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Market update


8:15 p.m. ET: New York Giants (2-10) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-7)

This line opened with the Eagles listed as 8.5-point home favorites. A slight majority of bets, along with some early sharp action, came down on Philadelphia. This pushed the line up to the key number of 10 across the market. That's when you saw some sharp buyback on the Giants plus 10, dropping the line back down to 9.5. Divisional road dogs are 21-14 ATS (60%) this season. Road dogs off a loss are 39-23 ATS (63%). Both teams are 4-8 ATS on the season.

Sharps have also gotten down on the total. It opened at 47 and has fallen to 45.5 despite a slight majority of bets taking the over. This signals sharp reverse line movement on the under.
 

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Primetime unders are 26-16 (62%) this season and December divisional unders 45 or higher are 60% since 2003 according to Bet Labs Sports..

The forecast calls for 13-15 MPH winds and possibly some rain. Windy unders 10 MPH or more in conference games are 21-11 (66%) this year and 57% since 2003.
 

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Weather update

Light rain/drizzle; mild temperatures in the 50s and a wind sustained at 20-30 MPH
 

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The Giants are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games and they’re 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a road dog.

The Eagles haven’t covered the spread in their last 3 games and are 4-8 ATS this season.

Since 2003, teams with a losing record favored by more than a touchdown have gone 64-85-1 (43%) ATS
 

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In December or later, Eli Manning has been the most profitable QB since 2003

49-33-1 (60%)
 

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South Point

"Tonight's game beside a little money on Philly is a slow sale, might be hard to say give me Philly -9.5 or even harder give me Eli +9.5. We usually have some big carry over on Monday night but not this week."
 

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Caesars Palace


“Really slow game tonight. The air came out of the bubble with last night’s Rams victory, public play slightly favors Philly tonight. The best result for the house is an Eagles win without covering.”

While there were several line moves, the number has stuck at Eagles -9.5 since Wednesday.

Caesars books opened the total at 46.5, and it peaked Tuesday at 47, before dropping as low as 44.5 Sunday. The total was at 45 this afternoon.

“The public is slightly leaning Under, but not much in it either way. There was early sharp money on the Under, with the potential for bad weather driving the total down.”
 

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Wager Street

Sharp Action

Eagles (small)
Under (small)
 

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Global market

Public slightly favoring Philadelphia but pretty split

Sharp money has been active at very low levels on Giants +9.5

On the total, public split again but sharp money is favoring the Under down to Under 45.5
 

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2019 ATS

Home favorites ... 48-72-5

4.5 or more ... 24-43-4
 

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Awesome Info NYK. Thank you for posting this.
 

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PointsBet Sportsbook


Eagles (-9) ... 54% $$ ... 52% Tix
 

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William Hill


Giants (+9.5) ... 57% $$ ... 58% Tix

Eagles (-440) ... 86% $$ ... 23% Tix

Under 45 ... 63% $$ ... 53% Tix
 

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NYK did not have a chance to thank you yesterday. your posting of info is very much appreciated.

It gives me something more to consider when choosing my final bets.

Thank you
 

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Bookmaker


Giants (+9) ... 51% $$

The Total has been played evenly, but sharp action has made the total 45.5 from 47.5
 

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​Excellent info. Thanks for posting it.
 

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MGM Race & Sports

One bettor ... Parlays:

$100,000 Eagles -500 moneyline / Over 45 ... To win $129,000

$70,000 Eagles -500 moneyline / Over 45 ... Over 45 NYJ / BAL Thursday ... To win $230,000
 

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