Masters

[chriscol]

it'S always difficult to predict tournament winners, but lot'S of good matchups i see for this week

First i will seperate players in categories

a) players i expect to perform well (due to recent form or masters history):
Woods, Love III, Michelson, Furyk, Cabrera, Harrington, Couples

b) players i expect to perform solid in terms of match-up wins:
Montgomery, J.Kelly, Sluman + all above

c) players i expect to play weak:
Garcia, Mediate, Roberts

Matchups i'll play:lines from pinnacle or intertops

Cabrera over Langer 1.75
Verplank over Mediate 1.90
Cabrera over Housten 2.3 2 units
J.Kelly over N.Price 1.98 3 units
Furyk over Price 1.60 2 units
Cabrara over Allenby 2.35
Sluman over Mediate 2.0
Toms over Garcia 1.91
J.Kelly over Mediate 1.91 2 units
Michelson over Singh 1.91

special group betting
Cabrara 2.8 over Fasth and Rollins

Round matchups will come later during week, if i see something

 

[toto]

Looked over the matchups at Guardian and didn't see ant I liked, had to have a little action so took Tiger to win, noticed you were on Carbrera in several, didn't like the fact that he is paired with Woods 1st 2 rounds, usually a distaction. GL

 

[chriscol]

first round cancelled due to rain.
Now we have 36 holes on friday.
that'S an unusual situation for the pros.
betting-wise that should increase the chances of younger players over older players tomorrow.
i look for players like Langer or Price or Faldo to struggle on afternoon.
Matchups i found for this theory:

Di Marco 1.65 over Lehman

matchups that fall in this categorie which i already played i'll upgrade by 1 unit:

J.Kelly over N.Price 1.98 now 4 units
Furyk over Price 1.60 now 3 units

 

[chriscol]

First recap after the cut-line:
so far 3-1 (+3.1 units)

Cabrera(+3) beat Langer (+11): +0.75 units
Cabrera(+3) beat Housten (+12):+2.6 units
Cabrara (+3) beats Allenby (+9): +1.35 units
Di Marco (WD)lost to Lehman (+7): -1 units

still pending:

Verplank(+5) over Mediate (+3)1.90
J.Kelly (+4)over N.Price (+1)1.98 4 units
Furyk (+1)over Price (+1) 1.60 3 units
Sluman (+3)over Mediate (+3)2.0
Toms (0) over Garcia (+3) 1.91
J.Kelly (+4)over Mediate (+3)1.91 2 units
Michelson (-1)over Singh (0)1.91

special group betting
Cabrara (+3)2.8 over Fasth (missed cut) and Rollins (+1)

 

[chriscol]

A great final round is comeing up:
made a mistake last time in recap. Now it's at
2-1 (+2.35 units)

Cabrera(+3) beat Langer (+11): +0.75 units
Cabrera(+3) beat Housten (+12):+2.6 units
Di Marco (WD)lost to Lehman (+7): -1 units

still pending:

Cabrara (+2) beats Allenby (+7): 2.35
Verplank(+3) over Mediate (+4)1.90
J.Kelly (+9)over N.Price (+1)1.98 4 units
Furyk (0)over Price (+1) 1.60 3 units
Sluman (+7)over Mediate (+4)2.0
Toms (-2) over Garcia (+5) 1.91
J.Kelly (+9)over Mediate (+4)1.91 2 units
Michelson (-1)over Singh (-2)1.91

special group betting
Cabrara (+2)2.8 over Fasth (missed cut) and Rollins (+9)

SUNDAY MATCH UPS

Toms over Singh at 2.15 for 2 units
Els over Choi at 1.58 for 2 unit
Couples over N.Price at 1.91
Faxon over Rollins at 1.82
Cabrera over Riley NO LINE YET

 

[chriscol]

odds to win the masters

What i see is:
Maggert will stay in contention ,but not win (no good history when leading after 3 rounds). He had his moments yesterday.

Weir: loosing the lead might be good for him as he got all his tour wins from behind. But putting got tentive on back nine and he was mainly on fire by good putting first 45 holes

Singh, as a former winner should have his chance,but his driving is way off this week. he stays in play with great short game like the chip in on 15, but overall hitting should be not enougfh to win.

Toms impressed me. Came back after a being in alittle hole in the morning.had lots of birdie chances.he even missed some good one like on 16. His ball striking is on, his short game is on and he is no stranger to winning majors. i expect him to be in contention to the end

Woods: great comeback. he will be dangerous, but he needs another 66. for betting there is no value in him.

Michelson in contention as usual. but up for another collapse? we will see,but at 11.0 worth a shot.

Ollazabal: Augusta brings the best in him. Amazing tournament for him if you considere the past season. Short game will give him a chance for a top finish.

Furyk: playing well, but putting he let him down yesterday.that's unusaul for him, but he is always dangerous, if he catches fire with some early birdies.

Plays will be

Toms at 9.0 for 0.25 units
Michelson at 11.0 for 0.25 units

Furyk finish top 3 at 5.0 for 0.25 units
Olazabal hinsh top 3 at 5.0 for 0.25 units

 

[chriscol]

Cabrera over Riley at 1.8 for 2 units