MACD 5/18

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MACD TOTALS (2019-2022)

672-365 (65%) straight
583-454 (56%) ATS

Has produced 1,039 plays out of 2,069 scheduled games (50% of entire MLB schedule)


2019 - 168-87 (66%) straight; 145-110 (57%) ATS // capital gain = 43.7%
2020 - not run due to Covid-19
2021 - 470-254 (65%) straight; 409-315 (57%) ATS // capital gain = 100.3%
2022
34-24 (59%) straight
29-29 (50%) ATS (-6.13 units)
Capital Gain = -2.09%


6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS on Tuesday as we face some terrible luck watching THREE run line leads blown in the 9th inning in the last two days including a brutal 2.46% loss (the largest wager of the season) when the Yankees and Aroldis Chapman had 2 outs, nobody on with a 5-3 lead in the 9th. Three consecutive singles by the Orioles later and we suffer a considerably altering -4.18% swing to the downside. That will be a top 5 loss this season.

Risk strategy: Each YTD high, I divide my capital into 300 units so my base unit is always 0.33% but my wager sizes grow. This growth is reflected in the wagers below as a percentage of starting capital. To run this betting model, you need to know how much available capital you have and wager the percentages listed.
Unit value = 0.33% of current capital
Adjusted for growth = 0.34% of starting capital

Today's plays:
Milwaukee -135 (0.46% to win 0.34%)
Tampa Bay -1.5 +142 (0.73% to win 1.08%)

more coming...
 

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Today's plays:
Milwaukee -135 (0.46% to win 0.34%)
Tampa Bay -1.5 +142 (0.73% to win 1.08%)
Miami -1.5 +117 (0.29% to win 0.34%)
NY Yankees -1.5 -153 (1.09% to win 0.71%)
Toronto -1.5 -113 (0.80% to win 0.71)
Houston -135 (0.46% to win 0.34%)
Chi Cubs -1.5 +127 (0.27% to win 0.34%)
Chi White Sox (waiting on line)
LA Dodgers -1.5 -143 (1.86% to win 1.30%)
Cleveland -127 (0.43% to win 0.34%)

12 games out of 15 on the schedule qualify today. I am applying a filter I've been working on that will eliminate the LA Angels and Minnesota. It would have eliminated Milwaukee as well but I already posted that one. Back later with the White Sox line.
 

Member
Joined
Dec 9, 2005
Messages
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AHA ratingH Rating
WASMIA-0.811.06
DETTB-2.61-0.06
NYYBAL3.090.35
SEATOR-1.34-0.27
HOUBOS1.68-1.97
PITCHC-2.820.21
ATLMIL0.062.55
LAATEX1.31-0.39
CHWKC0.15-1.81
SFCOL0.680.71
MINOAK0.19-2.51
ARILAD-1.091.90
STLNYM0.610.28
CINCLE-2.960.26
SDPHI1.820.25
 

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