Memphis vs byu

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*this play is also posted in my bowl thread *

3-1 so far, completely wiffed on the nevada game.... Thats why these bowl games are so unpredictable.... Tomorrows selection:

Miami beach bowl:

Byu vs memphis -

This may seem like a mundane bowl game and the only one on tomorrow but I think this will be one of the more physical matchups and I'll explain why. The line came out as a pickem which I agree with, but has now moved to -2 in favor of memphis, which I don't agree with. BYU comes into this game with a 4 game win streak including a win against cal who is arguably one of the top 10 most explosive offenses in the country. Memphis is on a six game win streak coming in. Memphis is going to get a physical beat down. Memphis plays in what I believe is one of the weaker conferences in the fbs. Memphis's six game win streak included the 6 weakest teams in the conference and they barely won two of those games. They don't have one signature win all season and when it comes to common opponents byu and Memphis both played Uconn and houston, byu beat both convincingly while Memphis lost to houston.

Byu played a real schedule with some of the better defensive teams in the nation including ucf, houston, utah state as well as two great offensive teams in cal and boise state. When taysom hill broke his leg byu was in the meat of their schedule and they struggled to find an identity without him. They lost to Utah state, UCF and boise state. Now they've got an identity, a run game, and they can throw the ball. Their defense is always good and extremely physical. Memphis's defensive stats are extremely inflated and I don't think they will be able to consistently stop byu's offensive scheme. Along with that, Memphis relies heavily on the run and read option to open up their passing game..... Byu is one of the best in the country at shutting down a rushingn attack. They are big in the middle and nasty. Memphis will be excited to play in this bowl, but they won't be excited after the first half when their getting beat up at the point of attack on both lines of scrimmage... I expect byu to win this game convincingly. It probably won't be a blow out by any means but I'm looking for a 34-20 win where Memphis struggles to move the ball against a stout defensive front 7.

My pick: byu +2 but I'll wait till tomorrow because I might be able to get it at +3... Either way it shouldn't matter in a SU win.

bol and Merry Christmas
 

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ouch .. Memphis covers
Ouch...get lost

I agree Addict with your write up and am also waiting a little longer to play it. The SOS is also in BYU's favor...which you basically referred to...GL to us today!!!
 

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look for a high scoring game today. I think the "D" on both will give up the pts. I'm also taking the overs. BOL
BYU
Aug 29 @ Connecticut Huskies -14.5 54 Won 35 - 10 Win / Under
Sep 6 @ Texas Longhorns 1 47 Won 41 - 7 Win / Over
Sep 11 Houston Cougars -17 62 Won 33 - 25 Loss / Under
Sep 20 Virginia Cavaliers -15 49 Won 41 - 33 Loss / Over
Oct 3 Utah State Aggies -21 52 Lost 20 - 35 Loss / Over
Oct 9 @ Central Florida Knights 3 46 Lost 24 - 31 Loss / Over
Oct 18 Nevada Wolf Pack -10 59 Lost 35 - 42 Loss / Over
Oct 24 @ Boise State Broncos 6.5 57 Lost 30 - 55 Loss / Over
Nov 1 @ Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders -3 64 Won 27 - 7 Win / Under
Nov 15 UNLV Rebels -26.5 63 Won 42 - 23 Loss / Over
Nov 22 Savannah State Tigers -59 74 Won 64 - 0 Win / Under
Nov 29 @ California Golden Bears 3.5 71 Won 42 - 35 Win / Over
Dec 22
@ Memphis Tigers 2:00 PM




Aug 30 Austin Peay State Governors -39 42 Won 63 - 0 Win / Over
Sep 6 @ UCLA Bruins 22.5 56 Lost 35 - 42 Win / Over
Sep 20 Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders -12 60 Won 36 - 17 Win / Under
Sep 27 @ Mississippi Rebels 21 59 Lost 3 - 24 Push / Under
Oct 4 @ Cincinnati Bearcats 3 62 Won 41 - 14 Win / Under
Oct 11 Houston Cougars -7.5 48 Lost 24 - 28 Loss / Over
Oct 25 @ Southern Methodist Mustangs -23 52 Won 48 - 10 Win / Over
Oct 31 Tulsa Golden Hurricane -24.5 57 Won 40 - 20 Loss / Over
Nov 7 @ Temple Owls -8 48 Won 16 - 13 Loss / Under
Nov 15 @ Tulane Green Wave -8 48 Won 38 - 7 Win / Under
Nov 22 South Florida Bulls -20 46 Won 31 - 20 Loss / Over
Nov 29 Connecticut Huskies -23.5 44 Won 41 - 10 Win / Over

Memphis

 

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This is a tough game to cap as I have these two dead even in terms of power ratings and one could easily make an argument for either side. BYU typically is a little older and more of a veteran team. Also, one would assume that the BYU players would be better equipped to handle the distractions of South Beach a little better than the kids from Memphis. BYU also locked in this bowl way back in October, so they were playing with a bit of a letdown factor for much of the season after their QB went down and then losing to Utah St. which may have skewed their power ratings down a bit. BYU coach Mendenhall has been good in bowl games something like 6-3 as well. That BYU defense was torched quite a bit though, not the solid D we are used to seeing from them and that's were Memphis seems to have an advantadge on the defensive side of the ball. There is a SOS difference here as Memphis did feast on some really weak competition in the AAC, however they showed well in two hard fought games against UCLA and Ole Miss. I was impressed by the effort in the Ole Miss game, particularly on defense but they just could not get anything going on offense that day. I would lean to BYU, but the defensive advantage on the Memphis side makes me say pass.
 

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I like BYU to win the trench warfare and game as well. Memphis offense hasn't had a good game versus a defense even as weak/strong as BYU's, which I rank 48th.
 

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Funny you mention them dead even in power ratings, Senda -- I have BYU 58.7 and Memphis 58.5 in my power ratings, lol.
 

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Bol gentleman, im also going to take a small play on the over which is rapidly dropping... Let's hope for the best
 

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My only problem with the SOS argument is other than Boise, which stomped their ass, their big games were with Hill who is an elite level qb that can make this team a contender. Since he went down they are 4-4 against mediocre competition with their best win against 5-7 Cal. I think the most impressive performance was Memphis' defense against Ole Miss. But that's why they play the games! Gl!
 

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look for a high scoring game today. I think the "D" on both will give up the pts. I'm also taking the overs. BOL
BYU
Aug 29 @ Connecticut Huskies -14.5 54 Won 35 - 10 Win / Under
Sep 6 @ Texas Longhorns 1 47 Won 41 - 7 Win / Over
Sep 11 Houston Cougars -17 62 Won 33 - 25 Loss / Under
Sep 20 Virginia Cavaliers -15 49 Won 41 - 33 Loss / Over
Oct 3 Utah State Aggies -21 52 Lost 20 - 35 Loss / Over
Oct 9 @ Central Florida Knights 3 46 Lost 24 - 31 Loss / Over
Oct 18 Nevada Wolf Pack -10 59 Lost 35 - 42 Loss / Over
Oct 24 @ Boise State Broncos 6.5 57 Lost 30 - 55 Loss / Over
Nov 1 @ Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders -3 64 Won 27 - 7 Win / Under
Nov 15 UNLV Rebels -26.5 63 Won 42 - 23 Loss / Over
Nov 22 Savannah State Tigers -59 74 Won 64 - 0 Win / Under
Nov 29 @ California Golden Bears 3.5 71 Won 42 - 35 Win / Over
Dec 22 @ Memphis Tigers 2:00 PM



Aug 30 Austin Peay State Governors -39 42 Won 63 - 0 Win / Over
Sep 6 @ UCLA Bruins 22.5 56 Lost 35 - 42 Win / Over
Sep 20 Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders -12 60 Won 36 - 17 Win / Under
Sep 27 @ Mississippi Rebels 21 59 Lost 3 - 24 Push / Under
Oct 4 @ Cincinnati Bearcats 3 62 Won 41 - 14 Win / Under
Oct 11 Houston Cougars -7.5 48 Lost 24 - 28 Loss / Over
Oct 25 @ Southern Methodist Mustangs -23 52 Won 48 - 10 Win / Over
Oct 31 Tulsa Golden Hurricane -24.5 57 Won 40 - 20 Loss / Over
Nov 7 @ Temple Owls -8 48 Won 16 - 13 Loss / Under
Nov 15 @ Tulane Green Wave -8 48 Won 38 - 7 Win / Under
Nov 22 South Florida Bulls -20 46 Won 31 - 20 Loss / Over
Nov 29 Connecticut Huskies -23.5 44 Won 41 - 10 Win / Over
Memphis

21 pts with 9:49 to go in the first qtr
 

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lol I did end up taking the over 55.5.... Pretty sure we got that lol.... So much for my theory of the byu front seven being nasty.... Wiffffffffffffff
 

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get ready for tomorrow's game with NIU and Marshall. ov/un is 67. Should go up after today's game. folks will jump on the over band waggon.
 

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lol I did end up taking the over 55.5.... Pretty sure we got that lol.... So much for my theory of the byu front seven being nasty.... Wiffffffffffffff

one mistake by Memp will allow BYU to cover
 

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