Live Handicapping Thread Sunday 6/21/20

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Gulf
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#7 General Mathis
Currently 28-1
on track
 

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Gulf
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#7 General Mathis
Currently 28-1
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Got a good one. Vasquez choked him down big time right after the break then he ran greenly down the stretch before breaking free of the horses around him when he really dug in for the last strides. Last to first. Always fun to watch. It's been pretty dry for me lately when smelling these bombs. Happy to start right today.

35.20 x 6 = 211.20 -12.00 = 199.20

(+ $199.20)
 

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lol. yeah dropping from MSW guess it took some time to register.

They closed with him in his maiden race. Then looked for speed for him in his second race, both on dirt. Then they laid him off for three months for retraining. Then dropped him from MSW to claiming today while putting him on the weeds. This is the race they were prepping him for. They knew it, too. That's why the odds went from 30-1 while loading to 16-1 at the last odds change. I got lucky. Thank you, Odds Gods.
 

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They closed with him in his maiden race. Then looked for speed for him in his second race, both on dirt. Then they laid him off for three months for retraining. Then dropped him from MSW to claiming today while putting him on the weeds. This is the race they were prepping him for. They knew it, too. That's why the odds went from 30-1 while loading to 16-1 at the last odds change. I got lucky. Thank you, Odds Gods.
yeah good points. saw your post late wish I would have given the 7 more thought. buried now in Horse tourney game as 10 players had the 7. good call.
 

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yeah good points. saw your post late wish I would have given the 7 more thought. buried now in Horse tourney game as 10 players had the 7. good call.

Ten players had the #7?! Holy cow! How many contestants? Those are some solid handicappers for TEN of them to have the #7!!!
 

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Ten players had the #7?! Holy cow! How many contestants? Those are some solid handicappers for TEN of them to have the #7!!!
105 players so about 10%. those shots kill you in a contest esp with only 6 races,
 

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#3 Tamiami
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THis is a system of mine. It is a favorite system. First time starter MSW favorites of between 3/5 and 2-1 (inclusive) only. If you play 'em all you will show a profit at the end of the year. I did the research myself 30 years ago. It still holds up today.
 

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#3 Tamiami
Current odds 4/5
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THis is a system of mine. It is a favorite system. First time starter MSW favorites of between 3/5 and 2-1 (inclusive) only. If you play 'em all you will show a profit at the end of the year. I did the research myself 30 years ago. It still holds up today.

Jeez. Two last to first horses in the first two races. Unlike the first race, I didn't think that this horse had a prayer at the top of the stretch. Zayas gave a perfect example of why the six whip rule that's being discussed just stinks. He got him there.

88.00 - 40.00 = +48.00

(+ $247.20)
 

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Churchill is sloppy today, guys.
 

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