monday 3/7 mac opening round

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Dawoofdaddy

Dawoofdaddy

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Bowling Green -3
no ill plus 10
emich plus 10.5
c mich plus 14
marshall plus 12 :drink:
 
Dawoofdaddy

Dawoofdaddy

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3/7 ncaa

adding

denver -2
flor intl plus 10
 
Dawoofdaddy

Dawoofdaddy

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adding stmarys plus 5
 
Dawoofdaddy

Dawoofdaddy

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adding creighton plus 1.5
 
Dawoofdaddy

Dawoofdaddy

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adding va comm plus 3.5
adding niagra -3.5
 
Dawoofdaddy

Dawoofdaddy

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adding three big plays on ncaa totals

creighton/swmo under 134
vcu/odu under 131
zaga/stmarys under 146
 

JARBrigger

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Daddy-

Can you please sell me on the B. Green pick? I can't see anything other than home court that would warrant them winning and covering. I know home court is huge, but it just seems like they are limping in while Ball St. is really hitting their stride. I've seen many respected handicappers on B. Green -- so I know you guys know more than me, but I believe this game is a pass.

Any help is appreciated!

Good luck!!
 
Dawoofdaddy

Dawoofdaddy

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Didnt really see the team fading down the stretch. They lost at home Sat to cmich and I have no explanation for that other looking past a weaker opponent. Blown out at wmich, but bg has laid some real stinkers on the road over the years. They beat Miami at home prior to that after big line move on miami.

I was at both Toledo games. In bg, they came back from being down 20 and the place is like playing in a box for road teams. The game at toledo was 8pt loss and the game was closer than the final score. If my memory serves correctly it was one possession game under 2 minutes. They also won at Kent late in season and other quality wins in a very balanced mac conference.

Bowling Green is a very tough place to win and has been for years. I simply prefer to back bgreen at home when the price is reasonable and you seldom find them as home dogs. I've seen big ten teams leave bg with head btw tail and big L on their record.

Ball St has recent key injuries at guard spot, so that wont help them in this very loud arena. Also, they other than past couple games, I didn't see anything special from ball st. Plenty of L on their record in February.

Hard to get a lead that is safe at Anderson arena. Also, dont believe ball st coach buckley carries as much weight as dakich bg coach and longtime knight asst at indiana. If it comes down to close calls at end of game i believe this home court matters.

Overnight line dropped because of foward fitch suspension pending. I laid the 3 overnight and added more at 2 this morning. BG has won close games at home this season and I hope the small chalk doesnt come into play tonight.

Any comments appreciated. :drink:
 
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Dawoofdaddy

Dawoofdaddy

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An additional comment:

I claim no fame on rx. My posts have been nothing less than slightly below average. However BG is my ncaa pod for whatever value it provides. Fade me is one chooses and will probably do fine. But trying to make a living fading Bowling Green on home floor as small chalk in game that matters is imho only going to make living for bookmakers.

Have a nice evening. :drink:
 
Hanzandfranz

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BG is on spring break so how loud will it be??????Not saying you are on the wrong side (BG), but just something to think about.
 

da_bean

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wolfdaddy give us your well thought out opinion and analysis.. bets with out analysis are just opinions... i for one think you have alot to offer the board with your knowledge of the game... which seems to be quite impressive...

Da_bean
 
Dawoofdaddy

Dawoofdaddy

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My age has been exposed.........out of touch with the school kids and very good point about the noise. I'm hoping for a large local crowd at game. The arena is packed with 5k in the building. I would have played bg at home as small chalk regardless of spring break.
 

JARBrigger

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I agree totally. I wasn't calling you out at all. Believe me -- just look at my current account balance! I initially suck w/ my own opinions, but with the help of others, I usually can tail enough winners to keep me going. BG could very well be the pick -- all I was saying is I'm going to have to pass, as I could see this game going either way. But since the Great Pops69 says it could be a play if it hits 2, then I'm all over it and good luck to us!! Good luck to you!!
 
Hanzandfranz

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I don't disagree about BG being favored (and should win), but I think there are better games out there to bet.


It should be a good game, but if I were betting BG it would be on the ml.
 
Dawoofdaddy

Dawoofdaddy

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If you hear on radio fitch status. Would you please let us know.
 
Dawoofdaddy

Dawoofdaddy

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Air Findlay, what are your plays tonight? Any opinions about the other mac games this evening?
 
Dawoofdaddy

Dawoofdaddy

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Dont worry about calling anyone out. I appreciate any and all helpful comments. True haters and/or pests are ignored. From the area, so I know how loud Anderson can be. With Spring Break, I'll have to hope at least some students stuck around, but probably not.

The line has been at 2 most of the afternoon. I laid 3 last night and added at 2 today.
 
Hanzandfranz

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Not playing any MAC games but....

Leans toward:

CMU +15'
Buffalo -9'
Ball St +3'

Like I said...I'm not playing any of these games....so I'll probably go 3-0.

I'm on SWMS -1' and Gonzaga -4' .....

I root for BG so I hope they win......
 

da_bean

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the make up of ball states team has changed and they are coming hot... here's a little stat i found..

THE DYNAMIC DUO: In the last three games, sophomores Peyton Stovall and Skip Mills have combined for 125 points - an average of 41.6 per game by the duo . . . The two are shooting 55 percent from the field (44-80) and 60 percent from three-point range (22-37) in the last three games
 
hellah10

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DAWOOFDADDY said:
Air Findlay, what are your plays tonight? Any opinions about the other mac games this evening?

hahahah the man said Air Findlay...

hey, you werent playing defensive back for Clay trying to cover Mike Iriti at WR and Big Ben throwing to him...

72-0

what an a$$ whoopin we got that night...
 

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