Logan's Week One Football

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Thursday Plays:

Boise - 3.5 - Boise won last years meeting at ore by 5. Ore has a new hc which means new schemes to learn. They also have a JC trans starting at QB. They return only 9 starters. Boise has the proven HC, QB, and they return 11 starters. Not to mention the blue turf...

North Texas +17 - I know it is tough to bet on such a losing program as North Texas but they have some very good atheletes. Their QB Dodge was injured last year and should be ready to go. North Texas returns 16 starters. Ball State has a new HC, QB, and returns 11 starters. I think this big number is a reflection of last years success only.
 

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2 - 0 Thursday / Friday-Saturday Plays

Passing on Friday with a lean only on Tulsa

Saturday Plays:

Stanford - 16 / Stanford returns 17 starters from last year and have had 3 straight good recruiting classes. It is Harbaughs 3rd season as HC and has been impressive winning most all of the games that he should have won. Wash St is breaking in a new QB and in their HC's 2nd year. They were a train wreck last year and gave up something like a million points.

UCLA - 19 / Ucla in Neuheisels's 2nd year so the schemes will not be so foriegn to them. They return 16 starters and have a lot of talent on both sides of the ball. SDST has a new HC and that means all new schemes on both sides of the ball. The good news is that they have 15 returning starters. The bad news is that they averaged giving up 40 points a game with the only big talent they faced being utah.

Wake Forest - 2.5 / Grobe has developed a nice winning program here. They return 13 starters 9 on offense. WF won last years meeting at Baylor by 28 points. I look for Baylor to have a much improved team this year but I don't see them making up the 28 points yet.

Central Mich + 13.5 / C Mich returns 16 starters and 81% of their lettermen. This makes them one of the most veteran teams in college ball. They also have a very talented QB in Lefevour. AZ returns 13 starters but have to break in a new QB. AZ has had high expectations since hiring stoops but they are only 25 - 34.

Illinois - 6.5 / Illinois has 13 starters returning including the Juice. They had a dissapointing year last year and look to send Juice out with a winning SR season. Mizzou has only 9 returning starters and lost a ton of talent to the NFL. I see the line being set at 6.5 due to the winning of the past few years and not this years talent level.

Other Leans - Akron/Ohio/Georgia/V Tech/UTEP/Cal

g/l everyone
 

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2 - 0 on plays 1 - 0 on leans

adding Tenn as a lean only.

I do play all of my leans but i usually use them in parlays and teasers.

g/l everyone
 

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Recap of yesterday. Can someone call Ron Zook and let him know that they were playing a real game. The Illini were not ready to play at all. Wide open receivers on defense and the Juice looked like a high school QB instead of a senior. Wake couldn't overcome all of their turnovers and that just happens. I got the close win with C Mich and actually got the win with UCLA as it was 18.5 when I played it but I will call it a push for the record. My top play Stanford was never in trouble as they cruised by Wash St.

Sunday Play:


Col - 10 / Colorado Returns 13 starters 9 on offense. They do return both QB's, both WR's, and their top RB's. Hawkins is one of the coaches on the hot seat so I see an inspired performance to start the year from Colorado. Col St returns 12 starters. They lose their QB, top RB, and 5 starters from the defensive front. Add in a 2nd year HC and it looks like a down year for the rams.

g/l everyone
 

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