Louisville/Rutgers

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Nov 27, 2008
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YTD 2-1 (+1.9)

Louisville -10.5 1 unit

Tough to lay this much cheese but Louisville will dictate. First and foremost they have recently have some impressive wins, they also have some awful nonconference losses.. If they don't overlook this game there should only be one factor that stands in the way and thats obviously Mike Rosario. We know hes going to heave between 20-25 shots as he did against Marq and Cuse. 15 of them were 3's against the Orange. If they can lock him down they should cruise. He and Farmer will get their touches but I expect to see many forced shots.

There's also a good chance we see more Turnovers than assists from Rosario Rutgers as a team has 2nd most TO per game in the conference.. Louisville will capitalize and they are dangerous on the run. Louisville is one of the best rebounders while Rutgers is one of the worst and 3rd last on theoffensive glass. Each team stinks shooting from the floor basically looking for Louisville D to harass Rutgers guard play causing turnovers and bad shots plain and simple.

Louisville played strong down the stretch against ND and Pitt, while Rutgers fell apart against Syracuse and Cincy. This game has all the makings to be a 2H blowout.

Not a big believer in let down games, I believe in momentum and Louis to keep it rolling after nice conference wins. Rutgers was getting 9 from cincy and 7.5 from Cuse in their last 2 and didnt cover either. Rutgers is 3-3 ATS at the RAC.. not very impressive for one of the so called toughest places to play in the game. Didn't really see it as that big of a factor in earlier home games and against weaker competition. But due to the nature of the conference most games have the potential to be close, making it only a 1 unit play.
 

Official Rx music critic and beer snob
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I will play the team over 70.5. Lots of points to cover after a big win.
 

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