MistaFlava's 2008 CBB Record: 26-31-4 ATS (-114.00 Units)
Almost in identical fashion to my College Football season, I am really falling behind and can't seem to get a handle on some of these college games. I'll have plays like UConn +2 as my PLAY OF THE MONTH but then come up with horrendous plays like Purdue and Florida last night. Oh well, time to keep going and hope things get better. I won't be providing huge writeups anymore until I can really start being useful around here. I only care about the money I win and not the percentage of bets I win so taking home the cash is all that matters and proper Money Management is a must, although I have a feeling I will still drop bombs here and there. That's just the way I roll and if you don't like it I don't really give a shit. Gotta love college hoops a lot more than the NBA and believe me when I say that this is where the money is at despite some of these kids really sucking when the game is on the line. Only in this sport can you have miracle covers. Hope you enjoy my writeups.
1 unit = $100
You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. Good Luck to all this week!
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Almost in identical fashion to my College Football season, I am really falling behind and can't seem to get a handle on some of these college games. I'll have plays like UConn +2 as my PLAY OF THE MONTH but then come up with horrendous plays like Purdue and Florida last night. Oh well, time to keep going and hope things get better. I won't be providing huge writeups anymore until I can really start being useful around here. I only care about the money I win and not the percentage of bets I win so taking home the cash is all that matters and proper Money Management is a must, although I have a feeling I will still drop bombs here and there. That's just the way I roll and if you don't like it I don't really give a shit. Gotta love college hoops a lot more than the NBA and believe me when I say that this is where the money is at despite some of these kids really sucking when the game is on the line. Only in this sport can you have miracle covers. Hope you enjoy my writeups.
1 unit = $100
You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. Good Luck to all this week!
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Wednesday, February 4
View attachment 6371 Syracuse Orangemen -2.5 (10 Units) View attachment 6372
View attachment 6371 Syracuse Orangemen -2.5 (10 Units) View attachment 6372
The West Virginia Mountaineers come into this game averaging 68.4 points per game in their last five games which is not bad at all but take a look at their shooting stats in those games and you will see that they are shooting only 41.8% from the floor in those games and that's not going to cut it when you come to the Carrier Dome. The Orange are having all sorts of issues on the defensive end of things in recent games as their opponents are scoring a ton of points per game, shooting the lights out from the floor and things can only get better for these guys. The Orangemen have been getting absolutely killed from three point range the last five games as they have allowed their opponents to shoot 38.1% from three point range and make a whopping 9.6 three point shots per game in those games. I have made some nice cash fading the Orange but only against teams who can hit three pointers and West Virginia is not one of them, not like they used to be anyways. The Mountaineers have made only 6.0 three point shots per game in their last five games and are hitting only 32.3% from three point range in those games. The Mountaineers are a very good free throw shooting team but that goes not waste because they struggle to get penetration against tough interior defense like Syracuse. They have been to the free throw line only 17.0 times per game in their last five games and Syracuse has not allowed any inside action in their last five games (and it cost them against good shooting teams) sending opponents to the line only 16.6 times per game in those games (both below the NCAA average for those games). Both teams are as even as it gets when it comes to rebounding as they do their own part to bring down their fair share of rebounds per game and I don't see an edge on either side tonight. What this is going to come down to is which team has the better guard play and the answer to that is Syracuse. The Mountaineers as a team are averaging only 12.8 asssists per game in their last five games and their lack of aggressiveness is a concern. Syracuse's perimeter defense has been a complete joke lately and teams have been able to get tremendous ball movement both inside and outside against these guys the Mountaineers just don't have natural ball handling playmakers to take advantage of that. The only way to beat this Orange team is to knock the lights out from the outside because they take away all inside action, average 5.6 blocks per game in their last five games and don't allow anything in the paint. Unfortunately for the Mountaineers, they are shooting too poorly to take advantage of that.
The Syracuse Orangemen come into this game averaging a whopping 75.6 points per game in their last five games and in those games they managed to shoot 46.8% from the floor (both are well above NCAA averages for that period of games) and one thing is for sure, this team can score. Scoring is a good thing when you play against West Virginia because despite not allowing a ton of points per game in their last five games, the Mountaineers have allowed their last five opponents to shoot 44.3% from the floor and that would be a concern for all West Virginia backers if you ask me. I know the Mountaineers top priority when they play is to take away their opponents shots from the outside and force them inside the zone to take long range jumpers or score in the paint but that might not work in the Carreier Dome. Sure the Mountaineers have one of the best three point shooting defenses in the Country the last week or two because they really come after you out there and never allow open shots but this is Syracuse and the Orangemen are at home and the Orangemen have made 37.1% of their three point shots in their last five games at 7.2 three point shots made per game in those games. So believe me Devendorf is going to find a way to make some huge plays in this game. Cuse, despite being a horrendous free throw shooting team is going to have success forcing the Mountaineers to foul because West Virginia's interior defense is not that strong and their last five opponents have been to the free throw line 23.2 times per game. Expect early foul trouble for the Neers in this game. Syracuse has been to the free throw line 20.6 times per game in their last five games and they shoot free throw a heck of a lot better at home than on the road so expect some free points here. Like I said before I don't see much of an edge by either team in terms of rebounding and toughness around the glass but the Orangemen have come down with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game in their last five games and that is pretty impressive and sure to give them second chance points at some point tonight. Where this game is going to be won for Syracuse is at the guard position because as poorly as Syracuse has played, they are back home with a very winnable game and I think Devendorf and Flynn are going to shine. They are both great ball handlers who can find open guys like not many can in the Big East and the team has 14.6 assists per game in their last five games (NCAA average for those games is 12.9) but they do turn the ball over quite a bit. Having said that, this is a big game for this team tonight and Devendorf should have his best game of the season penetrating this defense and getting to the line quite a bit. For a team that forces almost 17 turnovers per game in their last five games, West Virginia has only 6.8 steals per game in those games which means their opponents have pretty much just lost the ball on their own. Syracuse is going to pound away on the inside in this game and as long as they can make 65-70% of their free throws, they should win this game comfortably.
I have to admit the Mountaineers have been cash money most of the season as a road underdog against good home teams but their last game against Louisville wasn't really a cover (depending on what line you got for the game) and the Cardinals led by 20 at the half so forget about that. More importantly for me, West Virginia has covered the spread in only 2 of their last 8 games played on a Wednesday and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games that follow a straight up loss. Syracuse on the other hand is not making their backers cash the way they use to make us cash but all that is going to change tonight in what is probably their most important game of the season and is definitely a MUST-WIN game for this team. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite so it's nice to be back in a spot where they are comfortable and as we already know, it's almost impossible to come into this place and beat the Orange so the small odds are very inviting. The favorite in this series has covered the spread in 5 of the last 7 meetings and I don't know if it's a coincidence but Syracuse has covered 5 of the last 7 meetings between these teams. Enough said, it's time to back Syracuse to the bank here. Expect Devendorf to have a huge game in a good matchup for the Orange.
Impact Player: Eric Devendorf, Syracuse
Trend of the Game: The favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings between these teams.
Syracuse 81, West Virginia 72
:toast:
The Syracuse Orangemen come into this game averaging a whopping 75.6 points per game in their last five games and in those games they managed to shoot 46.8% from the floor (both are well above NCAA averages for that period of games) and one thing is for sure, this team can score. Scoring is a good thing when you play against West Virginia because despite not allowing a ton of points per game in their last five games, the Mountaineers have allowed their last five opponents to shoot 44.3% from the floor and that would be a concern for all West Virginia backers if you ask me. I know the Mountaineers top priority when they play is to take away their opponents shots from the outside and force them inside the zone to take long range jumpers or score in the paint but that might not work in the Carreier Dome. Sure the Mountaineers have one of the best three point shooting defenses in the Country the last week or two because they really come after you out there and never allow open shots but this is Syracuse and the Orangemen are at home and the Orangemen have made 37.1% of their three point shots in their last five games at 7.2 three point shots made per game in those games. So believe me Devendorf is going to find a way to make some huge plays in this game. Cuse, despite being a horrendous free throw shooting team is going to have success forcing the Mountaineers to foul because West Virginia's interior defense is not that strong and their last five opponents have been to the free throw line 23.2 times per game. Expect early foul trouble for the Neers in this game. Syracuse has been to the free throw line 20.6 times per game in their last five games and they shoot free throw a heck of a lot better at home than on the road so expect some free points here. Like I said before I don't see much of an edge by either team in terms of rebounding and toughness around the glass but the Orangemen have come down with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game in their last five games and that is pretty impressive and sure to give them second chance points at some point tonight. Where this game is going to be won for Syracuse is at the guard position because as poorly as Syracuse has played, they are back home with a very winnable game and I think Devendorf and Flynn are going to shine. They are both great ball handlers who can find open guys like not many can in the Big East and the team has 14.6 assists per game in their last five games (NCAA average for those games is 12.9) but they do turn the ball over quite a bit. Having said that, this is a big game for this team tonight and Devendorf should have his best game of the season penetrating this defense and getting to the line quite a bit. For a team that forces almost 17 turnovers per game in their last five games, West Virginia has only 6.8 steals per game in those games which means their opponents have pretty much just lost the ball on their own. Syracuse is going to pound away on the inside in this game and as long as they can make 65-70% of their free throws, they should win this game comfortably.
I have to admit the Mountaineers have been cash money most of the season as a road underdog against good home teams but their last game against Louisville wasn't really a cover (depending on what line you got for the game) and the Cardinals led by 20 at the half so forget about that. More importantly for me, West Virginia has covered the spread in only 2 of their last 8 games played on a Wednesday and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games that follow a straight up loss. Syracuse on the other hand is not making their backers cash the way they use to make us cash but all that is going to change tonight in what is probably their most important game of the season and is definitely a MUST-WIN game for this team. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite so it's nice to be back in a spot where they are comfortable and as we already know, it's almost impossible to come into this place and beat the Orange so the small odds are very inviting. The favorite in this series has covered the spread in 5 of the last 7 meetings and I don't know if it's a coincidence but Syracuse has covered 5 of the last 7 meetings between these teams. Enough said, it's time to back Syracuse to the bank here. Expect Devendorf to have a huge game in a good matchup for the Orange.
Impact Player: Eric Devendorf, Syracuse
Trend of the Game: The favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings between these teams.
Syracuse 81, West Virginia 72
:toast:
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