Mississippi State vs Vanderbilt 10/23/2021

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Mississippi State is a heavy favorite winning 87% of simulations over Vanderbilt. Will Rogers is averaging 302 passing yards and 2.73 TDs per simulation and Will Rogers is projected for 73 rushing yards and a 54% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 13% of simulations where Vanderbilt wins, Ken Seals averages 2.21 TD passes vs 0.45 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.03 TDs to 0.63 interceptions. Ken Seals averages 45 rushing yards and 0.63 rushing TDs when Vanderbilt wins and 39 yards and 0.3 TDs in losses. Mississippi State has a 36% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 92% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is VAN +23 --- Over/Under line is 51.5
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