Mchigan's defense is good. Clausen is horrible, almost as bad as Threet, but does not have a defense behind him. If ND figures out that Michigans quarterback is truely not a threat to run, ND can win. Michigan, because of their defense, can cover this number...barely. Just my thoughts.
I think ND is the play here. I watched the game against SD St and they had many chances to break that game open. Clausen has the talent to be a fantastic QB if he's given time.
ND has a decent team that can beat Michigan. They should be -4 favorites here IMO. I do have them to get U 7 wins on the season though so I wouldn't be too upset to be wrong about this game.