MistaFlava's NCAA CFB Week 7 ***PS2 POWER SIMULATIONS*** (Read before you criticize)

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Handicapping Machine
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PS2 Video Game Simulations

Here is the deal. My record on the year right now stands at 50% in College Football (

We had a poster sometime last weekend who brought up the idea of using EA Sports video games to simulate games. I don't know how many of you remember when I did this back in 2005 but I used to spend hours doing pretty much the same thing, fixing rosters to the dot, using accurate weather predictions and doing all you can do have a decent simulation.

The results were staggering. The PS2 simulations hit something like 13 in a row in College Football, 14 of 16 in NFL and the same success was found in NBA and College Basketball. I got a bit side tracked with some personal stuff right after that and never thought of doing it again.

***CONFESSION***: My 5-1 ATS week in the NFL was simulated on the PS2 with exact settings for all games. Those were not my picks, they were simulations I ran and the success was there. I should have been 6-0 ATS. The Tennessee game finished exactly 13-10 on PS2 and 13-10 in real life. Reshean Mathis intercepted a pass for a TD on PS2, Rashean Mathis intercepted a pass for a TD on PS2. You get the point.

Washington +6.5 (Winner)
Tennessee -1 (Winner)
Denver -3.5 (Loser by 0.5)
Arizona -1 (Winner)
Pittsburgh +5.5 (Winner)
Minnesota +3 (Winner)


ALL RESULTS OF THE PS2 PREDICTIONS!!!

Okay so some of you think it's stupid and some of you think this is the dumbest thing you have ever heard of. Okay cool. The bottom line is, a lot of time and effort is put into those video games and by simulating the games with exact settings and all variables, you can really get a good idea of which teams match up well with other teams.

Having seen that thread last weekend, I decided to simulate some games from earlier this season (it took me 5+ hours to setup the rosters and get everything right). I picked the top 7 games from Week 6 of college football and some games from past weeks to see what kind of results the PS2 would generate.

Examples of simulations (these are games I ran this week)


Week 3

USC -11 over Ohio State = Winner


Week 6

FAU +2.5 = Winner
Boise State -11 = Winner
Pittsburgh +13.5 = Winner
Cincinnati -3 = Winner
Georgia Tech -13 = Winner
Penn State -14 = Winner
Kentucky +16.5 = Winner
Vanderbilt +4.5 = Winner
Ohio State -1 = Winner


Week 7

Troy -3.5 = Winner (I was on Florida Atlantic)


By now you get the point that all the games I simulated, after playing with all the settings and rosters for hours, turned out the results it did back in 2005, the last time I tried this experiment.

This is not misleading anyone because with time you will see how accurate and powerful these simulations are and I had never thought of bringing them back once and for all. I will select only the best 6-7 games

***LAST NIGHT I WAS ON FLORIDA ATLANTIC +3.5. I SIMULATED THE GAME AFTERWARDS AND IT HAD TROY WINNING 34-17 which would have been a play on TROY -3.5

You don't have to like what I'm doing but it works. Enjoy while it lasts, I will post the picks and simulation results in this thread for this week.

Do not get discouraged if the PS2 loses one or two games. I put tons of time and effort into this shit and in the end it wins, wins and wins some more.

-------------------------------------------


SIMULATION #1


Thursday, October 8



Wake Forest Demon Deacons -2.5




Wake Forest 27, Clemson 10



:toast:


I know I'm gonna take a ton of heat for this but I don't care. Right now it's a method of capping that's working for me, it's the reason my numbers are going to get better and in this world of sports betting you do whatever it takes to have an edge. Right? So don't hate, appreciate my postings.


Bash away and good luck this weekend!
 

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Shouldn't the simulations be run a few times for the same game to reduce variance? I like the idea but not sure about it quite yet.
 

Jesus would buy the bigger speakers too
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I'm all for additional angles in sports betting...except when its something associated with "the man" AKA the computer simulation

I mean, are we that hard up that we check what a simulated video game predicts before we call in our plays??????:smoking:
 

Posts N' Hos
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Playstation 2 :ohno::ohno::ohno:

Let me know when u run Playstation 3 simulations.
 

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If it wins money, who the fuck cares???? But WOW, thanks for the confession............ WoW.....
 
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PS2 what you can't afford a PS3 yet Mista?

JK Flava I'm just doing some late night messing around. Things you gotta do when your insomniac such as myself

GL and god speed
 

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-------------------------------------------


SIMULATION #1


Thursday, October 8


Wake Forest Demon Deacons -2.5




Wake Forest 27, Clemson 10
.......................................................................................................................

Darn , I already played Clemson before reading this.
 

Posts N' Hos
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Darn , I already played Clemson before reading this.

Dont worry, I ran the same simulation on my vibrating football field and Clemson won 6-0. Riley Skinner ran the wrong way 3 times, for 3 safeties.
 

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Dont worry, I ran the same simulation on my vibrating football field and Clemson won 6-0. Riley Skinner ran the wrong way 3 times, for 3 safeties.

You just don't know how many hours that I've spent playing the vibrating football game. We use to have a league when I was a kid. d1g1t alwatts
 

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Flava,
I do remember when you did the simulations a few years back. it was a different site but they were unbelievable in the accuracy. You did go on an unbelievable run out of the gate.
I wish you nothing but success and to the people who don't believe
big deal.
I am behind ya brotha
 

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Atari 2600 simulation

Flava, I ran an Atari 2600 simulation and amazingly it had Wake coming out as well... :lol:
 

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Wake Forest 27, Clemson 10

:toast:

That adds up to 37, which is under the total of 43.5 which I'm siding with.
Lately, we've had similar picks and we've both done well. Hope we're right! Let's make that cash. :103631605
 

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hmmmm,,,a 17 point blowiut???
I actually was going to ride NSA, which I have been doing for 2 weeks and killing it??? hmmmm,,,what to do what to do,,,
 

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What's interesting about this game is that when the game came out, Clemson was a ranked team. You'd expect the simulated game to be closer if it was simply based on rankings. Suggests the simulation is more complex than that.
 

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btw everyone, I attended the Troy/FAU game, since I live a mile from FAU campus, glad I went big on Troy!!!!
 

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Mista,,did you simulate tonights game without Wake Forest's starting kicker?? seems as though he will be out tonight, very key!!!
 

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