Once again, like you did in the Ole Miss/LSU game, you're discounting the LSU defense. LSU will take away Cooper and Alabama's passing game. At that point it becomes a war of the trenches and an exhibition in rushing the football for BOTH teams. Alabama could cover the TD, but wagering on that is just not the smart play here. IF you wager on this game, you clearly have to take LSU plus the points at home. If you can't see the validity in that, or just don't want to, then my advice is to find a better game to wager on.
Here's the thing, buddy. I don't care what you see versus I do. I will put my posted two year record against yours. I will certainly put my bowl history against yours.
I completely stand by what I said regarding the Ole Miss/LSU game. Ole Miss is better. On a neutral field, they would be favored.
As for the LSU/Bama game, yes, I am discounting a good, but not great LSU defense. Alabama will run the football on LSU. LSU will absolutely not contain Cooper, and no one else has either. The difference here is LSU will simply not be able to run the football in this game, and they can't throw on anyone. They will turn it over 2-3 times, and Alabama will pull away late. I think this is a 23-10 type game.
Again, you don't have to agree with my position on this game. By all means, take LSU. But you have yet to side with any other team in a game LSU is involved in, so it's really hard to take your opinion on this serious.