Oregon St, I feel is the play, as they should be able to outclass New Mexico whose Off, cant be trusted. Hey if Oregon St can put up large points against USC on the road, I dont see how they wont be able to duplicate that performance against a MWC team, formerly of the WAC. One rule I always remembered was PaC 10 vs WAC or MWC teams was almost an automatic to get a SU win. In this one , the spread is low enough that a SU win would equate also to a cover on the fav.
I would be careful relying to heavy on Navy in this game. They do score points , but they are primarily a running team. TT scores a shit load of points , but they primarily a passing team. TT is one team whose Off will be able to score at will on this Navy team. Thus if Navys rush Off gets shut down, or is caugtht in a catch up situation. Not so confident that they will be able to stay close to this TT team if their QB Symons gets red Hot. Just my thoughts at this moment, Aloha CC.