Louisiana-Lafayette vs North Texas 10/2/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Louisiana-Lafayette winning 41% of simulations, and North Texas 59% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Louisiana-Lafayette commits fewer turnovers in 47% of simulations and they go on to win 53% when they take care of the ball. North Texas wins 75% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Kevis Streeter is averaging 36 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (23% chance) then he helps his team win 56%. Lance Dunbar is averaging 112 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (39% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NTEX -4.5 --- Over/Under line is 48.5

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