MLB is back! 2016 season begins Sunday 4/3/16

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2016 MLB opener slated for April 3
The Sports Xchange

Major League Baseball unveiled its 2016 schedule on Tuesday, with the season opener set for April 3 on ESPN's "Sunday Night Baseball."

Thirteen more games will be played on Monday, April 4, and eight on Tuesday, April 5, with all 30 teams in action for the first time on Wednesday, April 6.

The Opening Day lineup includes six games between divisional opponents and an interleague matchup between the Kansas City Royals and the New York Mets in Kansas City, Mo.

The annual All-Star Game is scheduled for for Tuesday, July 12, at Petco Park in San Diego. Other key dates are the MLB Draft on Thursday, June 9, and Jackie Robinson Day on Friday, April 15.

A first-ever trip for the San Diego Padres to play in Toronto against the Blue Jays is set for July 25-27.

The regular season is scheduled to end on Sunday, Oct. 2, with 12 divisional games on the slate.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB Future Odds

Odds to Win 2016 World Series (10/31/16)
Team Odds

Chicago Cubs 9/1
New York Mets 10/1
Houston Astros 12/1
Kansas City Royals 14/1
San Francisco Giants 14/1
Boston Red Sox 15/1
Pittsburgh Pirates 15/1
Texas Rangers 15/1
Washington Nationals 15/1
Los Angeles Dodgers 16/1
St. Louis Cardinals 16/1
Toronto Blue Jays 16/1
New York Yankees 20/1
Arizona Diamondbacks 25/1
Cleveland Indians 25/1
Detroit Tigers 25/1
Los Angeles Angels 25/1
Seattle Mariners 35/1
Baltimore Orioles 50/1
Minnesota Twins 50/1
Chicago White Sox 60/1
Tampa Bay Rays 60/1
Miami Marlins 80/1
Milwaukee Brewers 80/1
Oakland Athletics 80/1
Atlanta Braves 120/1
Cincinnati Reds 120/1
San Diego Padres 120/1
Colorado Rockies 250/1
Philadelphia Phillies 350/1


Odds to Win 2016 National League Pennant (10/31/16)
Team Odds

Chicago Cubs 4/1
New York Mets 5/1
Los Angeles Dodgers 7/1
Pittsburgh Pirates 7/1
St Louis Cardinals 7/1
San Francisco Giants 7/1
Washington Nationals 7/1
Arizona Diamondbacks 10/1
Miami Marlins 35/1
Milwaukee Brewers 35/1
Atlanta Braves 60/1
Cincinnati Reds 60/1
San Diego Padres 60/1
Colorado Rockies 120/1
Philadelphia Phillies 170/1


Odds to Win 2016 American League Pennant (10/31/16)
Team Odds

Boston Red Sox 6/1
Houston Astros 6/1
Kansas City Royals 7/1
Texas Rangers 7/1
Toronto Blue Jays 8/1
New York Yankees 10/1
Cleveland Indians 12/1
Detroit Tigers 12/1
Los Angeles Angels 12/1
Seattle Mariners 17/1
Baltimore Orioles 25/1
Minnesota Twins 25/1
Chicago White Sox 30/1
Tampa Bay Rays 30/1
Oakland Athletics 35/1


How To Bet MLB Futures

The “Odds to Win” wager in pro baseball is also commonly referred to as a future wager. Bettors must correctly select a team to win an event that takes place a later time. The money wagered will be tied up until there is an outcome and bettors will receive fixed odds when they place the wager. The future odds are normally updated on a weekly basis and wagers can be placed throughout the season.

To figure out your Win Amount, take the odds and multiply by the amount wagered. Ex. New York Yankees (20/1) to win the World Series. The Yankees are listed as a 20/1 betting choice to win the World Series. If you wager $100 on New York to win the World Series and it captures the championship, then you would win $2,000 (20 ÷ 1 x 100). You would collect $2,100, which includes your win and stake ($100).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB 2016 schedule set

The first pitch of the 2016 MLB season is scheduled to be thrown April 3 at PNC Park, where the Pittsburgh Pirates and St. Louis Cardinals open at 1:05 p.m ET.

The Toronto Blue Jays and Tampa Bay Rays will follow at 4:05 p.m. ET and both games will be available on ESPN networks.

The "Sunday Night Baseball" opener that night is a World Series rematch between the Kansas City Royals and New York Mets.

The 2016 regular season ends Oct. 2 with a full slate of games scheduled to start simultaneously at 3 p.m. ET.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SuperBook posts 2016 HR Odds

Opening Day of the 2016 pro baseball season takes place on Sunday April 3, 2016 as 30 teams will look to win the World Series.

Future Odds have been up since last November after the Royals defeated the Mets in the World Series. It could come as a surprise to some but neither Kansas City or New York are expected to make a return trip to the finale, at least in the latest future odds.

Bettors looking for an alternative option on the diamond can do so with a popular baseball player prop being offered at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

Who will hit the most home runs in the 2015 season?

For the second straight season, Miami's Giancarlo Stanton has been tabbed as the favorite (8/1) to win this wager. Stanton finished with 37 home runs in the 2014 season but only hit 27 last year but that effort came in 74 games.

Baltimore's Chris Davis hit the most dingers last season with 47 followed by Seattle's Nelson Cruz with 44. Despite those efforts, both Davis (15/1) and Cruz (20/1) aren't getting as much attention for the 2016 campaign.

Listed below are all of the odds posted at the SuperBook.

Odds to hit Most 2016 MLB Regular Season Home Runs (11/1/16)

Giancarlo Stanton 8/1 (Bet $100 to win $800)
Mike Trout 12/1 (Bet $100 to win $1,200)
Bryce Harper 12/1
Edwin Encarnacion 15/1
Kris Bryant 15/1
Chris Davis 15/1
Josh Donaldson 15/1
Nelson Cruz 20/1
Jose Abreu 25/1
Jose Bautista 25/1
Paul Goldschmidt 25/1
Nolan Arenado 25/1
Todd Frazier 25/1
Miguel Sano 30/1
Carlos Correa 30/1
Anthony Rizzo 30/1
Albert Pujols 30/1
George Springer 30/1
Miguel Cabrera 30/1
Carlos Gonzalez 30/1
Troy Tulowitzki 30/1
Mark Trumbo 40/1
Justin Upton 40/1
J.D. Martinez 40/1
Khris Davis 50/1
Evan Gattis 60/1
Joey Votto 60/1
Pedro Alvarez 60/1
Hanley Ramirez 80/1
Adam Jones 80/1
David Ortiz 100/1
Manny Machado 100/1
Mark Teixeira 100/1
Yoenis Cespedes 100/1
Ryan Braun 100/1
Joc Pederson 100/1
Freddie Freeman 100/1
Jay Bruce 100/1
Prince Fielder 100/1
Adrian Gonzalez 100/1
Lucas Duda 100/1
Evan Longoria 100/1
Curtis Granderson 100/1
Andrew McCutchen 100/1
Corey Dickerson 100/1
Kyle Schwarber 100/1
Maikel Franco 100/1
Kyle Seager 100/1
Matt Kemp 100/1
Matt Adams 100/1
Kole Calhoun 100/1
Kendrys Morales 100/1
Brian Dozier 100/1
Michael Conforto 100/1
Randal Grichuk 100/1
Yasiel Puig 100/1
Corey Seager 100/1
Field 15/1

***Season must consist of at least 150 regular season games for each team***

***Player must play in at least 1 regular season game for action***

***In case of a tie -- Winners odds are divided by number of Winners***

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Three live betting long shots who could lead the MLB in home runs
By ANDREW CALEY

The Major League Baseball season is almost upon us and what do we love more about baseball than watching players hit awe-inspiring dingers?

Nothing. That's what.

And what better way to enjoy those dingers, than with some cash on the line? The Westgate LV Superbook has released their odds for who will hit the most home runs in 2016 and while the obvious names like Giancarlo Stanton, Mike Trout and Bryce Harper top the list, lets take a look at some live long shots who could round the bases more than anyone else in 2016.

Nolan Arenado, Colorado Rockies (25/1)

It's never bad to back a power hitter who calls Coors Field his home park and that's exactly where Rockies' third baseman Nolan Arenado sets up shop. The 24 year old had a serious breakout season for the Rockies in 2015, knocking out 42 home runs to go along with 130 RBIs and a gawdy .575 slugging percentage (good for third in the bigs behind just Harper and Trout).

Those 42 dingers were good for third in the majors' behind just the Orioles' first baseman Chris Davis (47) and the Mariners' designated hitter Nelson Cruz (44), so just in that regard, Arenado at 25/1 seems like a bargain. Add in Coors Field, which ranked first in ballpark OPS (.846), first in ballpark slugging percentage (.490) and fourth in HR/game (2.49) in 2015 and you have a recipe for a lot of dingers.

The only detractor from Arenado is that he had just 28 home runs in 918 at bats prior to 2015. Last season was also the first year in his three major league seasons in which Arenado played more than 133 games. However, if he manages to stay healthy for the majority of the season there's no reason to think Arenado can't be among the top home run hitters in 2016.

Carlos Correa, Houston Astros (30/1)

Talk about announcing your presence as a big leaguer. The Astros' rookie shortstop hit 22 home runs in just 387 at bats last season. That was a home run in one in every 17.6 at bats. That would have been good for 16th best in the majors among qualified batters. His .512 slugging percentage would have also been good for 17th in the majors.

The 21-year-old right-handed hitting Correa also gets to take advantage of a full season of at bats in the hitter friendly Minute Maid Park in Houston. The Astros' home field, which has one of one of the shortest porch's in left field (315 feet), saw the fifth most home runs per game in 2015 (2.44). Correa hit 12 of his 22 home runs there in 2015.

If Correra gets even better in his first full season at the big league level (which many people are projecting), there is no telling how many dingers Correra could knock out of the park this season and 30/1 is a number that could look a steal come September.

Manny Machado, Baltimore Orioles (100/1)

Manny Machado did not disappoint in his first full season after tearing a ligament in his right knee in August of 2014. The 23-year-old Orioles' third baseman played all 162 games in 2015 and finished tied for 13th in the majors with 35 home runs and 20th with a .502 slugging percentage and was 21st with a .861 OPS.

Not many have a more ideal situation than Machado when it comes to going yard. First of all Orioles Park at Camden Yards is one of the most hitter friendly parks in baseball. There were more home runs hit there per game, than at any other park in the majors at 2.74 per game and ranked second in slugging percentage at .442. Machado also has the luxury of hitting ahead of last season's home run king, Chris Davis (15/1), who slugged 47 home runs. That is what is called lineup protection.

While Machado did play in every game in 2015, bettors should acknowledge he has had a history of knee injuries. On top of which, last season was the first in which he showed true power numbers. But at 100/1, that value is almost too good to pass up.

Check out the complete list of home run odds from the Westgate LV Superbook below:

GIANCARLO STANTON 7/1
MIKE TROUT 12/1
BRYCE HARPER 12/1
EDWIN ENCARNACION 15/1
KRIS BRYANT 15/1
JOSH DONALDSON 15/1
CHRIS DAVIS 15/1
NELSON CRUZ 20/1
JOSE ABREU 25/1
JOSE BAUTISTA 25/1
PAUL GOLDSCHMIDT 25/1
NOLAN ARENADO 25/1
TODD FRAZIER 25/1
J.D. MARTINEZ 25/1
MIGUEL SANO 30/1
CARLOS CORREA 30/1
ANTHONY RIZZO 30/1
ALBERT PUJOLS 30/1
GEORGE SPRINGER 30/1
MIGUEL CABRERA 30/1
CARLOS GONZALEZ 30/1
MARK TRUMBO 40/1
JUSTIN UPTON 40/1
KHRIS DAVIS 60/1
TROY TULOWITZKI 60/1
EVAN GATTIS 80/1
JOEY VOTTO 80/1
PEDRO ALVAREZ 80/1
ADAM JONES 80/1
HANLEY RAMIREZ 100/1
DAVID ORTIZ 100/1
MANNY MACHADO 100/1
MARK TEIXEIRA 100/1
YOENIS CESPEDES 100/1
RYAN BRAUN 100/1
JOC PEDERSON 100/1
FREDDIE FREEMAN 100/1
JAY BRUCE 100/1
PRINCE FIELDER 100/1
KYLE SCHWARBER 100/1
YASIEL PUIG 100/1
MICHAEL CONFORTO 100/1
MAIKEL FRANCO 200/1
ADRIAN GONZALEZ 200/1
LUCAS DUDA 200/1
EVAN LONGORIA 200/1
CURTIS GRANDERSON 200/1
ANDREW McCUTCHEN 200/1
COREY DICKERSON 200/1
KYLE SEAGER 200/1
MATT KEMP 200/1
MATT ADAMS 200/1
KOLE CALHOUN 200/1
KENDRYS MORALES 200/1
BRIAN DOZIER 200/1
RANDAL GRICHUK 200/1
COREY SEAGER 200/1
FIELD 15/1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Three live long shots who could win the 2016 World Series
By ANDREW CALEY

If you had placed a World Series future bet on the Houston Astros or the Texas Rangers before Opening Day last season, you would have been very happy come October.

Both of these American League teams ended up winning their respective divisions despite being 100/1 long shots to win the World Series, and while in the end, both the Rangers and Astros ended up falling short of the Fall Classic it goes to show there is real value to be had in World Series futures

Heck, you probably would have been thrilled with a wager on the eventual World Series champion Kansas City Royals, or the Toronto Blue Jays. They both entered the season at 25/1 and met in the ALCS.

While it is the Cubs who are big 4/1 faves to win it all this season, remember it was all about the Nationals last year and they didn't even make the postseason.

So, as players congregate at spring training, let's look at three live long shots to win the World Series and try to find this year's Houston or Texas.

Chicago White Sox (25/1)

Currently the White Sox are the only team on the board at 25/1 and since the defending World Series champs started their last year, this is a good place to start. Last year the South Siders were hoping to make a big jump last year, but could never really find their groove and ended up finishing fourth in AL Central at 76-86.

But that hasn't stopped the White Sox from trying to go for it all again this year. They brought in former Reds third baseman Todd Frazier to finally give slugger Jose Abreu some protection and balance to their lineup. If Adam Eaton and Melky Cabrera can consistently get on base, there will be plenty of opportunities to score. Brett Lawrie comes in to take over at second base and Dioneer Navarro and Alex Avila gives them catcher/DH depth.

What could take the Pale Hose over the top is the potential at the front end of their rotation. Led by All-Star Chris Sale, along with Jose Quintana and a full year Carlos Rondon and this unit could be a very dangerous one. Sale led the majors in strikeouts/9-innings (11.82) to go along with a 3.41 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. With David Robinson anchoring the bullpen, the White Sox could be ready to make a move in the Central

Seattle Mariners (40/1)

The Mariners have been one of those teams the last few seasons that make you ask, 'what could happen if they ever put it all together?'

Unfortunately for the Mariners and their fans, they just haven't. They entered last season as one of the sexy pics to make the jump to the post season, but came out of the gate losing seven of their first 10 games and never recovered, finishing the season 4th in AL West at 76-86. Will 2016 be the year it changes for the M's?

Everything for the Mariners starts with their rotation, headed by superstar Felix Hernandez, whom had a down year by his standards last season. 'The King's' ERA was above 3.50 for the first time since 2007, so even a slight bounce back to the norm is a boost. Retaining Hishahi Iwakuma and bringing in Wade Miley and Nathan Karns was big. If talented youngster Taijuan Walker can figure it out, this rotation could be very, very good. Adding Joaquin Benoit and Steve Cishek to what was a terrible bullpen should also help a lot.

As for the offense, everything is fueled by Robinson Cano and Nelson Cruz. People thought Cruz would struggle moving from Baltimore to Seattle, but he still finished 2nd in the bigs with 44 homers to go along with 93 RBIs. If Cano can bounce back from his worst season since 2008 and they get what is expected to be a more balanced lineup with the addition of Adam Lind ans Nori Aoki, then the M's can contend in the AL West this year.

Tampa Bay Rays (60/1)

The Rays continue to do what they do. Try to extract the maximum talent from a payroll that regularly ranks near the bottom of the league. And 2016 will be no different.

What also shouldn't be any different about the Rays this season is their starting pitching. From Scott Kazmir to David Price, the Rays have always featured great starters over the years and 2016 could feature some very good ones and it all starts with budding superstar Chris Archer. Archer pitched to a 3.23 ERA a 1.14 WHIP and had the fourth highest strikeouts/9-inning ratio in the bigs. That's a good starting point.

The Rays are also baking on getting mostly healthy seasons from Alex Cobb, Matt Moore and Drew Smyly, who all suffered or were recovering from injuries last season. Throw in Jake Odorizzi coming off a breakout campaign (3.35 ERA, 1.15 WHIP in 2015) and this starting rotation could be even better than the one that finished sixth in starters ERA last year.

Tamp Bay's biggest problem will be supporting those pitchers with enough runs to win games, beginning with Evan Longoria. If the Rays' all-time leader in most offensive categories can have a bounce back season that's a start. A full season from Desmond Jennings wouldn't hurt either. Add in the rise of center fielder Kevin Kiermaier and the additions of Corey Dickerson and Steve Pierce and the Rays could have just enough timely hitting to become a contender.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Position Battles to Watch: Team by team
By The Sports Xchange

As position players begin to pour into spring training camps this week, the jockeying for regular roles is already underway for starting pitchers across Arizona and Florida.
The fifth (and in some cases fourth) spots in the rotation will be up for grabs on numerous teams.
Even clubs with seemingly formidable pitching staffs, such as the San Francisco Giants and St. Louis Cardinals, must settle on their five starters over the course of the next month. On those teams, the task will be finding the best option among many strong candidates. On other teams, locating any kind of quality to man the back end of the rotation will be a struggle.
Here is a look at each team's most notable position battle to watch this spring, as assessed by The Sports Xchange's national network of baseball correspondents.

NATIONAL LEAGUE WEST

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: The acquisition of SS Jean Segura opened a lot of possibilities in the middle infield. Does Segura start at shortstop, his primary position? What does that mean for premier defensive SS Nick Ahmed? Does Segura move to second base ahead of incumbent Chris Owings, who had a down year in 2015 as he worked back to 100 percent after shoulder surgery following the 2014 season? Ahmed "saved" 20 runs more than the average shortstop in 2015, according to baseball-reference.com, and the D-backs prize defense. They led the NL and were second to World Series champion Kansas City with 62 runs saved.

COLORADO ROCKIES
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: SS Jose Reyes, the highest paid player on the team with a $22 million salary this season, is facing a domestic violence charge for an alleged incident last October in Hawaii. Commissioner Rob Manfred placed him on paid leave Tuesday. That creates an opportunity for prospect Trevor Story, who finished last season at Triple-A Albuquerque, where he hit .271/.324/.504 with 10 homers and 40 RBIs in 61 games. Manager Walt Weiss said he didn't think service-time considerations would affect Story's chances to earn playing time at shortstop. Daniel Descalso and Cristhian Adames, both versatile infielders, could fill in at shortstop if Story is not deemed ready to start the season in the majors.

LOS ANGELES DODGERS
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: The main question new manager Dave Roberts will have to answer at some point this spring is who to bat leadoff. The Dodgers have no obvious choice, and Roberts said "any number of guys" could fill the role from one day to the next depending on pitching matchups -- Yasiel Puig, Carl Crawford, Enrique Hernandez, Joc Pederson, even rookie SS Corey Seager. A leadoff hitter during his playing career, Roberts said analytics have put less emphasis on finding a specific type of hitter to fill that spot. "I think that nowadays it's just another spot in the order," Roberts said.

SAN DIEGO PADRES
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: Rookie Austin Hedges spent a considerable amount of time behind the plate last season as Derek Norris played some first when the Padres were without both 1B Yonder Alonso and OF/1B Wil Myers. With Norris not needed at first this season, the Padres have three catchers in Norris, Hedges and Christian Bethancourt, who is out of options and figures to be the backup. Hedges, 23, hit only .168 in 137 at-bats as a major league rookie in 2015 and will likely start in Triple-A ... unless the Padres move Norris. Hedges is an excellent defensive catcher and favored by many San Diego pitchers.

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: One of the first observations Giants manager Bruce Bochy had after greeting pitchers and catchers on Feb. 17 was how good veteran RHP Matt Cain looked. Then again, Bochy said the same thing multiple times last season, and Cain never demonstrated it in regular-season game action, going 2-4 with a 5.79 ERA as he battled a sore right forearm. The 31-year-old is penciled in to be the team's fifth starter this season, but he will be pushed by RHP Chris Heston, one of last year's biggest surprises (12-11, 3.95). It is a rare occasion when the veteran is the guy with something to prove.

NATIONAL LEAGUE CENTRAL

CHICAGO CUBS
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: The starting lineup appears set for now with CF Jason Heyward and 2B Ben Zobrist likely to land atop the order. The biggest battles might come for the No. 4 and 5 starting pitching slots, with plenty of options for manager Joe Maddon to choose from. RHP Kyle Hendricks went 8-7 with a 3.95 ERA last year in his second big league season. RHP Jason Hammel (9-9, 3.74 ERA) struggled in second half as he was apparently hampered by a sore left knee. LHP Travis Wood could be back the picture as a possible fifth starter after moving to the bullpen in 2015, and RHP Adam Warren also will get a look.

CINCINNATI REDS
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: The Reds tried to trade 2B Brandon Phillips at least a couple times, most recently to the Washington Nationals. However, rather than jump at the chance to toil for a contender, the 34-year-old veteran invoked his no-trade clause and sought a contract extension. Many believe the Reds acquired Phillips' replacement when they got 21-year-old Jose Peraza from the Dodgers in the three-team deal involving 3B Todd Frazier. If so, Phillips' power play puts a cramp in the Reds' rebuilding efforts. Some believe the club might decide to hand the bulk of the playing time to Peraza anyway to see what the young man can do.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: Third base is the greatest concern, both at the big league and minor league level, where there currently is no prospect waiting in the wings. Hernan Perez saw action at third last season after he was picked up on waivers from Detroit, but like so many on Milwaukee's depth chart, he is more comfortable at a middle infield position. Veteran Aaron Hill, acquired from Arizona in the Jean Segura trade, is the leading candidate as camp opens with former Red Sox prospects Gavin Cecchini and Wil Middlebrooks also in the mix as non-roster invitees.

PITTSBURGH PIRATES
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: If 3B Jung Ho Kang is not recovered by Opening Day from the broken leg and torn knee ligaments he sustained last September in a second base collision, 2B Josh Harrison will be needed at the hot corner. That will leave a number of players vying for playing time at second base, including veteran INFs Sean Rodriguez and Pedro Florimon and rookie INFs Alen Hanson and Gift Ngoepe. Rodriguez has logged more time at second base than any other position during his eight-year career. He hit .246 with four home runs in 141 games last season. Florimon is considered an above-average fielder, but he batted just .087 in 24 games in the major leagues in 2015.

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: It is go time for 1B Matt Adams, whose Cardinals career could arrive at a crossroads if he can't beat out veteran Brandon Moss for the starting job. Adams emerged from a slump late last May before he tore a quad muscle. He missed three months, finishing the season hitting just .240 in 175 at-bats over 60 games. Moss batted only .226 between Cleveland and St. Louis last season but showed flashes of the 30-homer power he has displayed during his career. The Cardinals believe Moss will be at 100 percent this year after rushing a return from hip surgery to be ready for 2015.

NATIONAL LEAGUE EAST

ATLANTA BRAVES
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: 2B Jace Peterson needs a good spring to avoid splitting time with veteran INF Gordon Beckham, signed as a free agent. Peterson, acquired before last season from the Padres, started well at the plate in his first regular duty last year, but he struggled in the second half as he played through a torn tendon in his right thumb. The 25-year-old wound up hitting .239/.314/.335 with six home runs and 52 RBIs in 152 games. Beckham, 29, hit .209/.275/.332 with six homers and 20 RBIs in 100 games for the White Sox in 2015.

MIAMI MARLINS
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: RHP Edwin Jackson, who has career numbers of 88-107 with a 4.58 ERA, will have to fight off challenges from David Phelps (4-8, 4.50 ERA last season) and LHP Brad Hand (4-7, 5.30) to land a rotation job. It is an underwhelming list of candidates, and that includes the youngsters who may get a shot in spring training -- LHP Justin Nicolino (5-4, 4.01), LHP Adam Conley (4-1, 3.76), RHP Jose Urena (1-5, 5.25) and RHP Kendry Flores (1-2, 4.97). Other than Jackson, the other six candidates combined to make 64 starts for the Marlins, who are desperate to find a qualified fifth starter.

NEW YORK METS
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: It is always good for a team when the most exciting position battle is for the last two spots in the bullpen. RHP Erik Goeddel, who made the National League Division Series roster last fall, has the inside track on one spot. He was 1-1 with a 2.43 ERA in 35 games last year. The Mets could go with a long man such as LHP Sean Gilmartin or RHP Logan Verrett in the final spot. Gilmartin and Verrett also could be stashed as rotation insurance at Triple-A Las Vegas if RHP Jim Henderson, a non-roster invitee, can reclaim the form that allowed him to collect 33 saves for the Brewers in 2013.

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: LHPs Brett Oberholtzer and Adam Morgan and RHPs Vincent Velasquez and David Buchanan will compete to be the No. 5 starter. Oberholtzer and Velasquez were two of five players acquired from the Houston Astros in the December trade for closer Ken Giles. Oberholtzer, 26, was 2-2 with a 4.46 ERA in eight starts for the Astros last year. Velasquez, 23, went 1-1 with a 4.37 ERA in 19 games, including seven starts, for Houston. Morgan, 25 and Buchanan, 26, split last season between the Phillies and Triple-A Lehigh Valley. Morgan went 5-7 with a 4.45 ERA in 17 starts during his first crack at the major leagues, while Buchanan was 2-9 with a 6.99 ERA in 15 starts for the Phillies.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: Michael A. Taylor and Ben Revere could compete to be the starting center fielder. Taylor saw a lot of action in center in 2015 as veteran Denard Span (now with San Francisco) missed a lot of time due to injuries. Taylor flashed his power and speed but also struck out too much -- 158 times in 138 games -- to be an ideal leadoff hitter. Revere, which much more experience, was acquired in a trade from the Blue Jays in January for former closer Drew Storen. Revere led the National League in hits with 184 in 2014 and then batted .306 with 31 steals last year with the Phillies and Blue Jays. Taylor hit .229 with 14 homers for Washington.

AMERICAN LEAGUE WEST

HOUSTON ASTROS
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: With Chris Carter non-tendered this offseason and Marwin Gonzalez better suited in the designated super-utility role, Jon Singleton will face his third, and likely last, opportunity to claim the first base job. He scuffled following his 2014 debut, hitting .168/.285/.335 with 134 strikeouts in 362 plate appearances, and failed to make the Opening Day roster last season before hitting .191/.328/.298 over just 19 games. While there are other available options, namely top prospect A.J. Reed and accomplished minor-leaguers Tyler White and Matt Duffy, Singleton enters his age-24 season with the inside track despite his lagging production.

LOS ANGELES ANGELS
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: OFs Craig Gentry and Daniel Nava are the latest candidates to fill the Angels' void in left field. Neither journeyman compiled impressive statistics last year. The 32-year-old Gentry spent most of the season in the minor leagues and batted just .120 in 26 games for the Oakland Athletics. Nava, who turns 33 on Feb. 22, managed only a .194 average in 60 games with the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays. Though the Angels plan to platoon the duo, Nava has played more career games in left field and offers some needed left-handed power. If neither perform to expectations, look for the Angels to pursue midseason help, as they did last year.

OAKLAND ATHLETICS
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: Yonder Alonso, a left-handed hitter, and Mark Canha, who bats right-handed, are expected to platoon at first base, but Canha has the potential to hit his way into a bigger role. As a rookie last season, Canha hit .254 with 16 home runs and 70 RBIs in 124 games. He had five home runs during an 11-game span from Aug. 31 to Sept. 12, and he hit .309 in August. Alonso is a skilled defensive first baseman and a .273 career hitter in 508 major league games, but he hit only five home runs last season for San Diego and has never hit more than nine homers in a season.

SEATTLE MARINERS
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: This time last year, the Mariners had one of the most productive closers in baseball (RHP Fernando Rodney) and a young closer of the future (RHP Carson Smith). Both are no longer with the team, so now Seattle is looking toward veteran RHPs Steve Cishek and Joaquin Benoit as possible closers. The inside track belongs to Cishek, who had 39 saves with the Marlins in 2014 but blew four of seven save chances last season before being dealt to the Cardinals. Benoit, 38, had 24 saves with the Tigers in 2014 but has spent most of his career as a setup man.

TEXAS RANGERS
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: Josh Hamilton should be the answer for what turned into a revolving door in left field last season. However, because of Hamilton's health, that door could still be swinging open. Hamilton was limited to 50 games in 2015 because of injuries, and he has played in just 139 at-bats over the last two years. He had two surgeries on the left knee last year and was still having issues with it as he showed up to camp. The Rangers brought in LF Justin Ruggiano, who could spell a balky Hamilton. Texas also used Joey Gallo some in left last year but would prefer to play him at third base in Triple-A. Top prospect Nomar Mazara is an option for the future.

AMERICAN LEAGUE CENTRAL

CHICAGO WHITE SOX
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: INFs Tyler Saladino and Carlos Sanchez each head into spring training with the goal of winning the starting shortstop spot, which was vacated when the White Sox parted ways with veteran Alexei Ramirez. Saladino, 26, played mostly shortstop in the minors but made his major league debut at third base last season. He flashed some great defensive skills there with his athleticism, but hit just .225 with four home runs and 28 RBIs. Sanchez, 23, is a capable defender but not as athletic. He is a switch hitter who batted .224 with five home runs and 31 RBIs last season, playing mostly as the White Sox's starting second base.

CLEVELAND INDIANS
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: It appeared as though third base was going to be a question mark as spring training began. However, on the day pitchers and catchers reported, the Indians reached an agreement with Juan Uribe on a one-year contract. Assuming he signs, Uribe would immediately become the favorite to win the position. Uribe, 36, hit .253 with 14 home runs and 43 RBIs last year. The incumbent at third base was Giovanny Urshela, who as a rookie last year was outstanding defensively but invisible offensively, hitting .225 with a .279 on base percentage. Urshela, 24, probably would need a monster spring to be the Opening Day starter.

DETROIT TIGERS
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: Cameron Maybin and Anthony Gose will compete to see who mans center field the majority of the games this season. Maybin hits right-handed and Gose bats left-handed, so a platoon is not out of the question. Maybin is the more experienced and has an edge in power, while Gose is much faster. Both pass the eyeball test defensively, but neither stands out in the defensive metrics. Maybin was originally acquired to give Detroit an option in left, a hole that was closed with the signing of Justin Upton. Maybin would seem to have the edge, with Gose giving the Tigers a left-handed bat and speed off the bench.

KANSAS CITY ROYALS
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: 2B Omar Infante, who turned 34 in December, is owed $15.75 million for the next two years, but the Royals need more offense from him. His .220 batting average, .234 on-base percentage and .318 slugging percentage last year will not cut it. Christian Colon, the fourth overall pick in the 2010 draft, will get a chance to wrestle the job away from Infante in spring training. Colon hit .290 in 43 games last season with Kansas City. Infante underwent right elbow surgery in November, but he had no restrictions at the start of spring training. If he hits, he keeps the job.

MINNESOTA TWINS
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: C Kurt Suzuki was an All-Star two seasons ago and was so good the Twins signed him to a two-year contract extension worth $12 million at midseason. However, Suzuki struggled mightily at the plate in 2015, hitting .240 and reaching base at a .296 clip. He wasn't much better defensively, and at 32 years of age, his best years are probably behind him. Without a sure thing in the minors, Minnesota decided to trade OF Aaron Hicks to the Yankees to acquire their potential catcher of the future, John Ryan Murphy. It is expected that he will challenge Suzuki for the starting job as soon as this season.

AMERICAN LEAGUE EAST

BALTIMORE ORIOLES
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: Right field figured to be the most unsettled position coming into the spring, but that all changed Tuesday when the Orioles reportedly agreed to a three-year, $35 million deal with free agent Dexter Fowler. The veteran center fielder figures to slide to right field with four-time Gold Glove award winner Adam Jones firmly established in center. Mark Trumbo could see some action in right field, although most expect him to spend the majority of his time at designated hitter. Nolan Reimold and Dariel Alvarez were also in the right field mix prior to the Fowler news.

BOSTON RED SOX
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: While just about everything was set for the Red Sox entering spring training, there could be a battle for the starting catcher spot, with Blake Swihart getting the bulk of the time last year when Christian Vazquez was out following Tommy John surgery. Vazquez, the superior defender, could force Swihart to another position. Vazquez said in early February he was ready to go, adding that he learned a lot watching the game during his recovery. The Red Sox are likely to want Vazquez to start the season in Triple-A, with veteran Ryan Hanigan a capable backup to Swihart.

NEW YORK YANKEES
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: The Yankees have six healthy starting pitchers at the moment, and they could have a competition for the fifth spot between LHP CC Sabathia and RHP Ivan Nova. Sabathia pitched better in his final few starts before entering rehab for alcohol right before the playoffs. Nova struggled in his return from Tommy John surgery and seems more suited to fill the relief/spot starter role that RHP Adam Warren previously occupied. It seems unlikely Sabathia would go to the bullpen since he is owed $25 million this year. His recent numbers (3-4, 5.28 ERA in 2014; 6-10, 4.73 in 2015) do not correlate to someone being paid so well.

TAMPA BAY RAYS
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: The deepest position battle looks to be first base, where James Loney returns as a starter but faces challenges from two solid bats acquired in the offseason, Logan Morrison and Steve Pearce. The Rays must decide what to do with Loney, who could be traded for bullpen help. Morrison hit a career-low .225 last season with Seattle but has shown power potential, like his 23 home runs in 2011 with the Marlins. Pearce, who hit .293 with Baltimore in 2014, saw that average drop to .218 last season, but he too has a power swing, producing 21 home runs in 338 at-bats in 2014.

TORONTO BLUE JAYS
POSITION BATTLE TO WATCH: RHP Jesse Chavez seemed to have the inside track to the No. 5 spot in the rotation after being obtained from the Oakland Athletics. The 32-year-old often loses form in the second half of the season, however, and there could be intriguing developments at spring training that push him to the bullpen. RHP Drew Hutchison, 25, showed enough in 2014 to be named Opening Day starter in 2015, but he had a horrible season before moving to the bullpen late in the season. A return to form at spring training could put him back in the rotation. RHP Aaron Sanchez, 23, also will be viewed as a potential starter after ending the 2015 season in relief.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SuperBook opens 2016 Player Props

The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook recently opened up 2016 MLB regular season props.

The “Most” props are very popular and allow bettors to wager on a variety of categories throughout the season that can be achieved by any player or pitcher.

Below are the highest totals from last season (2015).

Home Runs: 47 Chris Davis (Baltimore)
Runs: 122 Josh Donaldson (Toronto)
Stolen Bases: 58 Dee Gordon (Miami)
Triples: 15 Eddie Rosario (Minnesota)
Losses: 17 Shelby Miller (Atlanta)
Strikeouts: 301 Clayton Kershaw (L.A. Dodgers)
RBI’s: 130 Nolan Arenado (Colorado)
Hits: 205 Dee Gordon (Miami)
Doubles: 45 Michael Brantley (Cleveland)
Wins: 22 Jake Arrieta (Chicago Cubs)
Saves: 51 Mark Melancion (Pittsburgh)
Complete Games: 4 (Six Players Tied)

Along with those wagers, the SuperBook has posted “Regular Season Hits” props. They’ve focused on 14 players and bettors can decide to go ‘over’ or ‘under’ their number of hits.

The American League has nine players while the National League has five. What's a little surprising is that the SuperBook expects 12 of the 14 players to underachieve based on last year's numbers.

Listed below are all of the Westgate numbers.

2016 MLB REGULAR SEASON INDIVIDUAL PROPS

MOST HR's By: Any Player
Over 44½ (-110)
Under 44½ (-110)

MOST RUNS By: Any Player
Over 121½ (-110)
Under 121½ (-110)

MOST STOLEN BASES By: Any Player
Over 63½ (-110)
Under 63½ (-110)

MOST TRIPLES By : Any Player
Over 12½ (-120)
Under 12½ (+100)

MOST LOSSES By: Any Pitcher
Over 17 (-120)
Under 17 (+100)

MOST STRIKEOUTS By: Any Pitcher
Over 276½ (-110)
Under 276½ (-110)

MOST RBI's By: Any Player
Over 127½ (-110)
Under 127½ (-110)

MOST HITS By: Any Player
Over 208½ (-110)
Under 208½ (-110)

MOST DOUBLES By: Any Player
Over 51½ (-110)
Under 51½ (-110)

MOST WINS By: Any Pitcher
Over 21 (+100)
Under 21 (-120)

MOST SAVES By: Any Pitcher
Over 49½ (-110)
Under 49½ (-110)

MOST COMPLETE GAMES By: Any Pitcher
Over 5 (-110)
Under 5 (-110)

2016 MLB REGULAR SEASON HITS

Jose ALTUVE (Houston: 2015 - 200 Hits)
Over 187½ (-110)
Under 187½ (-110)

Robinson CANO (Seattle: 2015 - 179 Hits)
Over 175½ (-110)
Under 175½ (-110)

Manny MACHADO* (Baltimore: 2015 - 181 Hits)
Over 167½ (-110)
Under 167½ (-110)

Dee GORDON* (Miami: 2015 - 205 Hits)
Over 174½ (-110)
Under 174½ (-110)

Adam JONES* (Baltimore: 2015 - 147 Hits)
Over 169½ (-110)
Under 169½ (-110)

Josh DONALDSON* (Toronto: 2015 - 184 Hits)
Over 169½ (-110)
Under 169½ (-110)

Lorenzo CAIN* (Kansas City: 2015 - 169 Hits)
Over 156½ (-110)
Under 156½ (-110)

A.J. POLLOCK* (Arizona: 2015 - 192 Hits)
Over 169½ (-110)
Under 169½ (-110)

Paul GOLDSCHMIDT* (Arizona: 2015 - 182 Hits)
Over 169½ (-110)
Under 169½ (-110)

Anthony RIZZO* (Chicago Cubs: 2015 - 163 Hits)
Over 159½ (-110)
Under 159½ (-110)

Charlie BLACKMON* (Colorado: 2015 - 176 Hits)
Over 166½ (-110)
Under 166½ (-110)

Mookie BETTS* (Boston: 2015 - 174 Hits)
Over 175½ (-110)
Under 175½ (-110)

Mike TROUT* (L.A. Angels: 2015 - 172 Hits)
Over 172½ (-110)
Under 172½ (-110)

Ian KINSLER* (Detroit: 2015 - 185 Hits)
Over 161½ (-110)
Under 161½ (-110)

Major League Baseball Season Must Consist of at least 150 Regular Season Games For Action

*Player Must Play In At Least 1 Major League Regular Season Game For Action

All Bets Are Action Despite Player Trade, Retirement, or Suspension

No Parlays

Odds Subject To Change

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

American League East Betting Preview: Will Red Sox jump from worst to first?
By MATT FARGO

The American League East is expected to feature one of the tightest division races in baseball in 2016. You can make an argument for almost all five teams to win the division and despite two straight last place finishes, thanks to some big offseason acquisitions the Red Sox are the slight favorites over the defending champion Blue Jays.

Baltimore Orioles (2015: 81-81, -352 units, 73-80-9 O/U)

Division odds: +900
Season win total: 79.5

Why bet the Orioles: Buck Showalter is the reason the Orioles have finished .500 or better in four straight seasons after going through over a decade of losing. He is a solid manager that can keep Baltimore in contention. The Orioles strength is their bullpen and if the starting rotation can revert back to its success of two years ago, they will be relevant in September once again.

Why not bet the Orioles: The aforementioned starting rotation is a huge weakness on this team. In 2014, the team ERA was 3.43 which was third best in the American League but that jumped to 4.05 last season including 4.53 from the starters. Making matters worse, Baltimore lost its best starter Wei-Yin Chen to the Marlins via free agency and failed to make an upgrade in the offseason.

Season win total pick: Under 79.5 Wins

Boston Red Sox (2015: 78-84, -651 units, 83-73-6 O/U)

Division odds: +185
Season win total: 86.5

Why bet the Red Sox: Major upgrades to both the starting rotation and the bullpen should improve the staff that finished with a 4.31 ERA, 25th in baseball. Boston signed starter David Price to a $217 million contract and traded four prospects to the Padres for closer Craig Kimbrel. First baseman Hanley Ramirez and third baseman Pablo Sandoval have nowhere to go but up after dismal seasons a year ago.

Why not bet the Red Sox: While the Price signing was a big advantage, the rest of the rotation is still pretty bad and it may take a midseason trade to keep Boston in the running. The offense carried the Red Sox but it was not good enough as they finished with a losing record for the third time in four years. Defensively, the Red Sox were eighth worst in fielding percentage and errors.

Season win total pick: Under 86.5 Wins

New York Yankees (2015: 87-75, -339 units, 77-81-4 O/U)

Division odds: +375
Season win total: 85.5

Why bet the Yankees: New York was three games better in 2015 than the previous season but was unable to catch the Blue Jays in the American League East. Still, the Yankees made the postseason as a Wild Card and bring back virtually everyone. The additions of Starlin Castro, who takes over at second base, and reliever Aroldis Chapman should have them in the mix again.

Why not bet the Yankees: While the Yankees have improved their roster, it may not be enough to keep up with the rest of the division. Chapman is out for the first 30 games of the season and the starting rotation had trouble staying healthy last season. Even if they avoid the injury bug, aside from Masahiro Tanaka, there are numerous question marks with the ability of the rest of the rotation.

Season win total pick: Under 85.5 Wins

Tampa Bay Rays (2015: 80-82, -542 units, 73-76-13 O/U)

Division odds: +650
Season win total: 82.5

Why bet the Rays: Pitching can go a long way to success and the Rays have plenty of it. They led the American League in starter ERA at 3.63 and are buoyed by Cy Young candidate Chris Archer. Despite an offense that finished 25th in runs scored, Tampa Bay was only two games under .500. If they can find some production with the bats, the Rays could be a sleeper in the American League East.

Why not bet the Rays: Replicating the success of the starting rotation could be difficult as there were several overachievers in the mix. The Rays did nothing much to improve the offense in the offseason as they got Steven Pearce and Corey Dickerson which is not saying much. This is the weakest offense in the division so the starters are going to be asked to again carry the load and overachieve.

Season win total pick: Over 82.5 Wins

Toronto Blue Jays (2015: 93-69, +1045 units, 78-73-11 O/U)

Division odds: +190
Season win total: 86.5

Why bet the Blue Jays: The best offense in baseball returns virtually intact with Ben Revere being the lone defection. He was dealt to Washington for relief pitcher Drew Storen to solidify and already solid bullpen. With the departure of David Price, Marcus Stroman is the ace of the staff and he proved what he can do in seven starts after coming back from a torn ACL.

Why not bet the Blue Jays: While the offense is potent, it can only go so far and it will be tough to duplicate the mashing from last season. After Stroman and Marco Estrada, the starting rotation falls off considerably and it will be up to R.A. Dickey and newly acquired J.A. Happ to step up. Toronto could be an injury or two away from just being average once again.

Season win total pick: Over 86.5 Wins

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

AL East Preview
By Matt Zylbert


Boston Red Sox - Predicted Record: 92-70

He may not be Kobe Bryant but David Ortiz is getting set to ride off into the sunset, having announced that this will be the final season of his terrific major league career. And it's probably a good thing that he's not the Black Mamba, as while Kobe's Lakers are putting the finishing touches on yet another embarrassing year, Big Papi's Red Sox seemed poised to do some big things in 2016.

Coming off two surprising last-place finishes, Ortiz and the offense appear to be in good shape in being able to help turn things back around. The mammoth designated hitter is just one of several key cogs in this lineup, as there is a host of others capable of providing heavy lumber. Let's start with Mookie Betts, who is a popular candidate to break out and become a star in the coming year. He has the potential to be a terrific all-around player, and quite frankly, he is this team's future as far as offense goes. Xander Bogaerts is also a key piece of Boston's young emerging core, looking to follow up on a really successful '15 campaign. Dustin Pedroia, Pablo Sandoval and Hanley Ramirez have always played an important role in manufacturing runs, and despite all three coming off injury-hampered seasons, there is hope they can each bounce back and produce something closer to their expected norm. Another name to look out for is young catcher Blake Swihart, who is a nice sleeper candidate to establish himself. Don't overlook Jackie Bradley, either.

In effort of trying to immediately vault the Red Sox back into contention, the club snagged arguably the most important player available this past offseason, that obviously being ace David Price. Starting pitching was Boston's biggest weakness last year, so this signing should do wonders for the club's outlook. He also has a lot of familiarity pitching in the AL East. Clay Buchholz is right behind him entrenched as a fine No. 2 starter, while fellow veteran Rick Porcello is also decent for the position he's secured within the middle of the staff. Youngster Eduardo Rodriguez and Joe Kelly are featured on the back-end, and even if one falters, the Red Sox also have underrated swingman Roenis Elias waiting in the wings. Not only did they improve their rotation through offseason acquisitions, they did the same with their bullpen when they acquired star closer Craig Kimbrel from the Padres. With former standout closer Koji Uehara and Carson Smith installed as the main setup men, Boston's relief corps will be solid at the very least. The end result to all of this should be a return to prominence for the Sawx.

Toronto Blue Jays - Predicted Record: 87-75

When you end baseball's longest playoff drought and make the playoffs for the first time in over 20 years, well, that tends to make everyone a little more free and relaxed. In the process, that could make things more difficult for the rest of the American League, as the Blue Jays could be starting something very special in the coming years.

Much of that, of course, is related to their explosive offense, which led the league in runs scored a year ago. With mostly the same names back in the lineup, it wouldn't be a surprise to see Toronto pull off that same feat in 2016. After all, you have the reigning AL MVP Josh Donaldson still hanging around, and that's just scratching the surface. What about perennial home run threats Jose Bautista and Edwin Encarnacion? While the Jays failed to advance past the ALCS last season, it was Bautista who arguably provided the season's most memorable moment with his iconic bat flip in the deciding win over the Rangers in the prior round. That's the kind of spunk this offense brings. It's also scary to think that they also have Troy Tulowitzki within their supporting cast when he would be the main bat in several other lineups. Russell Martin and Michael Saunders are also capable with the wood, too, and don't forget about intriguing young second baseman Devon Travis, as he'll be back from injury in May.

If there's one thing that can hold the Blue Jays back, it's their starting pitching, which could take a step back in 2016 with David Price and Mark Buehrle no longer on the staff. They will, however, get a full season out of potential star Marcus Stroman barring injury, as he's someone that has real potential to be an ace in the coming years. Marco Estrada is also a crucial name in this pitching rotation, coming off a phenomenal first year with the club. While former NL Cy Young winner R.A. Dickey appears to be declining, Toronto did bolster their pitching by signing underrated southpaw J.A. Happ to bring some more stability. Aaron Sanchez also may have a hand in how this rotation fares. The relief corps looks to be in a bit better shape, as either the impressive Roberto Osuna or newcomer Drew Storen will be the closer, and former All-Star Brett Cecil is still here in a setup role. No matter what, though, as long as the Jays continue to mash, they'll be a factor, as expected.

New York Yankees - Predicted Record: 81-81

In 2015, the Yankees were finally free of historic farewells, after Mariano Rivera and Derek Jeter tearfully said their goodbyes in the previous two campaigns, and the result was a trip back to the postseason, albeit one that ended right away in the AL Wild Card Game. Although they didn't make many notable changes to the roster, there is still hope the Bronx Bombers can craft together one of their trademark storied playoff runs.

Most people don't realize it but New York scored the second-most runs in all of baseball last year, and with much of the same lineup in place, they should at least hover around that same mark in 2016. That will especially ring true if veteran Mark Teixeira can pick up where he left off from his renaissance season of a year ago, and the same sentiment could be made for Alex Rodriguez in the second-to-last campaign of his polarizing career. The Yankees also still have one of the most injury-prone outfields, comprised of Jacoby Ellsbury, Carlos Beltran and Brett Gardner, but if they can stay healthy for the most part, those three guys can still be productive. Meanwhile, Brian McCann is still a regular contributor from behind the plate, while the club should benefit from the upgrade they made at second base after trading for Starlin Castro.

As impactful as the offense may be, the starting rotation could have just as high a ceiling. Masahiro Tanaka, despite battling injury, showed flashes of his dominance from his rookie season the year prior, and as long as he can stay healthy, that'd be crucial. Michael Pineda endured a bit of a drop-off last season as well, but is still someone that can be leaned upon every fifth day for reliable pitching. There's also Nathan Eovaldi, coming off a nice debut campaign with the Yanks. Interestingly, it could be sophomore Luis Severino who provides the most noteworthy statline at the end of the day, after exhibiting outstanding potential as a rookie. For New York to make a serious push, though, odds are they'll need a productive showing from either C.C. Sabathia or Ivan Nova, which is definitely possible. The area to really get excited about if you're a Yankees fan is their remarkable bullpen, which will now have Aroldis Chapman closing games when he returns from suspension. Andrew Miller and Dellin Betances are also still here, and when the three are working together, it will unquestionably be the most lethal back-end of the bullpen in the majors. However, it will be a real challenge overcoming a division that will be much improved collectively.

Tampa Bay Rays - Predicted Record: 77-85

Despite finishing under .500 in 2015, the Rays still overachieved in getting to 80-82 while staying in the Wild Card hunt for the majority of the campaign, an encouraging accomplishment for a young team in its first year in the post-David Price era. With a solid pitching staff and a scrappy lineup, it now wouldn't catch anyone off guard if Tampa Bay were to end up in the postseason.

As it was alluded to, this is a pitching rotation that rolls pretty deep. Of course, it all starts with Chris Archer, the lively right-hander who has gradually developed into a legitimate ace over the past couple of years. Simply another performance in line with his usual work would be gladly accepted. After him, it's a relatively underrated group that could potentially impress significantly. Drew Smyly, for instance, is someone who flies under the radar, but has a high enough ceiling where he could actually be an All-Star as early as this year. Jake Odorizzi falls in that same category, having posted some pretty impressive numbers during his tenure with the Rays. Also, don't forget about Matt Moore, the former top prospect who was enjoying some success in the bigs until injuries limited him the past two seasons. The bullpen won't be as strong while Brad Boxberger is sidelined, but guys like Xavier Cedeno, Alex Colome and former Mariner closer Danny Farquhar are capable of finishing off ballgames.

Just like in their starting rotation, Tampa Bay only really has one big name concerning their offense, that being Evan Longoria. He's generally always provided steady production at the hot corner, but the Rays are going to need more than that if they plan on making an impact this season. They did acquire Corey Dickerson from the Rockies, and while he put up some pretty standout numbers during his time in Colorado, it may be a taller task trying to do that in another city. Steve Souza, Kevin Kiermaier and Logan Forsythe have shown something in the beginning of their respective careers and the club will need them to build on that in order to make a run. Unfortunately for the former Devil Rays, the AL East should be improved from last year, which will make it harder to stay afloat.

Baltimore Orioles - Predicted Record: 74-88

Right off the bat (pun intended), there's one thing that looks like it will be a certainty pertaining to the Orioles' 2016 season: offense. Lots of it. Playing their home games in a hitter-friendly park, with so many proven mashers, there should be a lot of high-scoring affairs at Camden Yards this year, but that will also be related to a lackluster pitching staff, which should ultimately be the club's undoing.

First, let's look at the good. The Orioles already had a potent lineup in place when the '15 campaign reached its conclusion, boasting such talented bats like Adam Jones and Manny Machado, both of whom are also stellar with the glove as well. They re-signed slugger Chris Davis, who has the ability to match any hitter in home runs over a full campaign. The offense got even more explosive when Baltimore was able to acquire Mark Trumbo and Pedro Alvarez, two guys who bring even more considerable power to this batting order. They also added Hyun-soo Kim, an established big bat in Korea. With Matt Wieters and J.J. Hardy also still aboard, the Orioles can truly outslug anyone, one through nine, which should at least ensure a fun season for the faithful of the franchise.

But then there's that starting rotation that could easily finish very close to the bottom in team ERA, especially after losing Wei-Yin Chen. As it stands, Chris Tillman is at the top of the heap despite coming off his worst season in years. The mercurial Ubaldo Jimenez is still here, too, complete with his frustrating inconsistency. Miguel Gonzalez and Kevin Gausman are two solid starters, the latter of which always having a high ceiling, but he's yet to come close to fulfilling that. Baltimore also signed Yovani Gallardo, a fine move by the team for stability, but it just won't be enough to propel the Orioles. They're stuck with that mantra that they could be the Colorado Rockies of the American League, and while it's fun to watch those type of games, it doesn't add up to success in the standings. Thus, there could be a disappointing showing for the O's in their immediate future.

Evaluating AL East Division Bets

The linesmakers just love to sometimes toy around with the emotions of fans in the bigger markets that would love to profit off their team in the coming year. Case in point, the Red Sox have endured consecutive finishes in the AL East basement, and still have some weaknesses, yet are +175 favorites to win the division. In other words, if a gambler were to make the bold call and take the Red Sox to win this tough division, the reward isn't as fruitful as it should be. In any event, they're a team that will certainly rebound. Toronto is also becoming a favorite amongst gamblers, and at +200, they'll draw a decent amount of action. Remember, though, that while they easily outscored the rest of the league last year, their pitching might be worse in 2016, which would easily doom them in this day and age. The Yankees look like a solid value bet at +330 for their potential this year, so bettors should certainly take that under review as well. On the other end of the spectrum, the Orioles and Rays register +700 and +900 odds, respectively, which may look tempting, but simply put, they're just not as complete as the other three division residents. Baltimore's starting pitching should be the worst of the group, if not the entire AL, and will be their downfall, while Tampa Bay's offense ranks far, far below its rivals. Yes, both clubs have the potential to surprise, but to exceed all three of the Sawx, Jays and Yanks? The odds don't even justify making that bet.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NL East Betting Preview: Can Mets dominant rotation deliver another division title?
By STEVE MERRIL

2015 was supposed to be the Nationals' year. But it was the Mets who took over the NL East and won not only the division, but the NL Pennant, thanks to dominant pitching and some clutch hitting. But postseason hero Daniel Murphy has traded in his Mets uniform for that of the rival Nats. Has the division swung back in Washington's favor or is the Mets' rotation just too strong?

Atlanta Braves (2015: 67-95, -1,643 units, 81-72-9 O/U)

Division odds: +8,000
Season win total: 67.5

Why bet the Braves: They play in a weak division that saw two other teams (Marlins and Phillies) go just 71-91 and 63-99 last season. Atlanta improved the top of their batting order with the addition of outfielder Ender Inciarte and shortstop Erick Aybar. Right-hander Julio Teheran, has the potential to be an ace for this pitching rotation.

Why not bet the Braves: They went just 67-95 last season despite a solid 28-18 record in 1-run games. Had they not been fortunate to win 61 percent of those close games, their record would have been even worse. In fact, their X-WL (expected won-loss record using runs scored differential) was 61-101 last year.

Season win total pick: Under 67.5 wins

Miami Marlins (2015: 71-91, -1,413 units, 77-77-8 O/U)

Division odds: +1,200
Season win total: 79.5

Why bet the Marlins: There is talent at the top of the lineup card, with second baseman Dee Gordon, who batted .333 last season with 58 stolen bases, and right fielder Giancarlo Stanton who clobbered 27 home runs in just 74 games played. That would translate to 59 home runs over a full 162 game season. The pitching rotation added lefty Wei-Yin Chen, which gives Miami a solid second starter behind ace Jose Fernandez.

Why not bet the Marlins: The team did little to improve their overall roster from last year's 71-91 squad. The bottom of the batting order is very weak and other than Stanton and Justin Bour at the top, no other player had more than 10 home runs last season. Durability is an issue as the team's best hitter (Stanton) missed 88 games last year, while their best pitcher (Fernandez) only started 11 games.

Season win total pick: Over 79.5 wins

New York Mets (2015: 90-72, 589 units, 84-72-6 O/U)

Division odds: -130
Season win total: 89.5

Why bet the Mets: The defending National League champions have the best 1-2-3 punch of any starting rotation in the league with Jacob deGrom, Matt Harvey, and Noah Syndergaard. They also have a reliable closer in Jeurys Familia, who pitched to a 1.85 ERA last season while converting 43 of 48 save opportunities.

Why not bet the Mets: They lost second baseman Daniel Murphy in the offseason to division rival Washington. Murphy was the team's best offensive weapon in the postseason and the most consistent player in the regular season (130 games played). Durability for the rest of the lineup is a major concern as outfielder Yoenis Cespedes and third baseman David Wright missed 229 regular season games combined last year.

Season win total pick: Over 89.5 wins

Philadelphia Phillies (2015: 63-99, -842 units, 86-64-12 O/U)

Division odds: +8,000
Season win total: 65.5

Why bet the Phillies: They have some young talent which could surprise. Third baseman Maikel Franco hit 14 dingers with 50 RBI in just 80 games last season. His numbers should be even better this year in a full season at the big league level. The team also has power at first base with Ryan Howard and Darin Ruf combining for 35 home runs and 116 RBI last year.

Why not bet the Phillies: The pitching rotation is the worst in the league. They had a 4.69 ERA last season which was only ahead of the Rockies who play in thin air and altitude, while their 5.09 ERA on the road was the worst of any team. The Phillies' top two starting pitchers this year will be Jeremy Hellickson and Charlie Morton. Hellickson's ERA has been 4.52 or worse in each of the past three seasons, while Morton's career ERA is just 4.54. The bullpen provides even less support.

Season win total pick: Under 65.5 wins

Washington Nationals (2015: 83-79, -1,887 units, 83-71-8 O/U)

Division odds: +120
Season win total: 88.5

Why bet the Nationals: The team now has extra motivation and value after underachieving last season and missing the postseason despite being the preseason World Series favorite. Washington is still loaded with talent, including the best overall player in the league in outfielder Bryce Harper. Pair him with three strong starting pitchers in Max Scherzer, Gio Gonzalez, and Stephen Strasburg and the Nats are primed to bounce back. They also acquired former Mets second baseman Daniel Murphy in the offseason.

Why not bet the Nationals: The Nationals only went 83-79 last season despite playing in the weak NL East division, which had three other teams go 71-91, 67-95, and 63-99. Washington was only 39-45 in all non-division games. They also lost their second best starting pitcher, Jordan Zimmermann, in the offseason to the Tigers.

Season win total pick: Over 88.5 wins

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NL East Preview
By Matt Zylbert

New York Mets - Predicted Record: 93-69

What a year it was for the Mets in 2015. From their unlikely run in outlasting the Nationals for the NL East title, to owning October on their way to the franchise's first World Series berth in 15 years, it was the definition of a special campaign. No one has quite had a beat as strong on the Mets as yours' truly, having now predicted New York's final exact record within three games or less in three straight years, including projecting them for last season's improbable playoff run. And there's still more progress on the way as it pertains to the Metropolitans.

First and foremost, the clear-cut main reason the Mets rapidly took off had to do with their remarkable starting pitching. Up and down the staff, this club is built for many years to come, and it's scary to think that this group actually may be even better collectively in '16. Of course, everyone already knew about Jacob deGrom and Matt Harvey, two of the brightest young right-handers in the game today who should continue coasting along while in their prime. After an outstanding rookie season, everyone is now aware of Noah Syndergaard and the potential greatness he brings to the table. Steven Matz also flashed that same fantastic potential, albeit in a much shorter sample size due to injury, but the fact remains he's got an extremely promising future. Meanwhile, veteran Bartolo Colon resides at the bottom of the rotation, serving as a placeholder until ultra-underrated right-hander Zack Wheeler is ready to return from Tommy John in a few months. The bullpen is also in desirable shape, with Jeurys Familia established as the overpowering closer, and Addison Reed and newcomer Antonio Bastardo setting him up.

While it was the pitching rotation that paced the Mets to a wildly successful showing last season, it was the arrival of one slugger in particular that really carried the franchise towards solidifying that National League pennant. That, of course, would be in reference to the trade deadline deal for outfielder Yoenis Cespedes, who single-handedly rejuvenated a formerly lifeless offense that was previously scuffling mightily. Cespedes is the unquestioned star in this lineup, and there are some other good pieces here, too. Curtis Granderson, Travis d'Arnaud, Lucas Duda and longtime captain David Wright each play pivotal roles in helping manufacture runs, and the same should hold true in the new year. Furthermore, Michael Conforto flashed some promise last season as a rookie, while the Mets also added the serviceable Neil Walker to replace the departed Daniel Murphy. All in all, the Mets have everything needed to sustain their success and keep it going.

Washington Nationals - Predicted Record: 90-72

The Nationals entered 2015 with legitimate World Series aspirations, and were even tabbed with the highest win total in baseball by the linesmakers, but instead, the club fell well short of their expectations, even embarrassingly missing out on the postseason. It was a performance that led to the firing of Matt Williams, but with Dusty Baker now in charge, things are shaping up for the franchise to at least win their first postseason series in the post-Montreal era.

There may not be a more dangerous bat in the game today than Bryce Harper, who took another step forward in establishing his excellence with his first career NL MVP award last season. As long as he stays healthy, another monster campaign should be in his immediate future. The fate of the club just won't rest on his shoulders, as the Nats will need notable contributions from their other position players if they want to accomplish big things. For instance, Anthony Rendon must rebound from an injury-plagued campaign and record something more in line with his standout 2014 season. Jayson Werth also endured a forgettable year and it's important he gets back on track. Ryan Zimmerman and Wilson Ramos, meanwhile, are two veteran Nationals hitters still capable of making their mark. The team is also expecting an upgrade at second base, where they interestingly installed former rival Daniel Murphy through free agency.

Pitching should be this club's strong suit, boasting perhaps the most dominant 1-2 punch in the league, if not all of baseball. Max Scherzer had a terrific showing in his first year with the Nats, even starting the All-Star game for the National League. Stephen Strasburg, meanwhile, had some injury problems through the first half, but when he returned, the former No. 1 overall draft pick was normal again and absolutely unhittable. His continued progress will be a big factor in where Washington ends up this season. With Gio Gonzalez, Tanner Roark and young Joe Ross following him on the staff, it's a real quality group, and also be on the lookout for top prospect Lucas Giolito. If there's one concern in D.C., it would be concerning the bullpen, which could be an issue at times last year. Veteran closer Jonathan Papelbon is still here, but getting the ball to him isn't a sure thing, with names like Shawn Kelley, Felipe Rivero and Blake Treinen setting him up. Even so, the Nationals should contend once again and will most likely duke it out with the Mets in one of the sport's best growing rivalries.

Miami Marlins - Predicted Record: 85-77

Things got so messy in South Beach last season that the general manager was deployed to manage the team from the dugout, despite having zero prior experience in that area. Thus, the end result of a very disappointing season came as no surprise when factored in with notable injuries, but there is considerable hope that the Marlins can get back on track in '16 with new manager Don Mattingly leading the way.

When it comes to Miami, it all starts with arguably the game's best slugger in Giancarlo Stanton, who is looking to stay healthy after an injury-ravaged campaign a year ago. If he can accomplish that and churn out his usual monstrous home run output, the Marlins will be right in the hunt. They have some other pieces on offense that are worth raving over, too, such as blooming young outfielder Christian Yelich. Also, let's not forget Dee Gordon is coming off a completely unexpected batting title, and is part of one of the niftier middle infield combos in the league alongside Adeiny Hechavarria. Additionally, Justin Bour and JT Realmuto stood out as rookies, and if they can build on those freshman showings, the Marlins will be in really good shape, especially if talented outfielder Marcel Ozuna can return to old form.

The Fish don't just have a superstar on offense; they have one in their starting rotation, too. Jose Fernandez, now more than a year separated from Tommy John, is bracing for his first full year since the surgery, and if he can simply continue what he's been doing since arriving in the 2013 season, the Marlins will have a real dominant ace that can toe the rubber against anyone. Wei-Yin Chen was acquired to slide into the No. 2 slot, and could end up being one of the top offseason signings. With fine innings-eaters like Jarred Cosart and Tom Koehler behind him, there is a pitching staff in place that is actually pretty sound from top to bottom. That's key because their bullpen is also in good shape, as despite losing the electric Carter Capps for the year, they still have A.J. Ramos closing games, with the formidable trifecta of Bryan Morris, Mike Dunn and Kyle Barraclough serving as setup men. Don't be surprised if the Marlins make a push.

Philadelphia Phillies - Predicted Record: 73-89

It's tough these days to be a Philadelphia sports fan, especially as it concerns the city's baseball franchise, which has finished in the NL East basement in consecutive years now. Fortunately, the dreaded rebuild could be reaching its pinnacle sooner than anticipated, and while it probably won't happen in the upcoming campaign, there's still enough here to perhaps generate a decent season for Philly faithful.

If there's one man in the Phillies lineup that can single-handedly carry the club and help them avoid the NL East basement for a third straight season, it would be rising third baseman Maikel Franco, who impressed as a rookie and appears to be carrying over that momentum through a dazzling spring training. There's a significant gap, however, between Franco and the outlook of the rest of the offense, which is still saddled with the declining Ryan Howard in it. Carlos Ruiz is still here also, and he's shown some signs of fading as well. Cesar Hernandez, Odubel Herrera and Freddy Galvis are some of the youngsters besides Franco that the Phillies are trying to invest in, but there's not a very high ceiling amongst the three of them. The team will also be without Aaron Altherr due to injury for the majority of the slate.

The pitching staff also does not yield a great amount of hope to contend this season, but there are certainly some intriguing young arms amongst this group. Aaron Nola, for one, has the potential to be an upper echelon starter for years to come, and Jerrad Eickhoff, who came over in the Cole Hamels deal, exhibited some real positive signs last year that indicate he's a part of the future, too. In addition, Philadelphia picked up Vincent Velasquez, another talented youngster who has potential to be a solid strikeout artist. With veterans Jeremy Hellickson and Charlie Morton also amongst this group, though, the Phillies will have a tough time matching up against the brilliant rotations in this division. The same could be said of their bullpen, which no longer has Ken Giles or Jonathan Papelbon, and will instead be leaning on either David Hernandez or Andrew Bailey to finish off ballgames. All things considered, the Phillies might actually be a sleeper team in terms of going over their win total, but that's probably the kindest statement that can be made.

Atlanta Braves - Predicted Record: 66-96

Remember that time the Braves won 14 consecutive division titles? Yeah, it's now been 10 years since that historic run came to an end and in that time, Atlanta has amassed just one more NL East crown. Furthermore, they’ve managed to avoid last-place along the way, but entering this season, are looking at the prospect of their first finish in the division cellar since 1990.

Offensively, Atlanta is built around its talented veteran Freddie Freeman, though the star first baseman is still experiencing wrist issues that plagued him in 2015. That's definitely something to keep an eye on because beyond him, there isn't much additional pop. A.J. Pierzynski and Nick Markakis used to be two dependable veterans, but those days are gone, and now they are two miscast bats on a rebuilding roster. The Braves do have some fine youngsters, as Jace Peterson and Adonis Garcia displayed some noteworthy potential a year ago in their rookie campaigns. However, the lineup significantly pales in comparison to that of their division rivals. Hector Olivera and Ender Inciarte are also two unintimidating key components in the batting order.

It's not surprising that the Braves, who succeeded so well on marvelous starting pitching in their glory days, are now suffering from a severe lack of it. Julio Teheran, the staff ace, was tremendously disappointing last season, and will have to improve greatly if this club wants to stay afloat. Atlanta added Bud Norris over the offseason to be a big contributor, and while this author has always been a huge fan of Bud, the fact remains he's coming off an awful year that even led to his release from the Orioles in-season. He did thrive, though, when he was last a regular starter in the NL, so there is potential for him to be a silver lining. At the end of the day, Atlanta must get accelerated development from the likes of Matt Wisler, Manny Banuelos, Williams Perez and Michael Foltynewicz. The bullpen actually looks like it has enough talent to be a main strength for the club, with promising right-hander Arodys Vizcaino closing, and a talented trio of Jason Grilli, Jim Johnson and Alexi Ogando setting him up. However, that won't be enough, and the Braves are staring at a very challenging road ahead.

Evaluating NL East Division Bets

There's no question the Marlins offer the best value with their +800 odds to win the division. For gamblers who don't want to make that commitment, but still want to invest in their potential growth, then Over 79 Wins is probably up your alley. More likely than not, they will be unable to supplant both the Nationals and Mets, but they certainly have the potential to pass one of them when the season is all said and done, which would mean they'd easily register 80-plus wins. Even in third they could still go over the total. They're still the best value, though, because the Mets are an undesirable -125, entering the season with a completely different feel compared to last year, as they are now being hunted not just by their division rivals, but by the rest of the league as well. Meanwhile, Washington is +100, which is tempting, but it'd be nice if there was a slightly bigger payout considering the monumental disaster they went through in 2015. It's still a solid bet, though. Gamblers who like longshots shouldn't waste their time with Braves +6000 and Phillies +6600.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

American League Central betting preview: The tightest division in baseball?
By MATT FARGO

It may be a little strange to think about because of how bad some of these teams have been over the years, but from top to bottom, the American League Central could be the tightest division race in baseball. With the favorite at +170 and the long shot is just +900. Oh yeah, the defending World Series champs are here too.

Chicago White Sox (2015: 76-86, -1,266 units, 76-79-7 O/U)

Division odds: +560
Season win total: 80.5

Why bet the White Sox: Many thought last year was when Chicago would make a big move up and this year, that is the thought once again. The White Sox improved their offense with the additions of Todd Frazier and Brett Lawrie and they possess one of the top starters in baseball in Chris Sale while having arguably the most underrated in Jose Quintana. Defensively, they are improved too which can help an average bullpen.

Why not bet the White Sox: Chicago hit the free agent market last year and struck out big time and it is possible Frazier has hit his max potential while Lawrie is nothing special. The bottom of the batting lineup and the bottom of the rotation are both weak. Only the Mariners, Marlins, and Padres have longer postseason droughts than Chicago so do these players know how to win?

Season win total pick: Under 80.5 Wins

Cleveland Indians (2015: 81-80, -1,320 units, 79-80-2 O/U)

Division odds: +175
Season win total: 85.5

Why bet the Indians: The Indians have now had three straight winning seasons so they know how to win, but need to take the next step. The starting rotation is one of the best in the league led by 2014 Cy Young Winner Corey Kluber and followed by Carlos Carrasco and Danny Salazar, each coming off 14-win seasons. The bullpen had the second lowest ERA in the league last season.

Why not bet the Indians: Michael Brantley, the most consistent hitter over the last three years, had surgery on his right shoulder and could miss the first month of the regular season. This is not good news for a horrible offense that did nothing to improve in the offseason. While Kluber won the CY Young two years ago, he led the league in losses last year so we are not sure what to expect.

Season win total pick: Under 85.5 Wins

Detroit Tigers (2015: 74-87, -1,030 units, 85-68-8 O/U)

Division odds: +500
Season win total: 81.5

Why bet the Tigers: Detroit went from first to worst so there is definitely value with the Tigers this season as injuries played a big role in their decline. They signed Jordan Zimmerman away from Washington and he has been very consistent when healthy. Justin Verlander had a great second half, posting a 2.80 ERA after missing time and pitching poorly early. The offense should be potent again.

Why not bet the Tigers: The Tigers big three, Verlander, Cabrera and Martinez, are 33, 33 and 37 so the fact they were all injured last season is not that surprising. The trades of David Price and Yoenis Cespedes brought in some excellent young talent but is still pretty unproven. Detroit is on the decline while the once youthful teams around them are catching up quickly with Kansas City already moving past.

Season win total pick: Over 81.5 Wins

Kansas City Royals (2015: 95-67, +51,944 units, 73-75-14 O/U)

Division odds: +170
Season win total: 84.5

Why bet the Royals: After winning 95 games during the regular season and capturing the World Series, there seems to be a ton of value with the Royals. The saying goes ‘defense wins championships’ and Kansas City proved that correct with the best defense in the league. This is a very athletic team that can win many different ways even though the long ball is not one of those.

Why not bet the Royals: The big factor now is after two successful years, other teams have the scouting ability to beat the Royals. As mentioned, the offense can rarely win with just one swing of the bat. While it was a given that Johnny Cueto was not going to sign here, his loss will be felt and his replacement is Ian Kennedy. The teams in the Central are not getting any worse.

Season win total pick: Over 84.5 Wins

Minnesota Twins (2015: 83-79, +2,029 units, 72-78-12 O/U)

Division odds: +900
Season win total: 79.5

Why bet the Twins: Manager Paul Molitor thrived in his first season in Minnesota as he led the team to a 13-game improvement and a second place finish. Winning is contagious and after four straight losing seasons, Molitor has brought in a winning culture. The starting rotation improved immensely last year and should be better again while the bullpen will be a lot healthier this year.

Why not bet the Twins: Were the Twins that much better or were the other teams besides Kansas City underachievers? Probably a little bit of both. The offense remains a work in progress as besides Brian Dozier and Joe Mauer, many people would be hard-pressed to name another player in the batting order. An average Ervin Santana is the No. 1 starter with a lot of wild cards behind him.

Season win total pick: Over 79.5 Wins

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

AL Central Preview
By Matt Zylbert


Cleveland Indians - Predicted Record: 91-71

Despite being embattled in a discouraging trend that has seen the team regress in all three years under manager Terry Francona, the fact remains that the Indians are actually entering the new campaign with three consecutive winning seasons. While they haven't advanced past the AL Wild Card Game within that span, there is hope that a deep young pitching staff that just oozes potential can get them back into the playoffs.

One through five, it's a group that really has promise. Of course, it all begins with former AL Cy Young winner Corey Kluber, who is coming off a down season by his standards, but most would agree that he was actually better than his final numbers. Carlos Carrasco is getting a lot of hype in fantasy baseball circles, and perhaps rightfully so, as he's shown some high-ceiling potential throughout his still-young career. So has Danny Salazar, a notable strikeout artist that, if he can just cut down the walks, has the ability to be an All-Star pitcher. There's Trevor Bauer, who is very good to have in the No. 4 slot, while Josh Tomlin is a fine innings-eater at the bottom of it. Stacked rotations can pace the way for teams like this one, and if this staff stays healthy collectively, they have a real shot of propelling the Indians on a run. They can get some quality relief work as well, with Cody Allen installed as the closer and the underrated Bryan Shaw as his main setup man.

Offensively, Cleveland doesn't have as much to brag about, but they could still have enough, led by a solid nucleus of talent. Jason Kipnis, Carlos Santana, and the returning Michael Brantley -- as long as he's able to overcome offseason shoulder surgery -- is a nice trio of hitters to lean on, and are definitely capable of sustaining their success another year. The x-factor, though, in this lineup just might be sophomore shortstop Francisco Lindor, who has potential to be really special. His growth and performance could play the most pivotal role in where this team ends up at season's end. Yan Gomes also has a chance to finally break out if he can stay healthy, while veterans Mike Napoli and Juan Uribe are fine to have as role players. With such talented starting pitching leading the way, as long as the offense can perform decently, the Indians will emerge as one of the league's surprise teams in '16.

Kansas City Royals - Predicted Record: 84-78

One year after narrowly losing the World Series in seven games, the Royals were able to get back to the Fall Classic in 2015 and secure their first championship in 30 years, doing so in decisive fashion opposite the Mets while further solidifying their standing as one of baseball's perennial powers. Heading into the new season, does this look like a team that can pull off a repeat?

Well, one thing to their advantage is that they've largely been able to keep the same group together, which is always a plus when you're coming off a championship run. That is especially true as it concerns their fine offense, which has boasted the same core for awhile now. Of course, some of the most recognizable names are World Series MVP Salvador Perez, Eric Hosmer, Alex Gordon and Mike Moustakas, all of whom rank in the top-half of the league at their respective positions. ALCS MVP Lorenzo Cain, who emerged in a big way last season, is still here, too, as is slugging designated hitter Kendrys Morales. Up and down the lineup, it's a very balanced group, and one, as often on display throughout '15, that can be absolutely relentless. With that same approach, the Royals offense should continue to keep them in ballgames.

But ah, here's where Kansas City could fall apart; their starting pitching is definitely suspect. Johnny Cueto is no longer in town, and in his place is Ian Kennedy, whom the club inked over the offseason. That's a pretty noticeable downgrade. Yordano "Ace" Ventura regressed a bit last year from his impressive rookie campaign, and really, the only stable pitcher in this rotation now appears to be Edinson Volquez, something that isn't exactly desirable when you're trying to pull off back-to-back titles. Expecting Chris Young to repeat his renaissance season of a year ago will also be a tough sell. Luckily for the Royals, they still do sport one of the strongest bullpens anywhere, as despite not having Greg Holland for the year, they now have the unhittable Wade Davis locked in as the closer, while Kelvin Herrera, Joakim Soria and Luke Hochevar are as good a set-up trio as you can have. With such a questionable pitching staff, though, not to mention the improvement of their fellow AL Central residents, it could be a struggle for KC to even get back into the playoffs.

Detroit Tigers - Predicted Record: 82-80

It was a hard fall from grace last year for the Tigers, who entered 2015 with four consecutive AL Central titles, not to mention one World Series appearance over that span. Not only did that streak end, it came to a crashing halt, as Detroit crashed all the way into the division cellar. But it wasn't just the team's fault, having to deal with considerable injuries to some of their star players all year long, while most of their rivals were rapidly improving.

If their lineup can stay healthy this time around, it really can be as good as any around, still consisting of such premium sluggers like former Triple Crown winner Miguel Cabrera, J.D. Martinez, Victor Martinez, and now Justin Upton, whom was signed over the winter. In addition, let's not forget about former All-Star second baseman Ian Kinsler pacing these mashers atop the batting order. Cameron Maybin and Nick Castellanos have some pop as well. Without question, the Tigers offense is capable of outscoring anybody.

While Detroit's hitting should be a dependable constant, the same cannot be said of their starting pitching, which will be far from any sort of certainty. There's still Justin Verlander here, and while he had a solid rebound campaign last season, he's now years removed from his prime. They managed to sign Jordan Zimmermann over the winter, someone who will definitely provide an upgrade for this pitching staff, but with Anibal Sanchez, Mike Pelfrey and Daniel Norris behind him, it's just not a very encouraging group overall. The bullpen, though, looks like it has enough quality arms to be stable. The Tigers will receive an upgrade at closer with the addition of Francisco Rodriguez, and with Justin Wilson and Mark Lowe serving as his setup men, their relief corps could rank above many when all is said and done. Ultimately, the Tigers should at least get much closer than last year in trying to retain their Central division throne, but at the same time, it wouldn't be a surprise if they settled in the middle of the pack.

Chicago White Sox - Predicted Record: 77-85

There's an argument that could be made that the White Sox were the most disappointing team in the American League last season. With superstar-caliber players featured on both sides of the ball, this was a team that was supposed to take a leap, but ended up taking a backseat in second-to-last place.

One such superstar residing within the south side of Chicago is Chris Sale, the Clayton Kershaw-type ace of the American League who had arguably the most memorable run of any starter in 2015, when he tied the major league record with eight straight starts in which he struck out 10 batters or more. Is there enough beyond him, though? Jose Quintana has been as steady as any mid-rotation pitcher in the game the last few years, but might be a little out of his element cast as the team's No. 2 hurler. Carlos Rodon is a very intriguing prospect with a mega high ceiling, but could experience more growing pains in his sophomore season if he can't cut down on his walks. Meanwhile, John Danks and Mat Latos are below-average options for a major league rotation at this stage in their careers, and their presence could end up being costly for the White Sox. At least the bullpen looks sharp with David Robertson still closing and Nate Jones setting him up along with the resurgent Zach Duke.

Jose Abreu is the other superstar currently logging his prime years in Chicago, and it's his bat that is the main driving force of this lineup. He has another big-time hitter joining him this season on the opposite corner of the diamond, that being regular power threat Todd Frazier (although it cost them Zylbert Guy starting pitching prospect Frankie Montas). Adam Eaton, meanwhile, is not a superstar, at least not yet, but he has developed into a solid leadoff man who has a real leadership-type role on this team. Don't forget about Melky Cabrera either, being someone can still play at a high level when he stays healthy. There's potential with this team, but in such a tough and competitive division, it'll be real difficult again to break through.

Minnesota Twins - Predicted Record: 74-88

Although they did not make the playoffs a year ago, the Twins were undoubtedly one of the surprise teams in all of baseball, hovering around the top of the AL Wild Card hunt all year, even claiming ownership of one of the two spots for much of the campaign as well. They ultimately faded at the very end, but the message was received that they're back on the way up.

Or are they? Their strides last year were impressive, but Minnesota is still a club with glaring weaknesses. For one, their starting rotation is a little concerning. Phil Hughes, after all, is the leader of the staff, but is still prone to getting roughed up on occasion, especially when away from home. While this author has long been a supporter of Kyle Gibson, he may need to pick up his strikeouts if he really wants to ascend into an All-Star-type pitcher and help the Twins progress further. Ervin Santana and Tommy Milone are the other notable arms in place here, and will have to both be successful for Minnesota to make any noise, though that won't be an easy task. Their main relievers are pretty good, at least, as Glen Perkins has been marvelous as the team's closer for a few years now, and he has a fine group setting him up comprised of Kevin Jepsen, Trevor May and Casey Fien.

The Twins offense probably has a higher ceiling, and much of that has to do with the growth of their special youngster over at the hot corner Miguel Sano, who really does have MVP-caliber potential if his rookie showing is any indication. Odds are he's going to be an impact bat for the next several years. Sano is sparking a youth movement that also consists of Byron Buxton, the speedy outfielder that boasts a lot of promise, and Brian Dozier, someone already entrenched as one of the better offensive second basemen in the game. Minnesota will absolutely need more contributions around them, specifically from former AL MVP Joe Mauer, who hasn't been as successful in recent years, but can still swing a solid bat. Trevor Plouffe and newcomer Byung-ho Park will be relied upon as well. Despite an encouraging campaign last year, the Twins might end up taking a step back in one of the more feisty divisions in baseball.

Evaluating AL Central Division Bets

Those looking to bet on Kansas City at +125 to continue their reign should be very weary of their starting pitching this year, as it could be single-handedly be their undoing. Also, the team's mental drive just may not be there this year, after winning it all following a year in which they narrowly lost by seven games in the World Series. Collectively, it's just a much different situation, and will be even tougher with improvements around the division. That's where bettors should consider the Indians at +220, armed with their potentially awesome starting rotation, a quality manager, and one of the game's top managers in Terry Francona. That's probably the best bet within this group. The Tigers are an intriguing bet at +400, as they can outhit anybody, and the pitching staff should ideally be improved after signing Jordan Zimmermann. The problem is their depth is lacking in that area. The White Sox are a very interesting +700 bet, but remember, they were a big disappointment last season, and will enter the new campaign with that annoying off-the-field distraction over Adam LaRoche's son that has pitted the clubhouse against the general manager. Meanwhile, Minnesota made some nice positive strides last year, making their +1000 odds stand out, but more likely than not, they simply won't outlast the other four teams. This is still a young team gradually trying to work its way up.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

National League Central betting preview: Is it finally the Cubs year?
By STEVE MERRIL

Is this the year the Cubs finally break the "Curse of the Billy Goat" and capture their first World Series title since 1908? Well the expectations in Chicago are enormous this season and the question will be can the Cubs hold up to the pressure of those lofty expectations.

Chicago Cubs (2015: 97-65, 1,751 units, 71-81-10 O/U)


Division odds: -240

Season win total: 93.5

Why bet the Cubs: This team continues to improve, including a 97-win playoff appearance last year. The Cubs strengthened their offensive lineup and pitching rotation by acquiring OF Jason Heyward and SP John Lackey from division rival St. Louis in the offseason. Chicago now has one of the best rotations in the league along with Jake Arrieta and Jon Lester.

Why not bet the Cubs: Chicago finished last season with eight straight wins, but they still finished only 3rd in this division as the NL Central is extremely competitive with the Cardinals and Pirates. Chicago was a fortunate 13-5 in extra inning games which inflated their overall record. The Cubs' X_WL (expected won-loss record using runs scored differential) was only 90-72 last year.

Season win total pick: Over 93.5 wins

Cincinnati Reds (2015: 64-98, -3,110 unit, 83-73-6 O/U)

Division odds: +10,000
Season win total: 70.5

Why bet the Reds: The Reds were a bit unlucky in close games last season, including just 5-12 in extra inning affairs. In fact, Cincinnati's X_WL (expected won-loss record using runs scored differential) was 69-93 last year. The team has replaced several unproductive players in the lineup with younger prospects, so there is a level of uncertainty on this roster which could surprise.

Why not bet the Reds: The pitching rotation looks horrible with starters such as Homer Bailey (5.56 ERA), Anthony DeSclafani (4.05 ERA), Raisel Iglesias (4.15 ERA), John Lamb (5.80 ERA), and Michael Lorenzen (5.40 ERA). They also lost 3B Todd Frazier (35 HR, 89 RBI) and closer Aroldis Chapman (1.63 ERA, 33 saves) during the offseason.

Season win total pick: Under 70.5 wins

Milwaukee Brewers (2015: 68-94, -2,081 units, 81-69-12 O/U

Division odds: +6,000
Season win total: 70

Why bet the Brewers: They have some young talent and one of the better farm systems in the league as new general manager David Sterns helped rebuild the Houston Astros. Milwaukee's starting rotation has potential as both Matt Garza and Wily Peralta should pitch better this season after underachieving last year. RHP Taylor Jungmann showed promise with 107 strikeouts in 119 innings pitched as a rookie last year.

Why not bet the Brewers: Milwaukee has a very young and unproven lineup in a very difficult division that saw the Cardinals, Pirates and Cubs win a combined 295 regular season games last year. The Brewers were a competitive 16-16 in one-run games last season, but they went a horrendous 52-78 in all other games.

Season win total pick: Over 70 wins

Pittsburgh Pirates (2015: 98-64, 2,135 units, 75-75-12 O/U)

Division odds: +450
Season win totals: 86.5

Why bet the Pirates: They had the second most wins (98) in the league last season and they had the best overall offense in NL Central, leading the division in team batting average, on-base percentage, hits and runs scored. CF Andrew McCutchen remains one of the best all-around players in the league. RHP Gerrit Cole (2.60 ERA/1.09 WHIP) has become a legitimate ace, and the Pirates acquired LHP Jon Niese from the Mets in the offseason.

Why not bet the Pirates: The Pirates were fortunate to go 36-17 in one-run games last year and will likely regress this season in close games. Pittsburgh's X_WL (expected won-loss record using runs scored differential) was only 92-70 last year, so the team overachieved. Meanwhile, they did not make enough offseason acquisitions to keep pace with the Cubs and Cardinals this season.

Season win total pick: Under 86.5 wins

St. Louis Cardinals (2015: 100-62, 2,247 units, 66-85-11 O/U)

Division odds: +400
Season win total: 87.5

Why bet the Cardinals: They have five straight playoff appearances, including three straight division titles. Last season they became the first team to win 100 regular season games in the past four years, despite missing their best starting pitcher Adam Wainwright for five months due to an Achilles injury. Wainwright is now healthy this season and St. Louis have a dominant bullpen along with closer Trevor Rosenthal.

Why not bet the Cardinals: The depth of the starting pitching rotation is a concern. Wainwright missed five months last season, plus Jaime Garcia and Carlos Martinez had recent injuries. Lance Lynn will miss this entire season due to Tommy John surgery, while RHP John Lackey and OF Jason Heyward were both acquired by division rival Chicago this offseason.

Season win total pick: Under 87.5 wins

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NL Central Preview
By Matt Zylbert

Chicago Cubs - Predicted Record: 94-68

Arguably the most glaring surprise from all of last season (and brilliantly predicted by this author, remember) was the rapid rise of the Cubs, who gelled together right away under new manager Joe Maddon, en route to reaching the playoffs for the first time since 2008. This time around, however, they will enter the new campaign with rocket-high expectations, but just may have enough blossoming talent to go even further than last year's trip to the NLCS.

There's no arguing that the young nucleus possessed by Chicago is as bright as it gets anywhere else. Kris Bryant made his much-anticipated debut last season, and proceeded to win the NL Rookie of the Year honors with ease. It's more likely than not that he evolves into one of the best third basemen in the sport. Anthony Rizzo is already one of the elite players at his position on the opposite corner of the diamond, and should continue churning out his usual production. Kyle Shwarber is another big name in this youth movement, someone capable of registering outstanding numbers over a full season. The Cubs didn't just stay content with that, also adding Jayson Heyward and Ben Zobrist, two veterans who should bolster the offense and defense. They also re-signed Dexter Fowler to remain in his role as the club's leadoff man.

With last year's NL Cy Young award winner Jake Arrieta leading the pitching rotation, the Cubs have arguably the best ace in the league. Jon Lester would be an ace on several other teams, but fits in comfortably as the No. 2 hurler, providing Chicago with a lethal 1-2 punch. The team did make one alteration for this year's staff, prying away John Lackey from the division rival Cardinals, and the reliable veteran is capable of giving his new team an upgrade. Jason Hammel and young Kyle Hendricks round it out, and are fine starters to have on the back-end. The one area the Cubbies could use a little improvement is in the bullpen, but Hector Rondon is coming off a stellar first season as the team's closer. The pair of Pedro Strop and Justin Grimm appears to be solid enough in helping get him the ball for the ninth inning. Overall, it looks like it'll be another mightily successful season for the Cubs, and perhaps the final step in quenching the franchise's thirst for its first World Series title since 1908.

Pittsburgh Pirates - Predicted Record: 87-75

It seems like a distant memory now when the Pirates were the laughingstock of the National League, enduring an absolutely brutal stretch in which they missed the playoffs in 20 straight years. Then manager Clint Hurdle came to town and, no pun intended, turned the ship around for the Pirates. Now, Pittsburgh is firmly established as a perennial contender, with potential to do some big things in '16.

While it's mostly been a balanced effort over the past handful of seasons, the Pirates have easily stood out with their starting pitching staff. Gerrit Cole, for instance, debuted four years ago and has already risen to a very high level in which he is regarded as one of the best aces in the NL. Francisco Liriano has also performed like an upper echelon starter, having revitalized his career since arriving in the Steel City. The club will welcome new addition Jon Niese, who still has potential to be a productive mid-rotation arm in the bigs. They also added Ryan Vogelsong and Juan Nicasio, two guys capable of eating up innings on the back-end in case Jeff Locke falters. The bullpen has been just as stingy, as Mark Melancon has done a tremendous job at closer since taking over the job. Tony Watson, Neftali Feliz, Jared Hughes and Arquimedes Caminero comprise a desirable crew in setting him up.

When you look at Pittsburgh's outfield, it would be a fair argument to make that this could be the main reason why the Pirates advance into October baseball once again. Andrew McCutchen is a former NL MVP, and clearly, he's still very much in his prime as one of the league's best players. Playing alongside him are Starling Marte and Gregory Polanco, two extremely athletic studs who both come with a high ceiling. Also having key role players like Francisco Cervelli, Josh Harrison and Jung Ho Kang, the Pirates still possess a formidable lineup to back up their quality pitching rotation. Boasting the same type of balance that has propelled them in the past few years, the Pirates should still be mixing it up with the league's elite all year long.

St. Louis Cardinals - Predicted Record: 83-79

With three straight division titles under their belt, the Cardinals have built a stronghold over the NL Central, but will 2016 be the year their empire finally falls? It very well could be given the rapid emergence of some of their regular counterparts, but at the very least, this looks like a team that won't be going down without a fight.

When it comes to pitching, St. Louis is always well-stocked both within their rotation and their bullpen, and the same sentiment will ring true in the upcoming campaign. Although they won’t have injured right-hander Lance Lynn for the entire year, they will receive an upgrade in the form of veteran ace Adam Wainwright, who missed almost all of last season before returning at the very end in a relief role. Considering Waino has always been as consistent as anyone, that's huge. Young studs Michael Wacha and Carlos Martinez are also back, looking to carry over their gradual progress from recent years. Also, don't forget about Jaime Garcia, who looked like he finally overcame his frequent injury issues, en route to registering his most starts in four seaons. The bullpen maintains a similar type of stability, and will once again implement the services of Trevor Rosenthal at closer. Kevin Siegrist, Jordan Walden and Seth Maness are the other quality arms residing in the 'pen.

On offense, there's an interesting blend of established veterans and blossoming youngsters. Yadier Molina, Matt Holliday and Jhonny Peralta, of course, represent the elder statesmen in the lineup, having each excelled for a number of years now. It's no secret that their health hasn't been as dependable in the recent past, so whenever the changing of the guard takes place, St. Louis still has some very nice young talent to lean on. Kolten Wong and Matt Carpenter have already experienced bouts of notable success, and will look to keep it going. Intriguing newer players like Randal Grichuk and Stephen Piscotty, meanwhile, bring standout potential. At the end of the day, it simply boils down to whether or not this is all enough to stave off the Pirates and Cubs, and for the first time in awhile, it looks like the Cardinals won't be the team on top after game No. 162.

Milwaukee Brewers - Predicted Record: 74-88

Remember those Brewers teams from the early-2000s? Geoff Jenkins, Richie Sexson, Jeremy Burnitz, Ben Sheets, Glendon Rusch. They could mash, but would consistently land near the bottom of the NL Central, and based on last year's showing, in which the franchise produced their worst record in more than 10 years, well, those times could unfortunately be returning.

Milwaukee has a lot of "ifs" as it concerns their offense. If their longtime face of the franchise Ryan Braun can return to dominant form, this is a club that maybe has a chance to compete. Once a perennial All-Star, Braun's output has decreased in recent years. Can newcomer Chris Carter be a viable power source in the heart of the order? Maybe the slugger can finally cut down on his strikeouts, but he does bring intriguing power potential. Can veteran Aaron Hill turn back the clock? Is Domingo Santana ready to establish himself as an everyday slugger in the outfield? Is this the year Scooter Gennett evolves into an upper echelon second baseman? The Brew Crew needs a lot of things to go right for their offense to be consistently reliable.

The pitching staff, meanwhile, has questions of its own. Does Matt Garza still have what it takes to contribute as a mid-rotation starter? Can Wily Peralta somehow duplicate his 2014 showing? At the very least, they do have a couple of young arms with bright outlooks, particularly Taylor Jungmann and Jimmy Nelson. Jungmann, a former first-round draft pick, was sensational as a rookie last year, while Nelson has exhibited the potential that he can be one of the leaders of this group. Also, newcomer Chase Anderson might be an okay fit as a bottom-end starter. Milwaukee hasn't tabbed its closer yet but they do have some potentially fine arms to help finish off games, sporting the likes of Jeremy Jeffress, Will Smith, Cory Knebel and Michael Blazek. On paper, it looks like a transition year is on tap for the Brewers, but based on potential, this team may have the ability to surprise a bit. In other words, they're at least a sleeper team to go over their low win total.

Cincinnati Reds - Predicted Record: 64-98

An argument could be made that the Reds were the most difficult team to handicap last year. Why? Well, hmm, they only started a rookie pitcher in their last 64 games to close out the season, which is a major league record by a mile, shattering the previous mark. In fact, they captured the record before the middle of September. This is what life for the Reds was like after trading away Johnny Cueto.

It was quite a cast of characters, ranging from Anthony DeSclafani, to John Lamb, to Jon Moscot, to Raisel Iglesias. Comically, it looks like Cincinnati is set on sticking to those same options for the rotation from within. DeSclafani and Iglesias actually showed potential they can provide stable work, but the rest of the staff is a mess, especially if Keyvius Sampson and Michael Lorenzen are still starting here. If the Reds have any chance of staying afloat, they'll need Homer Bailey to come back healthy and strong after missing all but two starts a year ago. They'll also require that either J.J. Hoover or Jumbo Diaz steps up as a viable closer with Aroldis Chapman no longer in town.

At least Cincinnati's offense appears to be in better shape. There is still former NL MVP Joey Votto pacing the offense, getting assistance from other quality bats like Brandon Phillips and Jay Bruce. Zack Cozart and Devin Mesoraco have also experienced success, though they were limited by injuries in 2015. Todd Frazier is gone but the club still does have electric leadoff man Billy Hamilton, who still may have untapped potential. It all may not matter, though. More likely than not, the Reds pitching staff will finish near the bottom in team ERA, and even when they do have a lead, there's notable uncertainty with their bullpen. Coinciding with the further rise of their division rivals, it looks like another tough year is in store for the Reds.

Evaluating NL Central Division Bets

The Cubs are obviously a trendy favorite to pick up where they left off in 2015, but with -200 odds to win the NL Central, most people will probably be scared away, and rightfully so. Remember, this was the best division in baseball last year, featuring three legitimate elite teams. In fact, the three best records in all of baseball last season were right here in this division, so why are the linesmakers being so unfair in overinflating Chicago's division odds? It's probably to protect themselves from countless people loading up on the Cubs. In any event, the Cardinals and Pirates carry solid value as a result, at +300 and +350, respectively, leaving open the possibility for gamblers to bet both sides and churn out a guaranteed profit in the end if the Cubs don't beat out the other two perennial behemoths. At the other end of the spectrum, the Brewers at +5000 and the Reds at +6600 might as well be burning money. Since I don't want to go against my own personal prediction that the Cubs will capture the NL Central title, I'm definitely not making a futures bet on the division, but it is an interesting thought that you can make a decent profit by betting both the Pirates and Cardinals, as long as Chicago doesn't prevail in the end. Just something to keep in mind.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

American League West betting preview: Can Rangers hold off Astros, Angels?
By MATT FARGO

The Rangers rode one of the hottest second halves to claim last season's American League West crown away from the Astros. Can Texas hold off the hotshot youngsters of Houston and arguably baseball best player in Mike Trout and the Angels to defend their division title?

Houston Astros (2015: 86-76, -278 units, 73-80-9 O/U)

Division odds: +140

Season win total: 88.5

Why bet the Astros: After close to a decade of losing, the Astros had a winning season last year and made the playoff for the first time since 2005. The winning should be here to stay as the days of rebuilding are gone as Houston boasts one of the best all-around players in the game in Carlos Correa and has a great one-two punch at the top of the rotation. The Astros have a new closer in Ken Giles to head the best bullpen in baseball.

Why not bet the Astros: The Astros have the pieces to make another playoff run but the division is tougher this season. Houston led the American League in strikeouts, whiffing 1,392 times but was second in home runs so it is all or nothing. While the top of the rotation is one of the best, the backend is susceptible to inconsistencies. Houston had several players that had its best years ever so a repeat of those may be tough.

Season win total pick: Under 88.5 Wins

Los Angeles Angels (2015: 85-77, +230 units, 76-78-8 O/U)

Division odds: +485
Season win total: 80.5

Why bet the Angels: The Angels have one of the best players in baseball in Mike Trout and he can put a lot on his shoulders, both offensively and defensively. The starting rotation has a bunch of young arms that have already found success so replacing Jered Weaver and C.J. Wilson if needed will not be a problem. The bullpen is adequate with the strength being the setup/closer duo of Joe Smith and Huston Street.

Why not bet the Angels: While Trout is awesome, he could not carry enough of the offense so there needs to be production elsewhere. Albert Pujols is not getting any younger and the lower part of the lineup did not improve at all. Injuries have hurt the starters at different times so there is no guarantee they will be in full health. To compete, Los Angeles has to have a big year from the starters which could be too much to ask.

Season win total pick: Over 80.5 Wins

Oakland Athletics (2015: 68-94, -2,942 units, 86-66-10 O/U)

Division odds: +1200
Season win total: 75.5

Why bet the Athletics: Oakland won just 68 games last season and while the total is higher this year, this is the one team in baseball that can overachieve with the best of them. It was basically a fire sale prior to 2015 and the chemistry just was not there but a year later should improve that. Sonny Gray is one of the top starters in baseball and they improved their bullpen in the offseason after finishing with the highest ERA in the A.L.

Why not bet the Athletics: Even though improvements to the pen were made, it may not be enough to get significantly better. After Sonny Gray, there is no sure second starter which shows the lack of quality depth. Oakland had a huge decrease in runs scored from 2014 and the biggest addition to help was Khris Davis which is not saying a lot. While everyone else in the West has gotten better, Oakland has fallen the other way.

Season win total pick: Under 75.5 Wins

Seattle Mariners (2015: 76-86, -2,056 units, 79-76-7 O/U)

Division odds: +360
Season win total: 82.5

Why bet the Mariners: Expectations have been high over the last few years for the Mariners and they have disappointed. They brought in a new GM and he made a lot of moves in the offense to improve a shaky offense and a very poor bullpen. Robinson Cano had a great second half and can hopefully carry that over. Felix Hernandez is still the king and he has a decent group behind him with a very high ceiling.

Why not bet the Mariners: While changes were done to improve the team, sometimes change can hurt early on and Seattle could fall into a hole and not be able to recover. Hernandez, despite winning 18 games last season, had his highest ERA since 2007 and the bullpen behind him did not help matters. The 4.15 ERA was 25th in the league and they blew 24 saves so improvements need to be massive.

Season win total pick: Under 82.5 Wins

Texas Rangers (2015: 88-74, +2,955 units, 72-80-10 O/U)

Division odds: +300
Season win total: 83.5

Why bet the Rangers: It was an incredible turnaround last season as on August 13th, the Rangers were a game under .500 but went 32-17 down the stretch to overtake the Astros. Now they have Cole Hamels for an entire season and get Yu Darvish back from Tommy John surgery which makes the top of the rotation dangerous. The offense finished third in baseball in runs scored so the production should be there again.

Why not bet the Rangers: Texas went from worst to first so was it a fluke ending or has it improved this much? After taking a 2-0 lead against Toronto in the A.L. Divisional Series, they lost three straight which may be hard to recover from. Darvish will not be back until mid-May so it will up to bottom half of the rotation to pick up the slack. Texas will not be sneaking up on anybody this season.

Season win total pick: Over 83.5 Wins

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

AL West Preview
By Matt Zylbert


Houston Astros - Predicted Record: 89-73

From 2011-13, the Astros were the biggest laughingstock in all of baseball, averaging a woeful 108 losses annually over that span. They made some progress in the 2014 campaign, getting to 70 wins, so when the club broke out with 86 victories a year ago, en route to stifling the Yankees in the AL Wild Card Game, it was one of baseball's bigger surprises in quite some time. Now, Houston is expected to contend, with potential to do so much more.

Looking at the lineup, there's really a lot of talent in place here that could have the Astros set for a really long time. They're certainly in terrific shape concerning the shortstop position, after former No. 1 overall draft pick Carlos Correa made his long-awaited debut and impressed the baseball world right away. If you watched him even briefly, you know the comparisons to a young Alex Rodriguez are legitimate. Of course, the Astros already have a star playing alongside him at second base, that of course being Jose Altuve, while George Springer certainly has mammoth potential to be one as well if he can just stay healthy. So right there, that's three upper echelon youngsters Houston has to build around. Carlos Gomez and Evan Gattis are plus bats in this offense, too, and should help ensure the Astros are in the mix all season long.

With last year's AL Cy Young award winner Dallas Keuchel leading the rotation, it's easy to say Houston's starting pitching is in a healthy state as well. In fact, Keuchel was so good that he finished the campaign a perfect 16-0 at home, including playoffs. Collin McHugh clocks in right behind him, coming off a season in which he nearly won 20 games. There's more quality depth with youngster Lance McCullers, who had a nice rookie showing in '15, and while he's beginning the new season on the disabled list, the club does have serviceable veteran Scott Feldman to keep his spot warm in the meantime. Proven Doug Fister, who was acquired over the offseason, and Mike Fiers round it out to comprise just a nice group overall. The bullpen received an upgrade as well with the addition of Ken Giles as the new closer, and with former closer Luke Gregerson setting him up, it's one of the better 1-2 punches finishing off ballgames. Having desirable talent everywhere, the Astros should be playing into October for a second straight year.

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim - Predicted Record: 87-75

You might not realize it but the Angels have established quite the track record over the past decade and change, possessing 10 winning seasons in the past 12 years. The problem? A lack of success when it comes time for the playoffs, often falling short of high expectations, and last year was just another such instance in a long line of them.

That doesn't mean they won't be right back in the thick of things, as remember, this is the team that employs the best player in all of Major League Baseball, that of course being in reference to the great Mike Trout. The former AL MVP is obviously the main piece here, and he's received some nice assistance from fellow intimidating slugger Albert Pujols, but one of the Angels' main issues in recent years is the lack of depth surrounding them. However, this could be the year that all changes. Kole Calhoun and C.J. Cron, for example, are two fine youngsters who are starting to come into their own as everyday players with a plus bat. Recognizing a need for extra lumber, Anaheim went out and acquired Yunel Escobar and defensive wizard Andrelton Simmons, who both will provide an upgrade to the left side of the infield. Pesky second baseman Johnny Giavotella is also worth pointing out as well.

If the Angels are to get back into the postseason, though, they'll probably need more of an improvement as it concerns their starting pitching. Jered Weaver is still one of the main arms in this rotation, but with significantly declining velocity, his days appear to be numbered. Thus, it's important Garrett Richards continues to solidify himself as an upper echelon starter. C.J. Wilson, who bounced back nicely last season, is dealing with injury issues and will begin the year on the disabled list, so it is very imperative that the likes of Andrew Heaney and 2015 All-Star Hector Santiago continue to evolve into dependable major league pitchers. Fellow youngsters Nick Tropeano and Tyler Skaggs -- the latter returning from Tommy John surgery -- could end up being very important pitchers for Anaheim, too. The bullpen, fortunately, looks to be stable, with Huston Street still serving as the closer, and a pretty good pair in Joe Smith and Fernando Salas setting him up. It looks like another winning season is in the cards for the Halos, but their playoff destiny will be up to how well the young starting pitching holds up.

Texas Rangers - Predicted Record: 83-79

It's pretty rare to see a team complete a worst-to-first transformation, but that's exactly what the Rangers did in 2015 under then-new manager Jeff Banister. In fact, their improvement of 21 games from the previous season was the second largest increase in major league history, and they became the fifth team ever to make the postseason one year after having the league's worst record (which was mainly due to injuries). So, what's next for Texas?

Given their hard-hitting offense, which plays half its games in one of the friendliest parks for hitters in all of baseball, the Rangers should still be one the main players in the AL West. Prince Fielder will have a say in the lineup's continued success, having bounced back in a huge way after missing nearly all of 2014, so much so that he was rewarded with the AL's Most Improved Player award last season. There's also still Adrian Beltre, one of the most dangerous third basemen in the game. Shin-Soo Choo and Mitch Moreland can still rake, while Rougned Odor is a trendy pick to break out into an upper echelon second baseman this year. Plus, they also added Ian Desmond to play the outfield with Elvis Andrus still at shortstop, and that's something that could end up being one of the more underrated moves over the winter.

The Achilles' heel for the Rangers historically has always been their starting pitching, but they could actually end up having one of the better rotations in the American League. It will be dependent on the health of their staff ace, Yu Darvish, who missed all of 2015 thanks to Tommy John surgery. He's set to make his season debut at some point in May or June, and if all goes according to plan, Texas should be good with their pitching. They have another ace-caliber starter behind him in Cole Hamels, whom the club acquired from Philadelphia last year at the trade deadline. Derek Holland, Martin Perez and Colby Lewis follow suit, providing decent work on the back-end. The relief corps can also be a strength for the Rangers, as Shawn Tolleson was outstanding last year in his first time closing, while Keone Kela and Sam Dyson form an above-average pair in setting him up. With how tough the AL West is these days, it's hard to tell if the Rangers can repeat as division champs, but they'll certainly be in the mix.

Oakland Athletics - Predicted Record: 78-84

It's still hard to believe that halfway through the 2014 season, the Athletics were the best team in the American League, mowing down through the competition and taking on all adversaries with ease. Then overrated general manager Billy Beane put his fingers on the roster, and poof, all those big plans vanished and the A's have literally been the worst team in the American League since.

To Beane's credit, he did make some slight alterations for this year's group, and the results could be considerably positive. For one, he deserves a tip of the cap for acquiring the underrated Khris Davis, someone that has displayed enormous power potential and is surely a breakout candidate, now being one of the focal points of an offense unlike during his time in Milwaukee. He also lured in underappreciated Yonder Alonso, another slugger with notable potential, and brought back Jed Lowrie, one of the better slugging second basemen in the league. Combine those names with what's already in place in Oakland, such as Josh Reddick, Stephen Vogt, "Country Breakfast" Billy Butler and emerging leadoff man Billy Burns, and you have a pretty formidable lineup to trot up to the plate.

The starting pitching that's here is pretty good, too. Sonny Gray, entering his fourth season in the big leagues, is already one of the more established aces in the AL. The A's have a drop-off in talent after him, but there's still a group beyond him capable of being productive. Jesse Hahn, for instance, must stay healthy and will be capable of a nice full season. The same argument could be made for Kendall Graveman. There were also a couple of sneaky additions over the winter for this rotation, one being Rich Hill, who absolutely blossomed after a September call-up with the Red Sox last year. The other was former All-Star Henderson Alvarez, and while he's set to begin the year on the disabled list, his inclusion could pay dividends. Sean Doolittle is in place as the closer, meanwhile, with Ryan Madson and newcomer Liam Hendriks keeping leads in place for him. One thing is for certain; Oakland should be much improved from last year's disaster.

Seattle Mariners - Predicted Record: 74-88

The Mariners were supposed to be really good a year ago, even entering the campaign with World Series possibilities in the eyes of some (including this author), only to disappoint mightily and land in second-to-last place. It was a season that led to the dismissal of Lloyd McClendon. Now Scott Servais is in place, and with much of the same roster, Seattle will still have lofty expectations to trying to end baseball's longest playoff drought.

It's been 15 years now since the Mariners last made the postseason, but it looks like they have an offense that can contend with many. For instance, they sport one of the game's premier power hitters in Nelson Cruz, who is still comfortably in his prime and is a regular amongst the league-leaders in home runs annually. Also residing in the heart of the order is Robinson Cano, and while he is coming off a down season by his high standards, he did enjoy an encouraging second half of 2015 that would indicate he should be fine for the upcoming campaign. Those two will absolutely need to put up their usual numbers for the Mariners to be in solid shape because the supporting cast isn't anything to brag about. Kyle Seager is a very nice player to have at the hot corner, and the club did add underrated power bat Adam Lind, but with an outfield projected to include Nori Aoki, Leonys Martin and Seth Smith, it's just not a desirable group.

The pitching rotation may have a bit of a higher ceiling, as always being led by Felix Hernandez, though "The King" will be following up a season in which he produced his highest ERA since 2007, and recorded his fewest strikeouts since '08. Nonetheless, there's pretty good depth beneath him on the staff, with the return of Hisashi Iwakuma in the No. 2 slot despite almost bolting for the Dodgers over the offseason. The club's two talented young arms, Taijuan Walker and James Paxton, are both still here, and whether or not they can finally harness their awesome potential may be one of the season's key storylines for Seattle in trying to lock up that elusive playoff berth. The team also acquired Wade Miley and Nathan Karns, who are both fine additions for the back-end. Speaking of acquisitions, the Mariners have a new closer with the arrival of Steve Cishek. He'll be set up by Joaquin Benoit and good ol' reliable Charlie Furbush. Overall, it looks like Seattle has a team that could end up producing a wide variety of results, but in a tough division, the odds may not be in their favor of advancing into the postseason.

Evaluating AL West Division Bets

In my opinion, this is the toughest division in baseball this year to handicap from a futures bet standpoint. That's because all five teams -- even the A's, who have been pegged by many to finish in last again -- all have potential to go on an extensive run and win the AL West. Oakland, as alluded to, made some minor additions that could go a long way in getting them back to where they were before the 2014 trade deadline, so their +1200 odds are a little tempting, but probably not the way to go. The Astros are clearly on the way up with their rebuilding process over and their youth fully arrived for the most part. Thus, grabbing them at +150 could prove to be a pretty good investment. The Rangers are right behind them with +300 odds, which is excellent value for the club that just won the division title a year ago, and with ace Yu Darvish coming back, a repeat wouldn't be a surprise at all. Meanwhile, the Mariners have been knocking on the door for the past few years now, so it could be their turn to break out, though bettors would like more than the +365 odds that's currently being offered. And if the Angels can get acceptable starting pitching, they look like great value in the +420 range. As emphasized, it's just really, really tough to call.