Larry Legend system for last 20 games

[ronaldn]

Last year I did a statistical analysis of Larry Legends system using the last 20 games only. I started mid way into the season and the results were quite impressive. Filtered plays without dogs were 28-19-2 and with a raw score of over 15 (unfiltered) they were 29-16. The plays are starting to come in again now as the teams had to complete at least 20 games.

I am wondering if there is any interest in me posting the plays again this year. I want to make this absolutely clear. I am not touting this system, only doing an analysis of it. I have not played these games nor do I intend to at present. Please let me know if anyone is interested and I will post the plays. If not, I can save myself a lot of time and energy. I will only post the ones that were successful last year ie the filtered favorite plays and the raw score plays.

Today there is one play but it is both a filtered fave play (ff) and a raw score play (rs):

Clev -9.5

 

[Jetplane]

Yeah dude, it would be great for u to track it... I've seen that I want a # of around 18-20+ for us to make it a play, I've been seeing them make smaller ranked plays but maybe that's why the system is erratic at the current time.

Goodluck, let's get em tonight.

 

[Akillies]

what is it?

 

[Doug]

I'd like to see your tracking.

 

[ronaldn]

what is it?

http://therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=548971

 

[ronaldn]

When I posted earlier there was no line up on the Bos/Atl game. With Bos -4 it is a play but not a rs one. RS = 13

I will post the RS for all plays so you can figure out if it is a play with a different line than I posted.

Cle has a RS of 25

 

[ronaldn]

FF = 1-1
RS = 1-0

No plays today.

 

[Jetplane]

Have u explained RS and FF? or is it in the other thread. I'm guessing RS is raw score. NM... ff is filtered fav, i'm a dumbshit. Won't there be MORE RS than FF? since you'd have to be an RS to be a FF...?

 

[ronaldn]

Have u explained RS and FF? or is it in the other thread. I'm guessing RS is raw score. NM... ff is filtered fav, i'm a dumbshit. Won't there be MORE RS than FF? since you'd have to be an RS to be a FF...?

Yes, you are correct. RS = Raw Score and FF = Filtered Fave. All in post #1. No it doesn't have to be a RS play to be a FF play. RS starts at 15 and has no filters while FF starts at 10 and has 3 possible filters. It can be both as in the case of Cle tonight with a RS of 25 and a ptsptread less than 10 (9.5) making it a FF too. Now if you didn't get a ptspread under 10 then it wouldn't be a FF play but would still be a RS play. Hope this helps.

Ron

 

[bouga]

I'm trying to figure out this system, I tried doing one of these, can you let me know if I got it right or what I do wrong.

I looked through the games for tomorrow, and picked a couple and finally got one that I think is a play.

I did Charlotte at Memphis

Memphis (.360%) - (.308%) = 52
52 divided by 20 = .005
.005 - 3 = -2.995

So I THINK the play is Bobcats + the points, again its my first try on this.

 

[ronaldn]

I'm trying to figure out this system, I tried doing one of these, can you let me know if I got it right or what I do wrong.

I looked through the games for tomorrow, and picked a couple and finally got one that I think is a play.

I did Charlotte at Memphis

Memphis (.360%) - (.308%) = 52
52 divided by 20 = .005
.005 - 3 = -2.995

So I THINK the play is Bobcats + the points, again its my first try on this.

Last year, in my analysis of this system, the dog plays were losers so I am not tracking them this year. I am only tracking raw score plays and filtered fave plays as they were quite successful last year. See post #1

Also, with Memphis being the home team you would add 3 pt

 

[ronaldn]

There are no plays today. Bos with a rs of 13.5 is a pt and a half shy of being a rs play and since they are giving 12 they are not a filtered play.

Hou has a rs of 10.5 but like Bos they are short of what is needed for rs and giving too many pts for a ff.

A few games don't have lines up yet but they don't appear to be playable but I will update if they are.

 

[UgaBulldawg]

I got ATL as a play

600Atl-269GS = 331/20 = 16.55 + 3 = 19.55

Line is currently Atl -9.5, if it goes to 10, no play. Also, checking injuries.

GL!

Uga

 

[ronaldn]

I got ATL as a play

600Atl-269GS = 331/20 = 16.55 + 3 = 19.55

Line is currently Atl -9.5, if it goes to 10, no play. Also, checking injuries.

GL!

Uga

Uga, I am only using figures from the last 20 games. Your figures are from the whole season.

 

[UgaBulldawg]

Gotcha...sorry, I missed that. Thanks!!

 

[ronaldn]

FF = 1-1
RS = 1-0

So far no bets for today. No line yet on Hou/Min and that may be a possibility so will update later if it is.

 

[ronaldn]

Hou -6.5 is a rs = 15.5 and therefore a rs play. It is not a ff as they played last night.

 

[ronaldn]

Plays on
GS, CHA @-1.3 line CHA -8
IND, PHI @ -1.7 line PHI -10.5
HOU, HOU @ 15.2 line HOU -6.5
DEN, PHO @ -5.85 line PHO -5

Sam, this is a thread based on larry's system for the last 20 games only and I am only tracking rs and ff plays. If you have plays you want to post why dont you start your own thread. Only one of the plays you posted would be a play that I am tracking. (Hou rs >= 15)

 

[ronaldn]

RS went 1-0 last night

FF = 1-1
RS = 2-0

Three plays today:

Bos -14 RS = 19
Cle -13.5 RS = 23.5
Dal -6 FF with a RS = 11 (it is not a RS play)

 

[sheetplayer]

Thanks Ron..much appreciated