MistaFlava's 2008 CBB Record: 24-24-2 ATS (-80.50 Units)
I'm at around 50% right now which is not bad because I was down quite a bit in early season action but now that we have entered crunch time and February is here, it's time to really bare down. I won't be releasing big unit plays every day like I have done the last week or so. I only care about the money I win and not the percentage of bets I win so taking home the cash is all that matters and proper Money Management is a must, although I have a feeling I will still drop bombs here and there. That's just the way I roll and if you don't like it I don't really give a shit. Gotta love college hoops a lot more than the NBA and believe me when I say that this is where the money is at despite some of these kids really sucking when the game is on the line. Only in this sport can you have miracle covers. Hope you enjoy my writeups.
1 unit = $100
You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. Good Luck to all this week!
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I'm at around 50% right now which is not bad because I was down quite a bit in early season action but now that we have entered crunch time and February is here, it's time to really bare down. I won't be releasing big unit plays every day like I have done the last week or so. I only care about the money I win and not the percentage of bets I win so taking home the cash is all that matters and proper Money Management is a must, although I have a feeling I will still drop bombs here and there. That's just the way I roll and if you don't like it I don't really give a shit. Gotta love college hoops a lot more than the NBA and believe me when I say that this is where the money is at despite some of these kids really sucking when the game is on the line. Only in this sport can you have miracle covers. Hope you enjoy my writeups.
1 unit = $100
You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. Good Luck to all this week!
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Saturday, January 31
View attachment 6333 Louisville Cardinals -6 (10 Units) View attachment 6332
View attachment 6333 Louisville Cardinals -6 (10 Units) View attachment 6332
The West Virginia Mountaineers are not all that good. I know they have pulled a few upsets here and there this season but looking back now, do you really consider beating Georgetown an upset these days? I mean the Hoyas shot themselves right out of the TOP 25 this past week with losses to unranked opponents and like I said before, that makes the Mountaineers a little bit overrated if you ask me. If you have bet on this team before you know that when things are not going well they are not going well and that when they get down in a game, they rarely find a way to make it back in. We are talking about a team that is only 7-10 ATS on the season and that have gone 6-3 SU away from home on the year. I was on the Mountaineers last weekend when they folded like a cheap tent at home against Pittsburgh and lost that game by double digits and that game alone makes me wonder how the hell this team is even going to compete against the Cardinals who can score a heck of a lot more than Louisville can. I know this team is coming off a 23 point home win against St. John's but all that win did this past week was get us a better line in this game and I can't wait to cash this baby. I think some of you are quickly forgetting that this is the same team that lost by 22 at Marquette a few weeks ago. I don't really care what they did outside of the Conference because in-conference action really defines a team in the end and the Mountaineers, despite some nice wins in the Big East, have shown classic signs of a young team and have not shown that they can beat the big name teams night in and night out in the Conference. This team is 4-5 ATS away from home this season, they do miss the presence and experience of PG Joe Mazzula who is out again in this game and this is not the right time to back West Virginia and if you were on them against the Panthers you can for sure agree with me there. West Virginia comes into this game averaging 73.2 points per game in their last five games and they have managed to get that done by shooting 45.0% from the floor which is pretty damn good. Having said that, good luck trying to put points on the board against a Louisville defense that has allowed only 61.2 points per game in their last five games and that have allowed those same opponents to shoot only 39.5% from the floor in those games (both well below the NCAA average during that period of time). I do see West Virginia scoring some points in this game because as mentioned in the past, Louisville does not guard the perimeter all that well and that is probably by design. However, believe me when I say that if you are trying to go inside on this team and you cannot make your shots from the outside, you are going to run into some serious problems here because the Cardinals have sent their last five opponents to the free throw line only 14.0 times per game in the last five games (NCAA average for those games is 19.9). That's going to throw the Mountaineers off in this game because they love to work the inside and they love to attack the basket but the Cardinals keep everything outside and they rarely allow any sort of penetration in the lanes which could make things very difficult for West Virginia. The problem with having to beat a team from the outside is that you also have to be able to out-rebound them and it would shock me if West Virginia was able to do that in this game. They bring down 6.4 less rebounds per game in the last five games than Louisville does and second chance points are going to come at a premium in this game. I have to admit I am a big fan of the West Virginia guard play because they know how to move the ball, they know how to create space and they know how to give some of their big shooters some open looks. Having said that though, it's next to impossible to handle the ball around some of these Louisville ball hawkers because the Cardinals have a whopping 17.0 turnovers forced per game in their last five games, they have 8.8 steals per game in those games and again the Mountaineers have not seen this kind of aggressive defense since their loss against the Panthers. This could get ugly guys. You can forget about absolutely everything on the inside in this game because the Cardinals just don't allow you in, they have 6.2 blocks per game in their last five games and the Mountaineers, despite being a decent team shooting wise from the floor, do not have lights out shooting, the kind needed to win road games like this in the Big East Conference against opponents like this. I expect another showcase of dominance by the Louisville defense in this game.
The Louisville Cardinals know they are a good team and now that they have shown what they can do over the span of the last two weeks, you can almost forget about Vegas giving us decent odds on any of their games. Having said that, these are very good odds and I was willing to back these guys in this spot at anything less than 10 points and BAM there it was last night when the odds came out. The Cardinals have made me a ton of cash this season and they are finally playing the kind of basketball everyone thought they would be playing before the season started. They are #7 in the Country right now and that is exactly where a bunch of pre-season experts had them listed as before the season started so this makes more sense. This team has not lost a single game in 2009, they are perfect in Big East Conference play to this point, and those who have bet on them more than once this season know that they have been profitable and are 12-7 ATS on the season. Having said that, this team is near perfect at home with their 11-1 SU record on the season and their only loss here was to UNLV in a fluke game on New Year's Eve...that's in the past and this team has since moved on ages ago. This should be quite the game because the Cardinals are now 7-0 ATS in their last seven games, they now have a lot more pressure to perform against teams like this and judging by the way they have done it in the past, I think they are going to react very well to this adversity. I mean how could you not come out guns blazing in this game when you have won recent home games by 14 points over Notre Dame, by 6 points over Pittsburgh and by 26 points over South Florida? This place is one of the toughest places to play in the Country for those who didn't know and the Cardinals are an impressive 8-4 ATS on their home court this season so great spot to back them once again. Louisville comes into this game averaging 76.2 points per game in their last five games and they have managed to get that done by also shooting 44.7% from the floor in those games. We all know scoring points against West Virginia is not easy because they like to defense the gaps and it makes it tough for opponents to get any type of offensive rythm going agianst these guys most of the time. Having said that, the Mountaineers are going to be overwhelmed themselves on offense and that could be a huge issue for their defense in this game. The Cardinals are just another one of those teams that can really knock em down from the outside as they have now made 7.8 three point shots per game in their last five games and despite having some tough guys up front who can really attack the hoop at the same time, this team has really made themselves dangerous by showing their ability to hit from everywhere pretty much. I know the Mountaineers force everything inside and their last five opponents have attempted only 13.8 three point shots per game when the NCAA average is 18.1 attempted per game but having said that, I wouldn't mind if Louisville didn't hit a single three point shot all game because I see them dominating on the board and down low which is good enough for a huge win as well. I say that because the Cardinals are going up against a West Virginia defense that has sent their last five opponents to the free throw line 23.6 times per game in their last five games and the Cardinals can easily switch their game around to make sure guys like Earl Clark and Terrence Williams dominated down low against a very young Mountaineers team. I mean we are talking about a very tough team that averages 38.6 rebounds per game in their last five games and a team that has scored a bunch of points on second chance opportunities with the 13.8 offensive rebounds per game they have brought down in their last five games. Again I know the West Virginia does play very good positional defense and they always have but once you start attacking them down the gut things are going to open up outside and Louisville has too many weapons from too many positions in this game. Any team with better guard play than West Virginia is always going to have a chance to beat the Mountainers and beat them big and that is just what the Cardinals have. Louisville is averaging a whopping 16.4 assists per game in their last five games and they have turned the ball over only 13.2 times per game in those games. Despite playing good positional defense, the Mountaineers don't force that many turnovers and to beat Louisville you have to do better than the 6.0 steals per game this team has averaged in their last five games. You also have to do a lot better than the rebounds this team brings down because again if you don't have the toughness to ball with the big boys on this Louisville team, you don't have a chance to keep things close. The Cardianls are too good on both sides of the ball and West Virginia has always been troubled by this team...with this season being no different. Huge matchup problems for the Mountaineers. CARDS WILL CASH!
These two teams have rarely played against each other but when they have, the games have not been all that close. I mean the Cardinals lead the all-time series 3-1 SU, they are 3-0-1 ATS in those games and their three wins against the Mountaineers have all come by at least 8 points with a combined margin of victory being at around 9 points so you have to like the way they match up in this game because I know I do. I don't see these teams as being in the same league at all right now because one (West Virginia) is a young team trying to find an identity in the Big East Conference while the other (Louisville) is one of the top teams in the Country and one of the most veteran at that as well (well sorta). How can you not bet on Louisville here? West Virginia have covered the spread in only 2 of their last 7 games overall and from what we have seen in the past, they do not match up well with Louisville defensive toughness. Speaking of the Cardinals...if you go against a team that has covered the spread in 7 straight games you don't have much of a brain. This Cardinals team is not only 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall but they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 Saturday games, they are 38-14-2 ATS in their last 54 games played versus Big East Conference opponents and they are 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite of 0.5 to 6.5 points in a game. Not much more can be said here as the Cardinals are playing some lights out basketball and you have to tail them until they prove us otherwise. THIS IS WISE CASH GUYS, WISE CASH!
Trend of the Game: Louisville is 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall.
Louisville 79, West Virginia 65
:toast:
Alright so I have another noon game (play in the Wake-Georgia Tech game) and then I will either post my Australian Open Men's Tennis Final pick or I will post my 2:00pm CBB game before all that.Either way looking to kick things off with a bang here.
The Louisville Cardinals know they are a good team and now that they have shown what they can do over the span of the last two weeks, you can almost forget about Vegas giving us decent odds on any of their games. Having said that, these are very good odds and I was willing to back these guys in this spot at anything less than 10 points and BAM there it was last night when the odds came out. The Cardinals have made me a ton of cash this season and they are finally playing the kind of basketball everyone thought they would be playing before the season started. They are #7 in the Country right now and that is exactly where a bunch of pre-season experts had them listed as before the season started so this makes more sense. This team has not lost a single game in 2009, they are perfect in Big East Conference play to this point, and those who have bet on them more than once this season know that they have been profitable and are 12-7 ATS on the season. Having said that, this team is near perfect at home with their 11-1 SU record on the season and their only loss here was to UNLV in a fluke game on New Year's Eve...that's in the past and this team has since moved on ages ago. This should be quite the game because the Cardinals are now 7-0 ATS in their last seven games, they now have a lot more pressure to perform against teams like this and judging by the way they have done it in the past, I think they are going to react very well to this adversity. I mean how could you not come out guns blazing in this game when you have won recent home games by 14 points over Notre Dame, by 6 points over Pittsburgh and by 26 points over South Florida? This place is one of the toughest places to play in the Country for those who didn't know and the Cardinals are an impressive 8-4 ATS on their home court this season so great spot to back them once again. Louisville comes into this game averaging 76.2 points per game in their last five games and they have managed to get that done by also shooting 44.7% from the floor in those games. We all know scoring points against West Virginia is not easy because they like to defense the gaps and it makes it tough for opponents to get any type of offensive rythm going agianst these guys most of the time. Having said that, the Mountaineers are going to be overwhelmed themselves on offense and that could be a huge issue for their defense in this game. The Cardinals are just another one of those teams that can really knock em down from the outside as they have now made 7.8 three point shots per game in their last five games and despite having some tough guys up front who can really attack the hoop at the same time, this team has really made themselves dangerous by showing their ability to hit from everywhere pretty much. I know the Mountaineers force everything inside and their last five opponents have attempted only 13.8 three point shots per game when the NCAA average is 18.1 attempted per game but having said that, I wouldn't mind if Louisville didn't hit a single three point shot all game because I see them dominating on the board and down low which is good enough for a huge win as well. I say that because the Cardinals are going up against a West Virginia defense that has sent their last five opponents to the free throw line 23.6 times per game in their last five games and the Cardinals can easily switch their game around to make sure guys like Earl Clark and Terrence Williams dominated down low against a very young Mountaineers team. I mean we are talking about a very tough team that averages 38.6 rebounds per game in their last five games and a team that has scored a bunch of points on second chance opportunities with the 13.8 offensive rebounds per game they have brought down in their last five games. Again I know the West Virginia does play very good positional defense and they always have but once you start attacking them down the gut things are going to open up outside and Louisville has too many weapons from too many positions in this game. Any team with better guard play than West Virginia is always going to have a chance to beat the Mountainers and beat them big and that is just what the Cardinals have. Louisville is averaging a whopping 16.4 assists per game in their last five games and they have turned the ball over only 13.2 times per game in those games. Despite playing good positional defense, the Mountaineers don't force that many turnovers and to beat Louisville you have to do better than the 6.0 steals per game this team has averaged in their last five games. You also have to do a lot better than the rebounds this team brings down because again if you don't have the toughness to ball with the big boys on this Louisville team, you don't have a chance to keep things close. The Cardianls are too good on both sides of the ball and West Virginia has always been troubled by this team...with this season being no different. Huge matchup problems for the Mountaineers. CARDS WILL CASH!
These two teams have rarely played against each other but when they have, the games have not been all that close. I mean the Cardinals lead the all-time series 3-1 SU, they are 3-0-1 ATS in those games and their three wins against the Mountaineers have all come by at least 8 points with a combined margin of victory being at around 9 points so you have to like the way they match up in this game because I know I do. I don't see these teams as being in the same league at all right now because one (West Virginia) is a young team trying to find an identity in the Big East Conference while the other (Louisville) is one of the top teams in the Country and one of the most veteran at that as well (well sorta). How can you not bet on Louisville here? West Virginia have covered the spread in only 2 of their last 7 games overall and from what we have seen in the past, they do not match up well with Louisville defensive toughness. Speaking of the Cardinals...if you go against a team that has covered the spread in 7 straight games you don't have much of a brain. This Cardinals team is not only 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall but they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 Saturday games, they are 38-14-2 ATS in their last 54 games played versus Big East Conference opponents and they are 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite of 0.5 to 6.5 points in a game. Not much more can be said here as the Cardinals are playing some lights out basketball and you have to tail them until they prove us otherwise. THIS IS WISE CASH GUYS, WISE CASH!
Trend of the Game: Louisville is 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall.
Louisville 79, West Virginia 65
:toast:
Alright so I have another noon game (play in the Wake-Georgia Tech game) and then I will either post my Australian Open Men's Tennis Final pick or I will post my 2:00pm CBB game before all that.Either way looking to kick things off with a bang here.
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