. Grit's and Gravy once rolled 77 7's in a row. That mother fucker then goes on to crap out on the 4th roll of the World Series of Dice after going all in! That proves that trends are shit. The only trend that's worth a damn under that senario is that Quill's Dinkins is going to rob the game. Always! And if you want to take Leonard Washingtons money, you are going to have to shoot his ass.

See you don't even pay attention you dumb fuck. Grits and Gravy crapped out because it was the FOURTH roll of the world series. Get it? my 4 point trend continues with the number 4 even contributing to your shitty ass story and fucking grits up! :missingte

Stick to dice Sanford. :finger:
 

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See you don't even pay attention you dumb fuck. Grits and Gravy crapped out because it was the FOURTH roll of the world series. Get it? my 4 point trend continues with the number 4 even contributing to your shitty ass story and fucking grits up! :missingte

Stick to dice Sanford. :finger:

No you piece of shit, he crapped out b/c he went ALL IN. Never change your betting habits. You are saying that AZ is a lock at +4. Philly will win by atleast 7. After you suck the 4th cock in one night, do say that this guy is the one? That shitty ass story made your shitty ass thread bitch!
 

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