YTD: 13-14, -2.4 units
UA Little Rock +7, -115 (bought ½) @ MTSU 1 unit
<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
ffice:smarttags" /><st1:City w:st="on"><st1
lace w:st="on">Little Rock</st1lace></st1:City> backcourt matches up very well with Blue Raiders guards and matches up reasonably well with the front court too. If you only read the statistics of these teams, you’d think MTSU has a decided advantage. But UALR has played two top five teams, Ga Tech and Ok State and another top 20 team, <st1lace w:st="on"><st1
laceName w:st="on">Miss.</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">State</st1laceType></st1lace>, on the road. Such games against defensive powerhouses like those tends to badly skew the stats. MTSU has fared well against its schedule, but don’t see such significant advantages in the individual matchups that lead me to think that this one won’t go to the wire. Sure, UALR could shoot poorly like it did on the road at SMS, but such is life in college hoops. Some times road teams shoot blanks. But this MTSU team seems to have trouble closing teams out. They have had some decent leads this season, but haven’t beaten a board team by this spread all year. Don’t think they do it here either against a veteran UALR team that has the confidence borne out of two SU wins last year and borne out of four straight SU W’s and covers in 5 of the last 6 in this matchup.
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>
<st1lace w:st="on"><st1:State w:st="on">Oklahoma</st1:State></st1lace> -3, -121 vs. UConn (bought ½) 1 unit
Think <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Conn</st1lace></st1:State> getting a little too much credit from the linesmakers/public based on its rep. This <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Conn.</st1lace></st1:State> team just doesn’t have the inside or outside scorers it has had in previous seasons and it has struggled to find the good shots on just too many possessions. In two road games, <st1:State w:st="on">Conn </st1:State>has shot 35% and averaged 62ppg….and those games were against Mass and <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Georgetown</st1lace></st1:City> teams that are nowhere near OU’s defensive class. OU has held opponents to 38% (20% from trey) at home, while shooting 48% (38% from trey) themselves. That speaks to its typical Kelvin Sampson tough defense and good offensive balance. These teams have exchanged double digit home wins the last two years and I think they do it again here.
<o></o>
<o></o>
UA Little Rock +7, -115 (bought ½) @ MTSU 1 unit
<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
ffice:smarttags" /><st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Little Rock</st1lace></st1:City> backcourt matches up very well with Blue Raiders guards and matches up reasonably well with the front court too. If you only read the statistics of these teams, you’d think MTSU has a decided advantage. But UALR has played two top five teams, Ga Tech and Ok State and another top 20 team, <st1lace w:st="on"><st1laceName w:st="on">Miss.</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">State</st1laceType></st1lace>, on the road. Such games against defensive powerhouses like those tends to badly skew the stats. MTSU has fared well against its schedule, but don’t see such significant advantages in the individual matchups that lead me to think that this one won’t go to the wire. Sure, UALR could shoot poorly like it did on the road at SMS, but such is life in college hoops. Some times road teams shoot blanks. But this MTSU team seems to have trouble closing teams out. They have had some decent leads this season, but haven’t beaten a board team by this spread all year. Don’t think they do it here either against a veteran UALR team that has the confidence borne out of two SU wins last year and borne out of four straight SU W’s and covers in 5 of the last 6 in this matchup.<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
fficeffice" /><o></o><st1
lace w:st="on"><st1:State w:st="on">Oklahoma</st1:State></st1lace> -3, -121 vs. UConn (bought ½) 1 unitThink <st1:State w:st="on"><st1
lace w:st="on">Conn</st1lace></st1:State> getting a little too much credit from the linesmakers/public based on its rep. This <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Conn.</st1lace></st1:State> team just doesn’t have the inside or outside scorers it has had in previous seasons and it has struggled to find the good shots on just too many possessions. In two road games, <st1:State w:st="on">Conn </st1:State>has shot 35% and averaged 62ppg….and those games were against Mass and <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Georgetown</st1lace></st1:City> teams that are nowhere near OU’s defensive class. OU has held opponents to 38% (20% from trey) at home, while shooting 48% (38% from trey) themselves. That speaks to its typical Kelvin Sampson tough defense and good offensive balance. These teams have exchanged double digit home wins the last two years and I think they do it again here.<o
></o><o
></o>
Last edited:
