MistaFlava's NFL Week 7 ***MONDAY NIGHT POWER SELECTION*** (12-7 ATS, +$12 000, 63%)

[MistaFlava]

MistaFlava's 2008 NFL Record: 12-7-1 ATS (+$12 000) 63%

Enough is enough. I will continue tracking the PS2 plays on the side but a) they are too time consuming, b) they have shown that you can have a bad weekend (which is not what I am looking for and c) too much drama on these forums from bitches like Boxslayer. What's your NFL record again buddy? LMAO. Like I said, I respect him as a capper but as a person he's nothing more than a whiny little bitch. I know you claim to be trying to keep the integrity of this site and all but please get a life. Your personal attacks are childish, you are clearly jealous of the attention some others get around here and it's pathetic. For someone who claims to no time to post on this forum, you do quite a bit of talking mister I can type fast. You can keep calling me out, bashing, whatever you want to call it. I'm done responding. Regardless, back to my old capping ways again until I find some new hot ass angle.

My record is based on the picks I posted and bet on as non-PS2 plays. Despite having a great Week 6 and a so-so Week 7, I decided not to use any of those selections in my record because it wouldn't make sense. Yes I did use the PS2 for my Week 5 capping but that was not revealed at the time and I posted under this format.

My Week 7 record was my second half play on Seattle last night posted on this forum for 10 units.

*I will no longer provide long writeups because they seem to be a big waste of time for most around here. You can call me a scamdicapper, a fraud, a tout, a this, a that, bottom line is I don't give a rats ass and I won't stop posting.


1 Unit = $100


Week 1: 2-1 ATS (+9.50 Units)
Week 2: 1-3-1 ATS (-12.00 Units)
Week 3: ---No Plays---
Week 4: 3-2 ATS (+68.50 Units)
Week 5: 5-1 ATS (+44.00 Units)
Week 6: ---No Plays---
Week 7: 1-0 ATS (+10.00 Units)


You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I can handle criticism, I am who I am and it's time to get back to a winning week. Good Luck to all this week!

------------------------------------------




Monday, October 20


New England -3 (25 Units) ***PLAY OF THE WEEK***





:toast:


I am done with writeups but just to explain this pick a little bit. New England, no matter how bad they looked last Sunday Night, are still a decent team and Matt Cassel is still capable of doing a good job. Word out there is that RB Laurence Maroney is a go tonight despite being listed as a game-time decision. You can talk all you want about Denver running the ball tonight because New England's run defense has been horrendous. Only problem there is that Denver's run defense is even worse and have allowed 181.5 rushing yards per road game this season for 5.7 yards per carry. This is a big statement game for the Patriots defense. I also love the line because most of the public is going to be on Denver tonight thinking they are getting an early x-mas present with the road underdog status. All the Patriots have to do is control the clock by running the ball and that should keep the Broncos off the field. Expect some zone defense from the patriots secondary which should be enough to frustrate the Broncos into turning the ball over.



GOOD LUCK TO ALL!

 

[bigbookie]

good luck man

 

[Hamilbet]

"*I will no longer provide long writeups because they seem to be a big waste of time for most around here. You can call me a scamdicapper, a fraud, a tout, a this, a that, bottom line is I don't give a rats ass and I won't stop posting." -MistaFlava


Good F@ck'em, keep posting your shit. It's usually a great read.




Get that $$$

 

[Kojack84]

Yes I did use the PS2 for my Week 5 capping but that was not revealed at the time and I posted under this format.

I really have no interest in how you pick your games, but saying this makes this entire thread B.S.

So you're not going to count any of the PS2 plays in your record, except for when you went 5-1 because you didn't SAY they were PS2 plays. What prevents any future plays from being via the PS2 so long as you don't say it? If you want to dump the PS2 stuff then so be it, but at least man up to the record not being what it is.

:think2:

 

[Ali_Legend]

GL Mf.....I'm on the other side

 

[BigCat]

MF BOL tonight with your action

 

[walnut5225]

bol Mista -- love New England as well -- glad you're going to continue to post despite the bashing!

 

[novoae02]

I'm on it. Good luck

 

[Jetplane]

MF> can I request the score on the ***OLD*** simulation stats? it would be appreciated as I just want to see the variance in the 1 game differential.

 

[vinnyvegas]

Agree

 

[darookie]

ty mr flava...i prefer this version and the score also...i like to see ur units.. thanks again and gl!

 

[Boxslayer]

Flava -

I have been on this site for 4 years now. I have called out a handful of people in that time - you are one of them. There have been plenty of cappers who have more 'attention' than you, and have never heard a peep out of me. Why? Because they do things the right way. You can play it off as jealousy or whatever you want to call it to make you look like a victim.

When every capper on this site records accurate records and you say you are 30-2 ATS handicapping games because you went back with a fuckin video game and simulated 20 games after the games were over in real life and counted them all as wins - and NOBODY says anything about that - I am sorry but thats a fuckin JOKE and you should be banned from this site.

Your record keeping is always fudged, and the funny thing is for someone who fudges their record as much as you do, if you add up all of your documented records in all sports on this website you are something like 200-221, -1,500 units or so. Pretty horrendous for a guy who fudges his record. You have a LONG history of losing - and losing BADLY. IT IS ALL DOCUMENTED and anyone can search the past few years to see how horrid your picks have been in every sport going on this planet from football to nose-picking. You are one of the worst cappers in the history of therx and people continue to get fooled into your garbage and a lot of people's bankrolls go up in flames. You are either Bill Gates' grandson, or you don't actually play your plays because nobody has as much money as you claim to have burned through on this site.

Looks like you've abandoned the PS2. I hate to say I told you so. Looking forward to your next retarded angle in 4 weeks after your picks go 15-16 ATS -600 units.

I'm not on here to win a popularity contest. I will continue to warn posters about your BS scams and if that makes me a whiny bitch so be it - I'm not here to make friends. Get out of your mom's basement and you may get some of your own. :cripwalk:arty:ope:

 

[Boxslayer]

By the way, what Flava DOESNT tell you about his video game simulations is that if you SIMULATE these games - the scores and plays are randomly generated.

Somebody once said "what is the difference between having a true system with stats and it projecting a final score and the Playstation projecting its final score?"

The system with real life stats is based off real performance and is projecting an average final score.

The Playstation is a random result. You could simulate a game on there one time and it will say Cowboys 50 Dolphins 0. Then run the same simulation again and it will say Cowboys 13 Dolphins 7 and run the same simulation again and it will say Dolphins 50 Cowboys 0. It all depends on which score Flava wants to take and post and do the play by play for in his moms basement.

THATS why it's a joke. If you simulate a game ONE time and do not account for variance, you don't understand the basics of statistics.

 

[Jetplane]

Box I understand what you're saying about the RANDOM scoring but I believe that may have been phased out. Of course it's still not 100% *BUT* take in consideration that the games are not 100% til it's over anyway. It's the "any given Sunday" effect. If you simulate the games usually (key word) the better team will prevail but once in a while the game will go the other way.

Kinda like PATS vs DOLPHINS, you can't really explain why that happens but shit happens.

The argument I can make ON YOUR BEHALF is that the scores are also based on what the video game/producers make the stats to be. None of us can judge the power/skills of a player and on any day that guy could have a really off day.

I'm not defending one way or the other. It's just the facts and the truth. I do think it's crazy and ridiculous that there are ppl following this... but it's also kinda fun seeing it unfold. I don't follow it blindly and it only makes a decision on whether or not my emotions are clouding the stats. I can tell this if the game is a constant landslide when it shouldn't be. Just leave him and sheep alone lol.

On a side note:

MF you mofo... show the stats of the ORIGINAL simulations you did in the prior weeks' games. Don't make me ask over and over dammit. I wanna see both results. Not just this "new and improved" version!

 

[MistaFlava]

Boxslayer,

You can rant all you want, I didn't even bother reading your latest installment and I don't normally respond to little boys like you. You want to be a man then shut your trap, post your picks and mind your own business.

Despite your previous attacks, I have continuously wished you luck week after week in your threads because in the end I don't have enemies on these sites, I only have fellow cappers trying to do the same thing as me and that's win money (whether I have been doing that or not is another story). You on the other hand have ignored my well wishes, which is fine since you are obsessed with putting me down any chance you get, but I recommend you take a deep breath, go play outside a little bit and maybe find yourself a piece of ass or something. You sound like you have a bit too much stress in your life.

On that note, best of luck the rest of the season, like I said I don't have a problem with you no matter how many personal attacks you have thrown my way despite not knowing shit about me or my real life. I even listed you as one of the TOP 10 cappers on this site a few weeks ago in that thread because like I said I respect your capping but do not respect you as a person with the way you try and put others down.

Enough of this shit, I ain't trying to be a victime, ain't trying to do anything but cap games and find winners.

Peace

 

[MistaFlava]

Jetplane, I don't have any results here and won't have any until I get home from work later tonight.

 

[Boxslayer]

JP -

When you simulate a game, have you ever noticed the speed at which the game simulates? You can simulate an entire week at the blink of an eye, and an entire season in 2 minutes.

IT DOES NOT TAKE INTO ACCOUNT matchups, and all sorts of the wonderful things like Flava makes it sound.

If you have any experience writing cpu code at all, it is nearly impossible to write a code that takes all of the matchups of football into account during a simulation.

What most likely happens, is tt simply takes the overall player rating of each guy and assigns a team overall rating to each team. If one team has 50 guys with an over all rating of 80 and another team with 50 guys that are a 90 overall rating - one team is rated 80 and the other team is rated 90. They subtract the difference and the team that has the higher difference wins more than the other. To write the simulation it basically says:

"If Team A overall score - Team B Overall score = EVEN, then generate random result.

If Team A Overall Score - Team B Overall score = 1-5 points better than Team A wins 60% of the time by random score.

If Team A Overall Score - Team B Overall Score is 5-10 points better, then Team A wins 70% of the time by random score."

Thats not how you handicap.

 

[theDonger]

You can rant all you want, I didn't even bother reading your latest installment and I don't normally respond to little boys like you. You want to be a man then shut your trap, post your picks and mind your own business.

Well, actually you did.

c) too much drama on these forums from bitches like Boxslayer. What's your NFL record again buddy? LMAO. Like I said, I respect him as a capper but as a person he's nothing more than a whiny little bitch.

Its a known fact to anyone who's been here long enough that you play with monopoly money. I think Boxslayer is in the right calling you out, people should know what they're getting when they buy into what you're offering.

 

[Boxslayer]

Boxslayer,

You can rant all you want, I didn't even bother reading your latest installment and I don't normally respond to little boys like you. You want to be a man then shut your trap, post your picks and mind your own business.

Despite your previous attacks, I have continuously wished you luck week after week in your threads because in the end I don't have enemies on these sites, I only have fellow cappers trying to do the same thing as me and that's win money (whether I have been doing that or not is another story). You on the other hand have ignored my well wishes, which is fine since you are obsessed with putting me down any chance you get, but I recommend you take a deep breath, go play outside a little bit and maybe find yourself a piece of ass or something. You sound like you have a bit too much stress in your life.

On that note, best of luck the rest of the season, like I said I don't have a problem with you no matter how many personal attacks you have thrown my way despite not knowing shit about me or my real life. I even listed you as one of the TOP 10 cappers on this site a few weeks ago in that thread because like I said I respect your capping but do not respect you as a person with the way you try and put others down.

Enough of this shit, I ain't trying to be a victime, ain't trying to do anything but cap games and find winners.

Peace

If you didnt read my latest installment how did you know I tried to call you a victim? Ah yes, caught in another lie.

Flava trying to be classy and wishing me luck means dogshit to me. I am not here to make friends and be wished luck, not here to be jealous of other clowns because they have a lot of thread views. Give me a break.

So you came into my thread a few times, wished me luck and listed me as a top ten capper on this site. Does that mean what you do is legit now? No. You're just a fuckin clown that wishes people luck and acts nice to them. I dont buy your sob story.

I'm here to win money, I'm here to win others money and MOST IMPORTANTLY, I am here, like many others to find a person who can help me win money in a sport I may not know how to handicap but I enjoy watching it.

You ruin that process. You make a mockery of it. You cant just go back to week 2 and 3 of the season and simulate 20 games on your Playstation after the games have been decided in real life and put your record as 20-0 and think nobody is going to say anything, and when someone does you call them jealous. Thats not how the world works, son.

There are adults playing here, Flava, with real money. A lot of people that gamble are in tough financial times and looking for a way out. And while it is the worst thing to do with your money, it is a discussion for another day.

Bottom line is you come in with your BS records, your 100 unit plays, and your monopoly money and act irresponsibly. Then act surprised and victimized when you get called out.

The moderators on this site cant catch everything. And the REAL reason I get pissed off, is because when basketball or baseball or college basketball season rolls around and I dont know what the fuck I am doing handicapping these sports and I am looking for someone to follow, it takes me just as long to dig up research on guys records then it would have for me to just cap the freakin game myself. I spend hours looking up all of these clowns who look like they are doing well only to find they are all full of shit. If this site did a great job at policing itself, then I could sign on here, look at a guys record for what it really is and have no doubts it is accurate and trail a few plays.

But its clowns like you that fuck that up and take advantage of a site that doesnt force you and make you own up to your record.

And THAT tells me all I need to know about you and thats why I dont acknowledge clowns like you and your wonderful wishes.

In 4 weeks, you'll remember you are the worst capper on this site, you'll reset your record, and you'll start a new way of capping games that is supposively 60-0 ATS because you have been tracking it on your own without posting it. While most will be fooled, someone like me will have to dig back old threads for hours to make sure you are legit, only to see you are one of the worst cappers on this site.

So scam on, scammer.

 

[Jetplane]

BOX> I'm pretty sure that's how it was back in the old days, maybe I'm wrong. If I were to write code, it surely wouldn't be like that--but if it's for a mass-produced video game for children--which MADDEN is--then yes, YOU ARE RIGHT FOR SURE.

I personally wouldn't sim it as a season result. I would sim the SINGLE GAME over and over to see the result EVEN THOUGH I know that doesn't account for too much more than who the game favors.

We all know you are right to a certain (and very long) extent. I think the sheep are basically in it to see how long this streak continues as it is semi-exciting to see a video game actually hitting. We all want to see the rise and fall of something and right now--at theRX--kids are wanting to see the rise and fall of this, me included.

Sometimes the game lets the Pats win by 20, sometimes 3, sometimes 15. But only once has it let the Bronco's win. I don't know what to make of it other than the PS3 has a boner for the Pats, even with CASSEL at the helm.

I believe it's actually semi-accurate though.. because I have the Pats winning tonight by either 3 or 10 points. Randy Moss should have a field day and I don't think once in the PS3 was it predicted. I'm not sure if Denver's Defense is ready to hold up in a pressure situation in-game. That's what I have it capped at.

MF> Okay, but please post the score/prediction of how the score would have come out with the old #'s in place okay? Thanks man. And where the hell was I on that top 10 list!?!? BIOTCH! haha jk.