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Monday, September 7
Brigham Young-Navy 'UNDER' 48.5 (10 Units)
This is my final play of the week and I know I said I would stay away from Totals but the trend for most of Week 1 has been the UNDER with the exception of a few FCS vs FBS matchups that turned into shootouts. This is not one of them and I am going with the UNDER which dropped a good 8 points at some books since it first opened a few weeks ago. We all saw on the weekend what service academies can do. They play disciplined football, they run the ball and they use up a ton of clock. Army ended their game on Saturday with a 12 minute drive that preserved the UNDER in that game and I was on that play from start to finish as they shutout Middle Tennessee when everyone was on the underdog.
So many losses on the BYU offense side of the ball. Matt Bushman is injured and he accounted for 77 targets in the passing game in 2019. He was tied with the most on the team with Micah Simon who has now graduated. That's a lot of targets to replace and if that wasn't bad enough BYU is also without their next two top target guys from 2019 as Aleva Hifo and Talon Shumway are also gone. That means BYU is obviously going to run the ball and try to establish things and keep some clock possession on their side.
When it comes to Navy, their star QB Malcolm Perry is gone and I don't know that this offense knows a life without him. Not this early in the season anyways. The Midshipmen will rely on their defense to come up with big turnovers like they did in 2019 and we saw what composed service academies can do defensively with Army's performance on the weekend. I was not impressed with BYU QB Zach Wilson at times in 2019 and I think he'll be under serious pressure in this game. The only hope for BYU is to keep this game on the ground and outgrind Navy. Don't think it happens.
Trend of the Game: UNDER is 12-4-1 in BYU's last 17 road games as a favorite.
Navy 24, Brigham Young 13
GOOD LUCK TO EVERYONE!
Monday, September 7
Brigham Young-Navy 'UNDER' 48.5 (10 Units)
This is my final play of the week and I know I said I would stay away from Totals but the trend for most of Week 1 has been the UNDER with the exception of a few FCS vs FBS matchups that turned into shootouts. This is not one of them and I am going with the UNDER which dropped a good 8 points at some books since it first opened a few weeks ago. We all saw on the weekend what service academies can do. They play disciplined football, they run the ball and they use up a ton of clock. Army ended their game on Saturday with a 12 minute drive that preserved the UNDER in that game and I was on that play from start to finish as they shutout Middle Tennessee when everyone was on the underdog.
So many losses on the BYU offense side of the ball. Matt Bushman is injured and he accounted for 77 targets in the passing game in 2019. He was tied with the most on the team with Micah Simon who has now graduated. That's a lot of targets to replace and if that wasn't bad enough BYU is also without their next two top target guys from 2019 as Aleva Hifo and Talon Shumway are also gone. That means BYU is obviously going to run the ball and try to establish things and keep some clock possession on their side.
When it comes to Navy, their star QB Malcolm Perry is gone and I don't know that this offense knows a life without him. Not this early in the season anyways. The Midshipmen will rely on their defense to come up with big turnovers like they did in 2019 and we saw what composed service academies can do defensively with Army's performance on the weekend. I was not impressed with BYU QB Zach Wilson at times in 2019 and I think he'll be under serious pressure in this game. The only hope for BYU is to keep this game on the ground and outgrind Navy. Don't think it happens.
Trend of the Game: UNDER is 12-4-1 in BYU's last 17 road games as a favorite.
Navy 24, Brigham Young 13
GOOD LUCK TO EVERYONE!
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BYU Cougars -0.5 *2nd Half* (10 Units)
Not much explanation needed here. BYU is going to be challenged to play a full 60 minutes of this kind of football we saw in the 1st Half and Navy have so much to figure out on offense. I don't see Navy scoring more than 3-7 points if any at all tonight.
Ending the week with a bang!
GOOD LUCK!
BYU Cougars -0.5 *2nd Half* (10 Units)
Not much explanation needed here. BYU is going to be challenged to play a full 60 minutes of this kind of football we saw in the 1st Half and Navy have so much to figure out on offense. I don't see Navy scoring more than 3-7 points if any at all tonight.
Ending the week with a bang!
GOOD LUCK!
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