Miami (OH) vs Ball State 10/23/2021

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Miami (OH) winning 44% of simulations, and Ball State 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Miami (OH) commits fewer turnovers in 22% of simulations and they go on to win 55% when they take care of the ball. Ball State wins 66% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Keyon Mozee is averaging 45 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (18% chance) then he helps his team win 57%. Will Jones is averaging 65 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (36% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BALL -6.5 --- Over/Under line is 51.5
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