Monday...{{{{{College football championship}}}}}...{{{{{All sports}}}}}.....(((((In Game)))))

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What a great day to wager, good luck today.

My final pick
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No. 1 Georgia and No. 3 TCU will square off in the College Football Playoff National Championship at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles on Monday night to decide this seaon's national championship. The Bulldogs are coming off of a 42-41 win over No. 4 Ohio State in the Peach Bowl semifinal, and the Horned Frogs are still surging after stunning No. 2 Michigan 51-45 in the Fiesta Bowl semifinal.
Georgia is looking to become the first repeat national champions of the CFP era and the first since Alabama accomplished the feat in 2011-12. Led by Heisman Trophy finalist Stetson Bennett IV at quarterback, the Dawgs have evolved into one of the most balanced and efficient offenses in the country. The Frogs sent a player to New York as a Heisman finalist as well. Max Duggan, who didn't even start the season as TCU's No. 1 signal-caller, has emerged into one of the most dynamic players in the country.
What should you expect in Los Angeles on Monday night? Let's break down the game and make picks straight up and against the spread.

Bulldogs have evolved outside: Heading into the playoff, Georgia's list of top pass catchers was incredibly bizarre. Its leading receiver was a tight end (Brock Bowers) with a wide receiver (Ladd McConkey) and running back (Kenny McIntosh) filling out the top three. Things became apparent in the Peach Bowl that Bennett has more weapons outside than initially thought.

No. 1 Georgia and No. 3 TCU will square off in the College Football Playoff National Championship at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles on Monday night to decide this seaon's national championship. The Bulldogs are coming off of a 42-41 win over No. 4 Ohio State in the Peach Bowl semifinal, and the Horned Frogs are still surging after stunning No. 2 Michigan 51-45 in the Fiesta Bowl semifinal.
Georgia is looking to become the first repeat national champions of the CFP era and the first since Alabama accomplished the feat in 2011-12. Led by Heisman Trophy finalist Stetson Bennett IV at quarterback, the Dawgs have evolved into one of the most balanced and efficient offenses in the country. The Frogs sent a player to New York as a Heisman finalist as well. Max Duggan, who didn't even start the season as TCU's No. 1 signal-caller, has emerged into one of the most dynamic players in the country.
What should you expect in Los Angeles on Monday night? Let's break down the game and make picks straight up and against the spread.

Georgia vs. TCU: Need to know​

Bulldogs have evolved outside: Heading into the playoff, Georgia's list of top pass catchers was incredibly bizarre. Its leading receiver was a tight end (Brock Bowers) with a wide receiver (Ladd McConkey) and running back (Kenny McIntosh) filling out the top three. Things became apparent in the Peach Bowl that Bennett has more weapons outside than initially thought.
Adonai Mitchell, who had been hurt for the majority of the season, had the game-winning touchdown and 43 yards receiving, Arian Smith had 129 yards and a critical fourth-quarter score, and Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint had two critical catches. It's enormous that all of these receivers stepped up especially considering McConkey isn't 100% after suffering a knee injury last month and the status of monster tight end Darnell Washington is up in the air.
"We've had a musical chairs, and most people do because people have injuries at wide receiver positions but between AD, Marcus, there's been a lot there," coach Kirby Smart said this week. And I think [WR coach] Bryan McClendon and [offensive coordinator Todd] Monken have done a tremendous job of slicing and dicing those roles.

TCU's running back watch: Star rusher Kendre Miller, who has rumbled for 1,399 yards and 17 touchdowns this season, left the Fiesta Bowl with a knee injury. His status for the title game is still a mystery. If he can't go, senior Emari Demercado will likely get the first-team reps. Demercado rushed for 125 yards on 14 carries and ripped off a critical 69-yarder in the third quarter. Louisiana transfer Emani Bailey had 29 carries, 241 yards rushing and two touchdowns this season, and he will likely serve as the primary backup. Bailey posted 642 yards and eight touchdowns last season with the Ragin' Cajuns.
"I think he's feeling pretty good," coach Sonny Dykes said of Miller. "We got a pretty good (evaluation) on him the night before last when we got back from Phoenix. He was pretty sore. Woke up yesterday, felt a little bit better. I just saw him a little bit ago. He's feeling better today. So I would say he's probably questionable, would be the way I would present it. We'll see how he progresses through the week, see how he feels, and we'll try to make a determination as we get closer to game time whether we think he's going to be ready to play or not."

Battle for big plays: Wide receiver Quinten Johnston has been the go-to pass catcher for Duggan all season, and he will have a very interesting matchup Monday night against an ultra-talented Dawgs secondary.
"We're just starting to get into them today but their size on the outside stands out a lot," Georgia defensive back Javon Bullard said this week. "We know they've got some very large receivers, big catch radiuses and they can run. Anytime you have that size on the perimeter, whether it's quick game or deep balls, it's always a great matchup."
However, that secondary got torched by Ohio State's passing game and, in particular, star wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. That came one game after LSU put up 502 yards passing in the SEC Championship Game.
"Ohio State made some big plays against them," Dykes said. "And I'm sure particularly in the passing game. And I'm sure they're going to work to get some of those issues addressed. And, quite frankly, they just made some contested plays, and Ohio State's got a really good group of wide receivers. And those guys really played well."
The chess match between the Frogs' receivers and Dawgs' secondary could determine the outcome of the title game.

Barrett Sallee: TCU is 9-3-1 against the spread this season, but it hasn't faced anything like what is going to face in the title game. Georgia's speed, depth and experience will end the TCU's magical run in a game that will resemble the Dawgs' win over Tennessee earlier in the season. They will win the line of scrimmage early, translate that into a couple of first-half touchdowns and deflate the football en route to a resounding win that they will control from the outset. The public will want a shootout similar to what both of these teams produced last weekend. Sadly for the public, it will be the polar opposite. Pick: Georgia (-13) | Georgia 31, TCU 14

Tom Fornelli:
I've stopped trying to figure out who TCU can and cannot beat this year, and for this game,. I'm focusing on the total. There have been eight CFP National Championships, and they've tended to be high scoring despite featuring some of the best defenses in the country. The eight games have averaged 64.5 points. While it's true that having an elite defense is often what separates the top-tier teams from the rest of the pack, once you get to this point, we've seen time and again it's the offense that wins out. I expect that will be the case Monday. The teams may not be led by future first-round NFL Draft picks, but Duggan and Bennett weren't Heisman finalists this season by accident. Pick: Over 62.5 | Georgia 38, TCU 30
 

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TCU was predicted to finish seventh in the Big 12 this season, and nobody expected to see the Horned Frogs as one of the last two teams standing in the College Football Playoff title game.
Quarterback Max Duggan wasn't even picked as the opening-game starter by new coach Sonny Dykes, so his second-place finish in the Heisman Trophy balloting was just as unexpected.
Yet nothing about the third-ranked Horned Frogs feels the least bit astonishing as they try to tame top-ranked Georgia in the national championship game on Monday in Inglewood, Calif.
The Bulldogs (14-0) are vying to become the first team to win back-to-back titles in the CFP era that began in 2014.
Meanwhile, the Horned Frogs (13-1) are looking to finish off an improbable ride.
"I think, in some ways we probably viewed ourselves as (a Cinderella team) early on because we were figuring this thing out," Dykes said. "I think that if you had asked us before the season started -- 'Would we play for a national championship?' -- most of us probably didn't think that we would."
Duggan had passed for 41 touchdowns over the previous three seasons, but Dykes chose Chandler Morris as the starting quarterback for the opener against Colorado.
Morris sustained a knee injury vs. the Buffaloes, though, and Duggan was back on the field. Duggan guided the Horned Frogs through the tough Big 12 schedule and ultimately was invited to the Heisman shindig in New York. He has thrown 32 touchdown passes this season, one shy of Trevone Boykin's school record set in 2014.
TCU knocked off second-ranked Michigan 51-45 in the semifinals on New Year's Eve, but that didn't prevent oddsmakers installing Georgia as 12.5-point favorites. The forecasts came despite the Bulldogs needing to rally from a 14-point, fourth-quarter deficit to post a 42-41 win over fourth-ranked Ohio State in the other semifinal.
"Absolutely, we use it as motivation because why not?" Horned Frogs standout receiver Quentin Johnston said of the team's underdog status. "It's one of the main things I feel like has driven us to the success we've come to this year. So honestly going to be a lot of outside noise, people projecting us to lose by however many points, but we're going to keep doing what we're doing and prove them wrong."
The Bulldogs have their own motivation: winning a second straight title. Their championship last season was the program's first since the Herschel Walker-led team won the 1980 crown
Quarterback Stetson Bennett threw two fourth-quarter touchdowns in Georgia's 33-18 win over Alabama in last season's title game. The former walk-on has enjoyed a sensational season with 3,823 passing yards, 23 touchdowns and seven interceptions. He finished fourth in the Heisman balloting.
Bennett would like to see a more crisp performance on Monday than the escape against Ohio State.
"Yeah, I think there were stretches where we didn't play well," said Bennett, who has a 28-3 record as a starter. "We've just got to clean up those areas where we didn't play as cleanly for a little bit and not have to play basically perfect like we did in the fourth quarter."
Winning via shootout hasn't been the Georgia way during Kirby Smart's tenure as coach. And overlooking teams on Smart's watch is a gigantic no-no.
"Tremendous team, tremendous program," Smart said of the Horned Frogs. "(Dykes has) won wherever he's been. He's done a great job. Their kids believe. They have a lot of similarities to our kids in terms of the culture created there, the way they play, the way they believe."
Despite allowing 71 points over their past two games, Georgia still ranks fifth nationally in scoring defense at 14.8 points per game. The Bulldogs allowed 14 or fewer points eight times, including two shutouts.
TCU is tied for fourth nationally at 41.1 points scored per game but might not have standout running back Kendre Miller (1,399 yards, 17 touchdowns) due to a knee injury sustained in the Michigan game.
Emari Demercado will be the lead back if Miller can't play. Demercado, a senior, had a career-best 150 rushing yards against Michigan.
Georgia has won all four meetings with TCU, including a 31-23 triumph in the 2016 Liberty Bowl in the most recent clash.
 

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Horned Frogs are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
Horned Frogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Horned Frogs are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Horned Frogs are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
Horned Frogs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
Horned Frogs are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
Horned Frogs are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win.
Horned Frogs are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games.
Horned Frogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Horned Frogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.

Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
Bulldogs are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games following a ATS loss.
Bulldogs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 bowl games.
Bulldogs are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in January.
Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
Bulldogs are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 neutral site games.
Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.

Under is 5-0 in Horned Frogs last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Horned Frogs last 4 games following a ATS win.
Over is 5-1 in Horned Frogs last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Horned Frogs last 6 non-conference games.
Under is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 games following a straight up win.
Over is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 bowl games.
Over is 7-2 in Horned Frogs last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Horned Frogs last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 9-4 in Horned Frogs last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 games in January.
Under is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 bowl games.
Over is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 games overall.
Over is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 games following a straight up win.
Under is 6-2-1 in Bulldogs last 9 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Bulldogs last 8 games on fieldturf.
Over is 5-2 in Bulldogs last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
 

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Georgia -13 15 Units

LFG

:dancefool
 

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TCU /GEORGIA
OVER 62
:specool: :+signs8-1:football: :peace:
 

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TCU has no shot at winning the game. I don't see how they'll keep it close. They scored 14 points vs Michigan on 2 pick 6's and Michigan left 7 points on the field with a fumble at the half yard line.

Already have a Ga future at -140 and I may pound the ML today even more. They won't lose this game and would be suprised if they don't cover the line.
 

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TCU has no shot at winning the game. I don't see how they'll keep it close. They scored 14 points vs Michigan on 2 pick 6's and Michigan left 7 points on the field with a fumble at the half yard line.

Already have a Ga future at -140 and I may pound the ML today even more. They won't lose this game and would be suprised if they don't cover the line.

I need some action to watch this so I'm gonna go with this. No way TCU wins this game therefore toss UGA into some parlays with Cincy/Buff/SF this weekend. What could go wrong?
 

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I need some action to watch this so I'm gonna go with this. No way TCU wins this game therefore toss UGA into some parlays with Cincy/Buff/SF this weekend. What could go wrong?
Lol. Not much, just a loss
 

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