Let's Guess Some Lines For Week 1 Games

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my guesses:

Oregon v. LSU ... LSU -1.5
Boise State v. Georgia ... UGA -4
Minny v. USC ... USC -27.5
Tulsa v. Oklahoma ... OU -34
Rice v. Texas ... UT -20.5

what do you guys think these games lines (or other games) will be @) ... gl
 

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thats what i think the lsu line will be...
 

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Lsu -3
uga -8
usc -23
ou -36
ut -24
 

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wvu-17
 

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Last season there was a serious amount of big chalk lines that did not cash the first couple of weekends. I'm going to be looking at going against some of the heavy chalk this season. I think college football talent has made these teams a little more even in the first week of play.
 

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Last season there was a serious amount of big chalk lines that did not cash the first couple of weekends. I'm going to be looking at going against some of the heavy chalk this season. I think college football talent has made these teams a little more even in the first week of play.

Yeap. I'm all over that USC line. Uncharacteristic of them to play up or down to their competition but that's exactly what happened all last season. I'll take the points if that line is anything close to being right SoonerBS.
 

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If OU is laying 34-36 then give me Tulsa all day long. OU has FSU and Mizzou in back to back weeks after Tulsa. Line will probably be more like OU-24.5 though.

WinOne!!
 

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Last season there was a serious amount of big chalk lines that did not cash the first couple of weekends. I'm going to be looking at going against some of the heavy chalk this season. I think college football talent has made these teams a little more even in the first week of play.

2nd that!
 

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If OU is laying 34-36 then give me Tulsa all day long. OU has FSU and Mizzou in back to back weeks after Tulsa. Line will probably be more like OU-24.5 though.

WinOne!!
Yeah, I agree. I don't know where 34-36 got started. It's going to me more along the lines of 27-28
 

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As sure as I'm sitting here (and I'll come and eat crow when the lines come out) OU will be favored by more than 4 TD's. I'll stand by my upwards of 30 prediction. gl! :dancefool
 

sdf

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Last season there was a serious amount of big chalk lines that did not cash the first couple of weekends. I'm going to be looking at going against some of the heavy chalk this season. I think college football talent has made these teams a little more even in the first week of play.

week 1 of last year. nothing significant to speak of

http://b2b.sportsdatabase.com/ncaaf...ber=1 and line<-24 and line&sort=query_header

but week 2 was good to fade

http://b2b.sportsdatabase.com/ncaaf...&submit=query&same_season_p=1&same_season_P=0

i guess it depends on what your definition of "big chalk" is

2 years ago, big chalk did well in weeks 1 and 2. so....unless something changed starting in 2010 i'm not sure there's anything statistically significant?
 

sdf

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Oregon v. LSU ... i figure this to open around pickem and get bet up to -2.5
Boise State v. Georgia ... open uga -4 and bet up to -6
Minny v. USC ... USC -27.5. i'm lost on this one. usc is always a big money getter but they didnt earn their money last year. add ncaa penalities to that. i have no feel for what the perception of USC football will be, but undoubtedly the public will love them
Tulsa v. Oklahoma ... OU -34...they'll win by 50.
Rice v. Texas ... UT -20.5. i think this opens higher...23, 24...and gets bet down. Normally public will pound texas but there are a lot of people down on them still. austin paper just enhances the perception of another down year. who can blame them
 

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Any suggestions on peoples pix to follow?????? I get my ass whooped every year in pro and college foots!!
 

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Here's the opening lines from last year:

COLLEGE FOOTBALL THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 2ND

4:30 PM 133 SO MISSISSIPPI +14-110 o46½-110
134 SOUTH CAROLINA -14-110 u46½-110


4:30 PM 135 MARSHALL +28-110
136 OHIO STATE -28-110

5:00 PM 137 NO ILLINOIS +3-110 o47-110
138 IOWA STATE -3-110 u47-110

5:30 PM 139 PITTSBURGH U +3-110 o50-110
140 UTAH -3-110 u50-110

8:00 PM 141 USC -18½-110
142 HAWAII +18½-110

ADDED GAMES
4:30 PM 143 MINNESOTA U +4½-110 o53-110
144 MIDDLE TENN ST -4½-110 u53-110

5:00 PM 145 FLORIDA ATLANTI +13-110 o55-110
146 UAB -13-110 u55-110

COLLEGE FOOTBALL FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 3RD

5:00 PM 147 ARIZONA U -14-110 o58½-110
148 TOLEDO +14-110 u58½-110

COLLEGE FOOTBALL SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 4TH

9:00 AM 149 WESTERN MICHIGA +20-110
150 MICHIGAN STATE -20-110

9:00 AM 151 MIAMI OHIO +33-110
152 FLORIDA -33-110

MISS GAME BEING PLAYED@ EDWARD JONES DOME ST.LOUIS, MO
9:30 AM 153 ILLINOIS +12½-110 o57-110
154 MISSOURI -12½-110 u57-110

COL ST GAME BEING PLAYED@ INVESCO FIELD DENVER, CO
11:00 AM 155 COLORADO -13½-110 o48-110
156 COLORADO STATE +13½-110 u48-110


4:30 PM 157 NORTHWESTERN -3-110 o45-110
158 VANDERBILT +3-110 u45-110


4:00 PM 159 MEMPHIS +20-110
160 MISSISSIPPI ST -20-110

12:30 PM 161 TEXAS -26-110
162 RICE +26-110

12:30 PM 163 PURDUE +11½-110 o52½-110
164 NOTRE DAME -11½-110 u52½-110

12:30 PM 165 CONNECTICUT +2½-110 o54-110
166 MICHIGAN -2½-110 u54-110

12:30 PM 167 KENTUCKY -3-110 o49-110
168 LOUISVILLE +3-110 u49-110

12:30 PM 169 NEW MEXICO +32½-110
170 OREGON -32½-110

12:30 PM 171 UCLA -3-110 o44-110
172 KANSAS STATE +3-110 u44-110

3:00 PM 173 SYRACUSE -8-110 o44-110
174 AKRON +8-110 u44-110

4:00 PM 175 WASHINGTON U +3-110 o55½-110
176 BYU -3-110 u55½-110

4:00 PM 177 WASHINGTON STAT +14-110 o52-110
178 OKLAHOMA STATE -14-110 u52-110

4:00 PM 179 SAN JOSE STATE +39-110
180 ALABAMA -39-110

4:00 PM 181 UTAH STATE +28-110
182 OKLAHOMA -28-110

4:00 PM 183 ARMY -10-110 o42½-110
184 EASTERN MICHIGA +10-110 u42½-110

4:45 PM 185 OREGON STATE +14-110 o50½-110
186 TCU -14-110 u50½-110

LSU GAME BEING PLAYED@ THE GEORGIA DOME ATLANTA, GA
5:00 PM 187 NORTH CAROLINA PK-110 o40½-110
188 LSU PK-110 u40½-110

7:00 PM 189 CINCINNATI U +1-110 o57½-110
190 FRESNO STATE -1-110 u57½-110

8:00 PM 191 WISCONSIN -18½-110
192 UNLV +18½-110

ADDED GAMES
9:20 AM 193 UL LAFAYETTE +25-110
194 GEORGIA -25-110

4:00 PM 195 WESTERN KENTUCK +33-110
196 NEBRASKA -33-110

12:30 PM 197 NORTH TEXAS +22-110
198 CLEMSON -22-110

4:00 PM 199 BOWLING GREEN +14-110 o56½-110
200 TROY -14-110 u56½-110

4:00 PM 201 ARKANSAS STATE +30½-110
202 AUBURN -30½-110

COLLEGE FOOTBALL SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 5TH

11:00 AM 203 TULSA -7-110 o60-110
204 EAST CAROLINA +7-110 u60-110

12:30 PM 205 SMU +10½-110
206 TEXAS TECH -10½-110

NAVY GAME BEING PLAYED@ M&T BANK STADIUM BALTIMORE, MD
COLLEGE FOOTBALL MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 6TH

1:00 PM 207 MARYLAND +7-110 o47½-110
208 NAVY -7-110 u47½-110

VIRG TECH GAME BEING PLAYED@ FED EX FIELD LANDOVER, MD
5:00 PM 209 BOISE STATE -2½-110 o50½-110
210 VIRGINIA TECH +2½-110 u50½-110
 

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If your you do your homework you can pick off a few good big dogs early on...
 

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