MistaFlava's 2008 CBB Record: 16-17-2 ATS (-21.50 Units)
Last 3 Days: 6-1-1 ATS (+64.00 Units)
What a wonderful last few days it has been as I am 6-1-1 ATS (+64.00 Units) in my last eight college basketball wagers and am taking a full head of steam heading into next week. I also have 2 tennis picks for tonight and for those of you who don't know, I am rocking tennis wagers left and right. I don't normally do well in pre-New Year's college basketball selections so now is my time to shine and at least I've had the opportunity to watch a bunch of these teams play and I now have a better feel for where things are going, who can do what on the road, who can do what at home and it's just easier to watch a bit before betting. Nonetheless, my record is shit, I want to make it better and I hope to have a much different season than my college football season and a season a lot more like the NFL season I am having right now. This is one of the most exciting time's of the year for sports (don't we say that about 4-5 times a year???) and the road the Madness has begun, baseball is just around the corner and there is so much money to be made out there it's not even funny.
This is the best time of the year to bet CBB because the lines are often way off and a lot of teams are either overrated big time or underrated. Don't forget these kids care a lot more than the pros do.
1 unit = $100
You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. Good Luck to all this week!
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Last 3 Days: 6-1-1 ATS (+64.00 Units)
What a wonderful last few days it has been as I am 6-1-1 ATS (+64.00 Units) in my last eight college basketball wagers and am taking a full head of steam heading into next week. I also have 2 tennis picks for tonight and for those of you who don't know, I am rocking tennis wagers left and right. I don't normally do well in pre-New Year's college basketball selections so now is my time to shine and at least I've had the opportunity to watch a bunch of these teams play and I now have a better feel for where things are going, who can do what on the road, who can do what at home and it's just easier to watch a bit before betting. Nonetheless, my record is shit, I want to make it better and I hope to have a much different season than my college football season and a season a lot more like the NFL season I am having right now. This is one of the most exciting time's of the year for sports (don't we say that about 4-5 times a year???) and the road the Madness has begun, baseball is just around the corner and there is so much money to be made out there it's not even funny.
This is the best time of the year to bet CBB because the lines are often way off and a lot of teams are either overrated big time or underrated. Don't forget these kids care a lot more than the pros do.
1 unit = $100
You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. Good Luck to all this week!
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Sunday, January 25
View attachment 6287 Louisiville Cardinals +1.5 (10 Units) View attachment 6286
View attachment 6287 Louisiville Cardinals +1.5 (10 Units) View attachment 6286
The Louisville Cardinals are quickly establishing themselves as one of the top teams in this Country and their recent tear of the Eastern Region is a great indication of what this team can do. Why in the world would you go against these guys at this point in time? I mean the Cardinals are playing some of the best basketball I have seen them play in years. We are talking about a team that has now won six straight games and those wins came against Kentucky, South Florida, Villanova, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh and Rutgers...not the best of teams but winning at Nova and at home against an undefeated #1 Pittsburgh team is definitely something that's impressive in my mind. The Cardinals are not as good on the road as they are at home but that doesn't concern me because they are in one hell of a groove right now and they have still covered the spread in 3 of their 6 away games this season. Louisville is coming off a 19 point win over Rutgers a few nights ago and that was off the heels of that amazing come from behind home win against Pittsburgh last weekend. If you look back on what they have done this season, the Cardinals have been underdogs in only one game and that was a one point road win at Villanova as +2 point underdogs. Last year they were 3-0-1 ATS in the regular season as underdogs and the in 2007 they covered the spread in their last three games as underdogs. So Louisville is now 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight regular season games as underdogs. Could this finally be the year the Cardinals make it to the top and reach a FINAL FOUR? I think they have the talent on this team but to make it there they need to continue winning in this conference and that includes showing that they can win away from home. Louisville comes into this game averaging 73.2 points per game in their last five games and they have managed to get that done by shooting 43.9% from the floor and playing some pretty damn good defense I have to admit. However, if you are on Syracuse I would be worried right now because the Orange have allowed 74.8 points per game in their last five games and they have allowed their last five opponents to shoot 45.2% from the floor in those games (both well above NCAA averages for those games). That's just not going to work against this Cardinals team that has great three point shooting potential but that have been cold from beyond the arc their last five games, something that is probably going to change against a Syracuse team that has allowed their last five opponents to shoot 36.9% from beyond the arc and make 8.2 three pointers per game in those games. The Cardinals bring a good balance of outside shooting and inside power and altough they don't get to the free throw line as much as they would like to per game, they have been a lot better from the free throw line in recent games and that is where they have a big edge against this Syracuse team that doesn't foul all that much but also has a lot of breakdowns in the middle which has allowed opponents to score at will. The problem I have with Syracuse is that even though they have some big time toughness and size in the middle, they seem to give some of that size away to teams with just as much toughness. Louisville has a whopping 37.4 rebounds per game in their last five games and they have brought down 12.0 offensive rebounds per game in those games (both above the NCAA averages). That's going to be a huge problem for Syracuse because the Orangemen have allowed their last five opponents to bring down 11.8 offensive rebounds and 34.6 rebounds in total and that means the Cardinals are going to have several second chance points and several chances to extend their lead or win this game late. What you also have to understand about the Cardinals is that their guard play is inconsistent that's for sure and they do turn the ball a lot more than some of the elite teams in college basketball do...but their ball movement is still good (risky but good) and I think the guards are going to have a field day against a Syracuse team that has allowed their last five opponents to average 16.4 assists per game which is well above the NCAA average of 13.0 assists allowed per game in those games. Syracuse is just not aggressive enough on defense to win a game like this against a very scrappy Cardinals team and the proof in that is that they have forced only 11.8 turnovers per game in their last five games and have managed only 5.2 steals per game in those games. NOT GOOD ENOUGH SYRACUSE. If there is one team that can bitch around the Orangemen on their home turf it's the Cardinals and you guys better be ready for a Louisville beatdown in this one. Cardinals win here for sure.
The Syracuse Orangemen have always been an easy wager when playing at home on a short line or while taking them on the MoneyLine in games where they are favored but what oddsmakers failed to realize in this game is that the matchup is very bad for the Orange and they don't matchup well with Louisville at all. We are all about to see that. Not here, not on the road, not in the Big East Tournament and please keep that in mind guys. I am sick and tired of Syracuse playing well at home and then going on the road sucking complete ass like they did earlier this week against Pittsburgh because at some point you have to sit back and think that they are going to start playing the same way at home and that someday is right now if you ask me. Syracuse is 12-1 SU at home with their only loss at the Carrier Dome coming back on December 15 against Cleveland State on a huge huge huge buzzer beater from way beyond halfcourt. Other than that this team has killed everyone that has come through this place but who the hell have the even played here apart from Notre Dame? Are you all that surprised that Notre Dame lost here on the road by a large margin? Are you all that surprised that Louisville is by far the toughest opponent this Syracuse is going to have faced all season at home? The Orangemen have not played all that well in those home wins going 4-5 ATS in those games and I still don't know what the fuck the big deal is about Syracuse? The Orangemen come into this game averaging 78.8 points per game in their last five games and we all know they can score some big time points. In those games they have managed to shoot 50.5% from the floor which is impressive but that kind of dominance and that kind of bullying down low is just not going to work against a Cardinals team that has allowed only 62.4 points per game in their last five games and that have allowed those same opponents to shoot only 38.3% from the floor in those games (both well below the NCAA averages for that period of time). What you have to watch out for with the Orangemen is their ability to knock down shots from the outside and that is something Louisville has struggled to defend but even if Syracuse hits a bunch of three point shots in this game it won't be enough and I say that because the Cardinals are going to score at will with a combination of inside and outside power and the only way Syracuse can keep up is if they can get something going down low and from the outside. So the Orangemen are aggressive and they do know how to get to the free throw line but they shoot only 54.0% from the free throw line in their last five games and that is not going to work in a game where they need all the points they can and where they need to play from behind. This game is going to be a big time battle around the boards and we can expect a ton of fouls because both teams like to be tough under the basket, both teams bring down and allow a ton of rebounds by the other team and that is going to mean the bigger guys get into foul trouble and free throw shooting might win this game. Syracuse has the edge in pure guard play because they do have the most stable guards and they do average a whopping 16.0 assists per game in their last five games. On top of that they have turned the ball over only 12.2 times per game in those games which is below the NCAA average for those games but Louisville plays relentless defense and that is going to be a huge problem for Syracuse. I say that because the Cardinals have forced 16.6 turnovers per game in their last five games, they are all over their opponents and they like to put a ton of pressure on opposing guards once they cross the half. That has led to this team recording a whopping 8.8 steals per game in their last five games, their defense is a big reason why they have won six straight games and if guys like Devendorf and Flynn can be shut down and forced into mistakes, the Orangemen are going to collapse and lose this game. The only options I see for Orangemen in this game is hitting shots from the outside because as mentioned before, Louisville will allow those outside shots and they want to make you beat them from beyond the arc, not from the inside where they average 7.4 blocks per game in their last five games. Lousiville is just too tough on defense and Syracuse can't handle that as we saw in a lot of their road games this season. ANOTHER HOME LOSS FOR THE ORANGE.
The Carrier Dome is no doubt going to be rocking for this game but that's what the Cardinals want and they always seem to play better basketball in crazy atmospheres that has things either going their way or their opponents way. This is team is resilient and the atmosphere won't matter. To the naked eye Syracuse -1.5 looks too easy because of the way they play at home and because of what they have done to recent opponents here but shut the fuck up and realize already that Louisville still lacks respect. This team is dirty. Everyone thinks this is like Syracuse's home game against Notre Dame where they were coming off an embarrassing road loss and came home to smoke the Irish into next week...but Louisville is nothing like Notre Dame...believe me when I say that. For some reason betting on Louisville on a Sunday afternoon has been a good idea the last little while as they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played on a Sunday and the Cardinals are one of the best road teams (spread wise) of the last four or five college basketball seasons covering the spread in 20 of their last 26 road games. They are also one of the best ATS teams in the Big East over the last decade covering the spread in 37 of their last 52 games versus Big East Conference opponents. Do I need to say more about this Louisville team or what? The winning doesn't stop here. This team is going to continue winning and showing why they deserve TOP 10 status and Syracuse is due for another home loss after playing virtually nobody so far this season in the Carrier Dome. CARDINALS BACKERS GET READY TO CASH THIS BITCH!
Trend of the Game: Louisville is 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight regular season games as underdogs.
Louisville 79, Syracuse 71
:toast:
I will be back in a bit to post two more writeups and picks for this afternoon. Right now I have to move over to the tennis world and post my two selections for Australian Open action later tonight.
The Syracuse Orangemen have always been an easy wager when playing at home on a short line or while taking them on the MoneyLine in games where they are favored but what oddsmakers failed to realize in this game is that the matchup is very bad for the Orange and they don't matchup well with Louisville at all. We are all about to see that. Not here, not on the road, not in the Big East Tournament and please keep that in mind guys. I am sick and tired of Syracuse playing well at home and then going on the road sucking complete ass like they did earlier this week against Pittsburgh because at some point you have to sit back and think that they are going to start playing the same way at home and that someday is right now if you ask me. Syracuse is 12-1 SU at home with their only loss at the Carrier Dome coming back on December 15 against Cleveland State on a huge huge huge buzzer beater from way beyond halfcourt. Other than that this team has killed everyone that has come through this place but who the hell have the even played here apart from Notre Dame? Are you all that surprised that Notre Dame lost here on the road by a large margin? Are you all that surprised that Louisville is by far the toughest opponent this Syracuse is going to have faced all season at home? The Orangemen have not played all that well in those home wins going 4-5 ATS in those games and I still don't know what the fuck the big deal is about Syracuse? The Orangemen come into this game averaging 78.8 points per game in their last five games and we all know they can score some big time points. In those games they have managed to shoot 50.5% from the floor which is impressive but that kind of dominance and that kind of bullying down low is just not going to work against a Cardinals team that has allowed only 62.4 points per game in their last five games and that have allowed those same opponents to shoot only 38.3% from the floor in those games (both well below the NCAA averages for that period of time). What you have to watch out for with the Orangemen is their ability to knock down shots from the outside and that is something Louisville has struggled to defend but even if Syracuse hits a bunch of three point shots in this game it won't be enough and I say that because the Cardinals are going to score at will with a combination of inside and outside power and the only way Syracuse can keep up is if they can get something going down low and from the outside. So the Orangemen are aggressive and they do know how to get to the free throw line but they shoot only 54.0% from the free throw line in their last five games and that is not going to work in a game where they need all the points they can and where they need to play from behind. This game is going to be a big time battle around the boards and we can expect a ton of fouls because both teams like to be tough under the basket, both teams bring down and allow a ton of rebounds by the other team and that is going to mean the bigger guys get into foul trouble and free throw shooting might win this game. Syracuse has the edge in pure guard play because they do have the most stable guards and they do average a whopping 16.0 assists per game in their last five games. On top of that they have turned the ball over only 12.2 times per game in those games which is below the NCAA average for those games but Louisville plays relentless defense and that is going to be a huge problem for Syracuse. I say that because the Cardinals have forced 16.6 turnovers per game in their last five games, they are all over their opponents and they like to put a ton of pressure on opposing guards once they cross the half. That has led to this team recording a whopping 8.8 steals per game in their last five games, their defense is a big reason why they have won six straight games and if guys like Devendorf and Flynn can be shut down and forced into mistakes, the Orangemen are going to collapse and lose this game. The only options I see for Orangemen in this game is hitting shots from the outside because as mentioned before, Louisville will allow those outside shots and they want to make you beat them from beyond the arc, not from the inside where they average 7.4 blocks per game in their last five games. Lousiville is just too tough on defense and Syracuse can't handle that as we saw in a lot of their road games this season. ANOTHER HOME LOSS FOR THE ORANGE.
The Carrier Dome is no doubt going to be rocking for this game but that's what the Cardinals want and they always seem to play better basketball in crazy atmospheres that has things either going their way or their opponents way. This is team is resilient and the atmosphere won't matter. To the naked eye Syracuse -1.5 looks too easy because of the way they play at home and because of what they have done to recent opponents here but shut the fuck up and realize already that Louisville still lacks respect. This team is dirty. Everyone thinks this is like Syracuse's home game against Notre Dame where they were coming off an embarrassing road loss and came home to smoke the Irish into next week...but Louisville is nothing like Notre Dame...believe me when I say that. For some reason betting on Louisville on a Sunday afternoon has been a good idea the last little while as they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played on a Sunday and the Cardinals are one of the best road teams (spread wise) of the last four or five college basketball seasons covering the spread in 20 of their last 26 road games. They are also one of the best ATS teams in the Big East over the last decade covering the spread in 37 of their last 52 games versus Big East Conference opponents. Do I need to say more about this Louisville team or what? The winning doesn't stop here. This team is going to continue winning and showing why they deserve TOP 10 status and Syracuse is due for another home loss after playing virtually nobody so far this season in the Carrier Dome. CARDINALS BACKERS GET READY TO CASH THIS BITCH!
Trend of the Game: Louisville is 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight regular season games as underdogs.
Louisville 79, Syracuse 71
:toast:
I will be back in a bit to post two more writeups and picks for this afternoon. Right now I have to move over to the tennis world and post my two selections for Australian Open action later tonight.
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good luck bro
ope: oh and he posts excellent tennis writeups in another "mens tennis forum" hehe, im sure you can find it now.
