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Moneyzach's MLB season Long Picks
- Thread starter moneyzach
- Start date
Thursday May 12, 2011 Results
Dbacks---Hudson +117, L -1 unit
indians---Masterson -108, L -1 unit
rays/indians over 7.5 -115, W +.87
Dodgers/pirates over 7.5 -115, PPD
Royals/ Yanks over 9.5 -105, .95
yesterday: 2-2, -.18 units
Total: 6-7, .9078
***I'm treading water. Thank god for the NATS winning 2 days ago at +190 or i'd be down a lot more!***
Dbacks---Hudson +117, L -1 unit
indians---Masterson -108, L -1 unit
rays/indians over 7.5 -115, W +.87
Dodgers/pirates over 7.5 -115, PPD
Royals/ Yanks over 9.5 -105, .95
yesterday: 2-2, -.18 units
Total: 6-7, .9078
***I'm treading water. Thank god for the NATS winning 2 days ago at +190 or i'd be down a lot more!***
Friday (the 13th), May 2011
RedSoxs (Bucholtz)- 107
Rockies (DeLaRosa) -160
Reds (arroyo) -110
Royals (hochevar) +172
Giants/Cubs over 7 -115
Analysis
Redsoxs- I also like the over but only wanted to bet 1. I'm just not buying into Colon's rebirth (3.86 not bad for AL east). And the redsoxs lineup seems to hit RHP better than LHP. I think Bucholtz has an average game. RedSox 6, Yankees 5
Rockies- A month ago, this game prob would be in the-190 area. And i like taking the rockies at home coming off a loss.
Reds- 2 very good hitting teams with 2 above-average pitchers (although Lohse's numbers are real nice this year). I think its battle of bullpens and give edge to Reds at home
Royals- do I think they are going to win? Prob not. But I like the value. Not big on pitchers coming off a no-no.
giants/cubs over 7- I prob lose this one because all the numbers indicate that I win. i like the cubbies lineup against lefties although Pena is penciled in at bottom of order.
RedSoxs (Bucholtz)- 107
Rockies (DeLaRosa) -160
Reds (arroyo) -110
Royals (hochevar) +172
Giants/Cubs over 7 -115
Analysis
Redsoxs- I also like the over but only wanted to bet 1. I'm just not buying into Colon's rebirth (3.86 not bad for AL east). And the redsoxs lineup seems to hit RHP better than LHP. I think Bucholtz has an average game. RedSox 6, Yankees 5
Rockies- A month ago, this game prob would be in the-190 area. And i like taking the rockies at home coming off a loss.
Reds- 2 very good hitting teams with 2 above-average pitchers (although Lohse's numbers are real nice this year). I think its battle of bullpens and give edge to Reds at home
Royals- do I think they are going to win? Prob not. But I like the value. Not big on pitchers coming off a no-no.
giants/cubs over 7- I prob lose this one because all the numbers indicate that I win. i like the cubbies lineup against lefties although Pena is penciled in at bottom of order.
Friday (the 13th), May 2011
Added:
Pirates/Brewers over 8 -110
I think Brewers score 6+ with Pirates scraping 3
With:
RedSoxs (Bucholtz)- 107
Rockies (DeLaRosa) -160
Reds (arroyo) -110
Royals (hochevar) +172
Giants/Cubs over 7 -115, W +.87
Analysis
Redsoxs- I also like the over but only wanted to bet 1. I'm just not buying into Colon's rebirth (3.86 not bad for AL east). And the redsoxs lineup seems to hit RHP better than LHP. I think Bucholtz has an average game. RedSox 6, Yankees 5
Rockies- A month ago, this game prob would be in the-190 area. And i like taking the rockies at home coming off a loss.
Reds- 2 very good hitting teams with 2 above-average pitchers (although Lohse's numbers are real nice this year). I think its battle of bullpens and give edge to Reds at home
Royals- do I think they are going to win? Prob not. But I like the value. Not big on pitchers coming off a no-no.
giants/cubs over 7- I prob lose this one because all the numbers indicate that I win. i like the cubbies lineup against lefties although Pena is penciled in at bottom of order.
Added:
Pirates/Brewers over 8 -110
I think Brewers score 6+ with Pirates scraping 3
With:
RedSoxs (Bucholtz)- 107
Rockies (DeLaRosa) -160
Reds (arroyo) -110
Royals (hochevar) +172
Giants/Cubs over 7 -115, W +.87
Analysis
Redsoxs- I also like the over but only wanted to bet 1. I'm just not buying into Colon's rebirth (3.86 not bad for AL east). And the redsoxs lineup seems to hit RHP better than LHP. I think Bucholtz has an average game. RedSox 6, Yankees 5
Rockies- A month ago, this game prob would be in the-190 area. And i like taking the rockies at home coming off a loss.
Reds- 2 very good hitting teams with 2 above-average pitchers (although Lohse's numbers are real nice this year). I think its battle of bullpens and give edge to Reds at home
Royals- do I think they are going to win? Prob not. But I like the value. Not big on pitchers coming off a no-no.
giants/cubs over 7- I prob lose this one because all the numbers indicate that I win. i like the cubbies lineup against lefties although Pena is penciled in at bottom of order.
Saturday, May 14 ,2011
Royals (Francis) +145
Marlins (sanchez) -133
Dbacks/Dodgers over 6.5, -115
angels (haren) -117
Giants/Cubs over 8, 100
Pirates/Brewers over 8.5, 100
Quick Analysis
Royals- I think this is a 50/50 game. Brad Penny does not deserve that line. I'm thinking about the over on this one.
Marlins- Sanchez has great stuff. I think he holds the Nats to <3 and that should be enough to win
Dbacks/Dodgers over 6.5- I cant believe the runline is so low! Rookie pitcher making his first start against 4 ERA Billingsley. Dbacks havent scored the last 7 games but thats a combo of Petco, the Giants top 3, and Kershaw. I like the over a lot.
Angels- I'll take a sub 2 era vs 5.00 plus @ a -117 line anyday.
Giants/Cubs over 8- Davis is making his first start. I like how giants stack lineup against lefties. Vogelsongs whole career has been a disappointment so not buying his good start
Pirates/Brewers over 8.5- I missed this over yesterday but I'm back for more. Brewers powerful hitting and worst bullpen is enough to sell me on overs everytime they go against an average RHP.
Royals (Francis) +145
Marlins (sanchez) -133
Dbacks/Dodgers over 6.5, -115
angels (haren) -117
Giants/Cubs over 8, 100
Pirates/Brewers over 8.5, 100
Quick Analysis
Royals- I think this is a 50/50 game. Brad Penny does not deserve that line. I'm thinking about the over on this one.
Marlins- Sanchez has great stuff. I think he holds the Nats to <3 and that should be enough to win
Dbacks/Dodgers over 6.5- I cant believe the runline is so low! Rookie pitcher making his first start against 4 ERA Billingsley. Dbacks havent scored the last 7 games but thats a combo of Petco, the Giants top 3, and Kershaw. I like the over a lot.
Angels- I'll take a sub 2 era vs 5.00 plus @ a -117 line anyday.
Giants/Cubs over 8- Davis is making his first start. I like how giants stack lineup against lefties. Vogelsongs whole career has been a disappointment so not buying his good start
Pirates/Brewers over 8.5- I missed this over yesterday but I'm back for more. Brewers powerful hitting and worst bullpen is enough to sell me on overs everytime they go against an average RHP.
Saturday, May 14 ,2011
Its always nice starting the day off with a winner. Thank you Anibal Sanchez!
I'm adding another play(s):
A's (ross) -121
WhiteSoxs/A's over 7
Analysis:
Originally, I was only going to jump on the total when it dropped to 7. And then after more research, I really like the A's in this one. A's are not flashy offensively, but they work counts and drive pitch counts up quickly. With WhiteSoxs bullpen getting hammered, I like A's and the over. Prediction: A's 6 WhiteSoxs 3
Royals (Francis) +145
Marlins (sanchez) -133, w +.75
Dbacks/Dodgers over 6.5, -115
angels (haren) -117
Giants/Cubs over 8, 100
Pirates/Brewers over 8.5, 100
Quick Analysis
Royals- I think this is a 50/50 game. Brad Penny does not deserve that line. I'm thinking about the over on this one.
Marlins- Sanchez has great stuff. I think he holds the Nats to <3 and that should be enough to win
Dbacks/Dodgers over 6.5- I cant believe the runline is so low! Rookie pitcher making his first start against 4 ERA Billingsley. Dbacks havent scored the last 7 games but thats a combo of Petco, the Giants top 3, and Kershaw. I like the over a lot.
Angels- I'll take a sub 2 era vs 5.00 plus @ a -117 line anyday.
Giants/Cubs over 8- Davis is making his first start. I like how giants stack lineup against lefties. Vogelsongs whole career has been a disappointment so not buying his good start
Pirates/Brewers over 8.5- I missed this over yesterday but I'm back for more. Brewers powerful hitting and worst bullpen is enough to sell me on overs everytime they go against an average RHP.
Its always nice starting the day off with a winner. Thank you Anibal Sanchez!
I'm adding another play(s):
A's (ross) -121
WhiteSoxs/A's over 7
Analysis:
Originally, I was only going to jump on the total when it dropped to 7. And then after more research, I really like the A's in this one. A's are not flashy offensively, but they work counts and drive pitch counts up quickly. With WhiteSoxs bullpen getting hammered, I like A's and the over. Prediction: A's 6 WhiteSoxs 3
Royals (Francis) +145
Marlins (sanchez) -133, w +.75
Dbacks/Dodgers over 6.5, -115
angels (haren) -117
Giants/Cubs over 8, 100
Pirates/Brewers over 8.5, 100
Quick Analysis
Royals- I think this is a 50/50 game. Brad Penny does not deserve that line. I'm thinking about the over on this one.
Marlins- Sanchez has great stuff. I think he holds the Nats to <3 and that should be enough to win
Dbacks/Dodgers over 6.5- I cant believe the runline is so low! Rookie pitcher making his first start against 4 ERA Billingsley. Dbacks havent scored the last 7 games but thats a combo of Petco, the Giants top 3, and Kershaw. I like the over a lot.
Angels- I'll take a sub 2 era vs 5.00 plus @ a -117 line anyday.
Giants/Cubs over 8- Davis is making his first start. I like how giants stack lineup against lefties. Vogelsongs whole career has been a disappointment so not buying his good start
Pirates/Brewers over 8.5- I missed this over yesterday but I'm back for more. Brewers powerful hitting and worst bullpen is enough to sell me on overs everytime they go against an average RHP.
Saturday, May 14 ,2011
Adding:
Redsoxs (Beckett) +130
I think the game is a toss up so going with the value here. RedSoxs have been struggling against LHP's this year so little worried about that. But, I think Redsoxs work the pitch count and I dont trust Yankees middle relief. Beckett gives up a few runs but keeps them in the game. RedSoxs 5 Yankees 4
Others:
A's (ross) -121, +.83
WhiteSoxs/A's over 7, +.91
Royals (Francis) +145, L -1
Marlins (sanchez) -133, w +.75
Dbacks/Dodgers over 6.5, -115
angels (haren) -117, +.85
Giants/Cubs over 8, 100
Pirates/Brewers over 8.5, 100, +1
Adding:
Redsoxs (Beckett) +130
I think the game is a toss up so going with the value here. RedSoxs have been struggling against LHP's this year so little worried about that. But, I think Redsoxs work the pitch count and I dont trust Yankees middle relief. Beckett gives up a few runs but keeps them in the game. RedSoxs 5 Yankees 4
Others:
A's (ross) -121, +.83
WhiteSoxs/A's over 7, +.91
Royals (Francis) +145, L -1
Marlins (sanchez) -133, w +.75
Dbacks/Dodgers over 6.5, -115
angels (haren) -117, +.85
Giants/Cubs over 8, 100
Pirates/Brewers over 8.5, 100, +1
Saturday, May 14, 2011 Results
RedSox (Beckett) +130, W +1.3
A's (ross) -121, W +.83
WhiteSoxs/A's over 7, W +.91
Royals (Francis) +145, L -1
Marlins (sanchez) -133, w +.75
Dbacks/Dodgers over 6.5, -115, L -1
angels (haren) -117, W +.85
Giants/Cubs over 8, 100, L -1
Pirates/Brewers over 8.5, 100, W+1
Saturday: 6-3, +2.64 Units
Overall: 16-12, +3.09 Units
Return on investment (risk): 3.09/28 = 11.04%
RedSox (Beckett) +130, W +1.3
A's (ross) -121, W +.83
WhiteSoxs/A's over 7, W +.91
Royals (Francis) +145, L -1
Marlins (sanchez) -133, w +.75
Dbacks/Dodgers over 6.5, -115, L -1
angels (haren) -117, W +.85
Giants/Cubs over 8, 100, L -1
Pirates/Brewers over 8.5, 100, W+1
Saturday: 6-3, +2.64 Units
Overall: 16-12, +3.09 Units
Return on investment (risk): 3.09/28 = 11.04%
May 15, 2011
Saturday: 6-3, +2.64 Units
Overall: 16-12, +3.09 Units
Return on investment (risk): 3.09/28 = 11.04%
Cardinals (Carpeneter) 118
s (Davies), +170, PPD
Rangers (Wilson), -142
Pirates (Correia), +154
Rays (sonnastine), -131
Rockies (Hammel), -136
Rockies/Padres under 8.5, -105
Angels/Rangers over 8.5, -105
WhiteSox/A's under 7, -105
Quick analysis
Cardinals- I think they get to wood early today and not get swept. Carpenter has one of his better games of the year.
Rangers- I like the rangers and the over in this one. Coming off a 1 run loss where they couldnt get to Haren, I see their bats waking up against Santana early.
Prediction: Rangers 8 Angels 3
Rockies- I took the Rockies and the under in this one. Hammels throws 7 innings and holds Padres to <2 runs. Latos and the Padres bp keep it close but not enough. Rockies 4 Padres 2
Pirates- My upset pick today. Greinke gets that line (and I got it at a bad line) as it increases stictly on his name. Correia has a 1.56 era on the road.
Rays- Rays take the series because they are a better team in all aspects.
WhiteSox/A's- Took the under because big ballpark, pitchers keep walks down, and i think Cahill continues dominance.
Saturday: 6-3, +2.64 Units
Overall: 16-12, +3.09 Units
Return on investment (risk): 3.09/28 = 11.04%
Cardinals (Carpeneter) 118
s (Davies), +170, PPD
Rangers (Wilson), -142
Pirates (Correia), +154
Rays (sonnastine), -131
Rockies (Hammel), -136
Rockies/Padres under 8.5, -105
Angels/Rangers over 8.5, -105
WhiteSox/A's under 7, -105
Quick analysis
Cardinals- I think they get to wood early today and not get swept. Carpenter has one of his better games of the year.
Rangers- I like the rangers and the over in this one. Coming off a 1 run loss where they couldnt get to Haren, I see their bats waking up against Santana early.
Prediction: Rangers 8 Angels 3
Rockies- I took the Rockies and the under in this one. Hammels throws 7 innings and holds Padres to <2 runs. Latos and the Padres bp keep it close but not enough. Rockies 4 Padres 2
Pirates- My upset pick today. Greinke gets that line (and I got it at a bad line) as it increases stictly on his name. Correia has a 1.56 era on the road.
Rays- Rays take the series because they are a better team in all aspects.
WhiteSox/A's- Took the under because big ballpark, pitchers keep walks down, and i think Cahill continues dominance.
Tough Day today:
Hope i can rebound with:
RedSoxs (Lester) -134
RedSox/yankees over 8.5 -120
RedSoxs jump on Garcia early. Adrian is in a grove and can carry a team single handedly through stretches (padres last year)
Cardinals (Carpeneter) 118, L -1
s (Davies), +170, PPD
Rangers (Wilson), -142, W +.7
Pirates (Correia), +154, L -1
Rays (sonnastine), -131, L-1
Rockies (Hammel), -136, L-1
Rockies/Padres under 8.5, -105, L-1
Angels/Rangers over 8.5, -105, W .95
WhiteSox/A's under 7, -105
Today: 2-5, -3.35 Units
Overall: 18-17, -.26 Units
Hope i can rebound with:
RedSoxs (Lester) -134
RedSox/yankees over 8.5 -120
RedSoxs jump on Garcia early. Adrian is in a grove and can carry a team single handedly through stretches (padres last year)
Cardinals (Carpeneter) 118, L -1
s (Davies), +170, PPD
Rangers (Wilson), -142, W +.7
Pirates (Correia), +154, L -1
Rays (sonnastine), -131, L-1
Rockies (Hammel), -136, L-1
Rockies/Padres under 8.5, -105, L-1
Angels/Rangers over 8.5, -105, W .95
WhiteSox/A's under 7, -105
Today: 2-5, -3.35 Units
Overall: 18-17, -.26 Units
Yesterday: 4-5, -1.77 Units
Overall: 20-17, 1.32 Units
RedSoxs (Lester) -134, W +.75
RedSox/yankees over 8.5 -120, W +.83
Cardinals (Carpeneter) 118, L -1
s (Davies), +170, PPD
Rangers (Wilson), -142, W +.7
Pirates (Correia), +154, L -1
Rays (sonnastine), -131, L-1
Rockies (Hammel), -136, L-1
Rockies/Padres under 8.5, -105, L-1
Angels/Rangers over 8.5, -105, W .95
WhiteSox/A's under 7, -105
Overall: 20-17, 1.32 Units
RedSoxs (Lester) -134, W +.75
RedSox/yankees over 8.5 -120, W +.83
Cardinals (Carpeneter) 118, L -1
s (Davies), +170, PPD
Rangers (Wilson), -142, W +.7
Pirates (Correia), +154, L -1
Rays (sonnastine), -131, L-1
Rockies (Hammel), -136, L-1
Rockies/Padres under 8.5, -105, L-1
Angels/Rangers over 8.5, -105, W .95
WhiteSox/A's under 7, -105
