LT Profits
Phillies/Nationals Under 9.5
The Washington Nationals have one of the worst offenses in the majors, and the World Champion Philadelphia Phillies have not exactly been scorching the ball the first week, so do not expect many fireworks this afternoon
The Nationals remain winless at 0-5 thus far, thanks in large part to a modest .244 team batting average. They now must go up against the ageless Jamie Moyer, who figures to have his way with this young lineup. This is precisely the type of team that Moyer has success against, as he is a master at keeping inexperienced batters off balance. Thus, it is no surprise that he was four for four in Quality Starts in his last four starts vs. Washington last year.
Now the Phillies are averaging 4.80 runs per game while getting off to a 3-2 start, but keep in mind that those games were in Philadelphia and Colorado, a couple of stadiums that are more hitter-friendly than Washington. Nationals starter Daniel Cabrera gave up five runs in six innings in his National League debut, but he does have a very live arm and he has the potential to succeed in the National League if he could keep his walks down.
Cabrera walked only two vs. the Marlins, and he could show marked improvement with similar control today vs. a free-swinging Phillies bunch. Thus, the Under looks like the way to go here.
Pick: Phillies/Nationals Under 9.5