Kansas, Uconn, Pitt

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KANSAS

I like Kansas with all the points - This is such a convoluted matchup that it makes my head spin. Kansas has been upset prone dropping bombs to Nevada, Richmond, and Iowa State.

I am not buying into OkState just yet - they beat TTU by 4 (also lost to them at TTU by 21), beat Texas by 5, and KState by 1.

Kansas on the other hand (minus the upsets) lost a tough one at Stanford (by 6), beat Oregon by 10, KState (twice), TTU by 19, and Missouri by 10.

OkState may tear it up at home but I'll take the chance that Kansas will be up for the game and will be able to bring OkState back to earth from a very overrated 7 game winning streak in my opinion (oklahoma blows, Kstate only by 1?, Colorado, A&M, IAState?) - I will give them credit for the texas win but I dont think thats enough to push me off kansas here.

UCONN

Notre Dame hasnt been up to the task against the dropping to BC, Rutgers, Pitt(twice), with only wins over Miami and Virginia Tech in the last 8 games - granted they played KY, a streaking BC team, and pitt but the fact here is that they havent beaten a good team - let alone a big offensive team like uconn.

PITT

I hesitate to take pitt very often and since I'm not a believer in the sandwich game concept I feel pretty confident with the way they match up with SH on paper. I suppose you could say that since seton hall played providence tough at home they will do the same against pitt - but to me their home record means nothing until they can pass multiple tests of good teams something they have not done at home or away.

Pitts D should be able to handle this mediocre offense without much trouble I assume.



33wins-42 losses on the season
(16 for 36 ATS (1 push))
(5 for 7 buying points (-170))
(7 for 16 on the 4 team 10 pt teasers [payout -120])
(3 for 7 - multiple team ML parlays [winners of -150, +150, and +122])
(2 for 7 on the ML: wins of -260 and -235)
 

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3team 8pt tease (-110)

Connecticut -2 Mon@7:00p
Pittsburgh +9½ Mon@8:00p
Kansas +12½ Mon@9:00p


Also gonna buy myself some wins (that way if they lose I can say "I cant even buy myself a win"):

Uconn -9.5 (bought the .5 at a cost of -120)

And for the 2 dogs I'm gonna buy the full 3 points in an attempt to budget for the worst case scenario where a close game loss results in a few points given up on last minute free throws...

Kansas +7.5
Pitt +4.5
 

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thanks stew

I saw this on the schedule a few days ago and thought that would be a good ont to take kansas at -5 or so for an easy win - but I was shocked to see it come out on the other side...

I get cold feet when theres a game I feel I am so certain about - but oddsmakers are on the other side.

I wonder if in this case maybe they feel the same as me but thought they might spice it up some and make okState favored - in order to make people think twice and maybe go ahead and take okstate.

Then again I also am nervous about the tendency kansas has to forget to show up - like they have done a few times this year.


GL
 

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Also thought I should log this in here before I forget...


Odds to win the 2004 NCAA Men Championship.
Field (All Others) 6/1
(Other than Duke or Uconn)

not bad to get +600 and only exclude these two teams...

With my luck they'll both go to the championship game.
 

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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR> Odds to win the 2004 NCAA Men Championship.
Field (All Others) 6/1
(Other than Duke or Uconn)
<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

which book?
 

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Just in case you are checking up on me I wanna be clear that the line has changed since I placed this bet on January 29th...

Though not by much: It was 6/1 then - now it is 11/2 (or 5.5/1)

Not a huge difference but i didnt want anyone accusing me of saying shit thats not true...

GL


Duke
7/2
Connecticut
9/2
Field (All Others)
11/2
Georgia Tech
15/2
Stanford
8/1
St. Josephs
9/1
Pittsburgh
10/1
Gonzaga
11/1
Cincinnati
11/1
Kentucky
12/1
Arizona
12/1
Louisville
12/1
North Carolina
13/1
Kansas
13/1
Florida
15/1
Wisconsin
15/1
Wake Forest
15/1
Illinois
20/1
Michigan State
22/1
Texas Tech
23/1
Texas
25/1
Missouri
25/1
Syracuse
25/1
Oklahoma
40/1
Memphis
45/1
Maryland
45/1
Utah
55/1
Marquette
55/1
UCLA
60/1
Minnesota
60/1
Seton Hall
65/1
LSU
65/1
North Carolina State
70/1
Notre Dame
70/1
Colorado
70/1
Arizona State
75/1
Indiana
75/1
Oregon
80/1
Villanova
80/1
Georgia
80/1
Alabama
80/1
BYU
85/1
California
85/1
Ohio State
90/1
Temple
95/1
Dayton
100/1
Southern Cal
125/1
Manhattan
150/1
Boston College
150/1
Iowa State
150/1
Georgetown
160/1
Miami-Florida
200/1
 

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come to think of it I dunno why I'd bother to post what I got it at (6/1) when today its at 5.5/1 and today is when I'm posting it...


5.5/1 it is anyone but uconn or duke.
 

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Sep 20, 2001
Messages
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34wins-44losses on the season
(16 for 37 ATS (1 push))
(6 for 9 buying points (-170))
(7 for 16 on the 4 team 10 pt teasers [payout -120])
(3 for 7 - multiple team ML parlays [winners of -150, +150, and +122])
(2 for 7 on the ML: wins of -260 and -235)
 

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