METFAN 2024-2025 NFL PLAYS and PROPS

[METFAN]

Think I better post this before the wineries today

Last yr was the worse yr for my team totals ever 6-6 -$164,Cousins injury was the main difference. Sides and especially props sucked too, but we killed it in props and td scorers. Over $2000 @ $40 per play

TEAM TOTALS Line at Fantastics

$300
PATRIOTS U 4.5 +125

How on earth do they win more than 2? in fact I will make a small wager on winless season. Maye is more like Sam Howell than Stroud. Who are they beating, No more Belichik magic

$200

CHARGERS U 8.5 +115 Will they really more than double their total wins from last year? So many holes? Injury prone running back room and poor wide receiver core.Now they need to learn the Greg Roman offense. Herbert already has a sore foot and the Roman offense requires a mobile QB and there is no Mark andrews or Likely to bail them out. Even if they sweep the Raiders and Broncos (and they wont!) What other 5 games are they winning,

SHIT wife already complaining. I guess shes thirsty. Rest later

 

[METFAN]

ovely day yesterday despite crazy storms last night and now today. Survived the flooding.good food and wine but a little Groggy

all from draft kings

$100
TEAM TOTALS
BUFFALO U 9.5 +120 Yes its low but besides losing Diggs, the Bills lost a lot from their defense and now one of my favorite players defense captain rich Milano is out hurt again. To top it off per Fantasy Pros , on paper Josh Allen has the toughest schedule.

SAINTS O 7.5 -122 KAMARA all yr and a healthy Miller. On paper the Saints have the easiest strength of schedule

$50 EACH
DraftKings gives you so many alternate totals I have to climb the ladder a little here

CHARGERS U 7.5 +130 Already have u 8.5 above

DENVER U 5.5 -120
U 4.5 +155 Can't stand Payton .So overrated . Do not get fooled by Nix vs the scrubs. His footwork is horrific .Real defenses will eat him up BIGTIME.

CHICAGO U 9.5 -150
U 8.5 +130 Just not a fan of Caleb Williams and his big ego. wasn't that great last year and I expect him to have a learning curve despite having a great offensive supporting cast

PATRIOTS U 3.5 +225
U 2.5 +370 In for a penny, In for a pound. They have limited talent, a suspect coach and one of the hardest schedules

$475 TO WIN $100
CHIEFS O 9.5 Stupid stupid play but I just can't see them losing 8 games, At worst if Mahomes is healthy I see them at 11-6 even losing to the Ravens

 

[METFAN]

PROPS
$100 EA
LOVE O 27.5 TD PASSES 4 good receivers 2 good tight ends .In a division with 3 decent offenses I see some shootouts . I see at least 2 per game = 34

LAST PLACE TEAM TO WIN THE DIVISION =NO +260
Only Cincy and maybe Tenn scare me and Cincy would need Burrow AND Chase to stay healthy all yr...hmmmm

$50 ea
FUTURES TD S ALL OVERS
MOSTERT O 7.5 or 1/3 of last yrs total

PACHECO 6.5 He is basically the only backfield option.May resign McKinnon

BIJAN 6.5 Now he has a coach who knows how to use him and will

KELCE 6.5 -115 HAVE TO..Don't want to piss off Taylor

EVANS 8.5 +110 Will take + money on a guy who had 13 last yr

WATSON GBAY 5.5 +105 if he stays healthy he will be the main recipient of that 34

OPENING NIGHT If they are healthy I will pick
Henry -105 and Andrew +150 as my TD scorers but I will wait until that morning

 

[METFAN]

LAST ONE ...FOR NOW

ALL 4 TO SCORE 10 or more RUSHING TDs

HENRY -185
MCCAFFERY -185
HURTS -115
ALLEN -110

$50 to win $373.52

 

[METFAN]

Sooo many unders so far. We may see some more regulars this week but the defenses have been so ahead of the offenses right now

leaving Saturday so i will just post these 8 now

$50 ea
INDY U 34.5
ATL U35.5
TBAY U 37.5
SAN FRAN U 35.5
BUFF U 30.5
DET U 35.5
GBAY U 33.5
PHILLY U 33.5

GOOD LUCK

 

[METFAN]

$50
KC +2
No Caleb tonight

 

[METFAN]

JESUS 2-7 -$285 before the season even starts

 

[METFAN]

No idea what is going to happen Thursday. Is the Raven coaching staff going to totally screw up the game again? Last yr in the AFC championship Gus Edwards had 36 yds on 4 touches and Todd Monkin being Todd Monkin let Lamar throw the Ravens right out of the Super Bowl. Did he learn his lesson or will he stay stubborn?

PROPS and TD Scorers $40/unit

HENRY O 1.5 RECS +120
PACHECO O 2.5 -120

TD SCORERS
HENRY -120 Waited too long
ANDREWS +160

GBAY/PHILLY If this was mid season I would expect 8-9 tds .still expecting 6-7
To show you how far the NFL has their heads up their asses the chose the Eagles and Packers to play in a stadium where green is really kind of foreboden because that is the color of the home teams biggest rival. both teams main color is green and they are getting the stupid( I know this for a fact) nasty eagles fans as well.

2 team teaser $120 TO WIN $100
GBAY +8.5
GBAY/PHILLY O 42.5

PROPS
LOVE O 1.5 TD PASSES -145 I don't believe philly fixed that sieve that was the secondary last yr
DOUBS O 3.5 REC +115
WATSON O 37.5 REC YDS -120
BROWN O 72.5 REC YDS -115

TD SCORERS $40
HURTS +130
WATSON +175
BROWN +105

1/2 UNIT$20
WATSON 2 OR MORE +1300

That is it for now

 

[METFAN]

FINALLY Made it to the number
$100
BALT/KC U 47 -110

 

[METFAN]

NICK BOLTON singlehandely fucked last nights under , constantly blowing his coverages
PUSH

WELL, I have down something stupid.No surprise. I have bet over 80 %of my bankroll on week 1.
Not because of excessive excitement, though i have plenty
Not because I am stupid (but I am) but because with the long summer this is pro ably the only week I will have the time to look at every game.This year I blame on spending must of my time on fantasy football and daily DFS. So this week I will have $50 bets on every single game and on some 2 bets.
I will also concentrate on my props and TD scorers and crazy lottery plays. I will post the sides late tonight and tomorrow

i will post these now as some are including tonight

$100 7 team ALTERNATE TEAM TOTALS $100 to win $239 some odds may include DraftKings boosts
CINCY O 16.5
GBAY O 13.5 TONIGHT
COLTS O 15.5
TEXANS O 16.5
MIAMI O 20.5
SEATTLE O 15.5
If the early bets hit early you can hedge with Seattle under 20

I also have a 7 player TD parlay that pays $242.86 to 1 This will not count in tracking because i also did a 21 play round robin with them

HURTS, ALLEN, BIJAN. TYREKE HILL, WALKER, EDWARDS AND WILLIAMS(RAMS) Why do i feel Harbaugh and Edwards will screw this up

ALSO with the new kicking rule I think there will be an increase in DST scoring
1/4 U EACH =$10
CINCY +500
TENN +500
SEATTLE +425
TBAY +425

I also round robinned this and will be looking to do 10 teams a week straight up.
you hit 2 you are a winner. I will explain more of this later

Have to run

 

[METFAN]

LOVE is killing me..Watson was wide open

Will play every game for $50;,for opening day.Some games 2 plays.TD SCORERS 1 U =$40
I believe early in the year favors unders despite all those broken plays last night.

Buff/Zona U 48..
I think BILLS try controlling the clock with Cook considering how much of the receiving Corps they lost.
TD SCORERS
CONNOR +175
ALLEN -125
SHAKIR +170

NYG +1.5
MINNY/NYG U 41.5
When can u say Home team with better QB
Hope Dbacks can slow down Jefferson .Front 4 have Darnold seedling GHOSTS in his old HAUNTING GROUNDS

TD SCORERS
JEFFERSON +120
NABORS..New toy +155

MIAMI -3.5
They are a great good weather team in the warm weather and I think their fast pace will wear down the Jags
TD SCORERS
HILL-125
Mostert +130
Engram +165
B Thomas new toy big target +280

CAR+4
NO/CAR U 41.5
First team to 20 wins 20-17 type game

TD SCORERS
HUBBARD +115
TAYSOM +180

ATL-3 Who knows who the Pitt QB will be
Falcons get revenge from the stubborn jackass Arthur Smith who totally screwed them last yr

TD SCORERS
PITTS +195
BIJAN -105

 

[METFAN]

CINCY -7.5 I would have taken PATS +10 but line went the other way.Like the under but hoping for Bengal D scores

TD SCORER
HIGGINS +160

INDY +2.5 Conference home dog always a good play week 1

TD SCORERS
TAYLOR +100
RICHARDSON +120
DELL +260

TENN +3.5
Not sold on Caleb Williams just yet
TD SCORER
HOPKINS+220

RAIDERS +3
More explosive weapons and better D getting points
TD SCORER
Z WHITE+155
MEYERS +225
EDWARDS +270

SEATTLE/DENVER O 42.
Neither defense is great esp vs the run
Again hoping for a DST score or 2
TD SCORERS
JAVANTE +200
METCALF +180
WALKER -105

WALKER 2 or more +600 1/2 U =$20

TBAY -3
TBAY/WASH O 42.5 Love Bucs versus 1 of the worst defenses from last yr.Good matchup for Mike Evans

PROP
BAKER O 1.5 TD PASSES

TD SCORERS
ERTZ +270 TES do well versus Buc D
EVANS +120
EVANS 2 OR MORE +850 1/2 U +850

THROW TO WATSON..HALF TIME

 

[METFAN]

WATSON..FINALLY

 

[METFAN]

So far this week
Sides and Parlays 1-0 +$100
Props 3-3-13
TDS 3-+$52 WATSON should have had 2
Love was terrible.I hope he is okay

 

[METFAN]

Well can't find a Garrett sack on Draftkingx so time tp finish up.First an announcement
I have been listening to a fantastic show on Sirius FM channel 87
FANTASY HOUSE CALLS with DR ROTO.A brilliant mind with great guests Saturday 8 to 10

 

[METFAN]

Sorry I accidently entered and had to edit fast.not easy on my phone.
Anyway on today's show DR ROTO said Higgins my not play so I xancelled that YD play.Even if he starts he may come out early.Not risking the big pay day.
So here is the rest of the plays
$50
CLEVE ML -$130
I will add Amare Cooper Revenge game O 60 yds in the prop section at the end

RAMS +4 Already have the over in my parlay TGoff wants to show them up again after the dumped him as a throw in the Stafford trade but RAMS revenge is greater and if Kupp is fully higher I think last team with the ball wins

TD SCORERS
KUPP +130
KYRIE WMS -120
MONTGOMERY -145
I am concerned Gibbs is not 100%
if I do well Tomorrow and that is a big IF,I will add Jameson Wms +205 and D Robinson +450

I also round robin 2 team parlay with the main 3 for 1/4 unit or $10
KUPP/MONT +300
WMS/MONT +218
KUPP/ WMS +365
I also have to add the Steelers to the DST score out of respect for Cordelle Patterson a great returner and unsung player that helped me win alot of fantasy matches.Always a great late round draft pick as he returns to Atlanta as a Steeler.He will get a huge welcome
DST SCORE YES 1 UNIT $40
PITTSBURGH ÷475

It is difficult to find numbers on draft kings not like underdog .it is mostly ranges
The props all 1 unit $40
COOPER 60 or more yds -115
MAYFIELD 2 or more TDS -130
D JOHNSON O 4.5 rec -125
KAMARA O 4.5 RECS +125 Supposedly the new offense will feature that and Miller is out
JEFFERSON O 6.5 REC +105
ADDISON O 3.5 REC -115 Seems easy someone has to catch passes and maybe both
NABORS 60 or more -115
GIBBS O 25 REC +120
PICKENS 50 or More -120
I xan not believe I took a receiver on an Arthir Smith team but who else can they throw it to and Pickens is going back to his old hunting grounds on GA.Hopefully someone is babysitting him tonight and he doesn't get arrested.
FINALLY DR ROTO CLIMB THE LATTER SPECIAL
CIf u really like a play keep going higher
This is his..I had Daniels but it is his ladder
EXCUSE TYPOS I am on my phone outside
1 UNIT EA ALL or more
DANIELS 40 -110
DANIELS 50 +160
DANIELS 60 +290

My wife is dragging me the FARMERS MARKET tomorrow and i have over an hr to drive to my friends for opening weekenf.So when I get home I will be doing DFS at least until 1 AM.I So aside from a crazy DK parlay this IS IT!!!!!
GOOD LUCK and ENJOY OPENING DAY

 

[METFAN]

PS You can search for his previous shows in tge archives.. He has dantastic guests with great insights.Maybe you will be
HIS NEW RICH FRIEND

 

[METFAN]

Well got to bed at 2am and up for Farmers Market @ 7am.Just got back

ADDING these 2 parlays ONE NORMAL AND 1 CRAZY

$100 to win $792
TENN +4
SEATTLE ML -278 Got a lot riding on them today
RAMS +4.5
When first 2 hit we can throw down a hedge on Detroit -2.5

CRAZY $50 TO WIN $532
BILLS O 16.5 -850
MIAMI O 16.5 -800
PATS U 24.5 -650
DALLAS U 28.5 -485
NYG O 10.5 -700 one that worries me
CAROLINA U 25.5 -395

Some of the odds may be boosted by Draft Kings.I hate them but they offer the best plays like these

Happy OPENING WEEKEND everyone and it wont be so crazy in the future remember instead of 10 $100 bets you can always make 100 $10 bets and have a lot less stress

 

[indiana]

M. Fan.....BOL with all your Sun. action buddy....
here's to a solid day of winners.....indy

 

[METFAN]

KUPP!!

WALKERgot screwed on that 2nd TD by some BS holding call on Metcalf.These officials are already getting on my nerves!!!