ML Dogs In The NBA (Final Thoughts)

[SSI]

ill be gone for the next couple of weeks but here is the current record for ML dogs, that were getting from (+1pt) to (+4.5pts), using the closing line.

All of 07 season: 217-244 (47.1%)
All of this season: 37-33 (52.9%)
Record Last 531 plays: 254-277 (47.8%)

looks like tonights play is:

Phx (+1.60) at the moment but check before tipoff.

not advising anything here, just something to look at.

SSI

 

[yanni_gogolak]

last night ml dogs in this category went 4-2, thats not counting the clips who opened as a dog, but closed as a fav.
funny thing about that game too is it fit into the system of playing a home team who opened as a fav then went to a dog. it has been hitting really well over the last couple years. but you have to throw the OKC multiplier in there, ha.

SSI, im sure you will track it while you are gone, but i will try and post the plays when you are not here

 

[yanni_gogolak]

recap:

THURS:
PHX ML LOSS
All of this season: 37-34 (52.1%)

looking at fri, possible plays:
IND
UTA
SAC
CHI
NY

UTA, SAC, CHI are on the bubble right now.

personnally wouldnt trust NY, but UTA and IND look juicy

 

[yanni_gogolak]

Friday plays:
Ind +115 (+2)
uta +160 (+4.5)
sac +170 (+4.5)
nyk +150 (+4)
chi +150 (+4)

 

[yanni_gogolak]

RECAP Friday plays:
Ind +115 (+2) LOSS
uta +160 (+4.5) LOSS
sac +170 (+4.5) LOSS
nyk +150 (+4) LOSS
chi +150 (+4) WIN

All of this season: 38-38 (50.00%)

possible sat plays:
MIL (love this one)
HOU (like this one, too)
LAC
WAS
UTA

5 tonight, another big card, back later with final lines

 

[yanni_gogolak]

SAT Plays:
MIL +120 (+2.5)
HOU +115 (+2.5)
LAC +140 +3.5)
WAS +120 (+2.5)
UTA +135 (+3)

 

[yanni_gogolak]

SAT recap:
MIL +120 (+2.5) WIN
HOU +115 (+2.5) WIN
LAC +140 +3.5) LOSS
WAS +120 (+2.5) LOSS
UTA +135 (+3) WIN

All of this season: 41-40 (50.6%)

SUN:
no plays as of now, waiting on BOS/TOR & CHI/DEN

 

[MMfan]

Any thoughts on Boston/Tor

 

[yanni_gogolak]

Any thoughts on Boston/Tor

these arent thoughts, just recording the actual stats of dogs of +4.5 or less against the ML. play if you like, but nobody is saying to follow. if these hit at 50% you would be in the positive though unlike betting against the spread.

SUN:
TOR +160 (+4.5) LOSS


All of this season: 41-41 (50.0%)

 

[yanni_gogolak]

Mon:
Cha +140 (+3.5)
mia +135 (+3.5)
mem +130 (+3.5)

 

[yanni_gogolak]

MON:
CHA +140 (+3.5) WIN
MIA +135 (+3.5) LOSS
MEM +130 (+3.5) LOSS

All of this season: 42-43 (49.4%)

TUES:
WAS +115 (+2)

 

[yanni_gogolak]

TUES:
WAS +115 (+2) WIN

All of this season: 43-43 (50.0%)

WED:
MIN +150 (+4)
NJ +125 (+3)
LAC +145 (+4)

ORL is on the edge, will adjust for closing line

 

[yanni_gogolak]

WED:
MIN +150 (+4) LOSS
NJ +125 (+3) WIN
LAC +145 (+4) LOSS

All of this season: 44-45

THUR:
WAS +130 (+3)
NO -105 (+1) <--this could change, will base on closing line

 

[yanni_gogolak]

THUR:
WAS +130 (+3) LOSS
DEN +1, changed according to closing line LOSS


All of this season: 44-47

FRI:
OKC +120 (+2)

lots of games, big spreads though

 

[Miz]

interesting stuff. gotta ask how many units you are up since u are getting at least +115 per game. the record isn't that important as compared to the number of units. just curious how it did in 07-08.

good thoughts. have a good thanksgiving

 

[yanni_gogolak]

interesting stuff. gotta ask how many units you are up since u are getting at least +115 per game. the record isn't that important as compared to the number of units. just curious how it did in 07-08.

good thoughts. have a good thanksgiving

i couldnt say, ssi was tracking this really


FRI:
OKC +120 (+2) LOSS


All of this season: 44-48

SAT:
ATL EVEN (+1.5)
NYK EVEN (+1.5)
SA +155 (+4)
SAC +170 (+4.5)
LAC +120 (+2)

 

[yanni_gogolak]

SAT:
ATL EVEN (+1.5) WIN
NYK EVEN (+1.5) WIN
SA +155 (+4) LOSS
SAC +170 (+4.5) LOSS
LAC +120 (+2) WIN

All of this season: 47-50

SUN:
POR +150 (+4)
HOU +150 (+4)

like both today, but the 4 pt dogs have not fared as well

 

[hardys4ever2000]

dont know if you been tracking the units at all but if u were to bet all these would u up/down/even? just wondering, thanks!

 

[hannowsky77]

what about chicago +210 today?? i took it

 

[serif]

How About Those 4pt Dogs

Good stuff so far. Its somewhat similar to the mlb underdog system. Since you brought up the +4pt dogs that would bring to mind through some backtesting are they really worth it. All those loses just for some juice. I'm sure then your record would be better and you would have more units won if you were to take out all +4pt and+4.5pt dogs. Just have the limit at +3.5 and take those dogs or smaller on the moneyline. Anyway do you track the units you win?