Miami vs. FSU w/writeup

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EliteSports

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Miami at Florida St.
Play on Miami minus the points

FSU has only lost one ACC home game EVER (51-1 SU). That is definitely not an easy stat to lay points to. Young QB Weatherford has emerged to win the QB job in camp, and that may be a good thing as QB Lee really struggled in early scrimmages. Must note that Bowden did give Weatherford some confidence by playing him against the second team, however. Miami under HC Coker has beaten FSU 6 straight times, (6-1 $ last 7) and their coaching staff really sells out for these instate battles as they have have not lost to the Seminoles or Gators in 10 straight contests (8-2$). Canes also will be breaking in a new QB, in a very hostile environment nonetheless. But Kyle Wright has received rave reviews this fall, and he has been on campus for 5 semsters already, giving him a leg up on Weatherford.

When this line first came out back in the summer, FSU was a small favorite. However, the Noles suffered some of their usual academic issues as they lost their best DT and NFL prospect, Dickson to grade troubles. They then lost their best DB Cromartie to a torn ACL. Both players were among the country's best, and although HC Bowden somehow keeps LB Nicholson in the lineup despite some legal troubles (no suspension at all, Bobby?), the FSU defense has definitely taken a hit. Miami is superior on both lines, and although the last two affairs have come down to the wire on the scoreboard, Miami has held a 739-367 yardage in those two games. In fact, the Noles have only rushed for 228 yds. TOTAL in the last 3 matchups with the Canes. That is a combination of line play, and the problems that OC Bowden has in his matchup with the Miami defense. UM defense returns 14 of its top 15 tacklers from last year, so definitely do not see things being any easier for the Noles Labor Day night.

For the first time in a number of years, FSU actually lost a lot more in the draft then Miami did. When you add in the tumultuous offseason, this team definitely is not as good as last year’s. Conversely, Miami looks to be much improved, as they did not suffer their normal draft losses, and they get a lot of injured players back from last season. This staff and these players KNOW they can beat their rival, as opposed to FSU HOPING that they can beat Miami. If Wright can keep his cool under the chopping and chanting of Doak, expect a business like, winning effort from the better team. My interest will especially be peeked if home doggers, middlers, and overreaction to Weatherford’s gaudy scrimmage stats brings this line back down off of key number 3. Either way, Miami is my recommendation.
 
Mr. Freeze

Mr. Freeze

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I only have one comment to make about the first stat in your piece. How long has Miami been in the ACC?

That is one very good reason why the number is so lopsided.
 

TampaLuke

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This staff and these players KNOW they can beat their rival, as opposed to FSU HOPING that they can beat Miami.


This is the key to this game. Nothing else is really definitive. If Wright is so good why has he not been in the lineup? It is not like there was anybody occupying the position. Plus it is really hard to tell if Miami is improved since they haven't played anyone yet. Last year that defense was anything but solid.

Bowden just simply can't beat Miami if they are even close to good. I wouldn't bank on Miami doing anything this year. I also wouldn't put too much into Larry Coker.
 

BigDaddyNole

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BOTTOM LINE: Jeff Bowden is still on the sideline --- and Bobby's still there to provide just enough anxiety in the players' minds that they're not capable of winning the game ... especially if it's a tight game

history repeats itself ....
 

EliteSports

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Oh definitely. Coker is no Knute Rockne. But he and his staff are by far the lesser of the two evils here. And I have seen everyone of the last 6, they have simply coached circles around the noles (fake punts, blocked kicks, 75 yard screen passes, etc., etc.)
 

EliteSports

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Wright was about to at least start splitting time with Berlin last year after Berlin's terrible performance at Houston. Then he suffered a pretty bad high ankle sprain in practice and was in a boot for about 4 weeks last season.
 

EliteSports

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Just bumping as we near game time.
 

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