MistaFlava's 2008 CBB Record: 7-12-2 ATS (-70.00 Units)
The last time I placed a college basketball wager was almost a month ago. I don't normally do well in pre-New Year's college basketball selections so now is my time to shine and at least I've had the opportunity to watch a bunch of these teams play and I now have a better feel for where things are going, who can do what on the road, who can do what at home and it's just easier to watch a bit before betting. Nonetheless, my record is shit, I want to make it better and I hope to have a much different season than my college football season and a season a lot more like the NFL season I am having right now. This is one of the most exciting time's of the year for sports (don't we say that about 4-5 times a year???) and the road the Madness has begun, baseball is just around the corner and there is so much money to be made out there it's not even funny.
This should be an interesting first few weeks with a couple of potential big games coming up before Christmas. I wish everyone the best in 2008-2009 and let the march to the madness begin right here, right now.
1 unit = $100
You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. Good Luck to all this week!
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The last time I placed a college basketball wager was almost a month ago. I don't normally do well in pre-New Year's college basketball selections so now is my time to shine and at least I've had the opportunity to watch a bunch of these teams play and I now have a better feel for where things are going, who can do what on the road, who can do what at home and it's just easier to watch a bit before betting. Nonetheless, my record is shit, I want to make it better and I hope to have a much different season than my college football season and a season a lot more like the NFL season I am having right now. This is one of the most exciting time's of the year for sports (don't we say that about 4-5 times a year???) and the road the Madness has begun, baseball is just around the corner and there is so much money to be made out there it's not even funny.
This should be an interesting first few weeks with a couple of potential big games coming up before Christmas. I wish everyone the best in 2008-2009 and let the march to the madness begin right here, right now.
1 unit = $100
You can tail, you can fade or you can just watch. I have always been a streaky capper. Good Luck to all this week!
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Saturday, January 17
View attachment 6249 Notre Dame Fighting Irish +4 (10 Units) View attachment 6250
View attachment 6249 Notre Dame Fighting Irish +4 (10 Units) View attachment 6250
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are 12-4 SU on the season and losing another game right now would probably send them near the bottom of the TOP 25 rankings or it could knock them right out of there altogether. This is a very important game for this crew because they need to measure where they stand in the Big East and pretty much where they stand in college basketball as the Carrier Dome is one of the toughest places to play in all of college hoops. The Irish are coming off a 14 point loss at Louisville but the scoreline does not tell the story as the game went to overtime and the Irish were only down three points at the half, while playing well in the second half before getting blown out of the water in overtime. I feel bad for Irish bettors in that game because the +6.5 looked pretty damn good until OT hit but that is the nature of this sport and that is going to happen to many people this season. That's two losses in a row on the road for the Irish now and believe me when I say they want to snap out of that funk right about now. If you are going to beat Syracuse you better score some points and the Irish can do just that as they average 80.3 points per game on the season while shooting 46.0% from the floor in those games. That should give the Irish a shot here because Syracuse has allowed 70.4 points per game in their last five games and have allowed opponents to shoot 42.1% from the floor in those games. Not only is Notre Dame a better rebounding team than the Orangemen but they also have the better guard play if you as me averaging 17.9 assists per game with only 9.6 turnovers in those games while Syracuse has allowed their last five opponents to average 15.0 assists per game while forcing only 10.0 turnovers per game in those games. That's just not going to work against Notre Dame. If you let their guards run around and make plays, that will open things up from downtown and we all know how well the Irish can shoot the three ball. This is a very good matchup for Notre Dame and although it's tough to shoot long jumpers from the outside against Syracuse, I think this team can find an inside game and take care of business in a hurry. Irish for me.
The Syracuse Orangemen were embarassed quite badly against Georgetown on the road a few days ago so the natural assumption is that they are going to walk into this place and blow away their next opponent. Well that's much easier said than done when you have to up against another one of the top teams in the Country, a team that has also lost their last game and that has lost two straight games on the road. This is not going to be easy and we are going to be in for one hell of a treat if you ask me. Syracuse is 16-2 SU on the season with their only losses coming against the Hoyas and against Cleveland State on that buzzer beating shot from his own side of the court. Syracuse is only 3-5 ATS at home this season and that's without really facing any tough opponents. I mean this team is virtually untested in their own home as every single home game has seen a spread of double digits in favor of the home team and like I said before, this is their first really big test and most experts cannot wait to see how they perform when finally challenged in this place. Syracuse comes into this game scoring just as many points recently as they have all season long. They average 80.0 points per game in their last five games and have shot 50.8% from the floor in those games which is not all that bad. However, they could run into some pretty damn good defense here as Notre Dame has allowed only 68.3 points per game this season and they have allowed opponents to shoot only 42.1% from the floor in those games. Syracuse is a decent shooting team from the outside but I don't like the matchup here unless they can get to the line and hit free throws, something they have not done in recent games as they shoot only 55.6% from the free throw line in their last five games while Notre Dame has sent opponents to the line only 9.3 times per game this season. Again I don't trust the Syrcause guard play in this game for some reason and the Irish have done a decent job this season shutting opposing point guards who like to run the floor and control the game. I think Notre Dame has the edge on defense here as well and this is a game they are going to want to win pretty badly.
When the hell was the last time you saw Syracuse blow away the Irish at home anyways? If I look back at a bunch of the meetings between these two teams in recent years I see a 103-91 Notre Dame win the last time they were here in January of 2007, I see a three point loss here in February of 2005, I see an 84-72 Notre Dame win here in February of 2004 and I see a two point Notre Dame loss here in February of 2003. So you tell me right now how this line makes sense and I will jump ship. I don't normally bet on underdogs I don't think can win the game and believe me I do think they can win the game here it's only that I don't see Syracuse losing another game just like that and I think this comes right down to the wire with the last shot of the game deciding which way this thing goes. What I do like about this Notre Dame team is that they are 4-0 ATS in their last four games that follow a straight up loss so you can usually count on them in games like this. They have also covered the spread in 23 of their last 33 road games where they are the underdog and this is a perfect range of points for them. Syracuse on the other hand is the complete opposite as they lack consistency and are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. History has shown that this could be a high scoring game and even if it's not, Notre Dame is 5-0 ATS in their last five visits to Syracuse, the road team has covered 10 of the last 12 meetings and the Underdog has covered 9 of the last 12 meetings. Everything here points to a Notre Dame spread cover and although I see Syracuse squeaking out a late win, the Irish should cover and I'm all over it.
Trend of the Game: Notre Dame is 5-0 ATS in their last five visits to Syracuse.
Syracuse 62, Notre Dame 59
:toast:
*more picks to follow in this thread
The Syracuse Orangemen were embarassed quite badly against Georgetown on the road a few days ago so the natural assumption is that they are going to walk into this place and blow away their next opponent. Well that's much easier said than done when you have to up against another one of the top teams in the Country, a team that has also lost their last game and that has lost two straight games on the road. This is not going to be easy and we are going to be in for one hell of a treat if you ask me. Syracuse is 16-2 SU on the season with their only losses coming against the Hoyas and against Cleveland State on that buzzer beating shot from his own side of the court. Syracuse is only 3-5 ATS at home this season and that's without really facing any tough opponents. I mean this team is virtually untested in their own home as every single home game has seen a spread of double digits in favor of the home team and like I said before, this is their first really big test and most experts cannot wait to see how they perform when finally challenged in this place. Syracuse comes into this game scoring just as many points recently as they have all season long. They average 80.0 points per game in their last five games and have shot 50.8% from the floor in those games which is not all that bad. However, they could run into some pretty damn good defense here as Notre Dame has allowed only 68.3 points per game this season and they have allowed opponents to shoot only 42.1% from the floor in those games. Syracuse is a decent shooting team from the outside but I don't like the matchup here unless they can get to the line and hit free throws, something they have not done in recent games as they shoot only 55.6% from the free throw line in their last five games while Notre Dame has sent opponents to the line only 9.3 times per game this season. Again I don't trust the Syrcause guard play in this game for some reason and the Irish have done a decent job this season shutting opposing point guards who like to run the floor and control the game. I think Notre Dame has the edge on defense here as well and this is a game they are going to want to win pretty badly.
When the hell was the last time you saw Syracuse blow away the Irish at home anyways? If I look back at a bunch of the meetings between these two teams in recent years I see a 103-91 Notre Dame win the last time they were here in January of 2007, I see a three point loss here in February of 2005, I see an 84-72 Notre Dame win here in February of 2004 and I see a two point Notre Dame loss here in February of 2003. So you tell me right now how this line makes sense and I will jump ship. I don't normally bet on underdogs I don't think can win the game and believe me I do think they can win the game here it's only that I don't see Syracuse losing another game just like that and I think this comes right down to the wire with the last shot of the game deciding which way this thing goes. What I do like about this Notre Dame team is that they are 4-0 ATS in their last four games that follow a straight up loss so you can usually count on them in games like this. They have also covered the spread in 23 of their last 33 road games where they are the underdog and this is a perfect range of points for them. Syracuse on the other hand is the complete opposite as they lack consistency and are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. History has shown that this could be a high scoring game and even if it's not, Notre Dame is 5-0 ATS in their last five visits to Syracuse, the road team has covered 10 of the last 12 meetings and the Underdog has covered 9 of the last 12 meetings. Everything here points to a Notre Dame spread cover and although I see Syracuse squeaking out a late win, the Irish should cover and I'm all over it.
Trend of the Game: Notre Dame is 5-0 ATS in their last five visits to Syracuse.
Syracuse 62, Notre Dame 59
:toast:
*more picks to follow in this thread
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