Marquez vs. Mayweather Jr. Sept.19th

[Hamilbet]

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=650 border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#f97f1a><TH>Sept 19th, 2009
JM Marquez vs F Mayweather Jr
</TH></TR><TR bgColor=#f97f1a><TH>901 Welterweights - JM Marquez vs F Mayweather Jr</TH></TR><TR bgColor=#17654b><TH>Sat 9/19 11:30PM (EST)</TH></TR><TR><TD>

<TABLE cellSpacing=5 cellPadding=5 width=650 border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#f8f5bd><TD>901 Juan Manuel Marquez </TD><TD> +350 </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#cdeab8><TD>902 Floyd Mayweather Jr </TD><TD> -450 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>Date and Time subject to changes - Fight schedule for September 19th.</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[Hamilbet]

-Originally postponed from today to Sept. 15th because of a Mayweather rib injury

-Mexican Independence day, also referred to as Dieciséis de septiembre, is celebrated from the evening of September 15

 

[Hamilbet]

boxer: Juan Manuel Marquez

<TABLE class=border align=center><TBODY><TR><TD>Global ID <TD>12222</TD></TR><TR><TD>suspensions</TD><TD>report </TD></TR><TR><TD>sex</TD><TD>male</TD></TR><TR><TD>birth date</TD><TD>1973-08-23</TD></TR><TR><TD>age <TD>35</TD><TR><TD>manager/agent</TD><TD>register</TD></TR><TR><TD>division</TD><TD>lightweight</TD></TR><TR><TD>rating</TD><TD>
1 / 1406

1 / 323</TD></TR><TR><TD>rating country</TD><TD>
Mexico</TD></TR><TR><TD>alias</TD><TD>Dinamita</TD></TR><TR><TD>residence</TD><TD>Anaheim, California, United States</TD></TR><TR><TD>birth place</TD><TD>Mexico City, DF, Mexico</TD></TR><TR><TD>birth name</TD><TD>Juan Manuel Marquez Mendez</TD></TR><TR><TD>stance</TD><TD>orthodox</TD></TR><TR><TD>height</TD><TD>5′ 7″ / 170cm</TD></TR><TR><TD>reach</TD><TD>67″ / 170cm</TD></TR><TR><TD>US ID <TD>019523</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2><CENTER>won 50 (KO 37) + lost 4 (KO 0) + drawn 1 = 55
rounds boxed 399 : KO% 67.27 </CENTER></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[Hamilbet]

boxer: Floyd Mayweather Jr

<TABLE class=border align=center><TBODY><TR><TD>Global ID <TD>352</TD></TR><TR><TD>sex</TD><TD>male</TD></TR><TR><TD>birth date</TD><TD>1977-02-24</TD></TR><TR><TD>division</TD><TD>super featherweight</TD></TR><TR><TD>nationality</TD><TD>
United States</TD></TR><TR><TD>alias</TD><TD>Pretty Boy</TD></TR><TR><TD>residence</TD><TD>Las Vegas, Nevada, United States</TD></TR><TR><TD>birth place</TD><TD>Grand Rapids, MI, USA</TD></TR><TR><TD>birth name</TD><TD>Floyd Joy Mayweather Jr.</TD></TR><TR><TD>stance</TD><TD>orthodox</TD></TR><TR><TD>height</TD><TD>5′ 8″ / 173cm</TD></TR><TR><TD>reach</TD><TD>72″ / 183cm</TD></TR><TR><TD>US ID <TD>045572</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2><CENTER>won 39 (KO 25) + lost 0 (KO 0) + drawn 0 = 39
rounds boxed 275 : KO% 64.1 </CENTER></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[Konun8]

I like a small value bet on JMM. Even a fighter of Floyd's caliber will have some ring rust after a long layoff. A lot of people think Pacquiao would beat Floyd... if you share this sentiment then why wouldn't you take Marquez at +350? JMM took it to Pacquiao twice in what were 2 highly controversial decisions. My guess is that if Floyd fought Pacquiao the odds makers would have it close to a pick 'em. The favorite would probably at no point be higher than -150, so what's not to like about taking JMM at such a good price? The negatives of course are that Marquez is moving up in weight and will be fighting at the highest weight of his career, plus he's getting older (but has still looked sharp in all his recent fights).

It's not necessarily that I'm sure JMM will win, but all the betting value is on JMM so it's smart to make a small value bet. In a fight that features 2 counter punchers with heart and solid chins, it's also likely that this fight goes the distance. I'm going to make a small play on JMM to win, possibly an even smaller play on JMM to win by decision, and a medium-sized play on the fight to go over the rounds total (which I assume will be 11.5 but I haven't even checked it yet).

 

[Hamilbet]

Exactly. Agree totally with your wager desicions.

 

[Mr_Mark]

i agree also jmm is not a tune up fight for anyone, surprising floyd isnt fighting someone else i dont think this is a guaranteed win for floyd at all.
jmm at +350 is a good bet