6 times a #12 and #13 seed have both advanced in the 1st round of the NCAA tournament in the same region and this year could possibly be the 7th. In the West Regional bracket, #12 Wofford and #13 Harvard both stand a excellent chance not only to cover the line but to win straight up.
Arkansas is averaging 78ppg and North Carolina is right behind them at 77.9ppg and they both rank near the top in offensive efficiency. They both also rank near the top in adjusted tempo. With that being said they are facing opponents who average 5-7 points per game lower but are much more efficient on the offensive side of the ball.
On the defensive side of the ball, taking in consideration the amount of possessions both Wofford and Harvard will have as compared to the defensive efficiency of Arkansas and North Carolina, I see another clear advantage for both of the dogs. Comparing both of the dog's average game tempo and their opponents defensive efficiency the advantage is clear.
A slower offensive tempo which results in fewer possessions combined with stronger offensive and defensive efficiency should result in both Wofford and Harvard hanging around these games late with a excellent chance of pulling the upsets if a few bounces go their way.
Cincinnati, although the metrics aren't as strong as the other two teams mentioned, also hold a advantage in efficiency on both sides of the ball against Purdue and also have a great spot at pulling the upset, albeit a small upset with the line at just under a 3 point bucket.
All 3 of these teams have faced up tempo teams this season and fared very well and in most cases have won those games, a few by double digits as dogs.
I will be playing and recommend to play all 3 against the line and take a very hard look at the money line. They are definately strong enough plays to also sprinkle a few bucks on the money line.
Thursday, 03/19/2015
709Wofford ML +285
709Wofford +7.5
711Harvard ML +535
711Harvard +11
728Cincinnati +2
728Cincinnati ML +115
Arkansas is averaging 78ppg and North Carolina is right behind them at 77.9ppg and they both rank near the top in offensive efficiency. They both also rank near the top in adjusted tempo. With that being said they are facing opponents who average 5-7 points per game lower but are much more efficient on the offensive side of the ball.
On the defensive side of the ball, taking in consideration the amount of possessions both Wofford and Harvard will have as compared to the defensive efficiency of Arkansas and North Carolina, I see another clear advantage for both of the dogs. Comparing both of the dog's average game tempo and their opponents defensive efficiency the advantage is clear.
A slower offensive tempo which results in fewer possessions combined with stronger offensive and defensive efficiency should result in both Wofford and Harvard hanging around these games late with a excellent chance of pulling the upsets if a few bounces go their way.
Cincinnati, although the metrics aren't as strong as the other two teams mentioned, also hold a advantage in efficiency on both sides of the ball against Purdue and also have a great spot at pulling the upset, albeit a small upset with the line at just under a 3 point bucket.
All 3 of these teams have faced up tempo teams this season and fared very well and in most cases have won those games, a few by double digits as dogs.
I will be playing and recommend to play all 3 against the line and take a very hard look at the money line. They are definately strong enough plays to also sprinkle a few bucks on the money line.
Thursday, 03/19/2015
709Wofford ML +285
709Wofford +7.5
711Harvard ML +535
711Harvard +11
728Cincinnati +2
728Cincinnati ML +115
