PS2 Video Game Simulations
Here is the deal. My capping was not on par this season in CFB or NFL so I decided to use an old capping tool that actually works pretty damn well.
We had a poster sometime last weekend who brought up the idea of using EA Sports video games to simulate games. I don't know how many of you remember when I did this back in 2005 but I used to spend hours doing pretty much the same thing, fixing rosters to the dot, using accurate weather predictions and doing all you can do have a decent simulation.
The results were staggering. The PS2 simulations hit something like 13 in a row in College Football, 14 of 16 in NFL and the same success was found in NBA and College Basketball. I got a bit side tracked with some personal stuff right after that and never thought of doing it again.
***CONFESSION***: My 5-1 ATS week in the NFL (Week 5) was simulated on the PS2 with exact settings for all games. Those were not my picks, they were simulations I ran and the success was there. I should have been 6-0 ATS. The Tennessee game finished exactly 13-10 on PS2 and 13-10 in real life. Reshean Mathis intercepted a pass for a TD on PS2, Rashean Mathis intercepted a pass for a TD on PS2. You get the point.
Week 5
Washington +6.5 (Winner)
Tennessee -1 (Winner) *exact score*
Denver -3.5 (Loser by 0.5)
Arizona -1 (Winner)
Pittsburgh +5.5 (Winner)
Minnesota +3 (Winner)
ALL RESULTS OF THE PS2 PREDICTIONS!!! If I go back and do some Week 4 simulations, PS2 is 11-2 ATS the last two weeks.
Okay so some of you think it's stupid and some of you think this is the dumbest thing you have ever heard of. Okay cool. The bottom line is, a lot of time and effort is put into those video games and by simulating the games with exact settings and all variables, you can really get a good idea of which teams match up well with other teams.
Having seen that thread last weekend, I decided to simulate some games from earlier this season in college football (it took me 5+ hours to setup the rosters and get everything right). I picked the top 7 games from Week 6 of college football and some games from past weeks to see what kind of results the PS2 would generate.
Examples of simulations (these are games I ran this week)
Week 3
USC -11 over Ohio State = Winner
Week 6
FAU +2.5 = Winner
Boise State -11 = Winner
Pittsburgh +13.5 = Winner
Cincinnati -3 = Winner
Georgia Tech -13 = Winner
Penn State -14 = Winner
Kentucky +16.5 = Winner
Vanderbilt +4.5 = Winner
Ohio State -1 = Winner
Week 7 (posted picks in CFB Forum)
Troy -3.5 = Winner (I was on Florida Atlantic)
Wake Forest -2.5 = Winner
Louisville -6.5 = Winner
Oklahoma -7 = Loser
Northwestern +1 = Loser
Oklahoma State +14 = Winner
Florida -6.5 = Winner
Simulated Games: 15-2 ATS
Posted Games: 4-2 ATS
By now you get the point that all the games I simulated, after playing with all the settings and rosters for hours, turned out the results it did back in 2005, the last time I tried this experiment.
This is not misleading anyone because with time you will see how accurate and powerful these simulations are and I had never thought of bringing them back once and for all. I will select only the best 6-7 games
***CFB THIS WEEK DID PRETTY WELL EVEN WITH THE TWO LOSSES. THE NFL HAS MISSED ONLY 2 OF 13 GAMES THE LAST FEW WEEKS AND THE SIMULATIONS ARE ON FIRE!
You don't have to like what I'm doing but it works. Enjoy while it lasts, I will post the picks and simulation results in this thread for this week.
Do not get discouraged if the PS2 loses one or two games. Example of this being yesterday Oklahoma and NW lose but Florida and Oklahoma State bring home the bacon at night. I put tons of time and effort into this shit and in the end it wins, wins and wins some more.
-------------------------------------------
Sunday, October 12 (Day Games)
Chicago -3
Tampa Bay -1
Jacksonville +3.5
Arizona +4.5
:toast:
I WILL POST THE SUNDAY NIGHT SELECTION LATER ON THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT!
I know I'm gonna take a ton of heat for this but I don't care. Right now it's a method of capping that's working for me, it's the reason my numbers are going to get better and in this world of sports betting you do whatever it takes to have an edge. Right? So don't hate, appreciate my postings.
Bash away and good luck this weekend!
Here is the deal. My capping was not on par this season in CFB or NFL so I decided to use an old capping tool that actually works pretty damn well.
We had a poster sometime last weekend who brought up the idea of using EA Sports video games to simulate games. I don't know how many of you remember when I did this back in 2005 but I used to spend hours doing pretty much the same thing, fixing rosters to the dot, using accurate weather predictions and doing all you can do have a decent simulation.
The results were staggering. The PS2 simulations hit something like 13 in a row in College Football, 14 of 16 in NFL and the same success was found in NBA and College Basketball. I got a bit side tracked with some personal stuff right after that and never thought of doing it again.
***CONFESSION***: My 5-1 ATS week in the NFL (Week 5) was simulated on the PS2 with exact settings for all games. Those were not my picks, they were simulations I ran and the success was there. I should have been 6-0 ATS. The Tennessee game finished exactly 13-10 on PS2 and 13-10 in real life. Reshean Mathis intercepted a pass for a TD on PS2, Rashean Mathis intercepted a pass for a TD on PS2. You get the point.
Week 5
Washington +6.5 (Winner)
Tennessee -1 (Winner) *exact score*
Denver -3.5 (Loser by 0.5)
Arizona -1 (Winner)
Pittsburgh +5.5 (Winner)
Minnesota +3 (Winner)
ALL RESULTS OF THE PS2 PREDICTIONS!!! If I go back and do some Week 4 simulations, PS2 is 11-2 ATS the last two weeks.
Okay so some of you think it's stupid and some of you think this is the dumbest thing you have ever heard of. Okay cool. The bottom line is, a lot of time and effort is put into those video games and by simulating the games with exact settings and all variables, you can really get a good idea of which teams match up well with other teams.
Having seen that thread last weekend, I decided to simulate some games from earlier this season in college football (it took me 5+ hours to setup the rosters and get everything right). I picked the top 7 games from Week 6 of college football and some games from past weeks to see what kind of results the PS2 would generate.
Examples of simulations (these are games I ran this week)
Week 3
USC -11 over Ohio State = Winner
Week 6
FAU +2.5 = Winner
Boise State -11 = Winner
Pittsburgh +13.5 = Winner
Cincinnati -3 = Winner
Georgia Tech -13 = Winner
Penn State -14 = Winner
Kentucky +16.5 = Winner
Vanderbilt +4.5 = Winner
Ohio State -1 = Winner
Week 7 (posted picks in CFB Forum)
Troy -3.5 = Winner (I was on Florida Atlantic)
Wake Forest -2.5 = Winner
Louisville -6.5 = Winner
Oklahoma -7 = Loser
Northwestern +1 = Loser
Oklahoma State +14 = Winner
Florida -6.5 = Winner
Simulated Games: 15-2 ATS
Posted Games: 4-2 ATS
By now you get the point that all the games I simulated, after playing with all the settings and rosters for hours, turned out the results it did back in 2005, the last time I tried this experiment.
This is not misleading anyone because with time you will see how accurate and powerful these simulations are and I had never thought of bringing them back once and for all. I will select only the best 6-7 games
***CFB THIS WEEK DID PRETTY WELL EVEN WITH THE TWO LOSSES. THE NFL HAS MISSED ONLY 2 OF 13 GAMES THE LAST FEW WEEKS AND THE SIMULATIONS ARE ON FIRE!
You don't have to like what I'm doing but it works. Enjoy while it lasts, I will post the picks and simulation results in this thread for this week.
Do not get discouraged if the PS2 loses one or two games. Example of this being yesterday Oklahoma and NW lose but Florida and Oklahoma State bring home the bacon at night. I put tons of time and effort into this shit and in the end it wins, wins and wins some more.
-------------------------------------------
Sunday, October 12 (Day Games)
Chicago -3
Tampa Bay -1
Jacksonville +3.5
Arizona +4.5
:toast:
I WILL POST THE SUNDAY NIGHT SELECTION LATER ON THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT!
I know I'm gonna take a ton of heat for this but I don't care. Right now it's a method of capping that's working for me, it's the reason my numbers are going to get better and in this world of sports betting you do whatever it takes to have an edge. Right? So don't hate, appreciate my postings.
Bash away and good luck this weekend!
