MACD TOTALS (2019-2022)
693-381 (65%) straight
600-474 (56%) ATS
Has produced 1,074 plays out of 2,135 scheduled games (50% of entire MLB schedule)
2019 - 168-87 (66%) straight; 145-110 (57%) ATS // capital gain = 43.7% (partial season)
2020 - not run due to Covid-19
2021 - 470-254 (65%) straight; 409-315 (57%) ATS // capital gain = 100.3%
2022
55-40 (58%) straight
46-49 (48%) ATS (-17.40 units)
Capital Gain = -5.89%
A great 7-0 Saturday is followed up with a lousy Sunday going 3-6, losing the three largest wagers and throw in a painful blown game by the Dodgers. Crazy shit can happen any given day. I ran into a guy at Draftkings sportsbook in Colorado yesterday that had Minnesota for a huge wager. They were down 6-0 entering the 8th inning and scored 7 runs to win. Lots of luck involved in a day, week or month...even an entire season sometimes but what trumps luck? Volume. And what trumps bad luck with volume? Money management. This MACD concept has 1074 samples under its belt, predicting 50% of all scheduled games at a 65% SU clip. I can be fairly confident I will end up within a couple % of that by season's end and by only using 0.33% of bankroll per play (currently 0.36% after the losing) I can withstand a 58% start in the first 15% of the season. Let's go!
Risk strategy: Each YTD high, I divide my capital into 300 units so my base unit is always 0.33% but my wager sizes grow.
Unit value = 0.33% of current capital
Adjusted for growth = 0.34% of starting capital
Today's plays:
Pittsburgh -140 (0.47% to win 0.34%)
LA Dodgers -1.5 -138 (1.95% to win 1.41%)
NY Yankees -1.5 -132 (1.62% to win 1.23%)
Minnesota -1.5 -113 (0.74% to win 0.66%)
St. Louis -116 (0.39% to win 0.34%)
Houston -1.5 +117 (1.37% to win 1.61%)
693-381 (65%) straight
600-474 (56%) ATS
Has produced 1,074 plays out of 2,135 scheduled games (50% of entire MLB schedule)
2019 - 168-87 (66%) straight; 145-110 (57%) ATS // capital gain = 43.7% (partial season)
2020 - not run due to Covid-19
2021 - 470-254 (65%) straight; 409-315 (57%) ATS // capital gain = 100.3%
2022
55-40 (58%) straight
46-49 (48%) ATS (-17.40 units)
Capital Gain = -5.89%
A great 7-0 Saturday is followed up with a lousy Sunday going 3-6, losing the three largest wagers and throw in a painful blown game by the Dodgers. Crazy shit can happen any given day. I ran into a guy at Draftkings sportsbook in Colorado yesterday that had Minnesota for a huge wager. They were down 6-0 entering the 8th inning and scored 7 runs to win. Lots of luck involved in a day, week or month...even an entire season sometimes but what trumps luck? Volume. And what trumps bad luck with volume? Money management. This MACD concept has 1074 samples under its belt, predicting 50% of all scheduled games at a 65% SU clip. I can be fairly confident I will end up within a couple % of that by season's end and by only using 0.33% of bankroll per play (currently 0.36% after the losing) I can withstand a 58% start in the first 15% of the season. Let's go!
Risk strategy: Each YTD high, I divide my capital into 300 units so my base unit is always 0.33% but my wager sizes grow.
Unit value = 0.33% of current capital
Adjusted for growth = 0.34% of starting capital
Today's plays:
Pittsburgh -140 (0.47% to win 0.34%)
LA Dodgers -1.5 -138 (1.95% to win 1.41%)
NY Yankees -1.5 -132 (1.62% to win 1.23%)
Minnesota -1.5 -113 (0.74% to win 0.66%)
St. Louis -116 (0.39% to win 0.34%)
Houston -1.5 +117 (1.37% to win 1.61%)
