L2KA NFL Week 8 - Week 18

[Loves2kickass]

WEEK 8

#1
Cincinnati @ San Francisco
01:25 PM • Oct 29, 2023
Cincinnati +5.5, -110 (Circa) BEST BET

#2
Chicago @ LA Chargers
05:20 PM • Oct 29, 2023
LA Chargers -8.5, -110 (Circa) BEST BET

#3
New England @ Miami
10:00 AM • Oct 29, 2023
New England +9.5, -110 (Circa)

 

[Loves2kickass]

Line move on CIN from +5.5 to +3.5. I bet and posted it earlier today at +5 1/2. CIN +3.5 or higher would still be a best bet. CIN less than +2.5 would be a no bet.

 

[Joe$$Moneyline]

Line move on CIN from +5.5 to +3.5. I bet and posted it earlier today at +5 1/2. CIN +3.5 or higher would still be a best bet. CIN less than +2.5 would be a no bet.

No Purdy
I believe
Concussion protocol

 

[Loves2kickass]

No Purdy
I believe
Concussion protocol

You're correct. He was listed out yesterday after I bet and posted.

 

[Sdevils42]

I for one am pissed Purdy may not start, kudos to you getting 5.5. I got it at 6 and ML +210 earlier in the week. Love the Bengals in this spot, good matchup vs SF.

 

[Joe$$Moneyline]

49ers headed to 0-3 slide

 

[Loves2kickass]

I'm keeping an eye on a few sides that I may add large. I'll be fading the Saints, Titans, Jaguars & Vikings if it appears they'll close as the favorite prior to the start of their respective games. The Titans may not as they are currently +2.5 as with the Saints at -1. The Jaguars at -2.5 and the Vikings at -1.5 currently have my total attention to fade as of now if the lines hold or continue to rise.

 

[Loves2kickass]

1. Composite/Spread Range FAVORITE
2. Open at PK or UNDERDOG
3. Close as FAVORITE
4. If yes to all 3, FADE the side

WEEK 1
Composite/Spread Range: Buffalo -1.9 / -3.1
Vegas Opening Line: Buffalo PK
Vegas Closing Line: Buffalo -2.5
FADE: Buffalo -2.5
NY Jets 22 Buffalo 16 WIN SU & ATS

WEEK 2
Composite/Spread Range: Cleveland -1.4 / -2.2
Vegas Opening Line: Cleveland PK
Vegas Closing Line: Cleveland -2.5
FADE: Cleveland -2.5
Pittsburgh 26 Cleveland 22 WIN SU & ATS

WEEK 3
Composite/Spread Range: Las Vegas -0.6 / -2.3
Vegas Opening Line: Las Vegas +1.5
Vegas Closing Line: Las Vegas -3
FADE: Las Vegas -3
Pittsburgh 23 Las Vegas 18 WIN SU & ATS

WEEK 4
Composite/Spread Range: Cincinnati -2.8 / -3.4
Vegas Opening Line: Cincinnati +2.5
Vegas Closing Line: Cincinnati -2.5
FADE: Cincinnati -2.5
Tennessee 27 Cincinnati 3 WIN SU & ATS

WEEK 5
Composite/Spread Range: Tennessee-0.1 / -0.9
Vegas Opening Line: Tennessee +1
Vegas Closing Line: Tennessee -2.5
FADE: Tennessee -2.5
Indianapolis 23 Tennessee 16 WIN SU & ATS

WEEK 8
Composite/Spread Range: New Orleans -0.3 / -0.4
Vegas Opening Line: New Orleans PK
Vegas Closing Line: New Orleans -?
FADE: ?

Composite/Spread Range: Jacksonville -0.1 / -1.7
Vegas Opening Line: Jacksonville PK
Vegas Closing Line: Jacksonville -?
FADE: ?

Composite/Spread Range: Tennessee -1.4 / -2.1
Vegas Opening Line: Tennessee +2
Vegas Closing Line: Tennessee -?
FADE: ?

Composite/Spread Range: Minnesota -0.6 / -1.0
Vegas Opening Line: Minnesota +1.5
Vegas Closing Line: Minnesota -?
FADE: ?

 

[Loves2kickass]

WEEK 8

#1
Cincinnati @ San Francisco
01:25 PM • Oct 29, 2023
Cincinnati +5.5, -110 (Circa) BEST BET

#2
Chicago @ LA Chargers
05:20 PM • Oct 29, 2023
LA Chargers -8.5, -110 (Circa) BEST BET

#3
New England @ Miami
10:00 AM • Oct 29, 2023
New England +9.5, -110 (Circa)

ADD
Pittsburgh +3, -115 (Circa)
Composite/Spread Range: Jacksonville -0.1 / -1.7
Vegas Opening Line: Jacksonville PK
Vegas Closing Line: Jacksonville -?
FADE: Jacksonville

 

[jamerx]

Thanks L2KA

 

[LuckysBoy]

Some good line movement info. Thank you

 

[Loves2kickass]

Some good line movement info. Thank you

I must have a side as a favorite with my spread range to be considered. No prob at all brother. GL this week. I may add more prior to game time. A fade of Minnesota will probably happen also. I see that line increasing before Sunday.

 

[Loves2kickass]

WEEK 8

#1
Cincinnati @ San Francisco
01:25 PM • Oct 29, 2023
Cincinnati +5.5, -110 (Circa) BEST BET

#2
Chicago @ LA Chargers
05:20 PM • Oct 29, 2023
LA Chargers -8.5, -110 (Circa) BEST BET

#3
New England @ Miami
10:00 AM • Oct 29, 2023
New England +9.5, -110 (Circa)

Pittsburgh +3, -115 (Circa)
Composite/Spread Range: Jacksonville -0.1 / -1.7
Vegas Opening Line: Jacksonville PK
Vegas Closing Line: Jacksonville -?
FADE: Jacksonville

ADD
Indianapolis +2.5, -110 (Circa)
Composite/Spread Range: New Orleans -0.3 / -0.4
Vegas Opening Line: New Orleans PK
Vegas Closing Line: New Orleans -?
FADE: New Orleans

 

[exploited17]

Looks like Bengals and Pats are the 2 biggest public dogs as of now. Do like Bengals though.
GL

 

[Mofome2]

Good luck today. When you did your analysis for the Bengals pick was that with or without Purdy. See he is starting today.

 

[Mspeaks61]

purdy is playing today!

 

[Loves2kickass]

purdy is playing today!

That's great. I made my bet with him playing.

 

[exploited17]

That's great. I made my bet with him playing.

Good timing too. Line is 4. Not going up with him back to starter either. Interesting.

 

[JohnnyMags]

Good Luck

 

[Loves2kickass]

I'll be also fading the Vikings as previously mentioned if it looks like they'll close as the favorite. Right now I'm seeing the Vikings -1. It also appears the Titans will be the dog so no fade on Atlanta.