ML Dogs in the NBA

[SSI]

getting from (+1 to +4.5pts) are (31-30 SU) on the season and last year went (217-244 SU) (47.1%)

tonights plays would be

heat
hawks
warriors

just a little fyi

SSI

 

[SSI]

looks like (2-1) last night..

33-31 on the season.

250-275 (47.6%) for all of last year and whats been played this season.

might be a good angle to look at

SSI

 

[yanni_gogolak]

i agree. personally i will rarely take a +1 instead of ml. what you are saying is you are happy with a push if it comes down to one point. i play to win so take the ml on a +1 line.

do you have the ability to track dogs of 3-4.5? i ask b/c i fell 1 or 2 points is a coin flip, so you mine as well play ml.

 

[SSI]

yanni.

what im saying is that,,,,,,, all of last year and what has been played this year.............. dogs that are getting from (+1pt) to (+4.5pts) are 250-275 SU... (47.6%) for about (+60 units) of profit.

so play them all on the moneyline........

SSI

 

[yanni_gogolak]

i understand what you are saying, but im not going to blindly take a 4 pt dog on the ml, i'd rather get the points. can you break down the dogs that won su gettting 3-4.5

 

[SSI]

no, i cant... not from (3-4.5pts)....

sorry

SSI

 

[yanni_gogolak]

no, i cant... not from (3-4.5pts)....

sorry

SSI

np, good stuff either way.
tonight you have TOR, which seems like a good ML
LAC which i love
MIN, dont like at all, but with the line where it is it could be a let down for PHI after the 3 wins got them back on track
SA, dont like
CLE, love

 

[SSI]

ill be waiting until very late to actually make the plays....

dallas appears to be on the list also, as they are getting (+4.5) at the greek.. (+1.70) ML, good price..

SSI

 

[yanni_gogolak]

ill be waiting until very late to actually make the plays....

dallas appears to be on the list also, as they are getting (+4.5) at the greek.. (+1.70) ML, good price..

SSI

i assume you tracked closing numbers so you would have to play these as close to game time as you could to eliminate late line moves that put them out of the numbers.

 

[Ichiban]

SSI-

I think you mentioned a ML Dog System in the NFL Forum this past weekend. If I remember right, I think you said it works for NFL, NCAAF, NBA, and NCAAB...is this correct? Do you just blindly take all dogs of 1 to 4.5 points on the ML? Thanks.

 

[SSI]

Ichiban, no it has more to do with Power Ratings.. i dont have the time right now to post that info.

as for tonight, seems there have been some line moves... possibly could have gotten down at Plus money on both sides of 2 games. okc/lac and the den/sa game..

alot of times, if you see a (+1.10) or (+1.05) showing, its better to go ahead and grab it early.. you may get lucky and get (+1.10) or (+1.05) on the other side by game time.

you should take it, when playing a mechaincal system, in which you have no opinion.

as of 2:25 pm cst, the plays tonight are.

toronto (+1.40)
clev (+1.25)
minn (+1.50)
okc (+1.10)
dal (+1.40)
den (+1.15)

if they shift from here, ill play the other side at (+1.05) or better

SSI

 

[Teddykgb]

yanni.

what im saying is that,,,,,,, all of last year and what has been played this year.............. dogs that are getting from (+1pt) to (+4.5pts) are 250-275 SU... (47.6%) for about (+60 units) of profit.

so play them all on the moneyline........

SSI

+1 is what on the m/l +100? so if all 525 plays above were +100 you would be down 25units, so to make up that 25 plus the 60 you say this sytem is up all your dog payouts would have to be +130 which is about what a dog of +5, doesnt add up on my end oldfriend.

 

[SSI]

you guys can keep up with this, if you want... ill be gone for a couple of weeks..

here is what my Power Ratings Formula says for the NBA tonight..

clev +3
heat -3
minn +4
OKC (ML)
Den (ML)

Ball St -8 (so no play here)

sunday NFL

Ravens -1
clev -3
tenn -5
az +3 (should win outright)
falcons -1
chargers -1
saints -1

thats the 7 that i would go with sunday... and the 5 nba plays tonight.. i think that im on to something with this, we shall see.

good luck whatever you do...

somebody keep up with the ml dogs in the nba (getting from 1 to 4.5) while im away... ill be on vacation for 10 days...

SSI

 

[brewers7]

i agree. personally i will rarely take a +1 instead of ml. what you are saying is you are happy with a push if it comes down to one point. i play to win so take the ml on a +1 line.

do you have the ability to track dogs of 3-4.5? i ask b/c i fell 1 or 2 points is a coin flip, so you mine as well play ml.

I have a database with every line and every moneyline going back to 1991-92...

If you want me to back-check something, go into my thread and let me know, and when I get time, I can back-check it for you...

 

[SSI]

thanks brewers..

can you check every dog that was getting from (+1pt) to (+4.5pts), as to how they did SU...

teddy, (+5) would be (+1.70) or (+1.80)

im not trying to fool anyone...

anybody can look this info up, should they wish...



My Power Ratings Formula is a different story.

Clev +3
Mia -3
Minn +4
OKC (ML)
Den (ML)

those are for tonight... just see how they do...

then for thursday night,,,,,, play..

pistons +7.5
lakers -4

and for sunday,,,,, play..

ravens -1
clev -3
tenn -5
az +3
atlanta -1
sd -1
no -1

thats 14 plays, based on my Power Ratings.... see how they do and ill catch up with things, when i get back from vacation...

SSI