Guys, I see huge value here b/c of the OSU hype.
Here is what i am seeing:
MSU +12 versus OSU (Late November, with OSU having Michigan on deck)
MSU+980 Big 10 Champs
MSU +2800 National Champs
----------------
Here is my thought-process:
MSU and OSU have one game to determine representation at Big 10 championship. There side of the equation wins the Big 10 championship as i see no chance Wisconsin or Nebraska can beat either of them.
With that said, I think OSU on the road, at night, in the game of their season, against their first real test (cupcakes until then, leading to ill-prepared team), with MSU coach Dantonio, with 24 returning seniors on MSU....Ohio State may not WIN. Cover 12 points? That's free money - no way in hell. OSU WIN, going to take the best performance of the last two years.
Where do i go from here?
Take the +12 now and wrap up 1100 to win 1000? Hate to tie up capital like that - and i can't see my book giving me a bigger wager amount given it's a future.
Take the +12 and parlay with another game (maybe twice)? 500 on MSU + 12 plus OPEN; 500 on MSU +12 plus OPEN?
Take MSU to win Big 10 (assume win against OSU) and put 500 down on MSU to win and get to Big 10 game and win? 500 to win 5000?
Take MSU to win NC (assumes OSU win, Big 10 champ win, NC playoff spot, and win of two games) - 500 pays 13000+.
Interested in how folks think i should play this...I'm not interested in opinions that say - ain't going to happen; feel free to say so. I am interested in folks who recommend a solid play based on my beliefs with risk mgmt and capital tie-up in mind.
--Thanks.
Here is what i am seeing:
MSU +12 versus OSU (Late November, with OSU having Michigan on deck)
MSU+980 Big 10 Champs
MSU +2800 National Champs
----------------
Here is my thought-process:
MSU and OSU have one game to determine representation at Big 10 championship. There side of the equation wins the Big 10 championship as i see no chance Wisconsin or Nebraska can beat either of them.
With that said, I think OSU on the road, at night, in the game of their season, against their first real test (cupcakes until then, leading to ill-prepared team), with MSU coach Dantonio, with 24 returning seniors on MSU....Ohio State may not WIN. Cover 12 points? That's free money - no way in hell. OSU WIN, going to take the best performance of the last two years.
Where do i go from here?
Take the +12 now and wrap up 1100 to win 1000? Hate to tie up capital like that - and i can't see my book giving me a bigger wager amount given it's a future.
Take the +12 and parlay with another game (maybe twice)? 500 on MSU + 12 plus OPEN; 500 on MSU +12 plus OPEN?
Take MSU to win Big 10 (assume win against OSU) and put 500 down on MSU to win and get to Big 10 game and win? 500 to win 5000?
Take MSU to win NC (assumes OSU win, Big 10 champ win, NC playoff spot, and win of two games) - 500 pays 13000+.
Interested in how folks think i should play this...I'm not interested in opinions that say - ain't going to happen; feel free to say so. I am interested in folks who recommend a solid play based on my beliefs with risk mgmt and capital tie-up in mind.
--Thanks.