Kickoff Classic Play and Early Looks for next week

HoosierDaddy · Aug 26, 2004

USC/Virginia Tech Under 50

I know this is a consensus play, but I think with this being the first game, the offenses will be rusty.

Next week's looks:

Thursday night:
Utah (-9)
Still not sure about this one, but I think people will be all over A & M (granted, they will be better this year), but a lot are asking why a Mountain West team is a 9-point fav over a Big 12 team. Utah is by far the class of the MWC. Still think this line may be too high, though.

Northwestern (+8)
I likely will play this one. TCU has failed to cover their last 2 season openers and were only 5-8 ATS last year and 6-7 ATS as a Home Fav under Patterson. Meanwhile, Northwestern is 14-8-1 ATS on the road the last 4 years (9-6-1 ATS as a Road Dog). The Cats return 17 starters., including 6 of their Front Seven and their entire O-Line. TCU only returns 2 of their Front Seven (1 on the D-Line). Northwestern was able to run the ball last year pretty well.

Saturday:
Cincinnati (+17)
UC returns 17 starters and almost beat OSU 2 years ago. The Buckeyes failed to cover all 3 times they were DD Favs last year. Plus, they only have 9 starters back and a new QB.

Colorado State (+6)
A series dominated by the dog.

Maryland (-14)
Revenge.

Oklahoma State (+2')
UCLA is usually a great home chalk versus non-conference opp, yet they are only a 2.5-pt fav over a team that lost its best 2 players (Bell and R. Woods)?

Sunday:
Fresno State (+4)
I love Pat Hill as a dog versus the Pac-10.

Monday:
Florida State (+2')
This will be my biggest play. FSU will win this game outright IMO.

Nevada (+4')

Probably a couple of more. I'll be interested to discuss this thread with you all.

Thanks,

HD

HoosierDaddy · Aug 29, 2004

Good start to the season last night with the easy Under.

Hoping to get some feedback on my early looks for next week.

I am starting instead to lean with Texas A & M in lieu of Utah.

Also like Boston College, Rutgers and Miami (Ohio) as early looks.

Guest · Aug 29, 2004

HD,

My opinion on the games you posted.

Not playing the Utah game, no opinion.

I am on Northwestern as I like their experienced O-Line to control the line of scrimmage and pound the ball at TCU. I see it as a possibly high scoring game as I like both offenses to be able to move the ball. Take the points.

I also like Cincy as they have alot of experience coming back and they won't be intimidated in the Shoe. Talent is one thing but I will go with experience in the opening games. New QB for Ohio State will make some mistakes, Cincy QB is experienced.

I would lean to Colorado State also. I look for this line to stay the same or go down so take the points now if you like CSU.

Oklahoma State in my opinion is one of the top picks on the board. They will win this game, period.

I like Fresno State but it is simply a lean at this point.

Slight lean to Florida State but no real big opinion as there are too many new players and ?'s for both teams for me to be able to back either side.

No opinion on Nevada, BC or Miami Ohio.

I really like Rutgers but you should have gotten down on them when they were at +9 or at least more than a TD underdog. Not as apealing at +6 though. At this point they might be a good ML wager if you can get +170 or so.

Anonymous1 · Aug 29, 2004

ucla is by most here on the west coast picked 3rd or 4th in the pac 10...obvivous usc...stanford above...coach karl dorrell...in second year...don't think they have much...look for running game out of ucla...while i agree with your comments about nco...would lean with the points or stay away...gl

HoosierDaddy · Aug 29, 2004

Omaha,

I may stay away from the Utah game. I think A & M will be a good spread team all year and Utah is a legit Top 20 team IMO.

Fresno is also a lean for me. I know UW under Neuheisel was a terrible Home Fav. However, I really like Pat Hill and he seems to almost always get his team up in these spots.

Cheapseats,

I know UCLA got Tab Perry back, and on paper they look like a good team, but this line seems like a gimme.

Thanks!

HD