last leg of an 8 team teaser... GBay +4 ... question

[SoCal]

7 pt tease. $75 to win $825. 7 games came in yesterday leaving GBAY + 4 tonite. The bet was "fun" money I won playing at the casino blackjack table if you're wondering who in their right mind plays an 8 team teaser. I will be playing Tenn + pts tonite to hedge and possible middle.

My choices...

Tenn +3 (+110)
Tenn +3.5 (-108)
Tenn +4 (-118)

3.5 at reduced vig (-108) seems to be the best choice, but the greedy gambler likes that +3 at (+110 ).

Any input?

 

[mhk]

You put 75$ on Tenn +3 @ +110. Its a no brainer. Why pay juice on something that you don't need? Hell, if its a close game, you could win 907.50$.. Or only win $7.50.. Just root for an overtime type game..

 

[SoCal]

no... you misunderstood. the teaser needs GBay +4 to win $825. I can hedge and guarantee half of that by playing Tenn + any pts at all. For instance, Tenn +3 (+110) wagering $400 is guaranteed at least $400 bucks no matter who wins. i can middle the game (win both sides) if GBay loses by 3 or less or if Tenn loses by 2 or less.

I can manipulate that last part to include Tenn losing by 3 or less by taking the 3.5 pts. That's what I'll be doing I've decided. But just looking at that +3 at (+110) has the gambler in me drooling. I realize buying the hook increases my chances to middle exponentially

 

[soccerbob]

SoCal- That's a nice ticket to have. I like Green Bay tonight and really like them at your price. LOL. If you're going to hedge at all, I feel the Tennessee at +3 1/2 is the good value play. That gives you some pretty key numbers and then you can also do something at the half if you want to.

 

[mhk]

I'm with you, just don't like hitting singles, LOL.. Let it ride, hit a homer..gl..

 

[SoCal]

soccerbob,

if your around at halftime... hit this thread if you can. I'd like your input as to some half time value if you see it in regards to this ticket i took tenn +3.5 to hedge at least $400. possible middle for $1200..

thnx for the well wishes mhk. gl to u as well