"
Miami +11½ over PITTSBURGH
"1:00 PM EST. The 10-6 Dolphins snatched the final wild card despite ending the year with a beat-down by the visiting Patriots. The Fins are only 4-4 on the road and that was with Ryan Tannehill still playing. The 11-5 Steelers are 6-2 at home this year and this is a replay of Week 6 when the Dolphins won 30-15 in Miami. However, unlike that one, this will be a cold weather game with temperatures only at 23 degrees and one must figure that the Steelers will be more comfortable than the Dolphins."
"Getting steamrolled by the visiting Patriots last week was a reminder that the Fish are not likely to get very far in the playoffs. Matt Moore was an obvious step down but there is at least a glimmer of hope surrounding Ryan Tannehill. The Dolphins took that first meeting because it was the breakout game by Jay Ajayi but that ship has long since sailed and there are no surprises now about what Ajayi can do. The Patriots are not the only team that has steamrolled the Dolphins this year either. Cincinnati made them look like amateurs in a prime time game earlier in the year and the Ravens smashed them, 38-6."
"The Steelers are on a seven game winning streak and rested all their key players last week. They wanted this rematch after being beaten in Miami and the team is as healthy as they have been in a while. The first meeting with the Dolphins was a surprise in many ways. Ben Roethlisberger was held to only 189 yards and one score but he tore his meniscus in that game and was out for a few weeks. Roethlisberger threw for at least two scores in every home game this year while totaling 20 TD’s over the six times he played there. Le'Veon Bell ran for only 53 yards on 10 carries and caught six passes for 55 yards in Miami in Week 6. It was one of his worst performances of the year. Bell has since scored nine times over the last seven games and ran for at least 93 yards in each of the last six games that he played. We can go on and on and on but we think you get the point. It is near impossible to make a case for Miami and so we’re not going to try. That said, we have been around this sport long enough to know that spotting massive weight in the playoffs is not a high percentage play so we’re going to lay off. Everything points to a Pittsburgh easy win and cover but we refuse to spot inflated points. We also can’t back a team we don’t trust can win so if it gets out of hand, it wouldn’t surprise us either.
Recommendation: Miami +11½ (no bets)."
http://sportswagers.ca/blog/article.php?bID=85