Money Line Magic

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While it is difficult to lay big money line numbers I have found small two or three team parlays on the money line to not only be profitable.. but extremely reliable streams of Saturday revenue. And here are three money line trends that STAND OUT this weekend.

FREE PICK - MONEY LINE MAGIC - special to Who2beton.com and TheRX.com by Tradeline Sports and Tony Finn

(329) DUKE vs. (330) MIAMI
Lean: MIAMI on the money line.
While the Hurricane's have been horribly inconsistent this season - e.g. their home loss to Virginia last Saturday - there are strong trends that point to them winning on Saturday but only on the money line. Fading a road team (Blue Devils) that are coming off a loss against a conference foe against an opponent (Hurricanes) coming off a upset loss as a double digit home favorite has been a 93% proposition over the last 20 college football seasons. The straight-up, or money line record in this situation, is 25-2. It is the first time the bias has presented itself this season. I actually like Duke and the points this weekend, but the trend stands out.

Take Miami -750


(363) ARIZONA ST vs. (364) UCLA
Lean: UCLA on the money line.
After getting run off the field in a weekday Pac-12 contest in Arizona nearly two weeks ago the Bruins have a home contest as an underdog for the second straight week. UCLA took the conference win 31-14 over California as +4 point underdogs Saturday night. The oddsmakers opened this Saturday night's contest with the Sun Devils giving UCLA 10 points -- a number that is currently at 8.5. However, the Bruins offer substantial value on the money line at +260 vs. ASU.

Backing a home team (UCLA) that has a winning percentage between .450 and .550 on the season coming off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog has cashed at a 30-5 (86%) clip over the last 10 campaigns. The average money line (+132) in this situation is much lower than what the Bruins currently represent and the home team wins by an average of nearly 8 points in this situation. The trend is 1-0 this season.

I suggest you simply take UCLA and the points at home but for value purposes a play on the ML +260, too, could offer substantial profit.


(339) KANSAS vs. (340) IOWA ST
Lean: IOWA ST on the money line.
The Cyclones are coming off a huge road win against Texas Tech -- who was obviously suffering from an Sooner hangover - and backing a home team that averages between 140 and 199 yards rushing per game against a defense that has allowed an average of 230 yards or more per game on the season in conference play has been a 94% proposition on the money line. The trend is 33-2 since 1992 and is 0-0 this season.

Iowa State -550
 

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