MistaFlava's 2008-2009 CFB Bowl Record: 10-13 ATS (-88.00 Units)
What can I say? The difference between my NFL and CFB seasons have been that I have nailed almost all my big plays in the NFL and have missed almost all my big plays in college football which is why I continue to lose cash. Whatever I don't really give a shit, today is a new day and no matter what I love waking up in the morning with the prospect of winning money even if it means having a bad day. You all know how my regular season went (not well) and it looks like I'm heading the same way with the Bowl games. Should I juss stop now? Maybe but that's not my style.
1 Unit = $100
What you have to keep in mind about me is that the units I post is only meant to indicate how much I really like a play. It does not necessarily mean that I bet that much money on the game because I do sometimes put a lot more or a lot less on a game. So take it as you wish, only reason I post units is to keep things legit around here. Hope you all had a good New Year's, all the best today, let's make some of that cash back!
You can tail, fade or simply follow. No matter what I do what I can to help and that's all that really matters.
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What can I say? The difference between my NFL and CFB seasons have been that I have nailed almost all my big plays in the NFL and have missed almost all my big plays in college football which is why I continue to lose cash. Whatever I don't really give a shit, today is a new day and no matter what I love waking up in the morning with the prospect of winning money even if it means having a bad day. You all know how my regular season went (not well) and it looks like I'm heading the same way with the Bowl games. Should I juss stop now? Maybe but that's not my style.
1 Unit = $100
What you have to keep in mind about me is that the units I post is only meant to indicate how much I really like a play. It does not necessarily mean that I bet that much money on the game because I do sometimes put a lot more or a lot less on a game. So take it as you wish, only reason I post units is to keep things legit around here. Hope you all had a good New Year's, all the best today, let's make some of that cash back!
You can tail, fade or simply follow. No matter what I do what I can to help and that's all that really matters.
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Saturday, January 3
INTERNATIONAL BOWL
View attachment 6174
View attachment 6172 Buffalo Bulls +6.5 (10 Units) View attachment 6173
INTERNATIONAL BOWL
View attachment 6174
View attachment 6172 Buffalo Bulls +6.5 (10 Units) View attachment 6173
The Buffalo Bulls are MAC Conference Champions and although that doesn't really mean much to anybody anymore, playing in this particular Bowl Game means a lot to this team. I say that because Buffalo is only an hour and a half drive away from Toronto and the Bulls, having had their best season ever, are going to have a lot of fans visiting the city for this game. Coming off their first ever MAC Conference Championship, the Bulls are on quite the high and although winning this game doesn't change their season, I am sure they want to prove themselves the way teams like East Carolina (CUSA Champion) and other overachieving teams could not in their Bowl Games. Not only was Buffalo 8-5 SU on the season but they were 8-4 ATS in those games and this is a team that was perfect away from home ATS wise covering the spread in all six of their road games this season. You would think Buffalo is not road tested as they play in one the weakest conferences in college football but thats not true as they opened their road slate this season with a game in Pittsburgh where they lost but covered the spread. Then came a trip to Missouri where most expected them to get blown out of the water but the Bulls held their own and covered the spread there as well. Then came a very close road loss to Central Michigan on the road as 7 point underdogs. Their final three road games of the season saw them win twice in overtime and beat Ohio by 13 in the other so once again this team was perfect on the road this season and there is no reason not to back them in this spot again. Buffalo comes into this game averaging 34.3 points per game in their last three games as they managed to also average 352.3 total yards of offense per game and 5.7 yards per play in those games which gives them a shot to keep up in this one. Connecticut's defense has been solid this season and in the last three games where they have allowed only 21.7 points per game in those games and have allowed only 207.3 total yards of offense per game in those games. On the ground, Buffalo doesn't have anything flashy going and all they really do is run to move the chains and give themselves a chance on second and third down as they average 104.7 rushing yards per game in their last three games on 3.7 yards per carry in those games. I don't really mind that because the Huskies defense has been stout against the run and they have allowed only 102.0 rushing yards per game in their last three games and have allowed 2.9 yards per carry in those games. I do however have to mention that Buffalo has a top notch RB in James Starks who rushed for 1300+ yards this past season for 15 rushing touchdowns and if Starts can get it going, the Bulls will be very dangerous in this game. In the air, QB Drew Willy was a superstar this past season throwing for 25 touchdown passes and only 5 interceptions. Willy has completed 68.3% of his passes the last three games for 7.4 yards per pass attempt and with the roof closed on this stadium, he is going to have a chance to really show what kind of arm he has. The Huskies defense has been very solid through the air as they have allowed their last three opponents to complete only 41.2% of their passes in the last three games for 5.3 yards per pass attempt. Having said that, if Starks has success running the ball here that is going to soften up the secondary of the Huskies and allow for Naaman Roosevelt to get open in the middle of the field and give his QB a chance on big third downs like he has done all season. The Bulls don't have a deep threat but you don't need it against Connecticut because they never give you anything deep, keeping it more underneath. Buffalo's offensive line has struggled the last three games but the extra practices and the time off can only make them better. Willy has been sacked 6 times in his last three games but has kept his cool and thrown only 1 interception in those games. Connectictut is probably going to bring some pressure in this game as they have registered 5 sacks in their last three games and that kind of pressure has led to 5 interceptions for the secondary in those very same games. Having said that, this defense does not make that many big plays on the ground as they have forced only 2 fumbles in their last three games and that should give the Bulls a chance to move the ball in this one. What I like about Buffalo is that they have a great coaching staff that has kept their guys believing that they can win. They have taken only 3.7 penalties per game in their last three games and even if they get down early in this game, don't give up on this team because their style has been to come from behind this season and they actually average only 4.7 of their 34.3, points per game in the last three games, in the first half of those games so again this is a team that takes a bit of time to get going. In the end though, Willy and Starks are coming off record breaking seasons for this program and with tons of family, friends and fans in attendance for them, this should feel like a home game for the Bulls.
The Connecticut Huskies made me some cash this season and this is a team I have always enjoyed betting on. However, I have to fade them in this game for the simple reason that they have no interest whatsoever in this game. Toronto is far, it's cold and I don't know why Huskies fans would want to travel here and make their presence known against a team from the MAC Conference. I am disappointed that we don't have a better Bowl Game here in Toronto but what can I do about it? The Huskies were hoping for a lot more this season seeing how they have one of the best RB's in all of college football but they finished with a 7-5 SU record on the season going only 5-6 ATS in those games which is not impressive at all. The Big East was a weak conference this season which is why I am not impressed with this team at all and don't think they can win by this many points. They were 3-3 ATS away from home this season and they closed out their regular season with 1-3 ATS stretch. How can you bet on a team that failed to beat a Bowl Bound team on the road the entire regular season? The Huskies opened their road season with an overtime at Temple (Jesus Christ that's bad) and then followed that up with a five point win at Louisville (another non Bowl team, making that two now). Then came road losses to Rutgers and North Carolina (both bowl bound teams) and then came the blowout road win over Syracuse (no comment) and then to finish things off the Huskies went to Tampa Bay and lost to South Florida by four points in a nationally televised game. So again they did not beat Bowl Bound team on the road this season so why would they beat Buffalo? The Huskies come into this game averaging only 20.7 points per game in their last three games this season and in those games they managed to average only 297.7 total yards of offense per game and 4.4 yards per play in those games. That's pathetic. I do however think that UConn can have a little bit more success scoring points and moving the chains in this game as Buffalo has allowed 27.3 points per game in their last three games and they have also allowed 436.0 total yards of offense per game on 5.5 yards per play in those games which makes them susceptible to teams like this. Believe me when I say that this Bulls team did not win games because of their defense this season, that's for sure. On the ground, there is no doubt RB Donald Brown is going to have another huge game but he does that all the time and that doesn't always mean his team wins. The Huskies and Brown are averaging 208.0 rushing yards per game in their last three games and they have done that on 4.7 yards per carry. Buffalo has had issues stopping then run as they have allowed their last three opponents to run for 201.0 rushing yards per game against them on 4.6 yards per carry. Having said that, Brown could be playing from behind quite a bit in this game and there is nothing Brown can do about the passing game having issues. I also expect Buffalo to stack their line here in an attempt to make Connecticut beat them in the aerial attack. In the air, three players have attempted more than 80 passes for the Huskies this season and in the last three games, the Huskies QB's have completed a pathetic 33.3% of their passes for an even more pathetic 3.9 yards per pass attempt. So again all the Bulls have to do is stack the line and they have themselves some success. Buffalo has allowed their last three opponents to complete 65.4% of their passes in the last three games for 6.8 yards per pass attempt but Connecticut doesn't have the guys available to make them pay for that and I really don't think the Bulls are going to have problems making stops on third down. Despite being sacked only 2 times in their last three games, the Huskies QB's have still thrown 5 interceptions in those games and they have been turning the ball over like there is no tomorrow. Buffalo doesn't bring much pressure nor have they done that all season long. They have only 4 sacks in their last three games but they keep everything close and they have also recorded 2 interceptions in those games which is nothing special. This is a defense that allows a lot of yards but that takes a ton of chances when tackling making them a risk-reward type of defense. I say that because in their last three games this defense has forced a whopping 7 fumbles in their last three games and they have managed to recover 5 of those fumbles which could be huge for them in this game if they can managed to force the Huskies to put the ball on the ground and possibly move to the passing game. If you thought Buffalo was bad when it comes to scoring points in the first half with only 4.3, the Huskies are not much better as they have averaged only 9.3 points per first half in their last three games and the Bulls defense has been solid in the opening frame. I know Donald Brown can probably rush for 250+ yards himself in this game but the Huskies cannot run on every single down and when they do go to the air, that is when things are going to go bad. This Buffalo team cannot be underestimated because they did not just win the MAC Conference out of nowhere. Connecticut is in trouble and anyone who watched Pittsburgh 3-0 Bowl Game loss the other day knows that the Big East is in trouble as well. BUYER BEWARE!
I live in Toronto and it's that bad that I'm not even going to this game. After the pathetic game between the Dolphins and the Bills, I refuse to go watch another football game of any sort at the Rogers Center because the atmosphere sucks, I hate the field and the fans around here are garbage when it comes to crappy games like the ones they have given us. So the bottom line is that the stadium won't be anywhere close to half full and the noise factor probably won't matter much. Believe me when I say that playing here is a disappointment for UConn and that if any of these two teams is interested at all, it's going to be the Buffalo Bulls. What you need to know however is that BUFFALO COVERED THE SPREAD IN ALL SIX ROAD GAMES THIS SEASON GOING 6-0 ATS AWAY FROM HOME. Vegas doesn't really care what you bet in this game that's for sure because they have the NFL games later on today and that's where the real money is at but having said that, the line is somewhat of a trap and regardless it has no business being as high as it is. This line should have been more around 3-4 points because of how Buffalo has played. UCONN DID NOT WIN ONE SINGLE ROAD GAME AGAINST A BOWL BOUND TEAM. If you still have doubts about betting on Buffalo than please understand that they have covered the spread 20 of the last 28 times as underdogs and they are 6-1 ATS the last seven games when underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points so why doubt them in this spot? UConn, if they care about this game, have a lot to prove but in the end they are still 1-4 ATS in their last five non-conference games and more importantly, they are only 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games versus teams with winning records which goes to show you cannot trust them against winning teams. This won't be as boring as people think but I do love the LOCAL UNDERDOG!!!
Trend of the Game: Buffalo is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games as underdogs.
Buffalo 26, Connecticut 21
:toast:
The Connecticut Huskies made me some cash this season and this is a team I have always enjoyed betting on. However, I have to fade them in this game for the simple reason that they have no interest whatsoever in this game. Toronto is far, it's cold and I don't know why Huskies fans would want to travel here and make their presence known against a team from the MAC Conference. I am disappointed that we don't have a better Bowl Game here in Toronto but what can I do about it? The Huskies were hoping for a lot more this season seeing how they have one of the best RB's in all of college football but they finished with a 7-5 SU record on the season going only 5-6 ATS in those games which is not impressive at all. The Big East was a weak conference this season which is why I am not impressed with this team at all and don't think they can win by this many points. They were 3-3 ATS away from home this season and they closed out their regular season with 1-3 ATS stretch. How can you bet on a team that failed to beat a Bowl Bound team on the road the entire regular season? The Huskies opened their road season with an overtime at Temple (Jesus Christ that's bad) and then followed that up with a five point win at Louisville (another non Bowl team, making that two now). Then came road losses to Rutgers and North Carolina (both bowl bound teams) and then came the blowout road win over Syracuse (no comment) and then to finish things off the Huskies went to Tampa Bay and lost to South Florida by four points in a nationally televised game. So again they did not beat Bowl Bound team on the road this season so why would they beat Buffalo? The Huskies come into this game averaging only 20.7 points per game in their last three games this season and in those games they managed to average only 297.7 total yards of offense per game and 4.4 yards per play in those games. That's pathetic. I do however think that UConn can have a little bit more success scoring points and moving the chains in this game as Buffalo has allowed 27.3 points per game in their last three games and they have also allowed 436.0 total yards of offense per game on 5.5 yards per play in those games which makes them susceptible to teams like this. Believe me when I say that this Bulls team did not win games because of their defense this season, that's for sure. On the ground, there is no doubt RB Donald Brown is going to have another huge game but he does that all the time and that doesn't always mean his team wins. The Huskies and Brown are averaging 208.0 rushing yards per game in their last three games and they have done that on 4.7 yards per carry. Buffalo has had issues stopping then run as they have allowed their last three opponents to run for 201.0 rushing yards per game against them on 4.6 yards per carry. Having said that, Brown could be playing from behind quite a bit in this game and there is nothing Brown can do about the passing game having issues. I also expect Buffalo to stack their line here in an attempt to make Connecticut beat them in the aerial attack. In the air, three players have attempted more than 80 passes for the Huskies this season and in the last three games, the Huskies QB's have completed a pathetic 33.3% of their passes for an even more pathetic 3.9 yards per pass attempt. So again all the Bulls have to do is stack the line and they have themselves some success. Buffalo has allowed their last three opponents to complete 65.4% of their passes in the last three games for 6.8 yards per pass attempt but Connecticut doesn't have the guys available to make them pay for that and I really don't think the Bulls are going to have problems making stops on third down. Despite being sacked only 2 times in their last three games, the Huskies QB's have still thrown 5 interceptions in those games and they have been turning the ball over like there is no tomorrow. Buffalo doesn't bring much pressure nor have they done that all season long. They have only 4 sacks in their last three games but they keep everything close and they have also recorded 2 interceptions in those games which is nothing special. This is a defense that allows a lot of yards but that takes a ton of chances when tackling making them a risk-reward type of defense. I say that because in their last three games this defense has forced a whopping 7 fumbles in their last three games and they have managed to recover 5 of those fumbles which could be huge for them in this game if they can managed to force the Huskies to put the ball on the ground and possibly move to the passing game. If you thought Buffalo was bad when it comes to scoring points in the first half with only 4.3, the Huskies are not much better as they have averaged only 9.3 points per first half in their last three games and the Bulls defense has been solid in the opening frame. I know Donald Brown can probably rush for 250+ yards himself in this game but the Huskies cannot run on every single down and when they do go to the air, that is when things are going to go bad. This Buffalo team cannot be underestimated because they did not just win the MAC Conference out of nowhere. Connecticut is in trouble and anyone who watched Pittsburgh 3-0 Bowl Game loss the other day knows that the Big East is in trouble as well. BUYER BEWARE!
I live in Toronto and it's that bad that I'm not even going to this game. After the pathetic game between the Dolphins and the Bills, I refuse to go watch another football game of any sort at the Rogers Center because the atmosphere sucks, I hate the field and the fans around here are garbage when it comes to crappy games like the ones they have given us. So the bottom line is that the stadium won't be anywhere close to half full and the noise factor probably won't matter much. Believe me when I say that playing here is a disappointment for UConn and that if any of these two teams is interested at all, it's going to be the Buffalo Bulls. What you need to know however is that BUFFALO COVERED THE SPREAD IN ALL SIX ROAD GAMES THIS SEASON GOING 6-0 ATS AWAY FROM HOME. Vegas doesn't really care what you bet in this game that's for sure because they have the NFL games later on today and that's where the real money is at but having said that, the line is somewhat of a trap and regardless it has no business being as high as it is. This line should have been more around 3-4 points because of how Buffalo has played. UCONN DID NOT WIN ONE SINGLE ROAD GAME AGAINST A BOWL BOUND TEAM. If you still have doubts about betting on Buffalo than please understand that they have covered the spread 20 of the last 28 times as underdogs and they are 6-1 ATS the last seven games when underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points so why doubt them in this spot? UConn, if they care about this game, have a lot to prove but in the end they are still 1-4 ATS in their last five non-conference games and more importantly, they are only 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games versus teams with winning records which goes to show you cannot trust them against winning teams. This won't be as boring as people think but I do love the LOCAL UNDERDOG!!!
Trend of the Game: Buffalo is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games as underdogs.
Buffalo 26, Connecticut 21
:toast:
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