Miami +7 against seattle....

[fidel_cashflow]

hmmmmm do we take the bait ?

 

[PoundFoolish]

yes

 

[CADILLACJACK]

I would say yes.....this is a horrible week 4 spot for Seattle after how their first 3 games have gone as far as the battles they've had to have to win and flying across country. Seattle's D needs help als. Miami extra rest and coming off rare win they'll be ready!

 

[X-Files]

Too late. The 7 is gone & it's 6.5 now:

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nfl-football/

 

[ConleyPicks]

Trends supporting Dolphins for a ATS bet:
Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass
Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog
Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games
Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings vs SEAHAWKS
Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings vs DOLPHINS

The OVER 53.5 looks strong here too if you want to play it:
Over is 4-0 in Seahawks last 4 games overall
Over is 4-0 in Seahawks last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game
Over is 5-0 in Dolphins last 5 games as a home underdog
Over is 5-0 in Dolphins last 5 home games
Over is 6-1 in Dolphins last 7 games on grass

Your Dolphins +6.5 looks good to me as well as a OVER 53.5
Good luck fiddle!

 

[FORGETABOUTIT]

Too late. The 7 is gone & it's 6.5 now:

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nfl-football/

Don’t you feel the line will move back to 7 or maybe even 7.5 closer to game time as the public bets it up?

 

[X-Files]

Don’t you feel the line will move back to 7 or maybe even 7.5 closer to game time as the public bets it up?

It wouldn't surprise me. Even as late as within an hour before game time. Which may be the best time to make certain bets ;

If you like the Dolphins in this spot. Good things come to those who wait. Patience.

Having multiple outs may also help to get the extra half point or reduced juice.

 

[FORGETABOUTIT]

It wouldn't surprise me. Even as late as within an hour before game time. Which may be the best time to make certain bets ;

If you like the Dolphins in this spot. Good things come to those who wait. Patience.

Having multiple outs may also help to get the extra half point or reduced juice.

yep... if I know I’m going to take a favorite or over I get on it as soon as possible. If I know I’m going to take a dog or under I wait as long as possible.

 

[powerz]

Seattle Pass defense weak ...fitz magic will have a back door opp

 

[powerz]

Don’t you feel the line will move back to 7 or maybe even 7.5 closer to game time as the public bets it up?

Bookmaker now down to 6

 

[BakerMay25]

I feel like this is one of those games where the line is so fishy we take the bait and Seattle wins by 3td... and then on Monday we are all like "why did we ever put money on that shitty team? never again"

 

[rolltide]

ah yes the 'ol flying across country game

did you know... since 2016 season west-based teams playing eastern time zone are 26-3 SU and 22-3-4 ATS when either favored or tiny underdog?

so keep on believing ESPN when they tell you west teams playing EST always lose when in fact they've won 90% of the games in L4+ years as long as not a dog of 2 or more

https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/quer...ne+<+2+and+season+>+2016&submit=++S+D+Q+L+!++

 

[X-Files]

ah yes the 'ol flying across country game

did you know... since 2016 season west-based teams playing eastern time zone are 26-3 SU and 22-3-4 ATS when either favored or tiny underdog?

Do you expect that regression is coming to that trend? What are the stats prior to 2016? Are such trends of any value?

"[FONT=&quot]Brutal spot here for the Seahawks. Making the longest trip in the NFL against a team playing at home with 3 days more rest. Seahawks are great on offense but that defense BLOWS! The heat might also wear them down. This will be a close game and I will take a shot here on the ML"

[/FONT]eeeeoooogeee

 

[Knightrofins]

I've seen MANY teams from the north who is NOT used to that Miami weather come melt on that field

No Chris Carson.

Russ will probably have a field day but that defense hasnt been that good

The homer in me thinks the fins could win straight up. However I wont bet on this one.

All i'm saying is dont bet big on the hawks

 

[PatsFan1283]

I got +6.5, not the full 7

Fins suck but they should be able to move the ball here and keep it close. Seattle D is bad and banged up.

 

[Louie12]

Don't take the bait if its not too liate. i like seattle to cover the 7

bad match-up for miami. they have no pass rush; wilson will pick them apart. I think seattle wins by 14+

 

[Louie12]

I feel like this is one of those games where the line is so fishy we take the bait and Seattle wins by 3td... and then on Monday we are all like "why did we ever put money on that shitty team? never again"

yep. don't take the bait. Seattle will roll them unless fitz stays hot

 

[PeePee]

Don't do it. West Coast teams favored on the road in East Coast historically done well.

 

[Bozzie]

I want to bet the fins...but won't
You can go over the top or under on the Seattle backs..it's not a good spot for Seattle but I won't bet against Wilson right now.. dudes in a groove big time.