LA Rams +15.5

[ofred]

Teams usually respond with a good effort after a coach's firing, and I expect the Rams will do that here. They have at least a pretty good defense.

Also, when you have a spread in the NFL like this over 14, you expect the favorite to be on fire, playing really well. But that's not this Seahawks team. Don't be fooled by their Carolina beatdown of 2 weeks ago. That was the outlier.. Carolina was extremely passive and flat. Seattle just doesn't have the dominant defense anymore. They really miss safety Earl Wilson, partly because Shead and Lane are getting victimized in the secondary so often. Also, Russell Wilson has regained his mobility, but his passing accuracy is off. The OL has been in a state of flux all year, and Wilson has been under pressure and knocked around repeatedly.

Short week for Ram interim coach Fassel, but I just can't see this line the way the Seahawks are playing. They haven't been blowing out teams at home like in the old days. I've seen them play a lot. They easily could have lost the Dolphins and Falcons games at home. Seattle is also comfortably in the lead in the NFC West- no sense of urgency.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

I think the Rams will stick inside the number, & Seattle may have a comfy lead in their division, there's no way they're gonna slack off because another team could take their #2 seed

 

[ofred]

I think the Rams will stick inside the number, & Seattle may have a comfy lead in their division, there's no way they're gonna slack off because another team could take their #2 seed

Slacking off is not what I meant. In the NFL, slacking off is rare. But playing the lowly Rams, a win is a win, and the Hawks don't need to show all their cards or risk injury in a game they are supposed to win. They may cover, but in my memory, I haven't seen a 14+ spread unless the favorite is playing far better than Seattle is playing. I expect the Rams to blitz RW often, and why not…. they got nothing to lose.

 

[seldomseen]

Gl Fred!

 

[RJKiss]

This has to be the first time ever when a team that beaten a divisional rival the last three times they played is getting more than two touchdowns in their next matchup!

 

[KingEleven]

good luck

 

[PeePee]

Gl Fred...just can't do it.
rams and browns been on my black list...and it grew bigger with Jax. This season bad teams just stayed bad. Can't stand the heartache. Lol

 

[Serbone]

Respectfully, I watch the Rams very closely, a lot of the players might be glad that Fisher is gone, but without a real new coach I cannot see them fired up. Maybe next year with a new coach and culture. And all the assistants are lame duck.

Gurley sure did not like the "middle school offense" and 4 days is not enough time to change the 1960's offense that Fisher employed. Goff is not ready for a top D, the OL is ranked 32nd in the league, they are not suddenly going to perform and put points up; I would say 10-14 tops.

Seattle had a few flat road trips (TB, then GB) after their run to take command of the NFCW and their OL is mediocre at best, but Wilson and their outstanding WR/TE combos will get by the Rams D. Home game, national TV, off an embarrassing loss. The Seattle D is missing a few players but still is going to take apart one of the worst offenses in the NFL, on artificial turf, Goff over under is 3 INT and or fumbles. If it is a bit chilly that helps Seattle, too.

I think Seattle scores 33-37.

So I will go with Seattle 35-13.

 

[ofred]

I follow the Seahawks pretty closely and there is this perception that they can turn it on at any time and dominate when they need to. Seattle's defense is not a top D anymore, and those glory days are gone. They are lucky to play in the weak NFC West, playing Arizona, LA and SF twice. Throw in Tampa, Miami, the Jets, a reeling Eagles team, the 5-8 Saints…and I don't see more than 2-3 signature wins.

The pass defense used to be loaded with depth and talent, the pass rush was fierce and also deep in talent, but I don't see that now. This is their worst team in the past 4-5 years. Like I said, Seattle might cover, but in the NFL with parity the way it is(unless you're the Browns), 15.5 is a bargain vs. a team that is struggling on both sides of the ball.

 

[OverThinker]

Respectfully, I watch the Rams very closely, a lot of the players might be glad that Fisher is gone, but without a real new coach I cannot see them fired up. Maybe next year with a new coach and culture. And all the assistants are lame duck.

Gurley sure did not like the "middle school offense" and 4 days is not enough time to change the 1960's offense that Fisher employed. Goff is not ready for a top D, the OL is ranked 32nd in the league, they are not suddenly going to perform and put points up; I would say 10-14 tops.

Seattle had a few flat road trips (TB, then GB) after their run to take command of the NFCW and their OL is mediocre at best, but Wilson and their outstanding WR/TE combos will get by the Rams D. Home game, national TV, off an embarrassing loss. The Seattle D is missing a few players but still is going to take apart one of the worst offenses in the NFL, on artificial turf, Goff over under is 3 INT and or fumbles. If it is a bit chilly that helps Seattle, too.

I think Seattle scores 33-37.

So I will go with Seattle 35-13.

Yea but you know these same crappy rams generally play seachickens tough. It's rare I'll even lay a td so obviously there no way in hell I'd even consider laying this huge number, even if that wasn't the case just the way sea oline has struggled vs solid pass rushes would be enough to give me serious pause. Sea simply not scoring like that unless lambs lay down which is entirely possible. Very rare I touched these garbage thu night games anyway so this a real easy pass for me. GL

 

[fballgenius]

ofred, it seems to me that to win this bet you need a score like 17-6. The Rams D will have to carry the night because that O has no playmakers. Perhaps Tavon Austin will run one back!

 

[ofred]

ofred, it seems to me that to win this bet you need a score like 17-6. The Rams D will have to carry the night because that O has no playmakers. Perhaps Tavon Austin will run one back!

The Rams haven't had playmakers for years, but somehow managed to win 4 out of the last 5 vs. these Seahawks, including 9-3 this year. Maybe they get up for Seattle more than the other way around. I totally get how bad this Rams' team is, but I think too many bettors don't see the flaws in this Seattle team. Even if I lose, the Seahawks are in trouble come playoff time.

 

[Serbone]

Historically the last few years the Rams miraculously always seem to play the Hawks off a good run and Seattle does not take them seriously. This year it was early but Wilson was hobbling, badly and the Seattle OL was green and not ready to go.
Not this time, not this game IMO.
Seattle is off an embarrassing loss and want a win to get a bye. Big difference. Tell me the last time the Rams beat (covered) vs Seattle in Seattle after a Seattle loss.
Rams have a absolutely terrible, basic old style offense and no talent to boot, the worst rated OL in the NFL, very poor receivers, a rookie QB, Seattle will smother them even without Thomas and a few others.
The thing is, though, I have noticed the Rams are able to get 4th quarter TD's the last several games in blowouts and this is a big number, 16 points is a lot in the NFL. But I don't think they will be close enough.
Low mid 30 degree temps and artificial turf favor Seattle, too, IMO.
I just do not think Rams will play the whole 60 minutes and Seattle will get out to a huge lead, a pick 6, a fumble recovery in Rams zone.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

The Rams haven't had playmakers for years, but somehow managed to win 4 out of the last 5 vs. these Seahawks, including 9-3 this year. Maybe they get up for Seattle more than the other way around. I totally get how bad this Rams' team is, but I think too many bettors don't see the flaws in this Seattle team. Even if I lose, the Seahawks are in trouble come playoff time.

I also think Seattle might be in trouble come playoff time..........Seattle will finish the regular season 11-4-1 & get #2 seed.

IMO, the Rams will stay inside the number tonight......Seattle 23-10

 

[Serbone]

And I apologize for getting into your thread you are a very good capper and you state your reasons (unlike most), the Rams are just my (former) home team, was a season ticket holder since 1996 till this year.

I am not saying Seattle is a great bet, lots of points, only saying that the Rams might not show up and even if they do their O is so pathetic they will be in trouble against an angry Seattle team.

GL to all!

 

[mango]

Teams usually respond with a good effort after a coach's firing, and I expect the Rams will do that here. They have at least a pretty good defense.

Also, when you have a spread in the NFL like this over 14, you expect the favorite to be on fire, playing really well. But that's not this Seahawks team. Don't be fooled by their Carolina beatdown of 2 weeks ago. That was the outlier.. Carolina was extremely passive and flat. Seattle just doesn't have the dominant defense anymore. They really miss safety Earl Wilson, partly because Shead and Lane are getting victimized in the secondary so often. Also, Russell Wilson has regained his mobility, but his passing accuracy is off. The OL has been in a state of flux all year, and Wilson has been under pressure and knocked around repeatedly.

Short week for Ram interim coach Fassel, but I just can't see this line the way the Seahawks are playing. They haven't been blowing out teams at home like in the old days. I've seen them play a lot. They easily could have lost the Dolphins and Falcons games at home. Seattle is also comfortably in the lead in the NFC West- no sense of urgency.

Who's Earl Wilson?

 

[Skeeter123]

Who's Earl Wilson?

I'm sure he means Earl Thomas...but prob had their QB on his brain.

Good luck Fred!

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

Historically the last few years the Rams miraculously always seem to play the Hawks off a good run and Seattle does not take them seriously. This year it was early but Wilson was hobbling, badly and the Seattle OL was green and not ready to go.
Not this time, not this game IMO.
Seattle is off an embarrassing loss and want a win to get a bye. Big difference. Tell me the last time the Rams beat (covered) vs Seattle in Seattle after a Seattle loss.
Rams have a absolutely terrible, basic old style offense and no talent to boot, the worst rated OL in the NFL, very poor receivers, a rookie QB, Seattle will smother them even without Thomas and a few others.
The thing is, though, I have noticed the Rams are able to get 4th quarter TD's the last several games in blowouts and this is a big number, 16 points is a lot in the NFL. But I don't think they will be close enough.
Low mid 30 degree temps and artificial turf favor Seattle, too, IMO.
I just do not think Rams will play the whole 60 minutes and Seattle will get out to a huge lead, a pick 6, a fumble recovery in Rams zone.

I think Rams to score last in game is +260 prop bet....

 

[Serbone]

I think Rams to score last in game is +260 prop bet....

Hmmmm, prop bet might be a good idea... but not my style. Seriously, look at their last 5-6 games they get a last qtr TD, make the game look a little better, most of the time they still didn't cover, though.

 

[ofred]

Who's Earl Wilson?

Yes, Earl Thomas. Their not all Wilsons on the team. The Packers didn't really attack his replacement, Steven Terrell. Terrell is kind of an unknown factor.

And the Seahawks' defensive stats are a bit better due to some of the terrible offenses they've played. The best they've played: Patriots, Falcons, Packers, Saints….the rest are average or worse.