BC Lions are 4-4 heading into tonight’s game vs the 5-3 Montreal Allouettes. Game notes: BC beat Montreal in a thrilling come from behind game 36-34 that game was played one month ago in BC. Since then BC has had to play 2 divisional rivals which they went 1-2 against and Montreal also played 3 divisional rivals & went 3-0. I think it is worth putting out the combined records of opponents faced BC 15-9 Mont 7-17.
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This leads to the fact that Montreal stats and team morale are probably a bit over inflated heading into their bye week, while BC is scuffling and searching for some answers. Coming off that tough schedule BC’s defense has spent the last 3 weeks going backwards and will now be without one of their shut down corners. One thing I noted watching BC last week was they had a tough time stopping CGY between the 20’s but after giving up an opening two play TD drive forced CGY in 5 consecutive FG’s when they ventured into the REDZONE. BC’s defense has played very well on the road this year and their YPPT is a full 1.3 pts better.
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BC will be starting back up QB Buck Pierce in place of Jarious Jackson really this is a A, 1A situation as Pierce was the starting QB to start the season. Pierce is often hurt, but delivers a tight catchable ball, as opposed to JJ who has a big arm and go throw long and hard but some times has accuracy issues. In looking at Montreal defense though the Lions should really present a run first game plan, Montreal gives up 6 yards per carry and their defense is not as stout at home as it is on the road.
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Montreal has faced 3 western opponents so far and has lost to all 3, including a week two loss to Calgary 19-23 as a -4.5 favorite. 2 out of the three games went over the total including the game vs BC.
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Here are some key trends to consider:
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BC:
Off an upset home loss 4-1 ATS & SU last 3 years
As a road dog 6-2 ATS & 7-1 SU
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In Non-conference games 4-15 O-U
After allowing more than 450 in 3 straight games 1-5 O-U
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MONT:
Revenging a same season loss 3-10 SU 2-9 O-U Since 96
After 2 consecutive ATS wins 1-6 ATS last 3 years
In weeks 10-15 last 3 years 1-10 ats
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In home games with a total of over 52 points 1-6 O-U
As a Fav 8-19 O-U
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Summary:
It is possible for the Al’s to come out flat and after a week off and over confident with their recent success. Look for BC to counter with many running plays to keep Montreal honest and give Buck Pierce some time. I think we will see a tight low scoring game that features a close finish, but well under the total of 58. The weather forecast is 50% chance of showers and light winds.
3* U58
1* Leos +5.5
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<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
fficeffice" /><o></o>This leads to the fact that Montreal stats and team morale are probably a bit over inflated heading into their bye week, while BC is scuffling and searching for some answers. Coming off that tough schedule BC’s defense has spent the last 3 weeks going backwards and will now be without one of their shut down corners. One thing I noted watching BC last week was they had a tough time stopping CGY between the 20’s but after giving up an opening two play TD drive forced CGY in 5 consecutive FG’s when they ventured into the REDZONE. BC’s defense has played very well on the road this year and their YPPT is a full 1.3 pts better.
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></o>BC will be starting back up QB Buck Pierce in place of Jarious Jackson really this is a A, 1A situation as Pierce was the starting QB to start the season. Pierce is often hurt, but delivers a tight catchable ball, as opposed to JJ who has a big arm and go throw long and hard but some times has accuracy issues. In looking at Montreal defense though the Lions should really present a run first game plan, Montreal gives up 6 yards per carry and their defense is not as stout at home as it is on the road.
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></o>Montreal has faced 3 western opponents so far and has lost to all 3, including a week two loss to Calgary 19-23 as a -4.5 favorite. 2 out of the three games went over the total including the game vs BC.
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></o>Here are some key trends to consider:
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></o>BC:
Off an upset home loss 4-1 ATS & SU last 3 years
As a road dog 6-2 ATS & 7-1 SU
<o
></o>In Non-conference games 4-15 O-U
After allowing more than 450 in 3 straight games 1-5 O-U
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></o>MONT:
Revenging a same season loss 3-10 SU 2-9 O-U Since 96
After 2 consecutive ATS wins 1-6 ATS last 3 years
In weeks 10-15 last 3 years 1-10 ats
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></o>In home games with a total of over 52 points 1-6 O-U
As a Fav 8-19 O-U
<o
></o>Summary:
It is possible for the Al’s to come out flat and after a week off and over confident with their recent success. Look for BC to counter with many running plays to keep Montreal honest and give Buck Pierce some time. I think we will see a tight low scoring game that features a close finish, but well under the total of 58. The weather forecast is 50% chance of showers and light winds.
3* U58
1* Leos +5.5
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